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Corinthians v Bahia : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Wed 28th Jan, 23:00 BST, Estádio Urbano Caldeira, Santos

Rogério Mücke Ceni is aiming for a precious away win in the Serie A on Wednesday night, as he takes his Bahia side to the Estádio Urbano Caldeira to visit Corinthians and Dorival Silvestre Júnior. We want you to make a smart bet on this match, so we've delved into our 20+ year database and dug out the statistics that matter the most. Head to head (H2H) and recent form are included, and it all goes into our algorithmic predictions. Odds from leading bookmakers are there to ensure you get the best price.

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

We think there's minimal chance that this fixture will deliver 4+ goals, and the odds and stats point in the same direction as our predictive algorithm on this one. Corinthians and Bahia have seldom served up thrillers of late, whether that be in Serie A individually or in head-to-head clashes. So, without a strong favourite draw or double chance market, we're recommending under 3.5 goals. That's available at a best price of 1.25.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Corinthians are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 46% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.25.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Corinthians 46%	2.10	2.20
Draw 26%	3.30	3.40
Bahia 28%	3.50	3.25
Draw 1-1 12%	6.00	6.00
Corinthians 1-0 11%	7.00	7.00
Corinthians 2-1 9%	9.00	8.00
Bahia 1-0 8%	10.00	9.00
Corinthians 2-0 8%	10.00	9.50
Draw 0-0 8%	9.00	9.00
Bahia 2-1 7%	13.00	10.00
Draw 2-2 5%	15.00	12.00
Bahia 2-0 5%	17.00	13.00
Corinthians 3-1 5%	19.00	15.00
Corinthians 3-0 4%	19.00	15.00
Bahia 3-1 3%	29.00	21.00
Corinthians 3-2 2%	29.00	21.00
Bahia 3-2 2%	41.00	26.00
Bahia 3-0 2%	41.00	26.00
Over 2.5 Goals 48%	2.10	1.91
Under 2.5 Goals 52%	1.70	1.80
Home 1st Goal 51%	1.80	1.80
Away 1st Goal 44%	2.30	2.25
No 1st Goal 5%	9.00	8.50
BTTS - Yes 52%	1.80	1.75
BTTS - No 48%	1.95	1.95
BTTS - Home Win 20%	4.75	4.20
BTTS - Draw 18%	4.33	4.33
BTTS - Away Win 13%	7.00	5.75
Home/draw 72%	1.29	1.33
Away/draw 54%	1.67	1.65
Home/away 74%	1.33	1.30
Over 1.5 Goals 73%	1.36	1.30
Under 1.5 Goals 27%	3.20	3.30
Over 3.5 Goals 26%	4.00	3.30
Under 3.5 Goals 74%	1.25	1.30
Over 4.5 Goals 12%	8.00	6.00
Under 4.5 Goals 88%	1.08	1.10
Over 5.5 Goals 5%	17.00	12.00
Under 5.5 Goals 95%	1.03	1.02
Over 0.5 Goals 92%	1.07	1.05
Under 0.5 Goals 8%	9.00	9.00
Home DNB 64%	1.50	1.57
Away DNB 46%	2.50	2.25
Corinthians win to nil 26%	3.50	-
Bahia win to nil 15%	6.00	-
Corinthians / Corinthians 23%	3.50	3.40
Corinthians / Bahia 3%	34.00	23.00
Corinthians / Draw 6%	13.00	12.00
Draw / Corinthians 15%	5.50	5.25
Draw / Bahia 11%	7.50	7.00
Draw / Draw 16%	5.00	4.80
Bahia / Corinthians 4%	26.00	19.00
Bahia / Bahia 15%	5.50	5.00
Bahia / Draw 6%	15.00	12.00

Win / draw / win form

Bahia have not won in 10 consecutive away league games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

12 / 20

Clean sheets

8 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Corinthians	1 - 1	Juventude
Corinthians	2 - 2	Botafogo
Corinthians	3 - 1	Sao Paulo
Corinthians	0 - 1	Ceara
Corinthians	2 - 0	Gremio
Corinthians	1 - 0	A Mineiro
Corinthians	3 - 0	Mirassol
Corinthians	1 - 2	Flamengo
Corinthians	1 - 1	Palmeiras
Corinthians	1 - 2	Bahia
Corinthians	1 - 1	Fortaleza
Corinthians	0 - 0	Cruzeiro
Corinthians	1 - 2	Bragantino
Corinthians	0 - 0	Vitoria
Corinthians	1 - 0	Santos
Corinthians	4 - 2	Internacional
Corinthians	2 - 1	S. Recife
Corinthians	0 - 2	Fluminense
Corinthians	3 - 0	Vasco d Gama
Corinthians	3 - 0	Bahia

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

17 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

3 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Corinthians	1 - 1	Juventude
A	Corinthians	1 - 2	Fortaleza
H	Corinthians	2 - 2	Botafogo
A	Corinthians	0 - 3	Cruzeiro
H	Corinthians	3 - 1	Sao Paulo
H	Corinthians	0 - 1	Ceara
A	Corinthians	1 - 2	Bragantino
H	Corinthians	2 - 0	Gremio
A	Corinthians	1 - 0	Vitoria
H	Corinthians	1 - 0	A Mineiro
A	Corinthians	1 - 3	Santos
H	Corinthians	3 - 0	Mirassol
A	Corinthians	1 - 1	Internacional
H	Corinthians	1 - 2	Flamengo
A	Corinthians	0 - 1	S. Recife
A	Corinthians	1 - 0	Fluminense
H	Corinthians	1 - 1	Palmeiras
A	Corinthians	3 - 2	Vasco d Gama
H	Corinthians	1 - 2	Bahia
A	Corinthians	1 - 2	Juventude

