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Bahia v Fluminense : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 10th Aug, 01:00 BST, Arena Fonte Nova, Salvador

Rogério Mücke Ceni welcomes Renato Arapi to the Arena Fonte Nova on Sunday morning, as their Bahia and Fluminense troops go head to head in the Serie A. In this preview you'll find odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers for 17 top betting markets plus predictions, statistics and head-to-head data for the two sides. You can access it all using the tabs below.


Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

We don't think there's a clear favourite to win this match, but what is clear is that the odds suggest it'll have a maximum of 3 goals. Our statistical analysis says the same. Bahia and Fluminense have taken part in plenty of under 3.5 goal games recently, and key performance statistics point towards those records being extended. We have confidence in predicting under 3.5 goals on Sunday evening, and the bookmakers have it priced at 1.18.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Bahia are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 54% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.00.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Bahia
54%
19/201/1
Draw
26%
9/423/10
Fluminense
20%
16/53/1
Bahia 1-0
14%
9/29/2
Draw 1-1
12%
11/25/1
Bahia 2-0
11%
7/17/1
Draw 0-0
9%
6/111/2
Bahia 2-1
9%
8/115/2
Fluminense 1-0
8%
17/215/2
Bahia 3-0
6%
16/112/1
Fluminense 2-1
5%
14/111/1
Bahia 3-1
5%
18/114/1
Draw 2-2
4%
18/114/1
Fluminense 2-0
3%
20/114/1
Bahia 4-0
2%
40/125/1
Bahia 3-2
2%
33/125/1
Bahia 4-1
2%
40/128/1
Fluminense 3-1
1%
40/125/1
Over 2.5 Goals
42%
7/513/10
Under 2.5 Goals
58%
8/154/7
Home 1st Goal
55%
4/67/10
Away 1st Goal
39%
13/813/8
No 1st Goal
6%
6/16/1
BTTS - Yes
44%
11/1011/10
BTTS - No
56%
4/64/6
BTTS - Home Win
20%
4/118/5
BTTS - Draw
16%
4/119/5
BTTS - Away Win
8%
9/115/2
Home/draw
80%
2/91/4
Away/draw
46%
4/54/5
Home/away
74%
1/31/3
Over 1.5 Goals
68%
4/94/9
Under 1.5 Goals
32%
7/413/8
Over 3.5 Goals
21%
7/216/5
Under 3.5 Goals
79%
1/51/5
Over 4.5 Goals
9%
9/115/2
Under 4.5 Goals
91%
1/161/18
Over 5.5 Goals
3%
20/116/1
Under 5.5 Goals
97%
1/661/300
Over 0.5 Goals
91%
1/101/12
Under 0.5 Goals
9%
6/16/1
Home DNB
72%
4/112/5
Away DNB
38%
2/17/4
Bahia win to nil
34%
7/4-
Fluminense win to nil
12%
11/2-
Bahia / Bahia
26%
21/1021/10
Bahia / Fluminense
2%
40/133/1
Bahia / Draw
5%
14/114/1
Draw / Bahia
17%
15/419/5
Draw / Fluminense
10%
15/27/1
Draw / Draw
19%
7/210/3
Fluminense / Bahia
3%
28/125/1
Fluminense / Fluminense
12%
6/111/2
Fluminense / Draw
5%
16/114/1
Match Predictor Pro
Your ultimate betting assistant
Try it now
Win / draw / win form
6
Bahia have won 6 consecutive home league games
10
Bahia have not lost in 10 consecutive home league games
Bahia 4TH
20 league games
Home
6
Overall
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
10
Draw
5
Lost
5
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Bahia3 - 0Juventude
Bahia2 - 1A Mineiro
Bahia2 - 1Sao Paulo
Bahia2 - 1Vitoria
Bahia1 - 0Botafogo
Bahia1 - 0Ceara
Bahia1 - 1Mirassol
Bahia1 - 1Corinthians
Bahia2 - 0Atletico Go
Bahia1 - 1Athletico PR
Bahia1 - 2Palmeiras
Bahia0 - 3Sao Paulo
Bahia0 - 2Flamengo
Bahia1 - 0Criciuma
Bahia3 - 0A Mineiro
Bahia0 - 0Botafogo
Bahia2 - 0Vitoria
Bahia1 - 1Internacional
Bahia0 - 1Corinthians
Bahia1 - 2Cuiaba
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
10
Draw
6
L
4
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ABahia0 - 0S. Recife
HBahia3 - 0Juventude
ABahia1 - 1Fortaleza
HBahia2 - 1A Mineiro
ABahia3 - 0Bragantino
HBahia2 - 1Sao Paulo
ABahia0 - 1Gremio
HBahia2 - 1Vitoria
ABahia0 - 1Flamengo
HBahia1 - 0Botafogo
ABahia1 - 0Palmeiras
HBahia1 - 0Ceara
ABahia0 - 3Cruzeiro
HBahia1 - 1Mirassol
ABahia2 - 2Santos
HBahia1 - 1Corinthians
HBahia2 - 0Atletico Go
ABahia0 - 3Corinthians
ABahia2 - 1Cuiaba
HBahia1 - 1Athletico PR
Fluminense 9TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
19
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
7
D
3
Lost
10
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Sao Paulo3 - 1Fluminense
Flamengo1 - 0Fluminense
Internacional0 - 2Fluminense
Juventude1 - 1Fluminense
A Mineiro3 - 2Fluminense
Botafogo2 - 0Fluminense
Corinthians0 - 2Fluminense
Fortaleza2 - 0Fluminense
Palmeiras0 - 1Fluminense
Athletico PR1 - 1Fluminense
Internacional2 - 0Fluminense
Vitoria2 - 1Fluminense
Flamengo0 - 2Fluminense
Atletico Go1 - 0Fluminense
Juventude2 - 1Fluminense
A Mineiro0 - 2Fluminense
Vasco d Gama2 - 0Fluminense
Bragantino0 - 1Fluminense
Cuiaba0 - 1Fluminense
Criciuma1 - 1Fluminense
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
9
D
4
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HFluminense1 - 0Gremio
AFluminense1 - 3Sao Paulo
HFluminense1 - 2Palmeiras
AFluminense0 - 1Flamengo
HFluminense0 - 2Cruzeiro
AFluminense2 - 0Internacional
HFluminense2 - 1Vasco d Gama
AFluminense1 - 1Juventude
AFluminense2 - 3A Mineiro
HFluminense2 - 1S. Recife
AFluminense0 - 2Botafogo
HFluminense1 - 1Vitoria
AFluminense2 - 0Corinthians
HFluminense1 - 0Santos
HFluminense2 - 1Bragantino
AFluminense0 - 2Fortaleza
AFluminense1 - 0Palmeiras
HFluminense1 - 0Cuiaba
AFluminense1 - 1Athletico PR
HFluminense0 - 0Criciuma
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
3
Bahia have beaten Fluminense in 3 consecutive home league meetings
League games at Bahia since 2018
Bahia
Fluminense
Goals: Scored
10
4
Games: Scored
5 / 6
3 / 6
Clean sheets
3 / 6
1 / 6
BAH
5
FLU
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Bahia
Bahia2 - 1
Bahia1 - 0
Bahia2 - 0
0 - 1Fluminense
Bahia3 - 2
Bahia2 - 0
League games at Fluminense since 2018
Fluminense
Bahia
Goals: Scored
9
2
Games: Scored
6 / 6
2 / 6
Clean sheets
4 / 6
0 / 6
D
1
FLU
5
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Fluminense
Fluminense1 - 0
Fluminense2 - 1
Fluminense2 - 0
Fluminense1 - 0
Fluminense2 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Goal Statistics
Bahia 4th Fluminense 9th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.5
goals
0.8
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
22%
1
33%
2
25%
3
13%
4+
There is a 78% probability that Bahia will score 1 or more goals
0
44%
1
36%
2
15%
3
4+
There is a 80% probability of Fluminense scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-20
Bahia have scored 20% fewer goals at home than predicted
+3
Fluminense’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.3
average goals scored
1.0
average goals scored
0.9
conceded
1.2
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2025/2025 season
Bahia
PG (predicted goals)
Fluminense
1.5
0.8
Attack rating
5%
better
BAH
FLU
view stats
Games scored12
12
Failed to score4
4
Scored first10
8
Goals scored20
18
Avg. goals scored1.3
1.1
Avg. shots per game10
10
Avg. shots per goal8
8
Conversion rate for13
12
Avg. XG for1.4
1.1
KickOff rating
+5%
Defence rating
29%
better
BAH
FLU
view stats
Games conceded10
12
Clean sheets6
4
Conceded first5
8
Goals conceded13
20
Avg. goals conceded0.8
1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded9
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded11
6
Conversion rate against9%
17%
Avg. XG against1.2
0.9
KickOff rating
+29%

