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Gremio v Sport Recife : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Mon 11th Aug, 00:30 BST, Arena do Grêmio, Rio

The Serie A is the focus for both Gremio and Sport Recife on Monday morning, as bosses Luiz Antônio Venker de Menezes and Daniel Backstrom go head to head at the Arena do Grêmio. You'll see stats supporting our top of under 2.5 goals below, but don't forget to explore 16 other betting markets we're covering too. Each has been designed to give you as full a picture as possible, with Serie A performances and head-to-heads included, so that you feel able to make a well-informed bet. Finally, be sure to get the best odds from leading bookmakers.


Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

Fans may not be thrilled to read this, but we don't predict a high-scoring affair here. The stats suggest Gremio and S. Recife both are capable of keeping it tight at the back, and the odds point towards a tie with fewer than 2 goals in total as they go head-to-head. We think they're probably right and, without an obvious outright winners to back, under 2.5 goals looks like a smart bet.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Gremio are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 53% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.83.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Gremio
53%
5/65/6
Draw
26%
5/212/5
S. Recife
20%
7/27/2
Gremio 1-0
15%
5/19/2
Draw 1-1
12%
11/211/2
Gremio 2-0
11%
13/26/1
Draw 0-0
10%
7/16/1
Gremio 2-1
9%
8/17/1
S. Recife 1-0
8%
9/18/1
Gremio 3-0
6%
14/111/1
S. Recife 2-1
5%
14/112/1
Gremio 3-1
4%
16/112/1
Draw 2-2
4%
18/114/1
S. Recife 2-0
3%
20/116/1
Gremio 4-0
2%
33/122/1
Gremio 3-2
2%
33/122/1
Gremio 4-1
2%
33/125/1
S. Recife 3-1
1%
40/128/1
Over 2.5 Goals
40%
5/46/5
Under 2.5 Goals
60%
8/138/13
Home 1st Goal
55%
8/138/13
Away 1st Goal
38%
7/49/5
No 1st Goal
7%
7/16/1
BTTS - Yes
42%
21/2011/10
BTTS - No
58%
7/107/10
BTTS - Home Win
18%
7/216/5
BTTS - Draw
16%
4/119/5
BTTS - Away Win
8%
9/115/2
Home/draw
80%
2/111/5
Away/draw
47%
10/1119/20
Home/away
74%
2/73/10
Over 1.5 Goals
66%
2/52/5
Under 1.5 Goals
34%
2/17/4
Over 3.5 Goals
19%
10/33/1
Under 3.5 Goals
81%
2/92/9
Over 4.5 Goals
8%
8/17/1
Under 4.5 Goals
92%
1/141/18
Over 5.5 Goals
3%
18/116/1
Under 5.5 Goals
97%
1/501/150
Over 0.5 Goals
90%
1/121/14
Under 0.5 Goals
10%
7/113/2
Home DNB
72%
3/103/10
Away DNB
39%
12/521/10
Gremio win to nil
35%
13/8-
S. Recife win to nil
13%
6/1-
Gremio / Gremio
28%
15/89/5
Gremio / S. Recife
2%
40/128/1
Gremio / Draw
6%
14/112/1
Draw / Gremio
18%
7/27/2
Draw / S. Recife
9%
17/215/2
Draw / Draw
17%
15/47/2
S. Recife / Gremio
3%
25/120/1
S. Recife / S. Recife
11%
7/16/1
S. Recife / Draw
5%
16/112/1
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win form
6
Gremio have not lost in 6 consecutive home league games
8
S. Recife have not won in 8 consecutive away league games
Gremio 14TH
20 league games
Home
6
Overall
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
10
D
4
Lost
6
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Gremio2 - 1Fortaleza
Gremio1 - 1Corinthians
Gremio1 - 0Bahia
Gremio1 - 1Bragantino
Gremio1 - 0Santos
Gremio1 - 1Internacional
Gremio0 - 2Flamengo
Gremio2 - 1A Mineiro
Gremio0 - 3Corinthians
Gremio2 - 1Sao Paulo
Gremio2 - 2Juventude
Gremio3 - 1Atletico Go
Gremio3 - 1Fortaleza
Gremio1 - 2Criciuma
Gremio3 - 2Flamengo
Gremio2 - 3A Mineiro
Gremio0 - 2Bahia
Gremio1 - 0Vasco d Gama
Gremio2 - 0Vitoria
Gremio0 - 2Cruzeiro
Goals: Scored
19
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
6
Draw
6
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AGremio0 - 1Fluminense
HGremio2 - 1Fortaleza
AGremio0 - 1Palmeiras
AGremio1 - 1Vasco d Gama
AGremio1 - 4Cruzeiro
HGremio1 - 1Corinthians
AGremio2 - 0Juventude
HGremio1 - 0Bahia
AGremio1 - 2Sao Paulo
HGremio1 - 1Bragantino
HGremio1 - 0Santos
AGremio1 - 1Vitoria
HGremio1 - 1Internacional
AGremio1 - 4Mirassol
HGremio0 - 2Flamengo
AGremio0 - 2Ceara
HGremio2 - 1A Mineiro
HGremio0 - 3Corinthians
AGremio1 - 1Vitoria
HGremio2 - 1Sao Paulo
S. Recife 20TH
20 league games
Away
8
Overall
Goals: Scored
20
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
W
4
Draw
6
Lost
10
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Vitoria2 - 2S. Recife
Juventude2 - 0S. Recife
Mirassol1 - 0S. Recife
Ceara2 - 0S. Recife
Fluminense2 - 1S. Recife
Corinthians2 - 1S. Recife
Vasco d Gama3 - 1S. Recife
Sao Paulo0 - 0S. Recife
Ponte Preta0 - 4S. Recife
Operario2 - 1S. Recife
America 2 - 1S. Recife
Novorizontin1 - 3S. Recife
Mirassol0 - 0S. Recife
Paysandu0 - 1S. Recife
CRB1 - 1S. Recife
Avai0 - 2S. Recife
Brusque1 - 0S. Recife
Vila Nova2 - 0S. Recife
Santos1 - 1S. Recife
Chapecoense1 - 1S. Recife
Goals: Scored
17
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
W
2
Draw
7
Lost
11
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HS. Recife0 - 0Bahia
HS. Recife2 - 2Santos
AS. Recife2 - 2Vitoria
HS. Recife0 - 1Botafogo
AS. Recife0 - 2Juventude
AS. Recife0 - 1Mirassol
HS. Recife1 - 1Internacional
AS. Recife0 - 2Ceara
HS. Recife0 - 4Cruzeiro
AS. Recife1 - 2Fluminense
HS. Recife0 - 0Fortaleza
AS. Recife1 - 2Corinthians
HS. Recife0 - 1Bragantino
AS. Recife1 - 3Vasco d Gama
HS. Recife1 - 2Palmeiras
AS. Recife0 - 0Sao Paulo
HS. Recife2 - 1Santos
AS. Recife4 - 0Ponte Preta
HS. Recife1 - 1Chapecoense
AS. Recife1 - 2Operario
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Gremio since 2018
Gremio
S. Recife
Goals: Scored
8
8
Games: Scored
4 / 4
3 / 4
Clean sheets
1 / 4
0 / 4
GRE
1
REC
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Gremio
Gremio3 - 0
1 - 2S. Recife
1 - 2S. Recife
3 - 4S. Recife
League games at S. Recife since 2018
S. Recife
Gremio
Goals: Scored
2
1
Games: Scored
2 / 4
1 / 4
Clean sheets
3 / 4
2 / 4
D
3
REC
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT S. Recife
Draw0 - 0Draw
S. Recife1 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
Goal Statistics

