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Bahia v Bragantino : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 23rd Nov, 18:00 BST, Arena Fonte Nova, Salvador

Rogério Mücke Ceni's Bahia side enjoy home advantage in the Serie A on Sunday night, as Fernando Seabra's Bragantino arrive at the Arena Fonte Nova. Analysing both clubs' last 20 Serie A matches, as well as trends within the competition and the betting market, to generate our percentage predictions. All the statistics, including head-to-heads, are shown below, alongside odds from leading bookmakers.

Best Tip: Bahia to win

We think there's an outright winner in this match, and it's Bahia. Their latest form statistics show their ability at home, and historical head-to-head (H2H) data proves they know how to beat Bragantino too. The odds point towards Rogério Mücke Ceni's side coming out on top in the win / draw / win market, and that's our strong prediction for Sunday night too.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Bahia 62%	4/6	-
Draw 21%	11/4	-
Bragantino 17%	4/1	-
Bahia 1-0 11%	11/2	-
Bahia 2-0 11%	13/2	-
Draw 1-1 10%	6/1	-
Bahia 2-1 10%	15/2	-
Bahia 3-0 7%	11/1	-
Bahia 3-1 6%	14/1	-
Draw 0-0 6%	17/2	-
Bragantino 1-0 5%	11/1	-
Bragantino 2-1 5%	16/1	-
Draw 2-2 4%	18/1	-
Bahia 4-0 3%	25/1	-
Bahia 4-1 3%	28/1	-
Bahia 3-2 3%	28/1	-
Bragantino 2-0 2%	25/1	-
Bahia 4-2 1%	50/1	-
Over 2.5 Goals 54%	1/1	-
Under 2.5 Goals 46%	4/5	-
Home 1st Goal 57%	8/15	-
Away 1st Goal 40%	7/4	-
No 1st Goal 3%	17/2	-
BTTS - Yes 51%	19/20	-
BTTS - No 49%	4/5	-
BTTS - Home Win 27%	3/1	-
BTTS - Draw 16%	9/2	-
BTTS - Away Win 8%	9/1	-
Home/draw 83%	1/6	-
Away/draw 38%	23/20	-
Home/away 79%	1/4	-
Over 1.5 Goals 77%	1/3	-
Under 1.5 Goals 23%	12/5	-
Over 3.5 Goals 32%	11/4	-
Under 3.5 Goals 68%	2/7	-
Over 4.5 Goals 16%	6/1	-
Under 4.5 Goals 84%	1/10	-
Over 5.5 Goals 7%	14/1	-
Under 5.5 Goals 93%	1/33	-
Over 0.5 Goals 94%	1/16	-
Under 0.5 Goals 6%	17/2	-
Home DNB 77%	1/4	-
Away DNB 32%	11/4	-
Bahia win to nil 35%	13/8	-
Bragantino win to nil 9%	7/1	-
Bahia / Bahia 32%	8/5	-
Bahia / Bragantino 2%	40/1	-
Bahia / Draw 6%	14/1	-
Draw / Bahia 19%	10/3	-
Draw / Bragantino 8%	9/1	-
Draw / Draw 15%	9/2	-
Bragantino / Bahia 4%	22/1	-
Bragantino / Bragantino 10%	15/2	-
Bragantino / Draw 5%	16/1	-

Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

18 / 20

Conceded

11 / 20

Clean sheets

9 / 20

Failed to score

2 / 20

Won

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Bahia	4 - 0	Gremio
Bahia	1 - 0	Flamengo
Bahia	1 - 0	Palmeiras
Bahia	1 - 2	Cruzeiro
Bahia	2 - 0	Santos
Bahia	3 - 3	Fluminense
Bahia	3 - 0	Juventude
Bahia	2 - 1	A Mineiro
Bahia	2 - 1	Sao Paulo
Bahia	2 - 1	Vitoria
Bahia	1 - 0	Botafogo
Bahia	1 - 0	Ceara
Bahia	1 - 1	Mirassol
Bahia	1 - 1	Corinthians
Bahia	2 - 0	Atletico Go
Bahia	1 - 1	Athletico PR
Bahia	1 - 2	Palmeiras
Bahia	0 - 3	Sao Paulo
Bahia	0 - 2	Flamengo
Bahia	1 - 0	Criciuma