Bahia v Fluminense Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Bahia Serie A squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
15334
L JubaL JubaL JubaS Mingo
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
L Juba DEF1633
1
-
S Mingo DEF15
4
-
S Suay MID151
3
1
E Pulga FWD1523
1
-
C Alexandre MID141
4
-
J Lucas MID142
1
1
L Rodriguez FWD141
1
-
Gilberto DEF131
3
-
D Duarte DEF13
1
-
Cauly MID1313
1
-
W José FWD1321
2
-
Ademir FWD131
2
-
M Felipe GLK11
-
N Acevedo MID11
1
-
Kayky FWD1111
1
-
M Araújo FWD93
1
-
Erick MID81
3
-
R Nestor MID71
1
-
Ronaldo  GLK6
-
Iago DEF6
-
S Arias DEF6
1
-
G Xavier DEF4
1
-
T. Souza de Jesus Carvalho FWD31
-
Kanu DEF2
-
Rezende MID1
-
Fluminense Serie A squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
16343
F FábioK SernaJ AriasJ Freytes
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
F Fábio GLK16
1
-
Martinelli MID1611
2
-
Everaldo FWD162
1
-
J Freytes DEF15
3
-
K Serna FWD143
-
S Xavier DEF1321
3
-
H Hércules MID131
1
-
T Silva DEF12
-
Lima MID121
2
-
J Arias FWD1214
1
-
A Canobbio FWD1111
2
-
Renê DEF101
-
Ganso MID10
1
-
Nonato MID10
3
-
Ignacio DEF9
-
G Cano FWD92
1
-
Guga DEF811
1
-
F Cruz MID8
3
-
Keno FWD7
-
G Fuentes DEF5
2
-
T Santos DEF5
-
Y Soteldo FWD4
-
P Baya FWD411
-
R Lezcano MID3
-
J Kennedy FWD3
-
R. Silva de Almeida FWD3
-
Manoel DEF2
-
I. Severino Silva MID1
-
J Lavega FWD1
-