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Bahia v Sao Paulo : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 31st May, 22:30 BST, Arena Fonte Nova, Salvador

Bahia are in Serie A action on Saturday night, as Rogério Mücke Ceni looks to get one over on Luis Francisco Zubeldía and his Sao Paulo side at the Arena Fonte Nova. Ahead of the game, it's our goal to help you find the perfect bet for you. To this end, stats for the biggest betting market have been laid out below, with head to head (H2H) history and statistically significant form streaks highlighted. Odds are provided too.


Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

Concentration will be required as Bahia and Sao Paulo go head-to-head, with little to choose between the teams in terms of who could claim victory. The stats do not supply any clear conclusion in that regard, but they are pointing strongly towards there being 2 goals or fewer in the fixture. It's a prediction which is available at best priced odds of 1.53 with the bookmakers, so we make under 2.5 goals our tip of the day for this tie.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Bahia are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 45% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.10.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Bahia
45%
11/10
11%
-
Draw
30%
21/10-
Sao Paulo
24%
14/5
19%
-
Bahia 1-0
17%
5/1
8%
-
Draw 0-0
14%
6/1-
Draw 1-1
13%
5/1-
Sao Paulo 1-0
11%
15/2
6%
-
Bahia 2-0
10%
8/1
10%
-
Bahia 2-1
8%
17/2
5%
-
Sao Paulo 2-1
5%
12/1
8%
-
Sao Paulo 2-0
4%
16/1
13%
-
Bahia 3-0
4%
18/1
17%
-
Bahia 3-1
3%
20/1-
Draw 2-2
3%
18/1
12%
-
Sao Paulo 3-1
1%
33/1
17%
-
Bahia 3-2
1%
33/1
17%
-
Bahia 4-0
1%
40/1
20%
-
Sao Paulo 3-0
1%
40/1
21%
-
Over 2.5 Goals
31%
7/5-
Under 2.5 Goals
69%
8/15-
Home 1st Goal
51%
4/6
7%
-
Away 1st Goal
39%
13/8
9%
-
No 1st Goal
10%
6/1-
BTTS - Yes
37%
21/20-
BTTS - No
63%
7/10-
BTTS - Home Win
13%
9/2
8%
-
BTTS - Draw
16%
15/4-
BTTS - Away Win
8%
8/1
20%
-
Home/draw
76%
1/4
8%
-
Away/draw
55%
7/10
8%
-
Home/away
70%
4/11-
Over 1.5 Goals
58%
1/2-
Under 1.5 Goals
42%
13/8-
Over 3.5 Goals
13%
7/2-
Under 3.5 Goals
87%
1/5-
Over 4.5 Goals
5%
10/1-
Under 4.5 Goals
95%
1/20-
Over 5.5 Goals
1%
20/1-
Under 5.5 Goals
99%
1/66
1%
-
Over 0.5 Goals
86%
1/10-
Under 0.5 Goals
14%
6/1-
Home DNB
67%
4/9
11%
-
Away DNB
45%
13/8
19%
-
Bahia win to nil
32%
9/4
7%
-
Sao Paulo win to nil
17%
9/2
10%
-
Bahia / Bahia
24%
12/5
15%
-
Bahia / Sao Paulo
2%
40/1
21%
-
Bahia / Draw
6%
14/1-
Draw / Bahia
17%
4/1
9%
-
Draw / Sao Paulo
11%
13/2
15%
-
Draw / Draw
19%
10/3-
Sao Paulo / Bahia
3%
28/1-
Sao Paulo / Sao Paulo
13%
11/2
18%
-
Sao Paulo / Draw
6%
14/1-
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win form
3
Bahia have won 3 consecutive home league games
7
Bahia have not lost in 7 consecutive home league games
7
Sao Paulo have not won in 7 consecutive away league games
Bahia 7TH
20 league games
Home
3
Overall
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
10
Draw
5
Lost
