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Gremio v Botafogo : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Thu 5th Feb, 00:30 BST, Arena do Grêmio, Rio

Luís Manuel Ribeiro de Castro's Gremio side are on home soil in the Serie A on Thursday morning, as Davide Ancelotti's Botafogo travel to the Arena do Grêmio. We've got bespoke statistics for every major market, from team to score first to full time result, including form and historical head-to-head data. Predictions are produced from these, and the odds come straight from leading bookmakers.


Best Tip: Both teams to score

Gremio should have reason to feel optimistic ahead of this match and, funnily enough, so might Botafogo. The bookmakers see them as well matched and so do we – there's no obvious victor in this fixture. So our tip looks to the both teams to score market, where there's far more clarity. The form stats, past head-to-head (H2H) records and bookies odds below are all pointing towards both sides scoring, and that's what we'd recommend too.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Gremio are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 47% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.15.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Gremio
47%
-23/20
Draw
24%
-12/5
Botafogo
30%
-12/5
Draw 1-1
11%
-5/1
Gremio 2-1
9%
-7/1
Gremio 1-0
8%
-6/1
Botafogo 2-1
7%
-9/1
Gremio 2-0
7%
-17/2
Botafogo 1-0
6%
-17/2
Draw 2-2
6%
-11/1
Gremio 3-1
5%
-14/1
Draw 0-0
5%
-8/1
Botafogo 2-0
4%
-12/1
Gremio 3-0
4%
-14/1
Gremio 3-2
4%
-20/1
Botafogo 3-1
3%
-20/1
Botafogo 3-2
3%
-22/1
Gremio 4-1
2%
-25/1
Over 2.5 Goals
59%
-17/20
Under 2.5 Goals
41%
-17/20
Home 1st Goal
52%
-3/4
Away 1st Goal
46%
-13/10
No 1st Goal
3%
-8/1
BTTS - Yes
60%
-8/11
BTTS - No
40%
-1/1
BTTS - Home Win
25%
-3/1
BTTS - Draw
19%
-16/5
BTTS - Away Win
17%
-19/4
Home/draw
70%
-3/10
Away/draw
53%
-7/10
Home/away
76%
-3/10
Over 1.5 Goals
81%
-2/7
Under 1.5 Goals
19%
-12/5
Over 3.5 Goals
36%
-21/10
Under 3.5 Goals
64%
-1/3
Over 4.5 Goals
19%
-5/1
Under 4.5 Goals
81%
-1/9
Over 5.5 Goals
9%
-11/1
Under 5.5 Goals
91%
-1/66
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
-1/20
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
-8/1
Home DNB
63%
-8/15
Away DNB
46%
-11/8
Gremio win to nil
22%
--
Botafogo win to nil
13%
--
Gremio / Gremio
24%
-9/4
Gremio / Botafogo
3%
-22/1
Gremio / Draw
7%
-10/1
Draw / Gremio
15%
-17/4
Draw / Botafogo
10%
-13/2
Draw / Draw
16%
-19/5
Botafogo / Gremio
4%
-18/1
Botafogo / Botafogo
15%
-17/4
Botafogo / Draw
6%
-11/1
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win form
4
Botafogo have drawn 4 consecutive away league games
5
Botafogo have not lost in 5 consecutive away league games
Gremio 9TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
9
Draw
5
Lost
6
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Gremio1 - 2Fluminense
Gremio3 - 2Palmeiras
Gremio2 - 0Vasco d Gama
Gremio0 - 1Cruzeiro
Gremio3 - 1Juventude
Gremio2 - 0Sao Paulo
Gremio3 - 1Vitoria
Gremio1 - 1Botafogo
Gremio0 - 1Mirassol
Gremio0 - 0Ceara
Gremio0 - 1S. Recife
Gremio2 - 1Fortaleza
Gremio1 - 1Corinthians
Gremio1 - 0Bahia
Gremio1 - 1Bragantino
Gremio1 - 0Santos
Gremio1 - 1Internacional
Gremio0 - 2Flamengo
Gremio2 - 1A Mineiro
Gremio0 - 3Corinthians
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
8
Draw
5
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AGremio4 - 0S. Recife
HGremio1 - 2Fluminense
HGremio3 - 2Palmeiras
AGremio2 - 3Botafogo
HGremio2 - 0Vasco d Gama
AGremio2 - 2Fortaleza
HGremio0 - 1Cruzeiro
AGremio0 - 2Corinthians
HGremio3 - 1Juventude
AGremio0 - 4Bahia
HGremio2 - 0Sao Paulo
AGremio0 - 1Bragantino
AGremio1 - 1Santos
HGremio3 - 1Vitoria
HGremio1 - 1Botafogo
AGremio3 - 2Internacional
HGremio0 - 1Mirassol
AGremio1 - 1Flamengo
HGremio0 - 0Ceara
AGremio3 - 1A Mineiro
Botafogo 6TH
20 league games
Away
4
Overall
Goals: Scored
20
Conceded
14
Games: Scored
10 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
10 / 20
Won
7
Draw
7
Lost
6
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Cruzeiro2 - 2Botafogo
Corinthians2 - 2Botafogo
Vitoria0 - 0Botafogo
Mirassol0 - 0Botafogo
Ceara0 - 2Botafogo
Internacional2 - 0Botafogo
Fluminense2 - 0Botafogo
Gremio1 - 1Botafogo
Sao Paulo1 - 0Botafogo
Juventude1 - 3Botafogo
Fortaleza0 - 5Botafogo
S. Recife0 - 1Botafogo
Vasco d Gama0 - 2Botafogo
Santos0 - 1Botafogo
Flamengo0 - 0Botafogo
Bahia1 - 0Botafogo
A Mineiro1 - 0Botafogo
Bragantino1 - 0Botafogo
Palmeiras0 - 0Botafogo
Internacional0 - 1Botafogo
Goals: Scored
35
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
9
Draw
7
L
4
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HBotafogo4 - 2Fortaleza
ABotafogo2 - 2Cruzeiro
ABotafogo2 - 2Corinthians
HBotafogo3 - 2Gremio
HBotafogo3 - 2S. Recife
ABotafogo0 - 0Vitoria
HBotafogo3 - 0Vasco d Gama
ABotafogo0 - 0Mirassol
HBotafogo2 - 2Santos
ABotafogo2 - 0Ceara
HBotafogo0 - 3Flamengo
ABotafogo0 - 2Internacional
HBotafogo2 - 1Bahia
ABotafogo0 - 2Fluminense
ABotafogo1 - 1Gremio
HBotafogo1 - 0A Mineiro
HBotafogo3 - 3Mirassol
ABotafogo0 - 1Sao Paulo
HBotafogo4 - 1Bragantino
ABotafogo3 - 1Juventude
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Gremio since 2018
Gremio
Botafogo
Goals: Scored
12
6
Games: Scored
5 / 6
4 / 6
Clean sheets
2 / 6
1 / 6
GRE
3
D
1
BOT
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Gremio
Draw1 - 1Draw
1 - 2Botafogo
0 - 2Botafogo
Gremio3 - 1
Gremio3 - 0
Gremio4 - 0
League games at Botafogo since 2018
Botafogo
Gremio
Goals: Scored
10
13
Games: Scored
4 / 6
5 / 6
Clean sheets
1 / 6
2 / 6
GRE
3
D
1
BOT
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Botafogo
Botafogo3 - 2
Draw0 - 0Draw
3 - 4Gremio
2 - 5Gremio
0 - 1Gremio
Botafogo2 - 1
Goal Statistics

