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Santos v Palmeiras : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 16th Nov, 00:00 BST, Estádio Urbano Caldeira, Santos

The Serie A is the focus for both Santos and Palmeiras on Sunday morning, as bosses Juan Pablo Vojvoda and Abel Fernando Moreira Ferreira go head to head at the Estádio Urbano Caldeira. Statistics power the algorithmic predictions below for 17 individual betting markets, and switching between them will display bespoke analysis, including head to head (H2H), form and a whole lot more besides. The best odds are also provided. Hit the tabs below to explore.


Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

The statistics suggest there's no obvious winner here, but the evidence does point towards the conclusion that Santos and Palmeiras will find the net twice at least between them. We've seen goals when they've gone head-to-head historically, and neither Juan Pablo Vojvoda or Abel Fernando Moreira Ferreira has subjected their supporters to too many 0-0s of late either. The bookies are predicting over 1.5 goals too, with top odds of 1.33 equating to approximately a 74% probability.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 42% chance of Palmeiras coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Santos
32%
11/5
16%
23/10
11%
Draw
26%
5/2
3%
12/5
Palmeiras
42%
23/20
10%
23/20
5%
Draw 1-1
12%
11/25/1
Palmeiras 1-0
10%
13/2
7%
6/1
8%
Palmeiras 2-1
9%
8/1
6%
7/1
Santos 1-0
9%
17/2
14%
15/2
6%
Santos 2-1
8%
10/1
15%
9/1
9%
Palmeiras 2-0
7%
9/1
11%
8/1
6%
Draw 0-0
7%
9/1
5%
15/2
6%
Draw 2-2
5%
14/112/1
Santos 2-0
5%
14/1
21%
12/1
13%
Palmeiras 3-1
4%
18/1
12%
14/1
15%
Palmeiras 3-0
3%
20/1
24%
14/1
Santos 3-1
3%
25/1
24%
20/1
9%
Palmeiras 3-2
3%
28/120/1
Santos 3-2
2%
33/1
17%
25/1
Santos 3-0
2%
33/1
17%
25/1
10%
Over 2.5 Goals
49%
1/119/20
3%
Under 2.5 Goals
51%
4/53/4
Home 1st Goal
46%
6/5
8%
13/10
6%
Away 1st Goal
49%
4/5
8%
4/5
4%
No 1st Goal
5%
9/1
5%
15/2
6%
BTTS - Yes
54%
4/54/5
2%
BTTS - No
46%
19/2010/11
BTTS - Home Win
15%
11/2
19%
5/1
8%
BTTS - Draw
19%
15/47/2
2%
BTTS - Away Win
19%
7/2
4%
16/5
Home/draw
58%
4/6
7%
7/10
3%
Away/draw
68%
4/11
9%
1/3
6%
Home/away
74%
2/7
1%
3/10
Over 1.5 Goals
74%
1/31/3
Under 1.5 Goals
26%
12/511/5
3%
Over 3.5 Goals
28%
11/4
7%
12/5
Under 3.5 Goals
72%
2/7
1%
2/7
Over 4.5 Goals
13%
6/111/2
Under 4.5 Goals
87%
1/101/10
1%
Over 5.5 Goals
5%
14/112/1
Under 5.5 Goals
95%
1/331/50
Over 0.5 Goals
93%
1/161/16
Under 0.5 Goals
7%
9/1
5%
15/2
6%
Home DNB
51%
5/4
18%
11/8
8%
Away DNB
60%
4/7
12%
8/15
6%
Santos win to nil
17%
9/2
15%
-
Palmeiras win to nil
22%
11/4
15%
-
Santos / Santos
15%
9/2
15%
17/4
9%
Santos / Palmeiras
3%
25/1
13%
20/1
Santos / Draw
6%
14/111/1
8%
Draw / Santos
11%
6/1
13%
6/1
7%
Draw / Palmeiras
15%
9/2
10%
4/1
4%
Draw / Draw
16%
4/119/5
4%
Palmeiras / Santos
3%
28/1
15%
25/1
Palmeiras / Palmeiras
24%
5/2
13%
23/10
6%
Palmeiras / Draw
6%
12/111/1
Win / draw / win form
5
Santos have not won in 5 consecutive league games
Santos 17TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
5
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
9
Draw
5
Lost
6
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
34
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
5
Draw
7
Lost
8
Palmeiras 1ST
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
13
D
2
Lost
5
Goals: Scored
45
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
14
D
3
L
3
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
3
Palmeiras have kept a clean sheet in 3 consecutive away league meetings with Santos
League games at Santos since 2018
Santos
Palmeiras
Goals: Scored
5
6
Games: Scored
3 / 6
4 / 6
Clean sheets
2 / 6
3 / 6
STS
1
D
3
PAL
2
League games at Palmeiras since 2018
Palmeiras
Santos
Goals: Scored
16
7
Games: Scored
7 / 7
4 / 7
Clean sheets
3 / 7
0 / 7
STS
1
PAL
6
Goal Statistics
Santos 17th Palmeiras 1st
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.2
goals
1.4
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
29%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 65% probability that Santos will score no more than 1 goal
0
24%
1
34%
2
24%
3
12%
4+
There is a 76% probability that Palmeiras will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-16
Santos have scored 16% fewer goals at home than predicted
+30
Palmeiras have scored 30% more goals when away than predicted
1.2
average goals scored
1.7
average goals scored
1.1
conceded
1.2
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2025/2025 season
Santos
PG (predicted goals)
Palmeiras
1.2
1.4
Attack rating
STS
PAL
37%
better
view stats
Games scored20
27
Failed to score12
5
Scored first8
18
Goals scored33
58
Avg. goals scored1
1.8
Avg. shots per game10
11
Avg. shots per goal9
6
Conversion rate for11
16
Avg. XG for1.3
1.5
KickOff rating
+37%
Defence rating
STS
PAL
32%
better
view stats
Games conceded26
20
Clean sheets6
12
Conceded first22
12
Goals conceded48
28
Avg. goals conceded1.5
0.9
Avg. shots/game conceded10
7
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
8
Conversion rate against15%
12%
Avg. XG against1.3
0.9
KickOff rating
+32%

