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Cruzeiro v Palmeiras : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 1st Jun, 23:30 BST, Estádio Governador Magalhães Pin, Belo Horizonte

Abel Fernando Moreira Ferreira is aiming for a crucial away win in the Serie A on Sunday night, as he takes his Palmeiras side to the Estádio Governador Magalhães Pin to visit Cruzeiro and Sergiy Lavrinenko. Our predictions for each betting market are based on the past 20 games for each team (at home, away or overall) with additional weight applied to top teams. All the stats and graphics are designed specifically for the selected market. Head-to-head statistics for this fixture are also given if there is some fixture history. Odds are provided directly from from the UK's biggest bookmakers.

Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

We're expecting a relatively tight affair here and, as such, we predict under 2.5 goals. For those unfamiliar with that term, this simply means that 2 goals or less will be scored in total as Cruzeiro and Palmeiras go head-to-head. Clear game plans will be required to deliver us a winner, but we have faith in both sides to deliver precisely that. The statistics and the odds below point in this direction too.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Cruzeiro are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 36% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 3.10.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Cruzeiro 36%	21/10 5%	-
Draw 29%	21/10 5%	-
Palmeiras 35%	7/5 9%	-
Draw 1-1 13%	5/1 8%	-
Cruzeiro 1-0 13%	13/2 12%	-
Palmeiras 1-0 12%	11/2	-
Draw 0-0 12%	6/1 13%	-
Cruzeiro 2-1 7%	11/1	-
Palmeiras 2-1 7%	9/1 5%	-
Cruzeiro 2-0 7%	12/1 13%	-
Palmeiras 2-0 7%	9/1 5%	-
Draw 2-2 4%	18/1 12%	-
Cruzeiro 3-1 3%	28/1	-
Palmeiras 3-1 3%	22/1 10%	-
Cruzeiro 3-0 2%	33/1 17%	-
Palmeiras 3-0 2%	22/1 10%	-
Cruzeiro 3-2 1%	40/1	-
Palmeiras 3-2 1%	40/1 21%	-
Over 2.5 Goals 37%	6/4 11%	-
Under 2.5 Goals 63%	1/2 7%	-
Home 1st Goal 46%	11/8 5%	-
Away 1st Goal 46%	5/6 6%	-
No 1st Goal 8%	6/1 13%	-
BTTS - Yes 44%	11/10 8%	-
BTTS - No 56%	4/6 7%	-
BTTS - Home Win 13%	13/2	-
BTTS - Draw 18%	15/4	-
BTTS - Away Win 13%	5/1 20%	-
Home/draw 65%	8/15 8%	-
Away/draw 64%	4/11 2%	-
Home/away 71%	4/11 2%	-
Over 1.5 Goals 64%	1/2 7%	-
Under 1.5 Goals 36%	13/8 13%	-
Over 3.5 Goals 17%	4/1 15%	-
Under 3.5 Goals 83%	1/6 4%	-
Over 4.5 Goals 7%	10/1 22%	-
Under 4.5 Goals 93%	1/20 2%	-
Over 5.5 Goals 2%	22/1 21%	-
Under 5.5 Goals 98%	1/80 1%	-
Over 0.5 Goals 88%	1/10 2%	-
Under 0.5 Goals 12%	6/1 13%	-
Home DNB 56%	11/10 7%	-
Away DNB 56%	4/6 6%	-
Cruzeiro win to nil 23%	7/2 18%	-
Palmeiras win to nil 22%	5/2	-
Cruzeiro / Cruzeiro 17%	4/1 9%	-
Cruzeiro / Palmeiras 2%	33/1 17%	-
Cruzeiro / Draw 6%	14/1	-
Draw / Cruzeiro 13%	11/2 7%	-
Draw / Palmeiras 15%	9/2 10%	-
Draw / Draw 19%	10/3 9%	-
Palmeiras / Cruzeiro 2%	33/1	-
Palmeiras / Palmeiras 21%	3/1 11%	-
Palmeiras / Draw 6%	14/1	-