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

18 / 20

Conceded

13 / 20

Clean sheets

7 / 20

Failed to score

2 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Bahia	4 - 0	Gremio
A	Bahia	1 - 2	Vitoria
H	Bahia	1 - 0	Flamengo
A	Bahia	1 - 2	Botafogo
H	Bahia	1 - 0	Palmeiras
A	Bahia	1 - 3	Vasco d Gama
A	Bahia	1 - 1	Ceara
H	Bahia	1 - 2	Cruzeiro
A	Bahia	1 - 5	Mirassol
H	Bahia	2 - 0	Santos
A	Bahia	2 - 1	Corinthians
H	Bahia	3 - 3	Fluminense
A	Bahia	0 - 0	S. Recife
H	Bahia	3 - 0	Juventude
A	Bahia	1 - 1	Fortaleza
H	Bahia	2 - 1	A Mineiro
A	Bahia	3 - 0	Bragantino
H	Bahia	2 - 1	Sao Paulo
A	Bahia	0 - 1	Gremio
H	Bahia	2 - 1	Vitoria

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

17 / 20

Clean sheets

3 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Juventude	1 - 0	Bragantino
Palmeiras	5 - 1	Bragantino
Mirassol	1 - 1	Bragantino
Cruzeiro	2 - 1	Bragantino
Botafogo	4 - 1	Bragantino
Ceara	1 - 0	Bragantino
A Mineiro	2 - 1	Bragantino
Fortaleza	3 - 1	Bragantino
Vitoria	1 - 0	Bragantino
Corinthians	1 - 2	Bragantino
Vasco d Gama	0 - 2	Bragantino
Gremio	1 - 1	Bragantino
Santos	1 - 2	Bragantino
S. Recife	0 - 1	Bragantino
Fluminense	2 - 1	Bragantino
Athletico PR	1 - 2	Bragantino
Internacional	4 - 1	Bragantino
Atletico Go	0 - 0	Bragantino
Vitoria	1 - 0	Bragantino
Juventude	1 - 1	Bragantino

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

17 / 20

Clean sheets

3 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Bragantino	0 - 1	Juventude
A	Bragantino	1 - 5	Palmeiras
H	Bragantino	1 - 0	Gremio
A	Bragantino	1 - 1	Mirassol
H	Bragantino	2 - 2	Santos
A	Bragantino	1 - 2	Cruzeiro
H	Bragantino	1 - 1	S. Recife
A	Bragantino	1 - 4	Botafogo
H	Bragantino	4 - 2	Fluminense
A	Bragantino	0 - 1	Ceara
H	Bragantino	1 - 3	Internacional
A	Bragantino	1 - 2	A Mineiro
A	Bragantino	1 - 3	Fortaleza
H	Bragantino	1 - 2	Flamengo
A	Bragantino	0 - 1	Vitoria
H	Bragantino	2 - 2	Sao Paulo
A	Bragantino	2 - 1	Corinthians
H	Bragantino	0 - 3	Bahia
A	Bragantino	2 - 0	Vasco d Gama
H	Bragantino	1 - 0	Juventude

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Bahia

Bragantino

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

4 / 4

2 / 4

Clean sheets

2 / 4

0 / 4

BAH

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Bahia
Bahia	1 - 0
Bahia	4 - 0
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Bahia	2 - 1

Bragantino

Bahia

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

4 / 5

Clean sheets

1 / 5

BAH

RBB

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Bragantino
	0 - 3	Bahia
Bragantino	2 - 1
Bragantino	2 - 1
Draw	3 - 3	Draw
Bragantino	4 - 0

Goal Statistics

Bahia have been reliable in front of goal of late, finding the net in 11 consecutive Serie A games. Their PG of 1.8 against Bragantino on Sunday suggests that run is likely to continue.

