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Bahia v Bragantino : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Wed 18th Mar, 22:00 BST, Arena Fonte Nova, Salvador

Rogério Mücke Ceni's Bahia side will have home backing in the Serie A on Wednesday night, as Vágner Carmo Mancini's Bragantino visit the Arena Fonte Nova. Our predictions for each betting market are based on the past 20 games each side has played (at home, away or overall) with additional weight assigned to top teams. All the statistics and graphics are designed specifically for the selected market. Head to head (H2H) stats between the team are also given where our data allows. Odds are provided directly from from leading bookmakers.


Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We do not expect to see a a bore-draw or a narrow 1-0 win here, and instead are predicting over 1.5 goals. That means that Bahia and Bragantino will score a minimum of a couple of between them during 90 mins. It's a prediction based on the recent form of the respective sides, as well as historical records when they go head-to-head. We give it a probability of 77%. The bookmakers have it available at 1.25.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Bahia are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 51% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.95.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Bahia
50%
10/1119/20
Draw
24%
12/513/5
Bragantino
26%
3/111/4
Draw 1-1
11%
11/211/2
Bahia 1-0
10%
7/16/1
Bahia 2-1
10%
15/27/1
Bahia 2-0
8%
17/215/2
Bragantino 1-0
7%
11/117/2
Bragantino 2-1
7%
12/110/1
Draw 0-0
6%
10/18/1
Draw 2-2
6%
12/112/1
Bahia 3-1
5%
14/112/1
Bahia 3-0
5%
16/112/1
Bragantino 2-0
4%
20/114/1
Bahia 3-2
3%
25/120/1
Bragantino 3-1
3%
28/122/1
Bahia 4-1
2%
33/122/1
Bragantino 3-2
2%
33/125/1
Over 2.5 Goals
55%
19/2010/11
Under 2.5 Goals
45%
17/204/5
Home 1st Goal
53%
4/67/10
Away 1st Goal
44%
11/829/20
No 1st Goal
3%
10/18/1
BTTS - Yes
56%
3/45/6
BTTS - No
44%
1/110/11
BTTS - Home Win
24%
3/129/10
BTTS - Draw
18%
10/37/2
BTTS - Away Win
14%
13/211/2
Home/draw
74%
2/91/4
Away/draw
50%
4/55/6
Home/away
76%
3/102/7
Over 1.5 Goals
78%
3/103/10
Under 1.5 Goals
22%
5/223/10
Over 3.5 Goals
32%
12/59/4
Under 3.5 Goals
68%
1/33/10
Over 4.5 Goals
16%
11/25/1
Under 4.5 Goals
84%
1/91/10
Over 5.5 Goals
7%
12/111/1
Under 5.5 Goals
93%
1/251/40
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1/161/20
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
9/18/1
Home DNB
67%
2/52/5
Away DNB
43%
7/413/8
Bahia win to nil
25%
5/2-
Bragantino win to nil
13%
6/1-
Bahia / Bahia
27%
21/1019/10
Bahia / Bragantino
3%
33/125/1
Bahia / Draw
6%
12/111/1
Draw / Bahia
16%
4/14/1
Draw / Bragantino
10%
15/27/1
Draw / Draw
15%
9/24/1
Bragantino / Bahia
4%
22/118/1
Bragantino / Bragantino
14%
5/19/2
Bragantino / Draw
6%
14/111/1
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win form
5
Bahia have not lost in 5 consecutive league games
Bahia 4TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
5
Goals: Scored
34
Conceded
15
Games: Scored
20 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
0 / 20
Won
14
D
4
L
2
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Bahia1 - 1Vitoria
Bahia1 - 1Fluminense
Bahia2 - 0S. Recife
Bahia1 - 0Vasco d Gama
Bahia2 - 3Fortaleza
Bahia2 - 1Bragantino
Bahia1 - 0Internacional
Bahia4 - 0Gremio
Bahia1 - 0Flamengo
Bahia1 - 0Palmeiras
Bahia1 - 2Cruzeiro
Bahia2 - 0Santos
Bahia3 - 3Fluminense
Bahia3 - 0Juventude
Bahia2 - 1A Mineiro
Bahia2 - 1Sao Paulo
Bahia2 - 1Vitoria
Bahia1 - 0Botafogo
Bahia1 - 0Ceara
Bahia1 - 1Mirassol
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
10
D
4
Lost
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ABahia1 - 0Internacional
HBahia1 - 1Vitoria
ABahia1 - 0Vasco d Gama
HBahia1 - 1Fluminense
ABahia2 - 1Corinthians
ABahia0 - 2Fluminense
HBahia2 - 0S. Recife
ABahia1 - 1Juventude
HBahia1 - 0Vasco d Gama
HBahia2 - 3Fortaleza
ABahia2 - 2Internacional
ABahia0 - 3A Mineiro
HBahia2 - 1Bragantino
ABahia0 - 2Sao Paulo
HBahia1 - 0Internacional
HBahia4 - 0Gremio
ABahia1 - 2Vitoria
HBahia1 - 0Flamengo
ABahia1 - 2Botafogo
HBahia1 - 0Palmeiras
Bragantino 9TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
18
Conceded
34
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
5
D
3
Lost
12
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Gremio1 - 1Bragantino
Corinthians2 - 0Bragantino
Cortiba0 - 1Bragantino
Internacional3 - 1Bragantino
Flamengo3 - 0Bragantino
Sao Paulo0 - 1Bragantino
Bahia2 - 1Bragantino
Juventude1 - 0Bragantino
Palmeiras5 - 1Bragantino
Mirassol1 - 1Bragantino
Cruzeiro2 - 1Bragantino
Botafogo4 - 1Bragantino
Ceara1 - 0Bragantino
A Mineiro2 - 1Bragantino
Fortaleza3 - 1Bragantino
Vitoria1 - 0Bragantino
Corinthians1 - 2Bragantino
Vasco d Gama0 - 2Bragantino
Gremio1 - 1Bragantino
Santos1 - 2Bragantino
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
7
D
4
Lost
9
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HBragantino1 - 2Sao Paulo
ABragantino1 - 1Gremio
HBragantino1 - 1Athletico PR
ABragantino0 - 2Corinthians
HBragantino1 - 0A Mineiro
ABragantino1 - 0Cortiba
ABragantino1 - 3Internacional
HBragantino4 - 0Vitoria
HBragantino0 - 1Fortaleza
ABragantino0 - 3Flamengo
HBragantino2 - 0A Mineiro
ABragantino1 - 0Sao Paulo
HBragantino2 - 1Corinthians
ABragantino1 - 2Bahia
HBragantino0 - 3Vasco d Gama
ABragantino0 - 1Juventude
ABragantino1 - 5Palmeiras
HBragantino1 - 0Gremio
ABragantino1 - 1Mirassol
HBragantino2 - 2Santos
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
3
Bahia have beaten Bragantino in 3 consecutive home league meetings
5
Bahia have not lost to Bragantino in 5 consecutive home league meetings
League games at Bahia since 2020
Bahia
Bragantino
Goals: Scored
10
3
Games: Scored
5 / 5
3 / 5
Clean sheets
2 / 5
0 / 5
BAH
4
D
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Bahia
Bahia2 - 1
Bahia1 - 0
Bahia4 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Bahia2 - 1
League games at Bragantino since 2020
Bragantino
Bahia
Goals: Scored
11
8
Games: Scored
4 / 5
4 / 5
Clean sheets
1 / 5
1 / 5
BAH
1
D
1
RBB
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Bragantino
0 - 3Bahia
Bragantino2 - 1
Bragantino2 - 1
Draw3 - 3Draw
Bragantino4 - 0
Goal Statistics

