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Santos v Palmeiras : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 13th Jul, 19:00 BST, Estádio Urbano Caldeira, Santos

Sunday evening sees Cléber Márcio Serpa Xavier’s Santos and Abel Fernando Moreira Ferreira’s Palmeiras go up against one another in a Serie A battle at the Estádio Urbano Caldeira. Serie A stats are the most important part of the predictions you'll find below, with head to head (H2H) performance included too. There's so much to explore, with infographics and the best odds available for seventeen major betting markets via the tabs.


Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

Our calculations suggest that it's unlikely that this fixture will deliver 4 goals or more, and the odds and stats are in line with our predictive algorithm on this one. Santos and Palmeiras have seldom been involved in thrillers of late, whether that be in Serie A individually or in head-to-head clashes. So, without a compelling favourite win or double chance market, we're going for under 3.5 goals. The UK's top bookies have that available at a best price of 1.18.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 44% chance of Palmeiras coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Santos
28%
-12/5
3%
Draw
28%
-21/10
6%
Palmeiras
44%
-5/4
2%
Palmeiras 1-0
13%
-19/4
Draw 1-1
13%
-5/1
Draw 0-0
10%
-11/2
Santos 1-0
10%
-13/2
7%
Palmeiras 2-0
9%
-15/2
Palmeiras 2-1
9%
-15/2
Santos 2-1
6%
-10/1
Santos 2-0
5%
-12/1
Draw 2-2
4%
-14/1
Palmeiras 3-0
4%
-16/1
Palmeiras 3-1
4%
-16/1
Santos 3-1
2%
-22/1
Palmeiras 3-2
2%
-25/1
Santos 3-0
2%
-28/1
12%
Santos 3-2
1%
-33/1
Over 2.5 Goals
41%
-7/5
1%
Under 2.5 Goals
59%
-8/15
Home 1st Goal
43%
-7/5
1%
Away 1st Goal
51%
-5/6
1%
No 1st Goal
6%
-11/2
BTTS - Yes
46%
-11/10
BTTS - No
54%
-4/6
BTTS - Home Win
11%
-6/1
BTTS - Draw
18%
-18/5
4%
BTTS - Away Win
17%
-4/1
5%
Home/draw
56%
-13/20
Away/draw
72%
-3/10
2%
Home/away
72%
-7/20
2%
Over 1.5 Goals
67%
-10/21
Under 1.5 Goals
33%
-6/4
Over 3.5 Goals
20%
-7/2
Under 3.5 Goals
80%
-2/11
Over 4.5 Goals
9%
-8/1
5%
Under 4.5 Goals
91%
-1/20
Over 5.5 Goals
3%
-18/1
Under 5.5 Goals
97%
-1/1000
Over 0.5 Goals
90%
-1/11
1%
Under 0.5 Goals
10%
-11/2
7%
Home DNB
47%
-13/10
Away DNB
64%
-8/15
1%
Santos win to nil
17%
--
Palmeiras win to nil
27%
--
Santos / Santos
15%
-17/4
5%
Santos / Palmeiras
3%
-22/1
Santos / Draw
6%
-12/1
Draw / Santos
11%
-6/1
Draw / Palmeiras
16%
-4/1
Draw / Draw
18%
-16/5
3%
Palmeiras / Santos
3%
-28/1
12%
Palmeiras / Palmeiras
22%
-5/2
Palmeiras / Draw
6%
-12/1
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win form
Santos 18TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
15
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
10
Draw
6
L
4
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Santos0 - 1Botafogo
Santos0 - 0Ceara
Santos1 - 2Bragantino
Santos2 - 0A Mineiro
Santos2 - 2Bahia
Santos0 - 2CRB
Santos3 - 0Vila Nova
Santos1 - 0Ceara
Santos3 - 2Mirassol
Santos1 - 0Operario
Santos1 - 1Novorizontin
Santos2 - 1America
Santos2 - 2Ponte Preta
Santos0 - 0Amazonas
Santos0 - 1Avai
Santos1 - 1S. Recife
Santos4 - 0Cortiba
Santos2 - 0Ituano
Santos1 - 0Chapecoense
Santos2 - 0Goias
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
8
D
2
Lost
10
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ASantos3 - 2Fortaleza
HSantos0 - 1Botafogo
ASantos1 - 0Vitoria
ASantos0 - 1Corinthians
HSantos0 - 0Ceara
ASantos0 - 1Gremio
HSantos1 - 2Bragantino
ASantos1 - 2Sao Paulo
HSantos2 - 0A Mineiro
ASantos0 - 1Fluminense
HSantos2 - 2Bahia
ASantos1 - 2Vasco d Gama
ASantos1 - 2S. Recife
HSantos0 - 2CRB
ASantos2 - 0Cortiba
HSantos3 - 0Vila Nova
ASantos2 - 0Ituano
HSantos1 - 0Ceara
ASantos2 - 3Chapecoense
HSantos3 - 2Mirassol
Palmeiras 4TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
11
D
4
Lost
5
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Cruzeiro2 - 1Palmeiras
Bragantino1 - 2Palmeiras
Vasco d Gama0 - 1Palmeiras
Fortaleza1 - 2Palmeiras
Internacional0 - 1Palmeiras
S. Recife1 - 2Palmeiras
Cruzeiro1 - 2Palmeiras
Atletico Go0 - 1Palmeiras
Bahia1 - 2Palmeiras
Corinthians2 - 0Palmeiras
Juventude3 - 5Palmeiras
Bragantino0 - 0Palmeiras
Vasco d Gama0 - 1Palmeiras
Athletico PR0 - 2Palmeiras
Flamengo1 - 1Palmeiras
Internacional1 - 1Palmeiras
Fluminense1 - 0Palmeiras
Botafogo1 - 0Palmeiras
Gremio2 - 2Palmeiras
Fortaleza3 - 0Palmeiras
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
12
D
2
Lost
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
APalmeiras1 - 2Cruzeiro
HPalmeiras0 - 2Flamengo
APalmeiras2 - 1Bragantino
HPalmeiras1 - 0Sao Paulo
APalmeiras1 - 0Vasco d Gama
HPalmeiras0 - 1Bahia
APalmeiras2 - 1Fortaleza
APalmeiras1 - 0Internacional
HPalmeiras2 - 0Corinthians
APalmeiras2 - 1S. Recife
HPalmeiras0 - 0Botafogo
HPalmeiras0 - 1Fluminense
APalmeiras2 - 1Cruzeiro
HPalmeiras1 - 3Botafogo
APalmeiras1 - 0Atletico Go
APalmeiras2 - 1Bahia
HPalmeiras1 - 0Gremio
APalmeiras0 - 2Corinthians
HPalmeiras2 - 2Fortaleza
APalmeiras5 - 3Juventude
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
3
Palmeiras have kept a clean sheet in 3 consecutive away league meetings with Santos
League games at Santos since 2018
Santos
Palmeiras
Goals: Scored
5
6
Games: Scored
3 / 6
4 / 6
Clean sheets
2 / 6
3 / 6
STS
1
D
3
PAL
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Santos
Draw0 - 0Draw
0 - 1Palmeiras
0 - 2Palmeiras
Draw2 - 2Draw
Santos2 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
League games at Palmeiras since 2018
Palmeiras
Santos
Goals: Scored
14
7
Games: Scored
6 / 6
4 / 6
Clean sheets
2 / 6
0 / 6
STS
1
PAL
5
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Palmeiras
1 - 2Santos
Palmeiras1 - 0
Palmeiras3 - 2
Palmeiras2 - 1
Palmeiras4 - 0
Palmeiras3 - 2
Goal Statistics
Santos 18th Palmeiras 4th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.0
goals
1.3
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
37%
1
37%
2
18%
3
4+
There is a 74% probability of Santos scoring 1 goal or less
0
27%
1
35%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 62% probability that Palmeiras will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-7
Santos’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+1
Palmeiras’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.4
average goals scored
1.3
average goals scored
0.8
conceded
1.1
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2025/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/294574/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Santos
PG (predicted goals)
Palmeiras
1
1.3
Attack rating
STS
PAL
16%
better
view stats
Games scored7
8
Failed to score5
3
Scored first4
6
Goals scored11
12
Avg. goals scored0.9
1.1
Avg. shots per game8
10
Avg. shots per goal9
9
Conversion rate for11
11
Avg. XG for1
1.3
KickOff rating
+16%
Defence rating
STS
PAL
30%
better
view stats
Games conceded9
6
Clean sheets3
5
Conceded first7
4
Goals conceded14
8
Avg. goals conceded1.2
0.7
Avg. shots/game conceded10
7
Avg. shots/goal conceded9
10
Conversion rate against11%
10%
Avg. XG against1.2
0.9
KickOff rating
+30%

