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Palmeiras v Ceará : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 10th Aug, 20:00 BST, Allianz Parque, São Paulo

Abel Fernando Moreira Ferreira welcomes Leonardo Rodrigues Condé to the Allianz Parque on Sunday night, as their Palmeiras and Ceará troops do battle in the Serie A. Our goal is for you to win betting on this match, so every stats you could ever need to make a sound selection is laid out below. Go between seventeen markets or take our top tip. We've got predictions, head to head (H2H) analysis and odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers for each one.

Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

Concentration will be required as Palmeiras and Ceara go head-to-head, with hardly anything between the teams in terms of who might win. The stats don't provide any clear conclusion in that regard, but they are pointing strongly towards there being 2 goals or fewer in the fixture. That's a prediction available at best priced odds of 1.80 with the bookies, so we make under 2.5 goals our tip of the day on this one.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Palmeiras are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 51% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.44.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Palmeiras 50%	21/50	4/9
Draw 28%	15/4	7/2
Ceara 22%	6/1	13/2
Palmeiras 1-0 16%	4/1	4/1
Draw 1-1 13%	17/2	7/1
Draw 0-0 12%	8/1	15/2
Palmeiras 2-0 11%	9/2	9/2
Ceara 1-0 9%	12/1	11/1
Palmeiras 2-1 9%	8/1	7/1
Ceara 2-1 5%	20/1	18/1
Palmeiras 3-0 5%	8/1	7/1
Palmeiras 3-1 4%	14/1	11/1
Ceara 2-0 4%	33/1	25/1
Draw 2-2 3%	28/1	20/1
Palmeiras 4-0 2%	18/1	14/1
Palmeiras 3-2 2%	40/1	25/1
Palmeiras 4-1 1%	28/1	20/1
Ceara 3-1 1%	66/1	45/1
Over 2.5 Goals 37%	23/20	11/10
Under 2.5 Goals 63%	4/6	4/6
Home 1st Goal 53%	2/5	4/11
Away 1st Goal 39%	5/2	14/5
No 1st Goal 8%	8/1	15/2
BTTS - Yes 41%	6/4	29/20
BTTS - No 59%	1/2	1/2
BTTS - Home Win 17%	10/3	3/1
BTTS - Draw 16%	13/2	11/2
BTTS - Away Win 8%	16/1	12/1
Home/draw 78%	1/10	1/11
Away/draw 50%	7/4	7/4
Home/away 72%	2/11	1/5
Over 1.5 Goals 63%	2/5	4/11
Under 1.5 Goals 37%	2/1	19/10
Over 3.5 Goals 17%	3/1	11/4
Under 3.5 Goals 83%	1/4	1/4
Over 4.5 Goals 7%	7/1	13/2
Under 4.5 Goals 93%	1/12	1/14
Over 5.5 Goals 2%	18/1	14/1
Under 5.5 Goals 98%	1/50	1/80
Over 0.5 Goals 88%	1/14	1/18
Under 0.5 Goals 12%	8/1	15/2
Home DNB 70%	1/7	1/8
Away DNB 41%	9/2	9/2
Palmeiras win to nil 34%	1/1	-
Ceara win to nil 14%	9/1	-
Palmeiras / Palmeiras 38%	11/10	11/10
Palmeiras / Ceara 2%	50/1	40/1
Palmeiras / Draw 5%	16/1	16/1
Draw / Palmeiras 21%	11/4	14/5
Draw / Ceara 6%	14/1	12/1
Draw / Draw 15%	9/2	9/2
Ceara / Palmeiras 3%	25/1	20/1
Ceara / Ceara 6%	14/1	10/1
Ceara / Draw 4%	20/1	16/1

Win / draw / win form

Palmeiras have not lost in 5 consecutive league games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

11 / 20

Clean sheets

9 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Palmeiras	1 - 0	Gremio
Palmeiras	3 - 2	A Mineiro
Palmeiras	1 - 1	Mirassol
Palmeiras	0 - 2	Flamengo
Palmeiras	1 - 0	Sao Paulo
Palmeiras	0 - 1	Bahia
Palmeiras	2 - 0	Corinthians
Palmeiras	0 - 0	Botafogo
Palmeiras	0 - 1	Fluminense
Palmeiras	1 - 3	Botafogo
Palmeiras	1 - 0	Gremio
Palmeiras	2 - 2	Fortaleza
Palmeiras	2 - 1	A Mineiro
Palmeiras	5 - 0	Criciuma
Palmeiras	5 - 0	Cuiaba
Palmeiras	2 - 1	Sao Paulo
Palmeiras	0 - 2	Vitoria
Palmeiras	2 - 0	Cruzeiro
Palmeiras	3 - 1	Atletico Go
Palmeiras	2 - 0	Bahia