Gremio have been steady in front of goal of late, scoring in 6 consecutive Serie A matches. Their PG of 1.7 against Botafogo on Thursday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

Gremio 9th Botafogo 6th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.7
goals
1.3
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
18%
1
31%
2
26%
3
15%
4+
10%
There is a 82% probability that Gremio will score 1 or more goals
0
27%
1
35%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 73% probability that Botafogo will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-6
Gremio’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-2
Botafogo’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.2
average goals scored
1.0
average goals scored
1.0
conceded
0.7
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2026/2026 season
Gremio
PG (predicted goals)
Botafogo
1.7
1.3
Attack rating
0%
better
GRE
BOT
view stats
Games scored0
0
Failed to score0
0
Scored first0
0
Goals scored0
0
Avg. goals scored0
0
Avg. shots per game0
0
Avg. shots per goal0
0
Conversion rate for0
0
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
0%
Defence rating
0%
better
GRE
BOT
view stats
Games conceded0
0
Clean sheets0
0
Conceded first0
0
Goals conceded0
0
Avg. goals conceded0
0
Avg. shots/game conceded0
0
Avg. shots/goal conceded0
0
Conversion rate against0%
0%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
0%

Gremio v Botafogo Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Gremio Serie A squad statistics 2026
Overall
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
NO DATA AVAILABLE
Botafogo Serie A squad statistics 2026
Overall
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
NO DATA AVAILABLE