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Fluminense v Atlético Mineiro : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 21st Mar, 21:30 BST, Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho, Rio de Janeiro

Luis Francisco Zubeldía's Fluminense side enjoy home advantage in the Serie A on Saturday night, as Jorge Luis Sampaoli Moya's Atlético Mineiro arrive at the Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho. For every Serie A fixture, KickOff explores the statistics for all of the biggest markets. Meaningful stats, including head-to-head results, are then given alongside odds from leading bookmakers.


Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

The stats suggest there's no obvious winner here, but there's plenty of reasons to believe that Fluminense and A Mineiro will score 2 or more goals between them. We've seen goals when they've gone head-to-head historically, and neither Luis Francisco Zubeldía or Jorge Luis Sampaoli Moya has suffered the frustration of many 0-0s recently either. The bookmakers predict over 1.5 goals too, with best odds of 1.30 equating to roughly a 74% probability.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Fluminense are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 52% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.91.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Fluminense
52%
79/10010/11
Draw
25%
12/512/5
A Mineiro
23%
7/216/5
Fluminense 1-0
12%
6/111/2
Draw 1-1
12%
11/25/1
Fluminense 2-0
10%
15/27/1
Fluminense 2-1
10%
15/27/1
Draw 0-0
7%
17/27/1
A Mineiro 1-0
7%
11/19/1
A Mineiro 2-1
6%
14/111/1
Fluminense 3-0
5%
14/112/1
Fluminense 3-1
5%
14/112/1
Draw 2-2
5%
14/112/1
A Mineiro 2-0
4%
20/116/1
Fluminense 3-2
3%
25/120/1
Fluminense 4-0
2%
33/122/1
Fluminense 4-1
2%
33/122/1
A Mineiro 3-1
2%
33/125/1
Over 2.5 Goals
49%
1/11/1
Under 2.5 Goals
51%
4/53/4
Home 1st Goal
53%
8/1313/20
Away 1st Goal
42%
6/413/8
No 1st Goal
5%
17/215/2
BTTS - Yes
51%
4/517/20
BTTS - No
49%
19/2017/20
BTTS - Home Win
22%
3/13/1
BTTS - Draw
17%
7/218/5
BTTS - Away Win
11%
15/213/2
Home/draw
77%
2/112/9
Away/draw
48%
10/1117/20
Home/away
75%
3/103/10
Over 1.5 Goals
74%
3/101/3
Under 1.5 Goals
26%
5/211/5
Over 3.5 Goals
27%
5/212/5
Under 3.5 Goals
73%
3/102/7
Over 4.5 Goals
13%
11/211/2
Under 4.5 Goals
87%
1/91/11
Over 5.5 Goals
5%
14/112/1
Under 5.5 Goals
95%
1/331/50
Over 0.5 Goals
93%
1/161/16
Under 0.5 Goals
7%
17/27/1
Home DNB
69%
1/34/11
Away DNB
41%
9/419/10
Fluminense win to nil
30%
2/1-
A Mineiro win to nil
12%
7/1-
Fluminense / Fluminense
28%
15/815/8
Fluminense / A Mineiro
2%
33/133/1
Fluminense / Draw
6%
12/112/1
Draw / Fluminense
17%
15/419/5
Draw / A Mineiro
9%
8/18/1
Draw / Draw
16%
9/219/5
A Mineiro / Fluminense
4%
22/122/1
A Mineiro / A Mineiro
12%
6/111/2
A Mineiro / Draw
6%
14/112/1
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Win / draw / win form
5
A Mineiro have lost 5 consecutive away league games
5
A Mineiro have not won in 5 consecutive away league games
Fluminense 3RD
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
34
Conceded
13
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
16
D
1
L
3
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Fluminense3 - 2Athletico PR
Fluminense1 - 0Botafogo
Fluminense2 - 1Gremio
Fluminense2 - 0Bahia
Fluminense6 - 0Sao Paulo
Fluminense2 - 1Flamengo
Fluminense1 - 0Mirassol
Fluminense1 - 0Ceara
Fluminense1 - 0Internacional
Fluminense1 - 0Juventude
Fluminense3 - 0A Mineiro
Fluminense2 - 0Botafogo
Fluminense0 - 1Corinthians
Fluminense2 - 1Fortaleza
Fluminense1 - 0Gremio
Fluminense1 - 2Palmeiras
Fluminense0 - 2Cruzeiro
Fluminense2 - 1Vasco d Gama
Fluminense2 - 1S. Recife
Fluminense1 - 1Vitoria
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
14
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
9 / 20
Clean sheets
11 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
13
D
3
L
4
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HFluminense3 - 2Athletico PR
AFluminense2 - 0Remo
AFluminense1 - 2Palmeiras
HFluminense1 - 0Botafogo
AFluminense1 - 1Bahia
HFluminense2 - 1Gremio
HFluminense2 - 0Bahia
AFluminense2 - 1Gremio
HFluminense6 - 0Sao Paulo
AFluminense0 - 0Palmeiras
HFluminense2 - 1Flamengo
AFluminense0 - 0Cruzeiro
HFluminense1 - 0Mirassol
AFluminense0 - 2Ceara
HFluminense1 - 0Ceara
HFluminense1 - 0Internacional
AFluminense0 - 2Vasco d Gama
HFluminense1 - 0Juventude
AFluminense1 - 2Mirassol
HFluminense3 - 0A Mineiro
A Mineiro 16TH
20 league games
Away
5
Overall
Goals: Scored
13
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
8 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
12 / 20
W
3
D
4
Lost
13
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Vitoria2 - 0A Mineiro
Gremio2 - 1A Mineiro
Bragantino1 - 0A Mineiro
Fortaleza1 - 0A Mineiro
Bragantino2 - 0A Mineiro
S. Recife2 - 4A Mineiro
Internacional0 - 0A Mineiro
Corinthians1 - 0A Mineiro
Fluminense3 - 0A Mineiro
Botafogo1 - 0A Mineiro
Vitoria1 - 0A Mineiro
Sao Paulo2 - 0A Mineiro
Vasco d Gama1 - 1A Mineiro
Flamengo1 - 0A Mineiro
Palmeiras3 - 2A Mineiro
Bahia2 - 1A Mineiro
Ceara0 - 1A Mineiro
Cruzeiro0 - 0A Mineiro
Juventude0 - 1A Mineiro
Mirassol2 - 2A Mineiro
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
6
Draw
6
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AA Mineiro0 - 2Vitoria
HA Mineiro1 - 0Internacional
AA Mineiro1 - 2Gremio
HA Mineiro3 - 3Remo
AA Mineiro0 - 1Bragantino
HA Mineiro2 - 2Palmeiras
HA Mineiro5 - 0Vasco d Gama
HA Mineiro0 - 3Palmeiras
AA Mineiro0 - 1Fortaleza
HA Mineiro1 - 1Flamengo
AA Mineiro0 - 2Bragantino
HA Mineiro3 - 3Fortaleza
AA Mineiro4 - 2S. Recife
HA Mineiro3 - 0Bahia
AA Mineiro0 - 0Internacional
HA Mineiro1 - 0Ceara
AA Mineiro0 - 1Corinthians
HA Mineiro1 - 1Cruzeiro
HA Mineiro3 - 1S. Recife
AA Mineiro0 - 3Fluminense
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
8
Fluminense have not lost to A Mineiro in 8 consecutive home league meetings
League games at Fluminense since 2018
Fluminense
A Mineiro
Goals: Scored
14
8
Games: Scored
7 / 8
5 / 8
Clean sheets
3 / 8
1 / 8
FLU
3
D
5
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Fluminense
Fluminense3 - 0
Draw2 - 2Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Fluminense5 - 3
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Fluminense1 - 0
League games at A Mineiro since 2018
A Mineiro
Fluminense
Goals: Scored
17
9
Games: Scored
7 / 8
6 / 8
Clean sheets
2 / 8
1 / 8
FLU
1
D
1
AMN
6
FIXTURE HISTORY AT A Mineiro
A Mineiro3 - 2
0 - 2Fluminense
A Mineiro2 - 0
A Mineiro2 - 0
A Mineiro2 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
A Mineiro2 - 1
A Mineiro5 - 2
Goal Statistics