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

13 / 20

Clean sheets

7 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Palmeiras	2 - 2	Vitoria
H	Palmeiras	1 - 0	Gremio
A	Palmeiras	2 - 1	Fluminense
H	Palmeiras	3 - 2	A Mineiro
H	Palmeiras	1 - 1	Mirassol
A	Palmeiras	1 - 2	Cruzeiro
H	Palmeiras	0 - 2	Flamengo
A	Palmeiras	2 - 1	Bragantino
H	Palmeiras	1 - 0	Sao Paulo
A	Palmeiras	1 - 0	Vasco d Gama
H	Palmeiras	0 - 1	Bahia
A	Palmeiras	2 - 1	Fortaleza
A	Palmeiras	1 - 0	Internacional
H	Palmeiras	2 - 0	Corinthians
A	Palmeiras	2 - 1	S. Recife
H	Palmeiras	0 - 0	Botafogo
H	Palmeiras	0 - 1	Fluminense
A	Palmeiras	2 - 1	Cruzeiro
H	Palmeiras	1 - 3	Botafogo
A	Palmeiras	1 - 0	Atletico Go

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Cruzeiro	1 - 2	Ceara
Internacional	1 - 0	Ceara
Fortaleza	0 - 1	Ceara
Botafogo	3 - 2	Ceara
Santos	0 - 0	Ceara
Bahia	1 - 0	Ceara
Juventude	2 - 1	Ceara
Bragantino	2 - 2	Ceara
Guarani	0 - 0	Ceara
Botafogo	1 - 4	Ceara
Santos	1 - 0	Ceara
Ituano	1 - 2	Ceara
S. Recife	2 - 1	Ceara
Cortiba	3 - 1	Ceara
Chapecoense	2 - 1	Ceara
Amazonas	1 - 1	Ceara
CRB	0 - 2	Ceara
Goias	2 - 1	Ceara
America	2 - 2	Ceara
Avai	0 - 1	Ceara

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

13 / 20

Conceded

13 / 20

Clean sheets

7 / 20

Failed to score

7 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Ceara	1 - 1	Flamengo
A	Ceara	2 - 1	Cruzeiro
H	Ceara	0 - 2	Mirassol
A	Ceara	0 - 1	Internacional
H	Ceara	0 - 1	Corinthians
A	Ceara	1 - 0	Fortaleza
A	Ceara	2 - 3	Botafogo
H	Ceara	0 - 1	A Mineiro
H	Ceara	2 - 0	S. Recife
A	Ceara	0 - 0	Santos
H	Ceara	1 - 0	Vitoria
H	Ceara	1 - 1	Sao Paulo
A	Ceara	0 - 1	Bahia
H	Ceara	2 - 1	Vasco d Gama
A	Ceara	1 - 2	Juventude
H	Ceara	2 - 0	Gremio
A	Ceara	2 - 2	Bragantino
A	Ceara	0 - 0	Guarani
H	Ceara	1 - 0	America
A	Ceara	4 - 1	Botafogo

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Palmeiras

Ceara

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

5 / 5

3 / 5

Clean sheets

2 / 5

0 / 5

PAL

CEA

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Palmeiras
	2 - 3	Ceara
Palmeiras	1 - 0
Palmeiras	2 - 1
Palmeiras	1 - 0
Palmeiras	2 - 1

Ceara

Palmeiras

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

5 / 5

4 / 5

Clean sheets

1 / 5

0 / 5

PAL

CEA

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Ceara
	1 - 2	Palmeiras
	1 - 2	Palmeiras
Ceara	2 - 1
Ceara	2 - 0
Draw	2 - 2	Draw

Goal Statistics

	Palmeiras 3rd	Ceara 11th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.4 goals	0.8 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 26% 1 35% 2 24% 3 11% 4+ There is a 61% probability that Palmeiras will score no more than 1 goal	0 45% 1 36% 2 14% 3 4+ There is a 81% probability of Ceara scoring 1 goal or less

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-1 Palmeiras’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	+7 Ceara’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
	1.7 average goals scored	1.2 average goals scored
	0.9 conceded	1.3 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2025/2025 season

21%

better

PAL

CEA

view stats

Games scored	13		11
Failed to score	3		6
Scored first	9		8
Goals scored	21		17
Avg. goals scored	1.3		1
Avg. shots per game	10		9
Avg. shots per goal	7		9
Conversion rate for	14		11
Avg. XG for	1.2		1
KickOff rating		+21%

10%

better

PAL

CEA

view stats

Games conceded	10		12
Clean sheets	6		5
Conceded first	6		8
Goals conceded	14		17
Avg. goals conceded	0.9		1
Avg. shots/game conceded	7		9
Avg. shots/goal conceded	8		9
Conversion rate against	13%		11%
Avg. XG against	0.9		1.1
KickOff rating		+10%

Palmeiras v Ceara Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Palmeiras Serie A squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
15	4	2	3
Weverton	F Torres	F Torres	J López

