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Fluminense v Atlético Mineiro : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 4th Oct, 22:30 BST, Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho, Rio de Janeiro

Fluminense are in Serie A action on Saturday night, as Luis Francisco Zubeldía looks to get one over on Jorge Sampaoli and his Atlético Mineiro side at the Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho. Ahead of the game, it's our goal to help you find the perfect bet for you. To this end, stats for the biggest betting market have been published below, with head-to-head records and statistically significant form streaks highlighted. Odds are included as well.


Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals
In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Fluminense are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 46% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.00.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Fluminense
46%
2.052.00
Draw
30%
3.203.10
A Mineiro
24%
4.004.20
Fluminense 1-0
16%
5.505.25
Draw 0-0
14%
6.505.75
Draw 1-1
13%
6.506.00
A Mineiro 1-0
11%
8.008.00
Fluminense 2-0
10%
8.007.50
Fluminense 2-1
8%
9.508.50
A Mineiro 2-1
5%
15.0013.00
A Mineiro 2-0
4%
19.0015.00
Fluminense 3-0
4%
17.0013.00
Fluminense 3-1
3%
21.0015.00
Draw 2-2
3%
21.0017.00
A Mineiro 3-1
1%
41.0029.00
Fluminense 3-2
1%
41.0029.00
Fluminense 4-0
1%
41.0029.00
A Mineiro 3-0
1%
41.0034.00
Over 2.5 Goals
32%
2.702.50
Under 2.5 Goals
68%
1.441.48
Home 1st Goal
51%
1.731.73
Away 1st Goal
39%
2.602.75
No 1st Goal
9%
6.505.75
BTTS - Yes
38%
2.202.25
BTTS - No
62%
1.621.60
BTTS - Home Win
14%
5.505.00
BTTS - Draw
16%
5.004.80
BTTS - Away Win
8%
10.009.00
Home/draw
76%
1.221.22
Away/draw
54%
1.731.75
Home/away
70%
1.361.36
Over 1.5 Goals
59%
1.531.53
Under 1.5 Goals
41%
2.502.40
Over 3.5 Goals
14%
5.504.80
Under 3.5 Goals
86%
1.141.15
Over 4.5 Goals
5%
13.0010.00
Under 4.5 Goals
95%
1.041.04
Over 5.5 Goals
2%
26.0021.00
Under 5.5 Goals
98%
1.011.00
Over 0.5 Goals
86%
1.111.11
Under 0.5 Goals
14%
6.506.00
Home DNB
67%
1.441.36
Away DNB
45%
2.632.80
Fluminense win to nil
32%
3.00-
A Mineiro win to nil
16%
5.50-
Fluminense / Fluminense
25%
3.403.20
Fluminense / A Mineiro
2%
41.0034.00
Fluminense / Draw
6%
15.0013.00
Draw / Fluminense
17%
4.754.60
Draw / A Mineiro
10%
8.008.00
Draw / Draw
20%
4.333.90
A Mineiro / Fluminense
3%
29.0023.00
A Mineiro / A Mineiro
12%
7.006.50
A Mineiro / Draw
5%
17.0013.00
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Win / draw / win form
3
A Mineiro have lost 3 consecutive away league games
7
A Mineiro have not won in 7 consecutive away league games
3
A Mineiro have failed to score in 3 consecutive away league games
Fluminense 8TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
15
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
11
Draw
5
L
4
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Fluminense2 - 0Botafogo
Fluminense0 - 1Corinthians
Fluminense2 - 1Fortaleza
Fluminense1 - 0Gremio
Fluminense1 - 2Palmeiras
Fluminense0 - 2Cruzeiro
Fluminense2 - 1Vasco d Gama
Fluminense2 - 1S. Recife
Fluminense1 - 1Vitoria
Fluminense1 - 0Santos
Fluminense2 - 1Bragantino