Win / draw / win form

Palmeiras have won 8 consecutive away league games

Cruzeiro have not lost in 5 consecutive home league games

Palmeiras have not lost in 8 consecutive away league games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

12 / 20

Clean sheets

8 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Draw

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Cruzeiro	0 - 0	A Mineiro
Cruzeiro	2 - 1	Flamengo
Cruzeiro	1 - 0	Vasco d Gama
Cruzeiro	3 - 0	Bahia
Cruzeiro	2 - 1	Mirassol
Cruzeiro	1 - 2	Palmeiras
Cruzeiro	1 - 1	Gremio
Cruzeiro	2 - 1	Criciuma
Cruzeiro	0 - 1	Flamengo
Cruzeiro	1 - 1	Bahia
Cruzeiro	1 - 1	Vasco d Gama
Cruzeiro	0 - 1	Sao Paulo
Cruzeiro	3 - 1	Atletico Go
Cruzeiro	0 - 0	Internacional
Cruzeiro	0 - 0	A Mineiro
Cruzeiro	1 - 2	Fortaleza
Cruzeiro	2 - 0	Juventude
Cruzeiro	2 - 1	Bragantino
Cruzeiro	3 - 0	Corinthians
Cruzeiro	2 - 0	Athletico PR

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Cruzeiro	2 - 0	Fortaleza
H	Cruzeiro	0 - 0	A Mineiro
A	Cruzeiro	4 - 0	S. Recife
H	Cruzeiro	2 - 1	Flamengo
H	Cruzeiro	1 - 0	Vasco d Gama
A	Cruzeiro	0 - 1	Bragantino
H	Cruzeiro	3 - 0	Bahia
A	Cruzeiro	1 - 1	Sao Paulo
A	Cruzeiro	0 - 3	Internacional
H	Cruzeiro	2 - 1	Mirassol
A	Cruzeiro	1 - 0	Juventude
H	Cruzeiro	1 - 2	Palmeiras
A	Cruzeiro	1 - 1	Bragantino
H	Cruzeiro	1 - 1	Gremio
A	Cruzeiro	1 - 2	Corinthians
H	Cruzeiro	2 - 1	Criciuma
H	Cruzeiro	0 - 1	Flamengo
A	Cruzeiro	0 - 3	Athletico PR
H	Cruzeiro	1 - 1	Bahia
A	Cruzeiro	0 - 1	Fluminense

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

13 / 20

Clean sheets

7 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Bragantino	1 - 2	Palmeiras
Vasco d Gama	0 - 1	Palmeiras
Fortaleza	1 - 2	Palmeiras
Internacional	0 - 1	Palmeiras
S. Recife	1 - 2	Palmeiras
Cruzeiro	1 - 2	Palmeiras
Atletico Go	0 - 1	Palmeiras
Bahia	1 - 2	Palmeiras
Corinthians	2 - 0	Palmeiras
Juventude	3 - 5	Palmeiras
Bragantino	0 - 0	Palmeiras
Vasco d Gama	0 - 1	Palmeiras
Athletico PR	0 - 2	Palmeiras
Flamengo	1 - 1	Palmeiras
Internacional	1 - 1	Palmeiras
Fluminense	1 - 0	Palmeiras
Botafogo	1 - 0	Palmeiras
Gremio	2 - 2	Palmeiras
Fortaleza	3 - 0	Palmeiras
A Mineiro	0 - 4	Palmeiras

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

12 / 20

Clean sheets

8 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Palmeiras	0 - 2	Flamengo
A	Palmeiras	2 - 1	Bragantino
H	Palmeiras	1 - 0	Sao Paulo
A	Palmeiras	1 - 0	Vasco d Gama
H	Palmeiras	0 - 1	Bahia
A	Palmeiras	2 - 1	Fortaleza
A	Palmeiras	1 - 0	Internacional
H	Palmeiras	2 - 0	Corinthians
A	Palmeiras	2 - 1	S. Recife
H	Palmeiras	0 - 0	Botafogo
H	Palmeiras	0 - 1	Fluminense
A	Palmeiras	2 - 1	Cruzeiro
H	Palmeiras	1 - 3	Botafogo
A	Palmeiras	1 - 0	Atletico Go
A	Palmeiras	2 - 1	Bahia
H	Palmeiras	1 - 0	Gremio
A	Palmeiras	0 - 2	Corinthians
H	Palmeiras	2 - 2	Fortaleza
A	Palmeiras	5 - 3	Juventude
A	Palmeiras	0 - 0	Bragantino

