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Gremio v Vitória : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Thu 19th Mar, 22:00 BST, Arena do Grêmio, Rio

The Serie A is the focus for both Gremio and Vitória on Thursday night, as bosses Luís Manuel Ribeiro de Castro and Jair Zaksauskas Ribeiro Ventura face one another at the Arena do Grêmio. For every Serie A preview, KickOff delves into the stats for multiple markets. Key stats, including head to head (H2H) results, are then published alongside odds.


Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

KickOff's predictive algorithm suggests there's a 78% chance of Gremio and Vitoria serving up at least 2 goals in this Serie A match. Recent form statistics and head-to-head (H2H) records are factored into that calculation , and it would appear that the bookies like the look of it as a tip too. This over 1.5 goals tip is available at 1.25.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Gremio are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 52% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.85.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Gremio
52%
81/10017/20
Draw
24%
12/527/10
Vitoria
24%
10/33/1
Draw 1-1
11%
11/211/2
Gremio 1-0
11%
13/211/2
Gremio 2-1
10%
15/213/2
Gremio 2-0
9%
8/17/1
Vitoria 1-0
7%
11/19/1
Draw 0-0
6%
9/18/1
Vitoria 2-1
6%
14/111/1
Gremio 3-1
5%
14/112/1
Draw 2-2
5%
14/112/1
Gremio 3-0
5%
14/111/1
Vitoria 2-0
4%
20/114/1
Gremio 3-2
3%
25/120/1
Gremio 4-1
2%
28/122/1
Vitoria 3-1
2%
33/125/1
Gremio 4-0
2%
33/120/1
Over 2.5 Goals
52%
19/2010/11
Under 2.5 Goals
48%
17/204/5
Home 1st Goal
53%
8/138/13
Away 1st Goal
43%
6/48/5
No 1st Goal
4%
9/18/1
BTTS - Yes
53%
4/517/20
BTTS - No
47%
19/2017/20
BTTS - Home Win
24%
3/129/10
BTTS - Draw
18%
7/219/5
BTTS - Away Win
12%
7/113/2
Home/draw
76%
1/52/9
Away/draw
48%
10/1110/11
Home/away
76%
3/102/7
Over 1.5 Goals
76%
3/103/10
Under 1.5 Goals
24%
5/29/4
Over 3.5 Goals
30%
12/523/10
Under 3.5 Goals
70%
1/32/7
Over 4.5 Goals
14%
11/211/2
Under 4.5 Goals
86%
1/91/10
Over 5.5 Goals
6%
12/112/1
Under 5.5 Goals
94%
1/251/40
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1/161/20
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
9/18/1
Home DNB
69%
1/34/11
Away DNB
41%
9/419/10
Gremio win to nil
28%
9/4-
Vitoria win to nil
12%
7/1-
Gremio / Gremio
28%
2/17/4
Gremio / Vitoria
3%
33/125/1
Gremio / Draw
6%
12/112/1
Draw / Gremio
17%
15/419/5
Draw / Vitoria
9%
8/115/2
Draw / Draw
15%
9/217/4
Vitoria / Gremio
4%
22/118/1
Vitoria / Vitoria
12%
6/15/1
Vitoria / Draw
6%
14/112/1
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win form
Gremio 7TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
10
Draw
6
L
4
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Gremio1 - 1Bragantino
Gremio2 - 1A Mineiro
Gremio5 - 3Botafogo
Gremio1 - 2Fluminense
Gremio3 - 2Palmeiras
Gremio2 - 0Vasco d Gama
Gremio0 - 1Cruzeiro
Gremio3 - 1Juventude
Gremio2 - 0Sao Paulo
Gremio3 - 1Vitoria
Gremio1 - 1Botafogo
Gremio0 - 1Mirassol
Gremio0 - 0Ceara
Gremio0 - 1S. Recife
Gremio2 - 1Fortaleza
Gremio1 - 1Corinthians
Gremio1 - 0Bahia
Gremio1 - 1Bragantino
Gremio1 - 0Santos
Gremio1 - 1Internacional
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
8
D
4
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AGremio1 - 1Chapecoense
HGremio1 - 1Bragantino
HGremio2 - 1A Mineiro
AGremio0 - 2Sao Paulo
HGremio5 - 3Botafogo
AGremio1 - 2Fluminense
AGremio4 - 0S. Recife
HGremio1 - 2Fluminense
HGremio3 - 2Palmeiras
AGremio2 - 3Botafogo
HGremio2 - 0Vasco d Gama