Fluminense1 - 0Cuiaba
Fluminense0 - 0Criciuma
Fluminense2 - 2Fortaleza
Fluminense2 - 2Gremio
Fluminense1 - 0Athletico PR
Fluminense1 - 0Cruzeiro
Fluminense0 - 1Botafogo
Fluminense2 - 0Sao Paulo
Fluminense0 - 0Corinthians
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
7
Draw
5
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AFluminense2 - 2S. Recife
HFluminense2 - 0Botafogo
AFluminense1 - 0Vitoria
HFluminense0 - 1Corinthians
AFluminense0 - 0Santos
AFluminense2 - 4Bragantino
HFluminense2 - 1Fortaleza
AFluminense3 - 3Bahia
HFluminense1 - 0Gremio
AFluminense1 - 3Sao Paulo
HFluminense1 - 2Palmeiras
AFluminense0 - 1Flamengo
HFluminense0 - 2Cruzeiro
AFluminense2 - 0Internacional
HFluminense2 - 1Vasco d Gama
AFluminense1 - 1Juventude
AFluminense2 - 3A Mineiro
HFluminense2 - 1S. Recife
AFluminense0 - 2Botafogo
HFluminense1 - 1Vitoria
A Mineiro 14TH
20 league games
Away
3
Overall
Goals: Scored
13
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
10 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
10 / 20
W
2
Draw
6
Lost
12
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Botafogo1 - 0A Mineiro
Vitoria1 - 0A Mineiro
Sao Paulo2 - 0A Mineiro
Vasco d Gama1 - 1A Mineiro
Flamengo1 - 0A Mineiro
Palmeiras3 - 2A Mineiro
Bahia2 - 1A Mineiro
Ceara0 - 1A Mineiro
Cruzeiro0 - 0A Mineiro
Juventude0 - 1A Mineiro
Mirassol2 - 2A Mineiro
Santos2 - 0A Mineiro
Gremio2 - 1A Mineiro
Vasco d Gama2 - 0A Mineiro
Sao Paulo2 - 2A Mineiro
Athletico PR1 - 0A Mineiro
Flamengo0 - 0A Mineiro
Atletico Go1 - 0A Mineiro
Fortaleza1 - 1A Mineiro
Palmeiras2 - 1A Mineiro
Goals: Scored
19
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
7
Draw
6
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HA Mineiro0 - 0Juventude
HA Mineiro1 - 0Mirassol
AA Mineiro0 - 1Botafogo
HA Mineiro1 - 1Santos
AA Mineiro0 - 1Vitoria
AA Mineiro0 - 2Sao Paulo
HA Mineiro1 - 3Gremio
AA Mineiro1 - 1Vasco d Gama
HA Mineiro2 - 1Bragantino
AA Mineiro0 - 1Flamengo
AA Mineiro2 - 3Palmeiras
AA Mineiro1 - 2Bahia
HA Mineiro2 - 0Internacional
AA Mineiro1 - 0Ceara
HA Mineiro0 - 0Corinthians
AA Mineiro0 - 0Cruzeiro
HA Mineiro3 - 2Fluminense
AA Mineiro1 - 0Juventude
AA Mineiro2 - 2Mirassol
HA Mineiro1 - 0Botafogo
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
7
Fluminense have not lost to A Mineiro in 7 consecutive home league meetings
League games at Fluminense since 2018
Fluminense
A Mineiro
Goals: Scored
11
8
Games: Scored
6 / 7
5 / 7
Clean sheets
2 / 7
1 / 7
FLU
2
D
5
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Fluminense
Draw2 - 2Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Fluminense5 - 3
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Fluminense1 - 0
League games at A Mineiro since 2018
A Mineiro
Fluminense
Goals: Scored
17
9
Games: Scored
7 / 8
6 / 8
Clean sheets
2 / 8
1 / 8
FLU
1
D
1
AMN
6
FIXTURE HISTORY AT A Mineiro
A Mineiro3 - 2
0 - 2Fluminense
A Mineiro2 - 0
A Mineiro2 - 0
A Mineiro2 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
A Mineiro2 - 1
A Mineiro5 - 2
Goal Statistics

Atlético Mineiro's defensive record is to be admired, Jorge Sampaoli's men having conceded 1 or less in 5 consecutive Serie A outings. An average PG rating of 1.2 for Fluminense makes sense in this context.

