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Fluminense v Gremio : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Wed 28th Jan, 22:30 BST, Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho, Rio de Janeiro

The Serie A is the focus for both Fluminense and Gremio on Wednesday night, as bosses Luis Francisco Zubeldía and Luís Manuel Ribeiro de Castro battle it out at the Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho. The predictions for all the markets are calculated using the past 20 games for each team (home, away and overall) with weighting assigned to top teams. All the stats and graphics are designed specifically for the betting market in question. Head-to-head statistics between the team are also given if there is some fixture history. Odds are provided straight from from leading bookmakers.

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

This match should deliver some entertainment, but don't count on a deluge of goals. Under 3.5 goals is the prediction, meaning there will be no more than 3 goals scored during the standard 90 minutes. Get best odds on under 3.5 just below, followed by market-specific form statistics and head-to-head (H2H) records.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Fluminense are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 53% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.80.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Fluminense 53%	1.79	1.65
Draw 26%	3.50	3.90
Gremio 21%	4.75	5.25
Fluminense 1-0 14%	6.00	6.00
Draw 1-1 12%	6.50	7.00
Fluminense 2-0 11%	7.50	7.00
Fluminense 2-1 9%	9.00	7.50
Draw 0-0 9%	7.50	9.00
Gremio 1-0 8%	10.00	11.00
Fluminense 3-0 6%	15.00	10.00
Gremio 2-1 5%	17.00	13.00
Fluminense 3-1 5%	17.00	12.00
Draw 2-2 4%	19.00	15.00
Gremio 2-0 3%	21.00	19.00
Fluminense 4-0 2%	34.00	17.00
Fluminense 3-2 2%	34.00	21.00
Fluminense 4-1 2%	41.00	21.00
Gremio 3-1 1%	41.00	29.00
Over 2.5 Goals 43%	2.30	1.91
Under 2.5 Goals 57%	1.60	1.80
Home 1st Goal 54%	1.62	1.50
Away 1st Goal 40%	2.75	3.00
No 1st Goal 6%	7.50	8.50
BTTS - Yes 45%	2.05	2.00
BTTS - No 55%	1.70	1.75
BTTS - Home Win 20%	4.75	3.70
BTTS - Draw 17%	5.00	5.00
BTTS - Away Win 9%	11.00	9.00
Home/draw 79%	1.18	1.15
Away/draw 47%	1.91	2.20
Home/away 74%	1.29	1.25
Over 1.5 Goals 69%	1.44	1.30
Under 1.5 Goals 31%	2.75	3.25
Over 3.5 Goals 22%	4.33	3.30
Under 3.5 Goals 78%	1.22	1.30
Over 4.5 Goals 10%	9.00	6.50
Under 4.5 Goals 90%	1.07	1.10
Over 5.5 Goals 4%	19.00	12.00
Under 5.5 Goals 96%	1.02	1.02
Over 0.5 Goals 91%	1.08	1.05
Under 0.5 Goals 9%	7.50	9.00
Home DNB 71%	1.30	1.22
Away DNB 39%	3.40	3.75
Fluminense win to nil 33%	2.63	-
Gremio win to nil 12%	7.00	-
Fluminense / Fluminense 30%	2.88	2.45
Fluminense / Gremio 2%	41.00	29.00
Fluminense / Draw 6%	15.00	13.00
Draw / Fluminense 18%	4.50	4.40
Draw / Gremio 8%	9.00	10.00
Draw / Draw 16%	4.75	5.25
Gremio / Fluminense 4%	26.00	17.00
Gremio / Gremio 10%	8.00	7.50
Gremio / Draw 5%	17.00	13.00

Win / draw / win form

Fluminense have won 9 consecutive home league games

Fluminense have not lost in 9 consecutive home league games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

18 / 20

Conceded

9 / 20

Clean sheets

11 / 20

Failed to score

2 / 20

Won

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Fluminense	2 - 0	Bahia
Fluminense	6 - 0	Sao Paulo
Fluminense	2 - 1	Flamengo
Fluminense	1 - 0	Mirassol
Fluminense	1 - 0	Ceara
Fluminense	1 - 0	Internacional
Fluminense	1 - 0	Juventude
Fluminense	3 - 0	A Mineiro
Fluminense	2 - 0	Botafogo
Fluminense	0 - 1	Corinthians
Fluminense	2 - 1	Fortaleza
Fluminense	1 - 0	Gremio
Fluminense	1 - 2	Palmeiras
Fluminense	0 - 2	Cruzeiro
Fluminense	2 - 1	Vasco d Gama
Fluminense	2 - 1	S. Recife
Fluminense	1 - 1	Vitoria
Fluminense	1 - 0	Santos
Fluminense	2 - 1	Bragantino
Fluminense	1 - 0	Cuiaba

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

8 / 20

Clean sheets

12 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Fluminense	2 - 0	Bahia
A	Fluminense	2 - 1	Gremio
H	Fluminense	6 - 0	Sao Paulo
A	Fluminense	0 - 0	Palmeiras
H	Fluminense	2 - 1	Flamengo
A	Fluminense	0 - 0	Cruzeiro
H	Fluminense	1 - 0	Mirassol
A	Fluminense	0 - 2	Ceara
H	Fluminense	1 - 0	Ceara
H	Fluminense	1 - 0	Internacional
A	Fluminense	0 - 2	Vasco d Gama
H	Fluminense	1 - 0	Juventude
A	Fluminense	1 - 2	Mirassol
H	Fluminense	3 - 0	A Mineiro
A	Fluminense	2 - 2	S. Recife
H	Fluminense	2 - 0	Botafogo
A	Fluminense	1 - 0	Vitoria
H	Fluminense	0 - 1	Corinthians
A	Fluminense	0 - 0	Santos
A	Fluminense	2 - 4	Bragantino