Bahia have been consistent in front of goal of late, scoring in 5 consecutive Serie A outings. Their PG of 1.7 against Bragantino on Wednesday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

Goals have been difficult to come by for Bragantino of late. It has been 7 Serie A games since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.2 suggests they'll have problems ending that run on Wednesday night against Bahia.

Bahia 4th Bragantino 9th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.7
goals
1.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
18%
1
31%
2
26%
3
15%
4+
9%
There is a 82% probability that Bahia will score 1 or more goals
0
31%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4+
There is a 67% probability that Bragantino will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+2
Bahia’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-12
Bragantino have scored 12% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.7
average goals scored
0.9
average goals scored
0.8
conceded
1.7
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2026/2026 season
Bahia
PG (predicted goals)
Bragantino
1.7
1.2
Attack rating
19%
better
BAH
RBB
view stats
Games scored5
5
Failed to score0
1
Scored first2
4
Goals scored6
5
Avg. goals scored1.2
0.8
Avg. shots per game9
12
Avg. shots per goal8
15
Conversion rate for13
7
Avg. XG for1.5
1.4
KickOff rating
+19%
Defence rating
18%
better
BAH
RBB
view stats
Games conceded3
4
Clean sheets2
2
Conceded first3
2
Goals conceded3
6
Avg. goals conceded0.6
1
Avg. shots/game conceded11
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded18
9
Conversion rate against5%
11%
Avg. XG against1.4
0.8
KickOff rating
+18%

Bahia v Bragantino Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Bahia Serie A squad statistics 2026
Overall
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
NO DATA AVAILABLE
Bragantino Serie A squad statistics 2026
Overall
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
NO DATA AVAILABLE