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Corinthians v Bahia : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Arena Corinthians, São Paulo

the Arena Corinthians is the stage on Sunday morning, as Dorival Silvestre Júnior's Corinthians host Rogério Mücke Ceni's Bahia in the Serie A. The predictions for all the markets are based on the past 20 games for each team (at home, away or overall) with extra weighting given to top teams. All the stats and graphics are designed specifically for the selected market. Head-to-head stats for this fixture are also given if there are are enough previous meetings. Odds are provided straight from from leading bookmakers.

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Corinthians's next match is v Palmeiras at 22:30 on Sunday 31st August
Bahia's next match is v Mirassol at 22:30 on Sunday 31st August

The last Brazillian Serie A meeting between Corinthians and Bahia was on Sunday 17th August 2025

Brazillian Serie A

August 17th 2025

Corinthians 1	2 Bahia

G. Silva Inácio 31'	2' M. Araújo Villar
	43' W. da Silva

	CTH BAH
Shots On	7 5
Shots Off	13 2
Corners	9 1
Possession	66% 34%
Fouls	14 21
Yellow/red cards	2/0 3/0

Corinthians	Bahia

H. de Souza Nogueira M. França Silva A. Ramalho Silva (D. da Cruz Lopes 81') G. Vernes M. Lima Beltrão Oliveira (R. de Lima 87') R. Garro R. Almeida Melo B. de Souza Bidon (T. Bacelar Martins 67') G. Silva Inácio (V. Coelho Santos 67') J. Martínez Torres K. Ferrari Guimarães (L. Lemos Carvalho 87')	(S. Arias Naranjo 51') G. Moraes Junior J. de Souza Oliveira (T. Souza de Jesus Carvalho 71') A. da Silva Santos Junior (C. Oliveira Souza 60') W. da Silva S. Ramos Mingo D. de Duarte Macedo (N. Acevedo Tabárez 60') C. Souza e Silva Luciano M. Araújo Villar (L. Rodríguez Rosales 71') K. da Silva Chagas R. de Oliveira Strada

Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

Under 2.5 goals as a betting market simply means there will only be a maximum of 2 goals scored in total by Corinthians and Bahia during the standard 90 mins. It's a bet the statistics below and the odds are both leaning towards here, and an outcome that we've seen before when these sides go head-to-head. In the absence of an obvious winner, our best bet prediction for this one is under 2.5.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Corinthians are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 42% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.38.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Corinthians 42%	13/8	13/8
Draw 29%	21/10	2/1
Bahia 29%	19/10	15/8
Corinthians 1-0 14%	5/1	5/1
Draw 1-1 13%	5/1	19/4
Draw 0-0 12%	11/2	5/1
Bahia 1-0 11%	13/2	11/2
Corinthians 2-0 8%	9/1	9/1
Corinthians 2-1 8%	9/1	17/2
Bahia 2-1 6%	11/1	9/1
Bahia 2-0 5%	14/1	10/1
Draw 2-2 4%	18/1	14/1
Corinthians 3-0 3%	22/1	20/1
Corinthians 3-1 3%	22/1	18/1
Bahia 3-1 2%	20/1	20/1
Bahia 3-0 2%	33/1	22/1
Corinthians 3-2 1%	40/1	28/1
Bahia 3-2 1%	40/1	28/1
Over 2.5 Goals 36%	17/10	6/4
Under 2.5 Goals 64%	4/9	10/21
Home 1st Goal 49%	21/20	21/20
Away 1st Goal 43%	11/10	23/20
No 1st Goal 8%	11/2	5/1
BTTS - Yes 42%	6/5	11/10
BTTS - No 58%	8/13	13/20
BTTS - Home Win 14%	6/1	5/1
BTTS - Draw 17%	15/4	7/2
BTTS - Away Win 10%	13/2	11/2
Home/draw 71%	2/5	2/5
Away/draw 59%	4/9	10/21
Home/away 71%	4/11	4/11
Over 1.5 Goals 63%	8/15	1/2
Under 1.5 Goals 37%	6/4	29/20
Over 3.5 Goals 17%	9/2	19/5
Under 3.5 Goals 83%	1/7	2/13
Over 4.5 Goals 6%	12/1	9/1
Under 4.5 Goals 94%	1/25	1/25
Over 5.5 Goals 2%	25/1	20/1
Under 5.5 Goals 98%	1/100	1/1000
Over 0.5 Goals 88%	1/9	1/9
Under 0.5 Goals 12%	11/2	5/1
Home DNB 62%	4/5	4/5
Away DNB 50%	10/11	10/11
Corinthians win to nil 27%	11/4	-
Bahia win to nil 19%	3/1	-
Corinthians / Corinthians 19%	10/3	16/5
Corinthians / Bahia 3%	33/1	25/1
Corinthians / Draw 6%	14/1	12/1
Draw / Corinthians 14%	9/2	19/4
Draw / Bahia 13%	5/1	5/1
Draw / Draw 20%	3/1	29/10
Bahia / Corinthians 3%	33/1	25/1
Bahia / Bahia 17%	15/4	7/2
Bahia / Draw 6%	14/1	12/1

Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

17 / 20

Conceded

13 / 20

Clean sheets

7 / 20

Failed to score

3 / 20

Won

Draw

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Corinthians	1 - 1	Fortaleza
Corinthians	0 - 0	Cruzeiro
Corinthians	1 - 2	Bragantino
Corinthians	0 - 0	Vitoria
Corinthians	1 - 0	Santos
Corinthians	4 - 2	Internacional
Corinthians	2 - 1	S. Recife
Corinthians	0 - 2	Fluminense
Corinthians	3 - 0	Vasco d Gama
Corinthians	3 - 0	Bahia
Corinthians	3 - 1	Vasco d Gama
Corinthians	2 - 1	Cruzeiro
Corinthians	2 - 0	Palmeiras
Corinthians	5 - 2	Athletico PR
Corinthians	2 - 2	Internacional
Corinthians	3 - 0	Atletico Go
Corinthians	2 - 1	Flamengo
Corinthians	1 - 1	Bragantino
Corinthians	1 - 1	Juventude
Corinthians	2 - 2	Gremio

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

13 / 20

Conceded

13 / 20

Clean sheets

7 / 20

Failed to score

7 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Corinthians	1 - 2	Juventude
H	Corinthians	1 - 1	Fortaleza
A	Corinthians	1 - 1	Botafogo
H	Corinthians	0 - 0	Cruzeiro
A	Corinthians	0 - 2	Sao Paulo
A	Corinthians	1 - 0	Ceara
H	Corinthians	1 - 2	Bragantino
A	Corinthians	1 - 1	Gremio
H	Corinthians	0 - 0	Vitoria
A	Corinthians	0 - 0	A Mineiro
H	Corinthians	1 - 0	Santos
A	Corinthians	1 - 2	Mirassol
H	Corinthians	4 - 2	Internacional
A	Corinthians	0 - 4	Flamengo
H	Corinthians	2 - 1	S. Recife
H	Corinthians	0 - 2	Fluminense
A	Corinthians	0 - 2	Palmeiras
H	Corinthians	3 - 0	Vasco d Gama
A	Corinthians	1 - 1	Bahia
A	Corinthians	3 - 0	Gremio

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

13 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

7 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
S. Recife	0 - 0	Bahia
Fortaleza	1 - 1	Bahia
Bragantino	0 - 3	Bahia
Gremio	1 - 0	Bahia
Flamengo	1 - 0	Bahia
Palmeiras	0 - 1	Bahia
Cruzeiro	3 - 0	Bahia
Santos	2 - 2	Bahia
Corinthians	3 - 0	Bahia
Cuiaba	1 - 2	Bahia
Juventude	2 - 1	Bahia
Vasco d Gama	3 - 2	Bahia
Cruzeiro	1 - 1	Bahia
Fortaleza	4 - 1	Bahia
Bragantino	2 - 1	Bahia
Gremio	0 - 2	Bahia
Fluminense	1 - 0	Bahia
Atletico Go	1 - 1	Bahia
Athletico PR	1 - 3	Bahia
Palmeiras	2 - 0	Bahia