Santos v Palmeiras Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Santos Serie A squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
12324
G BrazãoÁlvaro BarrealT SoaresZ Ivaldo
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
G Brazão GLK12
-
B Rollheiser FWD121
3
-
Z Ivaldo DEF111
4
-
G Escobar DEF11
2
1
G. Silva Bontempo MID111
-
D Eugênio FWD111
-
T Soares FWD1112
2
-
Thaciano MID101
-
J Schmidt MID9
3
-
G Augusto FWD92
-
Álvaro Barreal FWD93
-
D Pituca MID81
2
-
Gil DEF6
2
-
T Rincón  MID6
2
-
G Veron FWD6
-
L Peres DEF5
3
-
J. Pedro Chermont Crema DEF5
2
-
Z Rafael MID5
1
-
Y Soteldo FWD5
1
-
Neymar MID4
2
1
L. Oliveira Meirelles FWD4
-
L Doria DEF3
1
-
J. de Souza Menezes DEF31
-
J Basso DEF3
-
M. de Sousa FWD3
-
Aderlan DEF2
-
Kevyson DEF1
-
H. Carvalho Machado Silva MID1
-
Palmeiras Serie A squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
11234
WevertonJ PiquerezE. Almeida de Oliveira GonçalvesR Ríos
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Weverton GLK11
1
-
J Piquerez DEF112
2
-
A Giay DEF11
-
E. Almeida de Oliveira Gonçalves FWD113
3
-
E Martínez MID101
1
-
V Roque FWD102
2
-
J López FWD102
2
-
R Ríos MID92
4
-
F Torres FWD921
1
-
G Portillo DEF8
3
-
B Fuchs DEF8
2
-
A Moreno  MID8
-
L Evangelista MID81
-
F Anderson FWD8
-
M Maurício MID71
-
Paulinho FWD7
-
Micael DEF6
1
-
A. Andrade Elias MID61
-
R Veiga MID5
-
Murilo DEF41
3
-
Mayke DEF2
1
-
L. Sousa Santos FWD2
-
Vanderlan DEF1
-
K Naves DEF1
-
L. Roncholeta Benedetti DEF1
-
T. Gomes de Araújo FWD1
-