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Fluminense v Fortaleza : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 16th Aug, 20:00 BST, Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho, Rio de Janeiro

Fluminense are in Serie A action on Saturday night, as Renato Arapi attempts to outsmart Juan Pablo Vojvoda and his Fortaleza side at the Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho. You'll find stats supporting our top of under 2.5 goals below, but don't forget to explore 16 other markets we cover too. Each has been designed to give you as full a picture as possible, with Serie A performances and head-to-heads included, so that you're able to make the smartest bet choices. Finally, be sure to get the best odds and bet smart.


Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

Under 2.5 goals as a betting market simply means there will only be a maximum of 2 goals scored in total by Fluminense and Fortaleza during the regulation 90 minutes. It's a bet the stats below and the odds both suggest is worth considering, and an outcome that we've seen before when these sides go head-to-head. In the absence of an obvious winner, our best bet prediction for this one is under 2.5.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Fluminense
54%
5/6-
Draw
26%
9/4-
Fortaleza
20%
7/2-
Fluminense 1-0
15%
9/2-
Draw 1-1
12%
11/2-
Fluminense 2-0
11%
13/2-
Draw 0-0
10%
6/1-
Fluminense 2-1
9%
17/2-
Fortaleza 1-0
8%
8/1-
Fluminense 3-0
6%
14/1-
Fortaleza 2-1
5%
14/1-
Fluminense 3-1
4%
18/1-
Draw 2-2
3%
20/1-
Fortaleza 2-0
3%
20/1-
Fluminense 4-0
2%
33/1-
Fluminense 3-2
2%
40/1-
Fluminense 4-1
2%
40/1-
Fortaleza 3-1
1%
40/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
39%
6/4-
Under 2.5 Goals
61%
1/2-
Home 1st Goal
55%
4/6-
Away 1st Goal
38%
7/4-
No 1st Goal
7%
6/1-
BTTS - Yes
42%
6/5-
BTTS - No
58%
8/13-
BTTS - Home Win
19%
4/1-
BTTS - Draw
16%
9/2-
BTTS - Away Win
7%
10/1-
Home/draw
80%
2/11-
Away/draw
46%
10/11-
Home/away
74%
1/3-
Over 1.5 Goals
66%
1/2-
Under 1.5 Goals
34%
13/8-
Over 3.5 Goals
19%
4/1-
Under 3.5 Goals
81%
1/6-
Over 4.5 Goals
8%
10/1-
Under 4.5 Goals
92%
1/20-
Over 5.5 Goals
3%
22/1-
Under 5.5 Goals
97%
1/80-
Over 0.5 Goals
90%
1/10-
Under 0.5 Goals
10%
6/1-
Home DNB
72%
1/3-
Away DNB
38%
9/4-
Fluminense win to nil
36%
13/8-
Fortaleza win to nil
12%
11/2-
Fluminense / Fluminense
28%
2/1-
Fluminense / Fortaleza
2%
40/1-
Fluminense / Draw
6%
14/1-
Draw / Fluminense
18%
7/2-
Draw / Fortaleza
9%
8/1-
Draw / Draw
19%
10/3-
Fortaleza / Fluminense
3%
28/1-
Fortaleza / Fortaleza
10%
7/1-
Fortaleza / Draw
5%
16/1-
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win form
Fluminense 9TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
14
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
11
Draw
6
L
3
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Fluminense1 - 0Gremio
Fluminense1 - 2Palmeiras
Fluminense0 - 2Cruzeiro
Fluminense2 - 1Vasco d Gama
Fluminense2 - 1S. Recife
Fluminense1 - 1Vitoria
Fluminense1 - 0Santos
Fluminense2 - 1Bragantino
Fluminense1 - 0Cuiaba
Fluminense0 - 0Criciuma
Fluminense2 - 2Fortaleza
Fluminense2 - 2Gremio
Fluminense1 - 0Athletico PR
Fluminense1 - 0Cruzeiro
Fluminense0 - 1Botafogo
Fluminense2 - 0Sao Paulo
Fluminense0 - 0Corinthians
Fluminense1 - 0Bahia
Fluminense1 - 0Palmeiras
Fluminense1 - 1Internacional
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
9
D
4
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HFluminense1 - 0Gremio
AFluminense1 - 3Sao Paulo
HFluminense1 - 2Palmeiras
AFluminense0 - 1Flamengo
HFluminense0 - 2Cruzeiro
AFluminense2 - 0Internacional
HFluminense2 - 1Vasco d Gama
AFluminense1 - 1Juventude
AFluminense2 - 3A Mineiro
HFluminense2 - 1S. Recife
AFluminense0 - 2Botafogo
HFluminense1 - 1Vitoria
AFluminense2 - 0Corinthians
HFluminense1 - 0Santos
HFluminense2 - 1Bragantino
AFluminense0 - 2Fortaleza
AFluminense1 - 0Palmeiras
HFluminense1 - 0Cuiaba
AFluminense1 - 1Athletico PR
HFluminense0 - 0Criciuma
Fortaleza 18TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
20
Conceded
34
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
W
3
Draw
8
Lost
9
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Corinthians1 - 1Fortaleza
Gremio2 - 1Fortaleza
Flamengo5 - 0Fortaleza
Vasco d Gama3 - 0Fortaleza
Sao Paulo0 - 0Fortaleza
S. Recife0 - 0Fortaleza
Vitoria2 - 1Fortaleza
Mirassol1 - 1Fortaleza
Atletico Go3 - 1Fortaleza
Vitoria2 - 0Fortaleza
Fluminense2 - 2Fortaleza
Juventude0 - 3Fortaleza
Palmeiras2 - 2Fortaleza
Gremio3 - 1Fortaleza
Athletico PR1 - 1Fortaleza
Internacional2 - 1Fortaleza
Botafogo2 - 0Fortaleza
Bragantino1 - 2Fortaleza
Cruzeiro1 - 2Fortaleza
Criciuma1 - 1Fortaleza
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
W
4
Draw
6
Lost
10
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AFortaleza1 - 1Corinthians
AFortaleza1 - 2Gremio
HFortaleza3 - 1Bragantino
HFortaleza1 - 1Bahia
HFortaleza0 - 1Ceara
HFortaleza2 - 3Santos
AFortaleza0 - 5Flamengo
HFortaleza0 - 2Cruzeiro
AFortaleza0 - 3Vasco d Gama
HFortaleza5 - 0Juventude
AFortaleza0 - 0Sao Paulo
AFortaleza0 - 0S. Recife
HFortaleza1 - 2Palmeiras
AFortaleza1 - 2Vitoria
HFortaleza0 - 0Internacional
AFortaleza1 - 1Mirassol
HFortaleza2 - 0Fluminense
HFortaleza3 - 0Internacional
AFortaleza1 - 3Atletico Go
AFortaleza0 - 2Vitoria
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Fluminense since 2019
Fluminense
Fortaleza
Goals: Scored
7
5
Games: Scored
4 / 6
3 / 6
Clean sheets
3 / 6
2 / 6
FLU
3
D
2
FOR
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Fluminense
Draw2 - 2Draw
Fluminense1 - 0
Fluminense2 - 1
0 - 2Fortaleza
Fluminense2 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
League games at Fortaleza since 2019
Fortaleza
Fluminense
Goals: Scored
8
6
Games: Scored
4 / 7
5 / 7
Clean sheets
2 / 7
3 / 7
FLU
3
D
1
FOR
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Fortaleza
Fortaleza2 - 0
Fortaleza1 - 0
Fortaleza4 - 2
0 - 1Fluminense
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 1Fluminense
0 - 1Fluminense
Goal Statistics