A truly dismal PG of just 0.8 should cause concerns for Atlético Mineiro fans, as should a 8 Serie A matches run in which they have failed to score more than 1 goal.

Fluminense 8th A Mineiro 14th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.2
goals
0.8
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
30%
1
36%
2
22%
3
4+
There is a 66% probability that Fluminense will score no more than 1 goal
0
46%
1
36%
2
14%
3
4+
There is a 82% probability of A Mineiro scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-13
Fluminense have scored 13% fewer goals at home than predicted
-33
A Mineiro have scored 33% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.2
average goals scored
0.7
average goals scored
0.8
conceded
1.3
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2025/2025 season
Fluminense
PG (predicted goals)
A Mineiro
1.2
0.8
Attack rating
17%
better
FLU
AMN
view stats
Games scored16
14
Failed to score6
8
Scored first11
8
Goals scored26
21
Avg. goals scored1.1
0.9
Avg. shots per game8
10
Avg. shots per goal8
11
Conversion rate for13
9
Avg. XG for1
1.3
KickOff rating
+17%
Defence rating
FLU
AMN
6%
better
view stats
Games conceded16
15
Clean sheets6
7
Conceded first10
11
Goals conceded29
26
Avg. goals conceded1.2
1.1
Avg. shots/game conceded7
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
7
Conversion rate against17%
14%
Avg. XG against1
1
KickOff rating
+6%

Fluminense v A Mineiro Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Fluminense Serie A squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
24635
F FábioG CanoK SernaF Cruz
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
F Fábio GLK24
1
-
Martinelli MID2112
4
-
J Freytes DEF20
3
1
H Hércules MID203
1
-
K Serna FWD2033
2
-
Lima MID182
2
-
Everaldo FWD182
1
-
G Cano FWD176
1
-
A Canobbio FWD1722
3
-
S Xavier DEF1621
3
-
Renê DEF151
-
T Silva DEF14
-
Guga DEF1411
1
-
Ganso MID14
2
-
Ignacio DEF13
2
-
F Cruz MID13
5
-
Nonato MID121
3
-
Y Soteldo FWD9
-
Keno FWD92
-
G Fuentes DEF8
3
-
T Santos DEF7
2
-
Manoel DEF5
-
L Acosta MID52
2
-
J Kennedy FWD51
-
R Lezcano MID4
-
O Otávio MID4
-
R. Silva de Almeida FWD4
-
I Rabello  DEF3
1
1
S Moreno FWD3
1
-
J Lavega FWD2
-
A Mineiro Serie A squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
224310
EversonI GomesHulk Lyanco
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Natanael DEF241
1
-
G Scarpa MID2412
2
-
Rony FWD2331
3
-
Everson GLK22
5
-
I Gomes MID2241
2
-
J Alonso  DEF211
3
2
A Franco MID20
2
-
Hulk  FWD1943
8
-
G Menino MID1711
1
-
Bernard FWD17
1
-
Lyanco DEF16
8
2
J Santos FWD162
1
-
T Cuello FWD1511
3
1
G Arana DEF12
3
-
V Hugo DEF111
1
-
C Paulista DEF11
1
-
F Vera MID111
2
-
Biel  FWD91
-
R Saravia DEF8
1
-
J. Soares de Freitas FWD71
-
I Román DEF6
2
-
Reinier MID6
1
-
Alexsander MID6
2
-
Dudu FWD5
-
P. da Silva Campos MID3
-
G Delfim GLK2
-
I Tomich FWD1
-