Santos v Palmeiras Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Santos Serie A squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
32847
G BrazãoÁlvaro BarrealB RollheiserB Rollheiser
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
G Brazão GLK32
2
-
B Rollheiser FWD3014
7
-
G Escobar DEF28
6
1
Álvaro Barreal FWD2881
2
-
G Augusto FWD2642
-
J Schmidt MID252
7
-
T Soares FWD2523
3
-
L Peres DEF22
6
-
Z Rafael MID221
4
-
G. Silva Bontempo MID2121
1
-
J. de Souza Menezes DEF1812
3
-
Z Ivaldo DEF161
6
1
T Rincón  MID16
4
1
Thaciano MID161
-
I Vinícius  DEF15
4
-
Neymar MID153
6
1
G Caballero FWD1211
1
-
L Díaz FWD1131
2
-
Mayke DEF9
2
-
A Frías DEF7
2
-
W Arão MID7
-
V Hugo MID7
-
J Basso DEF61
2
-
L Doria DEF6
2
-
A Duarte DEF5
1
-
M. de Sousa FWD3
-
H. Carvalho Machado Silva MID2
-
D Diógenes GLK1
-
B Brahimi FWD1
-
Palmeiras Serie A squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
261677
J PiquerezV RoqueM MaurícioG Portillo
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
V Roque FWD30163
3
-
J Piquerez DEF2831
2
1
J López FWD28102
5
-
F Anderson FWD2742
-
Weverton GLK26
2
-
A Giay DEF25
1
-
M Maurício MID2537
1
-
F Torres FWD2543
2
-
G Portillo DEF2421
7
-
A Moreno  MID231
6
-
A. Andrade Elias MID2313
1
1
B Fuchs DEF222
5
-
E Martínez MID221
3
-
R Veiga MID2124
1
-
L Evangelista MID1921
2
-
R Sosa FWD1922
-
Murilo DEF1611
5
-
Micael DEF131
4
-
A Pereira  MID122
3
-
Khellven DEF102
1
-
J Dias DEF71
-
L. Sousa Santos FWD7
-
Paulinho FWD7
-
B Rodrigues FWD62
-
C Miguel GLK5
-
L. Roncholeta Benedetti DEF2
-
M Lomba GLK1
-