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

18 / 20

Clean sheets

2 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
S. Recife	0 - 4	Gremio
Botafogo	3 - 2	Gremio
Fortaleza	2 - 2	Gremio
Corinthians	2 - 0	Gremio
Bahia	4 - 0	Gremio
Bragantino	1 - 0	Gremio
Santos	1 - 1	Gremio
Internacional	2 - 3	Gremio
Flamengo	1 - 1	Gremio
A Mineiro	1 - 3	Gremio
Fluminense	1 - 0	Gremio
Palmeiras	1 - 0	Gremio
Vasco d Gama	1 - 1	Gremio
Cruzeiro	4 - 1	Gremio
Juventude	0 - 2	Gremio
Sao Paulo	2 - 1	Gremio
Vitoria	1 - 1	Gremio
Mirassol	4 - 1	Gremio
Ceara	2 - 0	Gremio
Vitoria	1 - 1	Gremio

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Gremio	4 - 0	S. Recife
H	Gremio	1 - 2	Fluminense
H	Gremio	3 - 2	Palmeiras
A	Gremio	2 - 3	Botafogo
H	Gremio	2 - 0	Vasco d Gama
A	Gremio	2 - 2	Fortaleza
H	Gremio	0 - 1	Cruzeiro
A	Gremio	0 - 2	Corinthians
H	Gremio	3 - 1	Juventude
A	Gremio	0 - 4	Bahia
H	Gremio	2 - 0	Sao Paulo
A	Gremio	0 - 1	Bragantino
A	Gremio	1 - 1	Santos
H	Gremio	3 - 1	Vitoria
H	Gremio	1 - 1	Botafogo
A	Gremio	3 - 2	Internacional
H	Gremio	0 - 1	Mirassol
A	Gremio	1 - 1	Flamengo
H	Gremio	0 - 0	Ceara
A	Gremio	3 - 1	A Mineiro

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Fluminense

Gremio

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

4 / 7

6 / 7

Clean sheets

1 / 7

3 / 7

FLU

GRE

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Fluminense
Fluminense	1 - 0
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
	2 - 3	Gremio
	0 - 1	Gremio
	0 - 1	Gremio
Fluminense	2 - 1
	0 - 1	Gremio

Gremio

Fluminense

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

6 / 7

3 / 7

Clean sheets

4 / 7

1 / 7

FLU

GRE

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Gremio
	1 - 2	Fluminense
Gremio	1 - 0
Gremio	2 - 1
Gremio	1 - 0
Gremio	1 - 0
	4 - 5	Fluminense
Draw	0 - 0	Draw

Goal Statistics

	Fluminense 5th	Gremio 9th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.5 goals	0.9 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 22% 1 33% 2 25% 3 13% 4+ There is a 78% probability that Fluminense will score 1 or more goals	0 42% 1 36% 2 16% 3 4+ There is a 78% probability of Gremio scoring 1 goal or less

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	+10 Fluminense’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	+19 Gremio have scored 19% more goals when away than predicted
	1.6 average goals scored	1.2 average goals scored
	0.6 conceded	1.7 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2026/2026 season

better

FLU

GRE

view stats

Games scored	0		0
Failed to score	0		0
Scored first	0		0
Goals scored	0		0
Avg. goals scored	0		0
Avg. shots per game	0		0
Avg. shots per goal	0		0
Conversion rate for	0		0
Avg. XG for	0		0
KickOff rating		0%

better

FLU

GRE

view stats

Games conceded	0		0
Clean sheets	0		0
Conceded first	0		0
Goals conceded	0		0
Avg. goals conceded	0		0
Avg. shots/game conceded	0		0
Avg. shots/goal conceded	0		0
Conversion rate against	0%		0%
Avg. XG against	0		0
KickOff rating		0%

Fluminense v Gremio Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Fluminense Serie A squad statistics 2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
0	0	0	0

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
F Fábio GLK				-
S Xavier DEF				-
J. Ribeiro da Silva DEF				-
J Freytes DEF				-
Renê DEF				-
Martinelli MID				-
Nonato MID				-
A Canobbio MID				-
L Acosta MID				-
K Serna MID				-
J Kennedy FWD				-
Subs
V Eudes GLK				-
Ignacio DEF				-
G Arana DEF				-
I Rabello DEF				-
Guga DEF				-
Lima MID				-
O Otávio MID				-
F Cruz MID				-
Ganso MID				-
Everaldo FWD				-
J Savarino FWD				-
S Moreno FWD				-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
0	0	0	0

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
0	0	0

Players	passes	tackles	duels won

Gremio Serie A squad statistics 2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
0	0	0	0

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
Weverton GLK				-
J Pedro DEF				-
G Martins DEF				-
Wagner DEF				-
Marlon DEF				-
Dodi MID				-
Arthur MID				-
Tetê MID				-
Edenilson MID				-
F Amuzu MID				-
C Vinícius FWD				-
Subs
G Grando GLK				-
M Rocha DEF				-
C Paulista DEF				-
V Lopes DEF				-
F Cristaldo MID				-
E Mola MID				-
T. Gonçalves MID				-
Willian MID				-
C Pavón FWD				-
A Guzmán FWD				-
André FWD				-
J Enamorado FWD				-