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Bahia v Fluminense : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Thu 5th Feb, 22:00 BST, Arena Fonte Nova, Salvador

It's an away match for Luis Francisco Zubeldía's Fluminense side on Thursday night, as they travel to the Arena Fonte Nova for a Serie A meeting with Rogério Mücke Ceni's Bahia. All of the key statistics for the encounter, including head to heads (H2Hs), predictions and the best odds across 17 of the biggest betting markets are included in this preview. It's all brought together specifically to help you make a smart bet.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

Neither Bahia or Fluminense are in the sort of form that would have us feeling confident enough to tip a match winner, so we've opted for over 1.5 goals. The statistics tell us that both have a track record in this market, both individually and when going head-to-head. Our predictive algorithm suggests there's a 78% chance of 2 goals or more.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Bahia are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 44% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.20.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Bahia 44%	-	6/5
Draw 25%	-	9/4
Fluminense 31%	-	12/5
Draw 1-1 12%	-	5/1
Bahia 2-1 9%	-	7/1
Bahia 1-0 9%	-	11/2
Fluminense 2-1 7%	-	9/1
Fluminense 1-0 7%	-	15/2
Bahia 2-0 7%	-	8/1
Draw 2-2 6%	-	11/1
Draw 0-0 6%	-	7/1
Fluminense 2-0 5%	-	12/1
Bahia 3-1 5%	-	14/1
Bahia 3-0 4%	-	14/1
Fluminense 3-1 3%	-	20/1
Bahia 3-2 3%	-	22/1
Fluminense 3-2 3%	-	25/1
Fluminense 3-0 2%	-	25/1
Over 2.5 Goals 54%	-	21/20
Under 2.5 Goals 46%	-	7/10
Home 1st Goal 51%	-	4/5
Away 1st Goal 46%	-	11/8
No 1st Goal 3%	-	13/2
BTTS - Yes 57%	-	17/20
BTTS - No 43%	-	17/20
BTTS - Home Win 22%	-	7/2
BTTS - Draw 19%	-	10/3
BTTS - Away Win 16%	-	11/2
Home/draw 69%	-	3/10
Away/draw 56%	-	13/20
Home/away 75%	-	1/3
Over 1.5 Goals 78%	-	7/20
Under 1.5 Goals 22%	-	2/1
Over 3.5 Goals 32%	-	13/5
Under 3.5 Goals 68%	-	1/4
Over 4.5 Goals 16%	-	6/1
Under 4.5 Goals 84%	-	1/12
Over 5.5 Goals 7%	-	14/1
Under 5.5 Goals 93%	-	1/66
Over 0.5 Goals 94%	-	1/16
Under 0.5 Goals 6%	-	7/1
Home DNB 61%	-	8/15
Away DNB 49%	-	13/10
Bahia win to nil 22%	-	-
Fluminense win to nil 15%	-	-
Bahia / Bahia 23%	-	12/5
Bahia / Fluminense 3%	-	25/1
Bahia / Draw 6%	-	11/1
Draw / Bahia 15%	-	17/4
Draw / Fluminense 11%	-	6/1
Draw / Draw 17%	-	7/2
Fluminense / Bahia 4%	-	20/1
Fluminense / Fluminense 15%	-	17/4
Fluminense / Draw 6%	-	11/1

Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

20 / 20

Conceded

9 / 20

Clean sheets

11 / 20

Failed to score

0 / 20

Won

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Bahia	2 - 0	S. Recife
Bahia	1 - 0	Vasco d Gama
Bahia	2 - 3	Fortaleza
Bahia	2 - 1	Bragantino
Bahia	1 - 0	Internacional
Bahia	4 - 0	Gremio
Bahia	1 - 0	Flamengo
Bahia	1 - 0	Palmeiras
Bahia	1 - 2	Cruzeiro
Bahia	2 - 0	Santos
Bahia	3 - 3	Fluminense
Bahia	3 - 0	Juventude
Bahia	2 - 1	A Mineiro
Bahia	2 - 1	Sao Paulo
Bahia	2 - 1	Vitoria
Bahia	1 - 0	Botafogo
Bahia	1 - 0	Ceara
Bahia	1 - 1	Mirassol
Bahia	1 - 1	Corinthians
Bahia	2 - 0	Atletico Go

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

17 / 20

Conceded

13 / 20

Clean sheets

7 / 20

Failed to score

3 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Bahia	0 - 2	Fluminense
H	Bahia	2 - 0	S. Recife
A	Bahia	1 - 1	Juventude
H	Bahia	1 - 0	Vasco d Gama
H	Bahia	2 - 3	Fortaleza
A	Bahia	2 - 2	Internacional
A	Bahia	0 - 3	A Mineiro
H	Bahia	2 - 1	Bragantino
A	Bahia	0 - 2	Sao Paulo
H	Bahia	1 - 0	Internacional
H	Bahia	4 - 0	Gremio
A	Bahia	1 - 2	Vitoria
H	Bahia	1 - 0	Flamengo
A	Bahia	1 - 2	Botafogo
H	Bahia	1 - 0	Palmeiras
A	Bahia	1 - 3	Vasco d Gama
A	Bahia	1 - 1	Ceara
H	Bahia	1 - 2	Cruzeiro
A	Bahia	1 - 5	Mirassol
H	Bahia	2 - 0	Santos