Fluminense's fans will be hoping for goals on Saturday night, not least because Fortaleza have conceded in each of their last 8 Serie A outings. A PG of 1.5 for Renato Arapi's side suggests that run should continue.

Fluminense 9th Fortaleza 18th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.5
goals
0.8
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
23%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4+
There is a 77% probability that Fluminense will score 1 or more goals
0
46%
1
36%
2
14%
3
4+
There is a 82% probability of Fortaleza scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-15
Fluminense have scored 15% fewer goals at home than predicted
+5
Fortaleza’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.1
average goals scored
1.0
average goals scored
0.7
conceded
1.7
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2025/2025 season
Fluminense
PG (predicted goals)
Fortaleza
1.5
0.8
Attack rating
15%
better
FLU
FOR
view stats
Games scored12
10
Failed to score4
7
Scored first8
6
Goals scored18
18
Avg. goals scored1.1
1.1
Avg. shots per game10
9
Avg. shots per goal8
9
Conversion rate for12
12
Avg. XG for1.1
1.3
KickOff rating
+15%
Defence rating
FLU
FOR
2%
better
view stats
Games conceded12
12
Clean sheets4
5
Conceded first8
8
Goals conceded20
24
Avg. goals conceded1.3
1.4
Avg. shots/game conceded8
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
7
Conversion rate against17%
14%
Avg. XG against0.9
1.5
KickOff rating
+2%

Fluminense v Fortaleza Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Fluminense Serie A squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
16343
F FábioK SernaJ AriasJ Freytes
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
F Fábio GLK16
1
-
Martinelli MID1611
2
-
Everaldo FWD162
1
-
J Freytes DEF15
3
-
K Serna FWD143
-
S Xavier DEF1321
3
-
H Hércules MID131
1
-
T Silva DEF12
-
Lima MID121
2
-
J Arias FWD1214
1
-
A Canobbio FWD1111
2
-
Renê DEF101
-
Ganso MID10
1
-
Nonato MID10
3
-
Ignacio DEF9
-
G Cano FWD92
1
-
Guga DEF811
1
-
F Cruz MID8
3
-
Keno FWD7
-
G Fuentes DEF5
2
-
T Santos DEF5
-
Y Soteldo FWD4
-
P Baya FWD411
-
R Lezcano MID3
-
J Kennedy FWD3
-
R. Silva de Almeida FWD3
-
Manoel DEF2
-
I. Severino Silva MID1
-
J Lavega FWD1
-
Fortaleza Serie A squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
16326
B KuscevicJ LuceroMarinhoE Martínez 
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
B Kuscevic DEF161
-
J Lucero FWD1631
3
-
Y Pikachu FWD152
1
-
E Martínez  MID1411
6
-
Deyverson FWD143
2
-
L Sasha MID13
1
-
J Ricardo GLK12
1
-
E Mancuso DEF12
1
-
Marinho FWD1212
2
1
B Lopes FWD122
1
-
G. Teixeira Lopes da Conceição DEF11
2
-
D Barbosa DEF101
1
-
T Pochettino MID1012
-
J Welison MID9
3
-
Tinga DEF81
1
-
M Rossetto MID8
-
G Ávila DEF7
1
-
M Pereira MID52
1
-
K Andrade FWD51
2
-
B Pacheco DEF4
2
-
J Herrera FWD4
1
-
Allanzinho FWD41
1
-
M Magrão GLK3
1
-
E Brítez DEF3
2
-
A Bareiro FWD3
-
M Moisés FWD31
1
-
Brenno GLK2
1
1
V Silvestre GLK1
-
R. Oliveira dos Santos MID1
-