Gremio's fans will be hoping for goals on Monday morning, not least because Sport Recife have conceded in each of their last 9 Serie A games. A PG of 1.5 for L. Venker de Menezes's side suggests that run should continue.

Gremio 14th S. Recife 20th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.5
goals
0.8
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
23%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4+
There is a 77% probability that Gremio will score 1 or more goals
0
45%
1
36%
2
14%
3
4+
There is a 81% probability of S. Recife scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+1
Gremio’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+9
S. Recife’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.4
average goals scored
1.0
average goals scored
1.3
conceded
1.3
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2025/2025 season
Gremio
PG (predicted goals)
S. Recife
1.5
0.8
Attack rating
41%
better
GRE
REC
view stats
Games scored13
7
Failed to score4
9
Scored first10
4
Goals scored16
9
Avg. goals scored0.9
0.6
Avg. shots per game8
9
Avg. shots per goal9
16
Conversion rate for12
6
Avg. XG for1
1
KickOff rating
+41%
Defence rating
6%
better
GRE
REC
view stats
Games conceded14
13
Clean sheets3
3
Conceded first7
9
Goals conceded23
25
Avg. goals conceded1.4
1.6
Avg. shots/game conceded10
11
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
7
Conversion rate against13%
15%
Avg. XG against1.5
1.4
KickOff rating
+6%

Gremio v S. Recife Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Gremio Serie A squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
17615
T VolpiM BraithwaiteWagnerM Villasanti
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
T Volpi GLK17
2
-
Wagner DEF171
2
-
M Villasanti MID14
5
-
Dodi MID14
3
-
M Braithwaite FWD1461
2
-
A. da Rocha dos Santos FWD131
1
-
F Cristaldo MID121
1
-
Edenilson MID1211
4
-
Marlon DEF11
3
-
Camilo MID11
-
C Olivera FWD112
3
-
C Pavón FWD111
4
-
Jemerson DEF91
3
-
F Amuzu FWD91
2
-
A Guzmán FWD91
1
-
W Kannemann DEF8
3
-
M Monsalve MID81
2
-
André FWD81
-
G Martins DEF71
2
-
L Esteves DEF6
1
-
J Pedro DEF6
-
Ronald MID5
-
A Santana MID3
2
-
V Lopes DEF2
-
J Lucas DEF2
1
-
R Ely DEF2
-
Nathan MID2
-
G Cuéllar MID2
-
G Grando GLK1
1
1
S. Recife Serie A squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
15226
C BarlettaC BarlettaL LimaL Lima
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
C Barletta FWD1621
1
-
C Rivera MID14
4
-
L Lima MID142
6
-
I Cariús DEF13
1
-
Chico DEF13
1
-
C França GLK12
2
-
J. Gomes da Silva MID12
2
-
Hereda DEF111
1
-
D Queiroz MID11
-
R Atencio FWD11
1
-
M Alexandre DEF9
5
-
J Silva DEF8
1
-
S Oliveira MID81
3
-
Romarinho FWD82
-
Pablo FWD71
1
-
L Cunha DEF6
2
-
R Thyere DEF5
-
Gabriel GLK4
-
Matheusinho MID41
-
D Lacerda FWD41
2
-
J Ramírez FWD4
-
G Paciência FWD4
-
Kevyson DEF3
-
A Carlos DEF3
-
P Augusto MID3
1
-
Hyoran MID3
1
-
L Pereira FWD1
-