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

13 / 20

Clean sheets

7 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Draw

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Bahia	3 - 3	Fluminense
A	Bahia	0 - 0	S. Recife
H	Bahia	3 - 0	Juventude
A	Bahia	1 - 1	Fortaleza
H	Bahia	2 - 1	A Mineiro
A	Bahia	3 - 0	Bragantino
H	Bahia	2 - 1	Sao Paulo
A	Bahia	0 - 1	Gremio
H	Bahia	2 - 1	Vitoria
A	Bahia	0 - 1	Flamengo
H	Bahia	1 - 0	Botafogo
A	Bahia	1 - 0	Palmeiras
H	Bahia	1 - 0	Ceara
A	Bahia	0 - 3	Cruzeiro
H	Bahia	1 - 1	Mirassol
A	Bahia	2 - 2	Santos
H	Bahia	1 - 1	Corinthians
H	Bahia	2 - 0	Atletico Go
A	Bahia	0 - 3	Corinthians
A	Bahia	2 - 1	Cuiaba

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Corinthians

Bahia

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

6 / 6

5 / 6

Clean sheets

1 / 6

0 / 6

CTH

BAH

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Corinthians
Corinthians	3 - 0
	1 - 5	Bahia
Corinthians	3 - 1
Corinthians	3 - 2
Corinthians	2 - 1
Corinthians	2 - 1

Bahia

Corinthians

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

4 / 7

Clean sheets

3 / 7

CTH

BAH

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Bahia
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
	0 - 1	Corinthians
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Bahia	2 - 1
Bahia	3 - 2
Bahia	1 - 0

Goal Statistics

Goals have been an issue for Corinthians of late. It has been 12 Serie A games since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.2 suggests they'll have problems ending that run on Sunday morning against Bahia.

	Corinthians 11th	Bahia 4th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.2 goals	0.9 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 31% 1 36% 2 21% 3 8% 4+ There is a 67% probability that Corinthians will score no more than 1 goal	0 39% 1 37% 2 17% 3 4+ There is a 76% probability of Bahia scoring 1 goal or less

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	+22 Corinthians have scored 22% more goals at home than predicted	-4 Bahia’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
	1.9 average goals scored	1.1 average goals scored
	1.0 conceded	1.5 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2025/2025 season

CTH

BAH

22%

better

view stats

Games scored	11		12
Failed to score	7		4
Scored first	5		10
Goals scored	17		20
Avg. goals scored	0.9		1.2
Avg. shots per game	8		9
Avg. shots per goal	9		8
Conversion rate for	11		13
Avg. XG for	1.2		1.4
KickOff rating		+22%

CTH

BAH

25%

better

view stats

Games conceded	12		10
Clean sheets	6		6
Conceded first	10		5
Goals conceded	21		13
Avg. goals conceded	1.1		0.8
Avg. shots/game conceded	8		8
Avg. shots/goal conceded	7		11
Conversion rate against	13%		9%
Avg. XG against	1.2		1.2
KickOff rating		+25%

Corinthians v Bahia Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Corinthians Serie A squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
17	2	2	7
B Bidon	G. Silva Inácio	M Bidu	J Martínez

Line-up	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
H Souza GLK	16			1 -
Matheuzinho DEF	17	1	1	6 -
A Ramalho DEF	15			4 -
G Henrique DEF	8	1		-
M Bidu DEF	13		2	3 -
B Bidon MID	19	1	1	5 -
Raniele MID	17		1	4 -
J Martínez MID	14		1	7 -
R Garro MID	10		1	3 -
K Guimarães FWD	4			-
G. Silva Inácio FWD	7	2		2 -
Subs
F. Longo Fernandes da Silva GLK				-
K. de Souza Camargo GLK				-
F Torres DEF	9			1 -
J Rodrigues DEF	4		1	3 -
Charles MID	10			2 -
R Lima MID	9			1 -
L. Lemos Carvalho MID	2			-
D. da Cruz Lopes MID	5			-
Maycon MID	12	1		-
Vitinho FWD	2			-
T Magno FWD	17	1	1	1 -