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Palmeiras have not lost to Cruzeiro in 7 consecutive league meetings

Cruzeiro

Palmeiras

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

3 / 4

Clean sheets

1 / 4

CRU

PAL

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Cruzeiro
	1 - 2	Palmeiras
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
	0 - 2	Palmeiras
Cruzeiro	1 - 0

Palmeiras

Cruzeiro

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

4 / 4

1 / 4

Clean sheets

3 / 4

0 / 4

PAL

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Palmeiras
Palmeiras		2 - 0
Palmeiras		1 - 0
Palmeiras		1 - 0
Palmeiras		3 - 1

Goal Statistics

Palmeiras's defensive record is very strong, Abel Fernando Moreira Ferreira's men having conceded 1 or less in 11 consecutive Serie A outings. An average PG rating of 1.1 for Cruzeiro makes sense in this context.

	Cruzeiro 3rd	Palmeiras 1st
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.1 goals	1.1 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 34% 1 37% 2 20% 3 4+ There is a 71% probability that Cruzeiro will score no more than 1 goal	0 34% 1 37% 2 20% 3 4+ There is a 71% probability that Palmeiras will score no more than 1 goal

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-11 Cruzeiro have scored 11% fewer goals at home than predicted	+12 Palmeiras have scored 12% more goals when away than predicted
	1.4 average goals scored	1.5 average goals scored
	0.7 conceded	1.0 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2025/2025 season

11%

better

CRU

PAL

view stats

Games scored	7		7
Failed to score	3		3
Scored first	6		6
Goals scored	15		11
Avg. goals scored	1.5		1.1
Avg. shots per game	10		10
Avg. shots per goal	7		9
Conversion rate for	15		11
Avg. XG for	1.3		1.4
KickOff rating		+11%

CRU

PAL

better

view stats

Games conceded	5		5
Clean sheets	5		5
Conceded first	3		3
Goals conceded	7		6
Avg. goals conceded	0.7		0.6
Avg. shots/game conceded	10		7
Avg. shots/goal conceded	14		12
Conversion rate against	7%		9%
Avg. XG against	1.1		0.8
KickOff rating		+1%

Cruzeiro v Palmeiras Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Cruzeiro Serie A squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
10	6	2	3
C Cássio	K Jorge	L Silva	F Bruno

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
C Cássio GLK	10			2 -
Kaiki DEF	10		1	1 -
F Bruno DEF	9			3 -
L Silva MID	9	1	2	1 -
L Romero MID	9	1	1	3 -
K Jorge FWD	9	6	2	2 -
L Villalba DEF	8			3 -
Christian MID	8	1	1	2 -
M Pereira MID	8	2	1	3 -
C Eduardo MID	8			-
G Barbosa FWD	8	2	2	-
William DEF	6		2	1 -
Fagner DEF	6			1 -
Walace MID	5			1 -
Marquinhos FWD	5			-
Y Bolasie FWD	5			-
Dudu FWD	5	1		-
J Alves DEF	4			1
L Díaz FWD	4			-
M Gamarra DEF	2			-
M Henrique MID	2			1 -
Marlon DEF	1			-
Rodriguinho MID	1			-
J. da Silva Marques MID	1			-
M. Rhikman Alves Pimentel MID	1			-
K. Takamura Correa FWD	1			-
J Dinenno FWD	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
6	14	2	3
K Jorge	K Jorge	L Silva	K Jorge