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

12 / 20

Conceded

13 / 20

Clean sheets

7 / 20

Failed to score

8 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Gremio	1 - 2	Fluminense
Palmeiras	0 - 0	Fluminense
Cruzeiro	0 - 0	Fluminense
Ceara	2 - 0	Fluminense
Vasco d Gama	2 - 0	Fluminense
Mirassol	2 - 1	Fluminense
S. Recife	2 - 2	Fluminense
Vitoria	0 - 1	Fluminense
Santos	0 - 0	Fluminense
Bragantino	4 - 2	Fluminense
Bahia	3 - 3	Fluminense
Sao Paulo	3 - 1	Fluminense
Flamengo	1 - 0	Fluminense
Internacional	0 - 2	Fluminense
Juventude	1 - 1	Fluminense
A Mineiro	3 - 2	Fluminense
Botafogo	2 - 0	Fluminense
Corinthians	0 - 2	Fluminense
Fortaleza	2 - 0	Fluminense
Palmeiras	0 - 1	Fluminense

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

8 / 20

Clean sheets

12 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Fluminense	2 - 0	Bahia
A	Fluminense	2 - 1	Gremio
H	Fluminense	6 - 0	Sao Paulo
A	Fluminense	0 - 0	Palmeiras
H	Fluminense	2 - 1	Flamengo
A	Fluminense	0 - 0	Cruzeiro
H	Fluminense	1 - 0	Mirassol
A	Fluminense	0 - 2	Ceara
H	Fluminense	1 - 0	Ceara
H	Fluminense	1 - 0	Internacional
A	Fluminense	0 - 2	Vasco d Gama
H	Fluminense	1 - 0	Juventude
A	Fluminense	1 - 2	Mirassol
H	Fluminense	3 - 0	A Mineiro
A	Fluminense	2 - 2	S. Recife
H	Fluminense	2 - 0	Botafogo
A	Fluminense	1 - 0	Vitoria
H	Fluminense	0 - 1	Corinthians
A	Fluminense	0 - 0	Santos
A	Fluminense	2 - 4	Bragantino

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Bahia

Fluminense

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

6 / 7

4 / 7

Clean sheets

3 / 7

1 / 7

BAH

FLU

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Bahia
Draw	3 - 3	Draw
Bahia	2 - 1
Bahia	1 - 0
Bahia	2 - 0
	0 - 1	Fluminense
Bahia	3 - 2
Bahia	2 - 0

Fluminense

Bahia

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

7 / 7

2 / 7

Clean sheets

5 / 7

0 / 7

FLU

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Fluminense
Fluminense	2 - 0
Fluminense	1 - 0
Fluminense	2 - 1
Fluminense	2 - 0
Fluminense	1 - 0
Fluminense	2 - 0
Draw	1 - 1	Draw

Goal Statistics

	Bahia 7th	Fluminense 5th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.6 goals	1.3 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 21% 1 33% 2 26% 3 13% 4+ There is a 79% probability that Bahia will score 1 or more goals	0 28% 1 36% 2 23% 3 10% 4+ There is a 64% probability that Fluminense will score no more than 1 goal

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	+6 Bahia’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	-2 Fluminense’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
	1.8 average goals scored	1.0 average goals scored
	0.7 conceded	1.4 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2026/2026 season

better

BAH

FLU

view stats

Games scored	0		0
Failed to score	0		0
Scored first	0		0
Goals scored	0		0
Avg. goals scored	0		0
Avg. shots per game	0		0
Avg. shots per goal	0		0
Conversion rate for	0		0
Avg. XG for	0		0
KickOff rating		0%

better

BAH

FLU

view stats

Games conceded	0		0
Clean sheets	0		0
Conceded first	0		0
Goals conceded	0		0
Avg. goals conceded	0		0
Avg. shots/game conceded	0		0
Avg. shots/goal conceded	0		0
Conversion rate against	0%		0%
Avg. XG against	0		0
KickOff rating		0%

Bahia v Fluminense Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Bahia Serie A squad statistics 2026

Overall

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards

NO DATA AVAILABLE

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances

NO DATA AVAILABLE

Fluminense Serie A squad statistics 2026

Overall

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards

NO DATA AVAILABLE

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances

NO DATA AVAILABLE

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Bahia v Fluminense : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Bahia v Fluminense Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

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