5
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Bahia2 - 1Vitoria
Bahia1 - 0Botafogo
Bahia1 - 0Ceara
Bahia1 - 1Mirassol
Bahia1 - 1Corinthians
Bahia2 - 0Atletico Go
Bahia1 - 1Athletico PR
Bahia1 - 2Palmeiras
Bahia0 - 3Sao Paulo
Bahia0 - 2Flamengo
Bahia1 - 0Criciuma
Bahia3 - 0A Mineiro
Bahia0 - 0Botafogo
Bahia2 - 0Vitoria
Bahia1 - 1Internacional
Bahia0 - 1Corinthians
Bahia1 - 2Cuiaba
Bahia2 - 0Juventude
Bahia2 - 1Vasco d Gama
Bahia4 - 1Cruzeiro
Goals: Scored
19
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
6
Draw
5
Lost
9
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ABahia0 - 1Gremio
HBahia2 - 1Vitoria
ABahia0 - 1Flamengo
HBahia1 - 0Botafogo
ABahia1 - 0Palmeiras
HBahia1 - 0Ceara
ABahia0 - 3Cruzeiro
HBahia1 - 1Mirassol
ABahia2 - 2Santos
HBahia1 - 1Corinthians
HBahia2 - 0Atletico Go
ABahia0 - 3Corinthians
ABahia2 - 1Cuiaba
HBahia1 - 1Athletico PR
HBahia1 - 2Palmeiras
ABahia1 - 2Juventude
HBahia0 - 3Sao Paulo
ABahia2 - 3Vasco d Gama
ABahia1 - 1Cruzeiro
HBahia0 - 2Flamengo
Sao Paulo 13TH
20 league games
Away
7
Overall
Goals: Scored
18
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
W
3
Draw
8
Lost
9
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Palmeiras1 - 0Sao Paulo
Ceara1 - 1Sao Paulo
Botafogo2 - 2Sao Paulo
A Mineiro0 - 0Sao Paulo
Botafogo2 - 1Sao Paulo
Gremio2 - 1Sao Paulo
Bragantino1 - 1Sao Paulo
Bahia0 - 3Sao Paulo
Criciuma1 - 1Sao Paulo
Cuiaba2 - 0Sao Paulo
Cruzeiro0 - 1Sao Paulo
Fluminense2 - 0Sao Paulo
Palmeiras2 - 1Sao Paulo
Fortaleza1 - 0Sao Paulo
Juventude0 - 0Sao Paulo
A Mineiro2 - 1Sao Paulo
Athletico PR1 - 2Sao Paulo
Vasco d Gama4 - 1Sao Paulo
Corinthians2 - 2Sao Paulo
Internacional0 - 0Sao Paulo
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
5
Draw
9
Lost
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HSao Paulo0 - 2Mirassol
HSao Paulo2 - 1Gremio
ASao Paulo0 - 1Palmeiras
HSao Paulo0 - 0Fortaleza
ASao Paulo1 - 1Ceara
HSao Paulo2 - 1Santos
ASao Paulo2 - 2Botafogo
HSao Paulo1 - 1Cruzeiro
ASao Paulo0 - 0A Mineiro
HSao Paulo0 - 0S. Recife
ASao Paulo1 - 2Botafogo
HSao Paulo1 - 2Juventude
ASao Paulo1 - 2Gremio
HSao Paulo2 - 2A Mineiro
ASao Paulo1 - 1Bragantino
HSao Paulo2 - 1Athletico PR
ASao Paulo3 - 0Bahia
ASao Paulo1 - 1Criciuma
HSao Paulo3 - 0Vasco d Gama
ASao Paulo0 - 2Cuiaba
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
3
Sao Paulo have beaten Bahia in 3 consecutive league meetings
League games at Bahia since 2018
Bahia
Sao Paulo
Goals: Scored
4
9
Games: Scored
3 / 6
4 / 6
Clean sheets
2 / 6
3 / 6
BAH
1
D
2
SAO
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Bahia
0 - 3Sao Paulo
0 - 1Sao Paulo
Bahia1 - 0
1 - 3Sao Paulo
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw2 - 2Draw
League games at Sao Paulo since 2018
Sao Paulo
Bahia
Goals: Scored
6
2
Games: Scored
4 / 6
2 / 6
Clean sheets
4 / 6
2 / 6
D
3
SAO
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Sao Paulo
Sao Paulo3 - 1
Draw0 - 0Draw
Sao Paulo1 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
Sao Paulo1 - 0
Goal Statistics