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
2	6	2	5
G. Silva Inácio	T Magno	M Bidu	R Garro

Line-up	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
G. Silva Inácio FWD	2	2
Matheuzinho DEF	1	2	1	2
G Henrique DEF	1	5
B Bidon MID	1	3	1	3
Subs
Maycon MID	1	1		1
T Magno FWD	1	6	1	1
M Bidu DEF		3	2	4
Raniele MID		4	1	2
J Martínez MID		2	1	2
R Garro MID		4	1	5
K Guimarães FWD				1
Subs
F Torres DEF				1
J Rodrigues DEF			1
Charles MID		1
Vitinho FWD		1		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1096	35	88
A Ramalho	Matheuzinho	B Bidon

Line-up	passes	tackles	duels won
A Ramalho DEF	1096	20	56
Matheuzinho DEF	857	35	63
B Bidon MID	793	25	88
M Bidu DEF	561	21	76
G Henrique DEF	509	11	43
Raniele MID	497	29	83
J Martínez MID	430	18	50
R Garro MID	404	7	50
Subs
F Torres DEF	396	11	20
H Souza GLK	375		2
Subs
Maycon MID	350	12	22
T Magno FWD	245	17	68
J Rodrigues DEF	157	3	6
Charles MID	155	12	18
R Lima MID	121	14	26
G. Silva Inácio FWD	50	4	19
Subs
D. da Cruz Lopes MID	48	2	7
K Guimarães FWD	33		7
Subs
L. Lemos Carvalho MID	17	3	4
Vitinho FWD	16	2	5

Bahia Serie A squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
18	5	3	4
S Mingo	L Juba	L Juba	S Mingo

Line-up	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
Ronaldo GLK	9			-
Gilberto DEF	15	1		3 -
D Duarte DEF	16			2 -
S Mingo DEF	18			4 -
L Juba DEF	19	5	3	2 -
C Alexandre MID	16		1	4 -
J Lucas MID	17	2		2 1
M Araújo MID	11	4		1 -
Ademir FWD	16		1	2 -
W José FWD	16	3	3	2 -
Kayky FWD	14	1	1	1 -
Subs
D Fernandes GLK				-
G Xavier DEF	4			1 -
S Arias DEF	8			2 -
Iago DEF	6			-
Rezende MID	2			-
Cauly MID	16	1	3	1 -
N Acevedo MID	14			2 -
J. Broad Moreira Guimaraes MID				-
E Pulga FWD	15	2	3	1 -
L Rodriguez FWD	17	2		1 -
T. Souza de Lima FWD	3			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
5	10	3	7
L Juba	W José	L Juba	E Pulga

Line-up	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
L Juba DEF	5	8	3	5
M Araújo MID	4	4		1
W José FWD	3	10	3	3
J Lucas MID	2	6		4
Subs
E Pulga FWD	2	7	3	7
L Rodriguez FWD	2	9		1
Gilberto DEF	1	2		1
Kayky FWD	1	4	1	1
Subs
Cauly MID	1	3	3	2
D Duarte DEF		2
S Mingo DEF				2
C Alexandre MID		1	1	1
Ademir FWD		6	1	6
Subs
S Arias DEF		2
Iago DEF		1
N Acevedo MID		2		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1009	33	92
S Mingo	L Juba	E Pulga

Line-up	passes	tackles	duels won
S Mingo DEF	1009	18	75
C Alexandre MID	931	25	64
L Juba DEF	873	33	64
D Duarte DEF	859	11	64
Gilberto DEF	681	32	66
J Lucas MID	518	30	83
Subs
N Acevedo MID	354	18	35
E Pulga FWD	316	26	92
Cauly MID	296	3	19
Ademir FWD	285	25	82
Ronaldo GLK	256		7
Subs
S Arias DEF	233	8	15
W José FWD	212	3	29
Kayky FWD	174	10	30
Subs
L Rodriguez FWD	126	9	29
G Xavier DEF	126	2	8
M Araújo MID	118	10	25
Subs
Iago DEF	90	6	10
Rezende MID	46	2	7
T. Souza de Lima FWD	17		6