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

12 / 20

Conceded

17 / 20

Clean sheets

3 / 20

Failed to score

8 / 20

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Fluminense	2 - 0	Bahia
Juventude	1 - 1	Bahia
Internacional	2 - 2	Bahia
A Mineiro	3 - 0	Bahia
Sao Paulo	2 - 0	Bahia
Vitoria	2 - 1	Bahia
Botafogo	2 - 1	Bahia
Vasco d Gama	3 - 1	Bahia
Ceara	1 - 1	Bahia
Mirassol	5 - 1	Bahia
Corinthians	1 - 2	Bahia
S. Recife	0 - 0	Bahia
Fortaleza	1 - 1	Bahia
Bragantino	0 - 3	Bahia
Gremio	1 - 0	Bahia
Flamengo	1 - 0	Bahia
Palmeiras	0 - 1	Bahia
Cruzeiro	3 - 0	Bahia
Santos	2 - 2	Bahia
Corinthians	3 - 0	Bahia

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

17 / 20

Conceded

13 / 20

Clean sheets

7 / 20

Failed to score

3 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Bahia	0 - 2	Fluminense
H	Bahia	2 - 0	S. Recife
A	Bahia	1 - 1	Juventude
H	Bahia	1 - 0	Vasco d Gama
H	Bahia	2 - 3	Fortaleza
A	Bahia	2 - 2	Internacional
A	Bahia	0 - 3	A Mineiro
H	Bahia	2 - 1	Bragantino
A	Bahia	0 - 2	Sao Paulo
H	Bahia	1 - 0	Internacional
H	Bahia	4 - 0	Gremio
A	Bahia	1 - 2	Vitoria
H	Bahia	1 - 0	Flamengo
A	Bahia	1 - 2	Botafogo
H	Bahia	1 - 0	Palmeiras
A	Bahia	1 - 3	Vasco d Gama
A	Bahia	1 - 1	Ceara
H	Bahia	1 - 2	Cruzeiro
A	Bahia	1 - 5	Mirassol
H	Bahia	2 - 0	Santos

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Corinthians

Bahia

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

7 / 7

6 / 7

Clean sheets

1 / 7

0 / 7

CTH

BAH

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Corinthians
	1 - 2	Bahia
Corinthians	3 - 0
	1 - 5	Bahia
Corinthians	3 - 1
Corinthians	3 - 2
Corinthians	2 - 1
Corinthians	2 - 1

Bahia

Corinthians

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

4 / 7

Clean sheets

3 / 7

CTH

BAH

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Bahia
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
	0 - 1	Corinthians
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Bahia	2 - 1
Bahia	3 - 2
Bahia	1 - 0

Goal Statistics

	Corinthians 13th	Bahia 7th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.5 goals	1.1 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 23% 1 34% 2 25% 3 12% 4+ There is a 77% probability that Corinthians will score 1 or more goals	0 33% 1 37% 2 20% 3 4+ There is a 70% probability that Bahia will score no more than 1 goal

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	+9 Corinthians’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	-16 Bahia have scored 16% fewer goals when away than predicted
	1.5 average goals scored	0.9 average goals scored
	0.9 conceded	1.8 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2026/2026 season

better

CTH

BAH

view stats

Games scored	0		0
Failed to score	0		0
Scored first	0		0
Goals scored	0		0
Avg. goals scored	0		0
Avg. shots per game	0		0
Avg. shots per goal	0		0
Conversion rate for	0		0
Avg. XG for	0		0
KickOff rating		0%

better

CTH

BAH

view stats

Games conceded	0		0
Clean sheets	0		0
Conceded first	0		0
Goals conceded	0		0
Avg. goals conceded	0		0
Avg. shots/game conceded	0		0
Avg. shots/goal conceded	0		0
Conversion rate against	0%		0%
Avg. XG against	0		0
KickOff rating		0%

Corinthians v Bahia Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Corinthians Serie A squad statistics 2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
0	0	0	0

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
H Souza GLK				-
Matheuzinho DEF				-
G Paulista DEF				-
G Henrique DEF				-
M Bidu DEF				-
R Garro MID				-
Raniele MID				-
B Bidon MID				-
M Depay MID				-
A Carrillo MID				-
Y Alberto FWD				-
Subs
F. Longo Fernandes da Silva GLK				-
A Ramalho DEF				-
P Milans DEF				-
Hugo DEF				-
M Pereira MID				-
Charles MID				-
A. Santos Dias MID				-
D. da Cruz Lopes MID				-
Vitinho FWD				-
P Raul FWD				-
K Guimarães FWD				-
G. Silva Inácio FWD				-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
0	0	0	0

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
0	0	0

Players	passes	tackles	duels won

Bahia Serie A squad statistics 2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
0	0	0	0

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
Ronaldo GLK				-
Gilberto DEF				-
D Duarte DEF				-
S Mingo DEF				-
L Juba DEF				-
S Suay MID				-
N Acevedo MID				-
J Lucas MID				-
W José MID				-
Ademir FWD				-
E Pulga FWD				-
Subs
J Paulo GLK				-
G Xavier DEF				-
Kanu DEF				-
Iago DEF				-
R. Gómez DEF				-
R Nestor MID				-
Erick MID				-
M Araújo MID				-
C Alexandre MID				-
C Olivera FWD				-