AGremio2 - 2Fortaleza
HGremio0 - 1Cruzeiro
AGremio0 - 2Corinthians
HGremio3 - 1Juventude
AGremio0 - 4Bahia
HGremio2 - 0Sao Paulo
AGremio0 - 1Bragantino
AGremio1 - 1Santos
HGremio3 - 1Vitoria
Vitoria 11TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
16
Conceded
41
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
W
2
Draw
7
Lost
11
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Bahia1 - 1Vitoria
Palmeiras5 - 1Vitoria
Bragantino4 - 0Vitoria
S. Recife1 - 3Vitoria
Palmeiras0 - 0Vitoria
Cruzeiro3 - 1Vitoria
Santos0 - 1Vitoria
Vasco d Gama4 - 3Vitoria
Gremio3 - 1Vitoria
Fortaleza2 - 0Vitoria
Flamengo8 - 0Vitoria
Sao Paulo2 - 0Vitoria
Mirassol1 - 1Vitoria
Botafogo0 - 0Vitoria
Internacional1 - 0Vitoria
Corinthians0 - 0Vitoria
Bahia2 - 1Vitoria
Ceara1 - 0Vitoria
Fluminense1 - 1Vitoria
A Mineiro2 - 2Vitoria
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
9
D
3
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HVitoria2 - 0A Mineiro
AVitoria1 - 1Bahia
HVitoria1 - 2Flamengo
AVitoria1 - 5Palmeiras
HVitoria2 - 0Remo
HVitoria1 - 0Sao Paulo
AVitoria0 - 4Bragantino
HVitoria2 - 0Mirassol
AVitoria3 - 1S. Recife
AVitoria0 - 0Palmeiras
HVitoria0 - 0Botafogo
HVitoria1 - 0Internacional
AVitoria1 - 3Cruzeiro
HVitoria0 - 1Corinthians
AVitoria1 - 0Santos
HVitoria2 - 1Bahia
AVitoria3 - 4Vasco d Gama
HVitoria1 - 0Ceara
AVitoria1 - 3Gremio
HVitoria0 - 1Fluminense
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
3
Gremio have beaten Vitoria in 3 consecutive home league meetings
6
Gremio have not lost to Vitoria in 6 consecutive league meetings
League games at Gremio since 2018
Gremio
Vitoria
Goals: Scored
9
1
Games: Scored
3 / 3
1 / 3
Clean sheets
2 / 3
0 / 3
GRE
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Gremio
Gremio3 - 1
Gremio2 - 0
Gremio4 - 0
League games at Vitoria since 2018
Vitoria
Gremio
Goals: Scored
2
2
Games: Scored
2 / 3
2 / 3
Clean sheets
1 / 3
1 / 3
D
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Vitoria
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
Goal Statistics
Gremio 7th Vitoria 11th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.7
goals
1.1
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
19%
1
31%
2
26%
3
15%
4+
9%
There is a 81% probability that Gremio will score 1 or more goals
0
35%
1
37%
2
20%
3
4+
There is a 72% probability that Vitoria will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+16
Gremio have scored 16% more goals at home than predicted
-2
Vitoria’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.5
average goals scored
0.8
average goals scored
1.0
conceded
2.1
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2026/2026 season
Gremio
PG (predicted goals)
Vitoria
1.7
1.1
Attack rating
GRE
VIT
14%
better
view stats
Games scored4
5
Failed to score1
0
Scored first2
3
Goals scored9
7
Avg. goals scored1.8
1.4
Avg. shots per game9
8
Avg. shots per goal5
6
Conversion rate for19
18
Avg. XG for1.5
1.2
KickOff rating
+14%
Defence rating
GRE
VIT
28%
better
view stats
Games conceded5
3
Clean sheets0
2
Conceded first3
2
Goals conceded9
8
Avg. goals conceded1.8
1.6
Avg. shots/game conceded11
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
6
Conversion rate against16%
17%
Avg. XG against1.8
1.4
KickOff rating
+28%

Gremio v Vitoria Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Gremio Serie A squad statistics 2026
Overall
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
NO DATA AVAILABLE
Vitoria Serie A squad statistics 2026
Overall
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
NO DATA AVAILABLE