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
K Jorge FWD	6	14	2	3
M Pereira MID	2	9	1	1
G Barbosa FWD	2	6	2	1
Dudu FWD	1	1
L Silva MID	1	2	2	1
L Romero MID	1	1	1
Christian MID	1	3	1	2
L Díaz FWD		1
Kaiki DEF		1	1	1
Fagner DEF				1
William DEF		1	2	2
C Eduardo MID		1
L Villalba DEF		1
F Bruno DEF		1		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
391	30	65
F Bruno	Kaiki	Kaiki

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
F Bruno DEF	391	15	37
L Romero MID	384	25	52
L Villalba DEF	351	8	30
L Silva MID	344	19	36
M Pereira MID	295	12	49
Kaiki DEF	276	30	65
C Cássio GLK	184		1
William DEF	178	17	27
Fagner DEF	175	13	26
Christian MID	168	12	29
K Jorge FWD	139	5	46
M Gamarra DEF	83	6	10
J Alves DEF	81	4	5
M Henrique MID	81	5	11
C Eduardo MID	80	1	6
G Barbosa FWD	71	2	8
Walace MID	55	3	3
Dudu FWD	51	2	11
Marquinhos FWD	29	3	4
L Díaz FWD	16		2
Y Bolasie FWD	10	2	5
Rodriguinho MID	5		1
Marlon DEF	4
M. Rhikman Alves Pimentel MID	4		1
K. Takamura Correa FWD	4		2
J Dinenno FWD			1

Palmeiras Serie A squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
10	2	3	3
Weverton	J Piquerez	E. Almeida de Oliveira Gonçalves	G Portillo

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
Weverton GLK	10			1 -
A Giay DEF	10			-
J Piquerez DEF	10	2		2 -
E. Almeida de Oliveira Gonçalves FWD	10		3	2 -
E Martínez MID	9	1		1 -
F Torres FWD	9	2	1	1 -
J López FWD	9	2		2 -
G Portillo DEF	8			3 -
R Ríos MID	8		2	3 -
F Anderson FWD	8			-
B Fuchs DEF	7			2 -
A Moreno MID	7			-
M Maurício MID	6	1		-
Paulinho FWD	6			-
Micael DEF	5			1 -
A. Andrade Elias MID	5			-
Murilo DEF	4	1		3 -
R Veiga MID	4			-
Mayke DEF	2			1 -
L. Sousa Santos FWD	2			-
Vanderlan DEF	1			-
K Naves DEF	1			-
L. Roncholeta Benedetti DEF	1			-
T. Gomes de Araújo MID	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
2	5	3	3
J Piquerez	F Torres	E. Almeida de Oliveira Gonçalves	F Torres

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
J Piquerez DEF	2	4		1
F Torres FWD	2	5	1	3
J López FWD	2	5
M Maurício MID	1	2
E Martínez MID	1	2		1
Murilo DEF	1	2
R Veiga MID		2
Paulinho FWD		1		1
A Giay DEF				1
A Moreno MID		1		2
B Fuchs DEF				1
F Anderson FWD		2
R Ríos MID		1	2	2
G Portillo DEF		1
E. Almeida de Oliveira Gonçalves FWD		2	3	1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
420	27	57
A Giay	A Giay	A Giay

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
A Giay DEF	420	27	57
J Piquerez DEF	393	13	29
G Portillo DEF	273	11	38
Weverton GLK	259		6
R Ríos MID	242	11	39
E Martínez MID	219	22	34
F Torres FWD	207	5	17
Micael DEF	197	10	25
E. Almeida de Oliveira Gonçalves FWD	192	4	42
Murilo DEF	184	9	17
F Anderson FWD	183	11	27
B Fuchs DEF	151	5	19
A Moreno MID	145	12	17
J López FWD	87	8	49
Paulinho FWD	82	1	13
M Maurício MID	67		6
Mayke DEF	62	3	8
A. Andrade Elias MID	57	11	27
L. Roncholeta Benedetti DEF	51	1	5
R Veiga MID	47	4	12
L. Sousa Santos FWD	16		2
Vanderlan DEF	13		2
K Naves DEF	6	1	1
T. Gomes de Araújo MID	3		1

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Cruzeiro v Palmeiras : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Cruzeiro v Palmeiras Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

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