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Mirassol v Coritiba : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Wed 18th Mar, 23:00 BST, Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia, Mirassol

The Serie A is the focus for both Mirassol and Coritiba on Wednesday night, as bosses Rafael Silva Guanaes and Mozart Santos Batista Junior battle it out at the Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia. Our predictions are based on complex statistical analysis of each side, across 17 of the main markets. Data shown and the odds are unique to each market, and head to head (H2H) statistics are included for all.


Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

Our calculations suggest that there's minimal chance that this game will serve up more than 3 goals at most, and the odds and stats align with KO's predictive algorithm on this one. Mirassol and Cortiba haven't typically been involved in thrillers of late, whether that be in Serie A individually or when going head-to-head. So, without a convincing favourite draw or double chance market, we're going for under 3.5 goals. That's available at a best price of 1.29.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Mirassol are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 57% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.75.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Mirassol
57%
4/68/11
Draw
24%
5/227/10
Cortiba
19%
9/219/5
Mirassol 1-0
13%
5/119/4
Draw 1-1
11%
11/211/2
Mirassol 2-0
11%
13/26/1
Mirassol 2-1
10%
15/213/2
Draw 0-0
8%
15/27/1
Cortiba 1-0
7%
12/19/1
Mirassol 3-0
6%
12/110/1
Mirassol 3-1
5%
14/112/1
Cortiba 2-1
5%
16/112/1
Draw 2-2
4%
16/114/1
Cortiba 2-0
3%
25/116/1
Mirassol 4-0
3%
25/118/1
Mirassol 3-2
2%
28/122/1
Mirassol 4-1
2%
28/122/1
Cortiba 3-1
1%
40/128/1
Over 2.5 Goals
47%
21/2021/20
Under 2.5 Goals
53%
3/47/10
Home 1st Goal
56%
4/711/20
Away 1st Goal
39%
7/419/10
No 1st Goal
5%
8/17/1
BTTS - Yes
47%
1/121/20
BTTS - No
53%
3/47/10
BTTS - Home Win
23%
3/13/1
BTTS - Draw
16%
4/14/1
BTTS - Away Win
8%
10/18/1
Home/draw
81%
1/72/11
Away/draw
43%
11/1011/10
Home/away
76%
2/71/4
Over 1.5 Goals
72%
1/37/20
Under 1.5 Goals
28%
12/52/1
Over 3.5 Goals
25%
11/427/10
Under 3.5 Goals
75%
2/71/4
Over 4.5 Goals
12%
6/16/1
Under 4.5 Goals
88%
1/101/12
Over 5.5 Goals
5%
14/114/1
Under 5.5 Goals
95%
1/331/66
Over 0.5 Goals
92%
1/141/16
Under 0.5 Goals
8%
8/17/1
Home DNB
74%
1/42/7
Away DNB
36%
11/412/5
Mirassol win to nil
34%
13/8-
Cortiba win to nil
11%
8/1-
Mirassol / Mirassol
31%
13/88/5
Mirassol / Cortiba
2%
40/133/1
Mirassol / Draw
6%
14/112/1
Draw / Mirassol
18%
10/37/2
Draw / Cortiba
8%
9/117/2
Draw / Draw
16%
4/14/1
Cortiba / Mirassol
4%
22/118/1
Cortiba / Cortiba
10%
15/26/1
Cortiba / Draw
5%
16/112/1
Win / draw / win form
30
Mirassol have not lost in 30 consecutive home league games
6
Cortiba have not lost in 6 consecutive away league games
Mirassol 13TH
20 league games
Home
30
Overall
Goals: Scored
43
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
12
Draw
8
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
8
Draw
7
Lost
5
Cortiba 6TH
20 league games
Away
6
Overall
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
15
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
11
D
4
Lost
5
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
13
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
Won
10
Draw
5
Lost
5
Goal Statistics
Mirassol 13th Cortiba 6th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.7
goals
0.9
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
18%
1
31%
2
26%
3
15%
4+
9%
There is a 82% probability that Mirassol will score 1 or more goals
0
42%
1
36%
2
16%
3
4+
There is a 78% probability of Cortiba scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+32
Mirassol have scored 32% more goals at home than predicted
+20
Cortiba have scored 20% more goals when away than predicted
2.2
average goals scored
1.2
average goals scored
1.0
conceded
0.8
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2026/2026 season
Mirassol
PG (predicted goals)
Cortiba
1.7
0.9
Attack rating
COR
2%
better
view stats
Games scored4
4
Failed to score1
2
Scored first1
3
Goals scored8
8
Avg. goals scored1.6
1.3
Avg. shots per game12
8
Avg. shots per goal7
6
Conversion rate for14
16
Avg. XG for1.5
1.2
KickOff rating
+2%
Defence rating
COR
36%
better
view stats
Games conceded5
4
Clean sheets0
2
Conceded first4
3
Goals conceded8
6
Avg. goals conceded1.6
1
Avg. shots/game conceded9
13
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
13
Conversion rate against18%
8%
Avg. XG against1.5
1.5
KickOff rating
+36%

Mirassol v Cortiba Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Mirassol Serie A squad statistics 2026
Overall
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
NO DATA AVAILABLE
Cortiba Serie A squad statistics 2026
Overall
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
NO DATA AVAILABLE