	Bahia 6th	Bragantino 10th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.9 goals	0.9 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 14% 1 28% 2 27% 3 17% 4+ 13% There is a 86% probability that Bahia will score 1 or more goals	0 41% 1 37% 2 16% 3 4+ There is a 78% probability of Bragantino scoring 1 goal or less

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-1 Bahia’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	-7 Bragantino’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
	1.5 average goals scored	1.0 average goals scored
	0.9 conceded	1.6 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2025/2025 season

better

BAH

RBB

view stats

Games scored	24		25
Failed to score	4		3
Scored first	17		17
Goals scored	39		34
Avg. goals scored	1.4		1.2
Avg. shots per game	10		9
Avg. shots per goal	7		8
Conversion rate for	15		13
Avg. XG for	1.2		1.2
KickOff rating		+3%

18%

better

BAH

RBB

view stats

Games conceded	18		21
Clean sheets	10		7
Conceded first	10		11
Goals conceded	32		43
Avg. goals conceded	1.1		1.5
Avg. shots/game conceded	9		11
Avg. shots/goal conceded	8		7
Conversion rate against	12%		14%
Avg. XG against	1.4		1.4
KickOff rating		+18%

Bahia v Bragantino Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Bahia Serie A squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
25	6	5	6
S Mingo	W José	W José	Gilberto

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
L Juba DEF	25	5	3	2 -
S Mingo DEF	25			4 -
J Lucas MID	25	3	1	2 2
S Suay MID	24	2	3	4 1
W José FWD	23	6	5	3 -
N Acevedo MID	22		1	3 -
Kayky FWD	22	1	2	2 -
Cauly MID	21	1	3	2 -
Ademir FWD	21	1	2	5 -
D Duarte DEF	20	1		3 -
Gilberto DEF	19	1		6 -
M Araújo FWD	19	4	1	1 -
Ronaldo GLK	18		1	-
C Alexandre MID	16		1	4 -
R Nestor MID	16	4		3 -
E Pulga FWD	16	2	3	1 -
S Arias DEF	14			3 -
T. Souza de Jesus Carvalho FWD	12		1	-
Iago DEF	11	1		1 -
G Xavier DEF	10			3 -
Rezende MID	10			-
Erick MID	8	1		3 -
M Sanabria FWD	8	1		2 1
Kanu DEF	2			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
6	17	5	8
W José	W José	W José	S Suay

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
W José FWD	6	17	5	4
L Juba DEF	5	8	3	5
M Araújo FWD	4	7	1	1
R Nestor MID	4	7		2
J Lucas MID	3	12	1	6
S Suay MID	2	6	3	8
E Pulga FWD	2	7	3	7
Kayky FWD	1	6	2	3
Cauly MID	1	5	3	2
Ademir FWD	1	9	2	7
D Duarte DEF	1	4		1
Gilberto DEF	1	4		1
Iago DEF	1	3
Erick MID	1	1
M Sanabria FWD	1	2
S Mingo DEF		1		2
N Acevedo MID		5	1	2
Ronaldo GLK			1
C Alexandre MID		1	1	1
S Arias DEF		2
T. Souza de Jesus Carvalho FWD		4	1	1
G Xavier DEF				1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1345	42	108
S Mingo	Gilberto	J Lucas

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
S Mingo DEF	1345	24	104
L Juba DEF	1126	40	80
D Duarte DEF	1084	18	82
C Alexandre MID	931	25	64
S Suay MID	925	37	101
Gilberto DEF	871	42	85
J Lucas MID	813	39	108
N Acevedo MID	762	39	83
S Arias DEF	526	14	32
Ronaldo GLK	499		14
G Xavier DEF	449	13	44
Cauly MID	356	5	26
Ademir FWD	349	27	102
W José FWD	330	8	52
Kayky FWD	330	22	55
R Nestor MID	317	16	34
E Pulga FWD	316	26	92
Rezende MID	291	12	33
M Araújo FWD	261	18	57
Iago DEF	191	8	18
Erick MID	143	10	22
M Sanabria FWD	107	4	48
T. Souza de Jesus Carvalho FWD	85	4	37
Kanu DEF	60	1	2