Sao Paulo's defensive record is very strong, L. Zubeldía's men having conceded 1 or less in 5 consecutive Serie A outings. An underwhelming PG rating of 1.2 for Bahia makes sense in this context.

Bahia 7th Sao Paulo 13th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.2
goals
0.8
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
31%
1
36%
2
21%
3
4+
There is a 67% probability that Bahia will score no more than 1 goal
0
46%
1
36%
2
14%
3
4+
There is a 82% probability of Sao Paulo scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-17
Bahia have scored 17% fewer goals at home than predicted
-11
Sao Paulo have scored 11% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.3
average goals scored
0.9
average goals scored
0.9
conceded
1.3
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2025/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/294558/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Bahia
PG (predicted goals)
Sao Paulo
1.2
0.8
Attack rating
23%
better
BAH
SAO
view stats
Games scored7
5
Failed to score3
5
Scored first6
3
Goals scored9
8
Avg. goals scored0.9
0.8
Avg. shots per game9
8
Avg. shots per goal9
10
Conversion rate for11
10
Avg. XG for1.2
1.2
KickOff rating
+23%
Defence rating
BAH
SAO
3%
better
view stats
Games conceded7
7
Clean sheets3
3
Conceded first4
4
Goals conceded10
9
Avg. goals conceded1
0.9
Avg. shots/game conceded10
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded10
10
Conversion rate against10%
10%
Avg. XG against1.4
1.2
KickOff rating
+3%

Bahia v Sao Paulo Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Bahia Serie A squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
10235
S MingoE PulgaL JubaC Alexandre
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
L Juba DEF1013
-
S Mingo DEF10
2
-
E Pulga FWD1021
1
-
S Suay MID91
3
1
Cauly MID912
1
-
L Rodriguez FWD9
1
-
Gilberto DEF81
2
-
C Alexandre MID81
4
1
J Lucas MID8
1
1
Erick MID81
3
-
W José FWD8
-
M Felipe GLK7
-
D Duarte DEF7
1
-
Ademir FWD7
2
-
N Acevedo MID6
1
-
Iago DEF5
-
R Nestor MID5
-
Kayky FWD51
-
S Arias DEF3
1
-
G Xavier DEF3
1
-
M Araújo MID31
-
T. Souza de Jesus Carvalho FWD31
-
Kanu DEF2
-
F. Lippert Neto Gomes DEF1
-
Rezende MID1
-
R. Barbosa Sousa FWD1
-
Sao Paulo Serie A squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
10323
RafaelA SilvaFerreiraAlisson
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Rafael GLK10
2
-
Alisson MID10
3
-
A Silva FWD1031
3
-
N Ferraresi  DEF9
2
-
C Soares DEF91
1
-
E Díaz DEF91
3
-
Luciano FWD9
1
-
A Franco DEF8
1
-
M. Alves Nascimento MID81
3
-
L. dos Santos Ferreira MID8
1
-
M Antônio MID8
3
-
Ferreira FWD832
2
-
Wendell DEF6
-
D Bobadilla MID6
2
-
R Arboleda DEF51
1
-
R Tressoldi DEF5
1
-
R. Rodrigues dos Santos Silva FWD51
-
Sabino DEF4
1
-
Rodrigo MID4
2
-
I Vinícius  DEF3
1
-
P Maia MID3
2
-
Oscar MID3
1
-
J Calleri FWD3
1
L Moura FWD1
-
L. Marques Alencar FWD1
-