Fluminense have been consistent in front of goal of late, scoring in 8 consecutive Serie A matches. Their PG of 1.6 against Atlético Mineiro on Saturday suggests that run is likely to continue.

Fluminense 3rd A Mineiro 16th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.6
goals
1.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
20%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4+
8%
There is a 80% probability that Fluminense will score 1 or more goals
0
37%
1
37%
2
18%
3
4+
There is a 74% probability of A Mineiro scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+16
Fluminense have scored 16% more goals at home than predicted
-33
A Mineiro have scored 33% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.7
average goals scored
0.7
average goals scored
0.7
conceded
1.4
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2026/2026 season
Fluminense
PG (predicted goals)
A Mineiro
1.6
1
Attack rating
35%
better
FLU
AMN
view stats
Games scored6
4
Failed to score0
2
Scored first4
2
Goals scored10
7
Avg. goals scored1.7
1.2
Avg. shots per game12
9
Avg. shots per goal7
7
Conversion rate for14
13
Avg. XG for1.5
1.1
KickOff rating
+35%
Defence rating
31%
better
FLU
AMN
view stats
Games conceded4
5
Clean sheets2
1
Conceded first2
4
Goals conceded6
10
Avg. goals conceded1
1.7
Avg. shots/game conceded8
12
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
7
Conversion rate against12%
14%
Avg. XG against1.3
1.3
KickOff rating
+31%

Fluminense v A Mineiro Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Fluminense Serie A squad statistics 2026
Overall
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
NO DATA AVAILABLE
A Mineiro Serie A squad statistics 2026
Overall
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
NO DATA AVAILABLE