Bragantino Serie A squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
26	7	4	10
P Henrique	J Jhon	J Jhon	Gabriel

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
E Ramires MID	27	2	1	3 -
P Henrique DEF	26	1	1	4 -
J Jhon MID	26	7	4	7 -
Cleiton GLK	25			4 -
Gabriel MID	25	1		10 -
E Sasha FWD	25	5	2	5 1
L Barbosa FWD	25	2	2	7 1
G Rodríguez DEF	23	1		5 -
J Hurtado DEF	22	1		2 1
Fabinho MID	22		1	3 -
V. Mendonça Pereira FWD	21		2	2 -
I Laquintana FWD	19	4	3	1 -
J Capixaba DEF	16	1		2 -
T Borbas FWD	16	1	1	4 -
H Mosquera FWD	16			-
I Pitta FWD	16	6	1	3 -
N Mendes DEF	15		1	3 -
M Fernandes MID	14			2 -
Vanderlan DEF	10		1	1 -
Praxedes MID	10			1 -
Gustavinho MID	10			-
A Sant'Anna DEF	9			3 -
G Lopes DEF	9	1	1	2 -
Fernando FWD	8			-
E Santos DEF	7			-
G Marques DEF	7			-
L Lucão GLK	4			1 -
D. Gomes de Alvarenga FWD	4	1		-
Alix DEF	3			-
S. Palacios DEF	2			2 -

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
7	24	4	12
J Jhon	E Sasha	J Jhon	J Jhon

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
J Jhon MID	7	15	4	12
I Pitta FWD	6	9	1	1
E Sasha FWD	5	24	2	3
I Laquintana FWD	4	10	3	4
E Ramires MID	2	5	1	1
L Barbosa FWD	2	14	2	1
P Henrique DEF	1	4	1	3
Gabriel MID	1	2
G Rodríguez DEF	1	4
J Hurtado DEF	1	2		1
J Capixaba DEF	1	5		3
T Borbas FWD	1	4	1	1
G Lopes DEF	1	1	1	3
D. Gomes de Alvarenga FWD	1	2
Fabinho MID		2	1	1
V. Mendonça Pereira FWD		6	2	2
H Mosquera FWD		8
N Mendes DEF			1	1
Vanderlan DEF		1	1	4
Praxedes MID		2
Gustavinho MID		1
A Sant'Anna DEF		1
Fernando FWD		3
G Marques DEF		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1143	57	141
P Henrique	Gabriel	J Jhon

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
P Henrique DEF	1143	26	112
G Rodríguez DEF	1064	24	79
Gabriel MID	1017	57	94
J Jhon MID	839	18	141
J Capixaba DEF	717	35	104
Cleiton GLK	617		15
E Ramires MID	607	32	81
J Hurtado DEF	605	34	78
Fabinho MID	484	19	51
L Barbosa FWD	421	34	101
N Mendes DEF	394	16	43
E Sasha FWD	392	13	73
Vanderlan DEF	326	15	34
G Lopes DEF	319	15	31
G Marques DEF	285	10	30
V. Mendonça Pereira FWD	262	26	91
M Fernandes MID	242	13	22
I Laquintana FWD	218	14	30
H Mosquera FWD	217	14	62
E Santos DEF	193	7	17
I Pitta FWD	189	1	30
Praxedes MID	161	7	22
A Sant'Anna DEF	157	11	23
Gustavinho MID	134	8	15
T Borbas FWD	126	7	42
L Lucão GLK	109		1
Alix DEF	93	2	8
D. Gomes de Alvarenga FWD	40	3	10
S. Palacios DEF	38	1	2
Fernando FWD	37	4	13