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
Weverton GLK	15			2 -
J Piquerez DEF	15	3	1	2 -
V Roque FWD	15	3		2 -
A Giay DEF	14			-
E Martínez MID	14	1		2 -
J López FWD	14	3		3 -
F Torres FWD	14	4	2	2 -
G Portillo DEF	12			3 -
L Evangelista MID	12	1	1	1 -
A Moreno MID	12			1 -
B Fuchs DEF	11			3 -
M Maurício MID	11	3	1	-
F Anderson FWD	11			-
R Veiga MID	10		1	-
A. Andrade Elias FWD	10	1		1 1
Micael DEF	8			2 -
Paulinho FWD	7			-
R Sosa FWD	5		2	-
L. Sousa Santos FWD	5			-
Murilo DEF	4	1		3 -
Vanderlan DEF	3			-
L. Roncholeta Benedetti DEF	2			-
T. Gomes de Araújo FWD	2			-
M Lomba GLK	1			-
M Rocha DEF	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
4	11	2	4
F Torres	V Roque	F Torres	F Torres

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
F Torres FWD	4	9	2	4
J Piquerez DEF	3	6	1	2
V Roque FWD	3	11		1
J López FWD	3	6
M Maurício MID	3	5	1
E Martínez MID	1	4		1
L Evangelista MID	1	4	1	1
A. Andrade Elias FWD	1	2
Murilo DEF	1	2
A Giay DEF				1
G Portillo DEF		1
A Moreno MID		1		2
B Fuchs DEF				1
F Anderson FWD		3		1
R Veiga MID		2	1
Micael DEF		1
Paulinho FWD		2		1
R Sosa FWD			2	3
L. Sousa Santos FWD				1
M Rocha DEF		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
581	37	78
A Giay	A Giay	A Giay

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
A Giay DEF	581	37	78
J Piquerez DEF	580	22	46
G Portillo DEF	488	19	56
Weverton GLK	390		6
E Martínez MID	386	25	47
B Fuchs DEF	364	14	42
Micael DEF	344	18	41
A Moreno MID	341	20	33
F Torres FWD	337	7	32
L Evangelista MID	273	13	38
F Anderson FWD	261	19	41
M Maurício MID	215	1	12
Murilo DEF	184	9	17
R Veiga MID	155	6	24
J López FWD	130	12	74
Paulinho FWD	100	1	13
V Roque FWD	89	7	60
L. Roncholeta Benedetti DEF	88	2	6
A. Andrade Elias FWD	81	12	32
M Rocha DEF	62		2
L. Sousa Santos FWD	61	3	14
Vanderlan DEF	58	4	12
R Sosa FWD	54	2	11
M Lomba GLK	23
T. Gomes de Araújo FWD	16	1	2

Ceara Serie A squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
17	7	5	5
Diego	P Raul	L Mugni	F Sobral

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
Diego DEF	17		2	2 -
W Machado DEF	17			2 -
Galeano FWD	17	4		2 -
Marllon DEF	16	2		2 -
F Sobral MID	16			5 -
P Raul FWD	16	7		3 -
F Silva DEF	15		1	5 -
L Mugni MID	15	1	5	3 -
L Lourenço MID	15		1	-
M Bahia DEF	12		1	3 -
P Henrique FWD	12	1		5 -
Bruno GLK	10			2 -
R Ramos DEF	10			1 -
M Araújo MID	10	1	1	-
Aylon FWD	10	1		1 -
Romulo MID	9			-
F Miguel GLK	8			-
Nicolas DEF	7			-
L Lima MID	7			-
B Tubarão FWD	7			-
Fernandinho FWD	7		1	1 -
G. Oliveira da Silva FWD	5		1	-
Richardson MID	3			1 -
A Martínez MID	2		1	-
Éder DEF	1			-
M Victor DEF	1			-
J Victor FWD	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
7	18	5	3
P Raul	P Raul	L Mugni	P Raul

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
P Raul FWD	7	18		3
Galeano FWD	4	8		2
Marllon DEF	2	2
L Mugni MID	1	1	5	3
P Henrique FWD	1	8		1
M Araújo MID	1	2	1	1
Aylon FWD	1	4
Diego DEF		1	2	2
W Machado DEF		4		1
F Sobral MID				1
F Silva DEF		1	1
L Lourenço MID		3	1	2
M Bahia DEF		2	1	1
R Ramos DEF		1
Romulo MID		3		1
Nicolas DEF		1
Fernandinho FWD		2	1	1
G. Oliveira da Silva FWD		1	1	1
A Martínez MID		1	1	1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
621	34	105
W Machado	Diego	Diego

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
W Machado DEF	621	22	83
Diego DEF	534	34	105
Marllon DEF	513	15	48
F Sobral MID	428	30	59
F Silva DEF	418	19	59
M Bahia DEF	362	23	48
Galeano FWD	354	15	73
L Mugni MID	346	28	70
Bruno GLK	259		3
P Raul FWD	245	8	81
L Lourenço MID	237	11	27
F Miguel GLK	202	1	8
P Henrique FWD	155	17	40
R Ramos DEF	149	17	25
Nicolas DEF	122	9	15
Aylon FWD	87	9	34
M Araújo MID	79	3	14
Romulo MID	65	2	6
Fernandinho FWD	60	6	22
L Lima MID	51	6	10
Richardson MID	36	4	5
B Tubarão FWD	35	4	8
Éder DEF	34		1
M Victor DEF	21	1	3
G. Oliveira da Silva FWD	19	5	14
A Martínez MID	16		1
J Victor FWD	2