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Sao Paulo v Flamengo : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Thu 29th Jan, 00:30 BST, Estádio Cícero Pompeu de Toledo, São Paulo

We’ve Serie A action to look forward to on Thursday morning, as Hernán Jorge Crespo and his Sao Paulo side host Filipe Luis Kasmirski’s Flamengo at the Estádio Cícero Pompeu de Toledo. Statistics power the predictions below for all the markets, and switching between them will display bespoke analysis, including head-to-head, form and much more besides. Odds from leading bookmakers are also provided. Click on the tabs below to find out more.


Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

There's 74% chance of Sao Paulo and Flamengo 3 goals or less combined during this Serie A clash according to our predictive algorithm and, in the absense of a strong favourite in the WDW market, we think that's where the smart money should go. Our calculations are made based on latest form, historical head-to-head (H2H) stats and the view of the betting market, and you can get it at top odds of 1.29.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 51% chance of Flamengo coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Sao Paulo
24%
4.104.20
Draw
26%
3.403.10
Flamengo
50%
1.902.00
Flamengo 1-0
12%
6.505.25
Draw 1-1
12%
6.506.00
Flamengo 2-0
10%
8.507.50
Flamengo 2-1
9%
9.009.00
Draw 0-0
8%
8.506.00
Sao Paulo 1-0
8%
10.008.00
Sao Paulo 2-1
6%
15.0013.00
Flamengo 3-0
5%
17.0013.00
Flamengo 3-1
5%
17.0017.00
Draw 2-2
5%
17.0017.00
Sao Paulo 2-0
4%
21.0015.00
Flamengo 3-2
2%
29.0029.00
Sao Paulo 3-1
2%
34.0029.00
Flamengo 4-0
2%
34.0029.00
Flamengo 4-1
2%
41.0034.00
Over 2.5 Goals
46%
2.102.50
Under 2.5 Goals
54%
1.701.48
Home 1st Goal
42%
2.502.75
Away 1st Goal
53%
1.671.70
No 1st Goal
5%
8.506.00
BTTS - Yes
49%
1.952.25
BTTS - No
51%
1.801.57
BTTS - Home Win
11%
8.509.00
BTTS - Draw
18%
4.754.80
BTTS - Away Win
21%
4.505.25
Home/draw
50%
1.801.80
Away/draw
76%
1.221.22
Home/away
74%
1.301.35
Over 1.5 Goals
72%
1.361.50
Under 1.5 Goals
28%
3.202.45
Over 3.5 Goals
25%
4.005.00
Under 3.5 Goals
75%
1.251.15
Over 4.5 Goals
11%
8.0010.00
Under 4.5 Goals
89%
1.081.04
Over 5.5 Goals
4%
17.0021.00
Under 5.5 Goals
96%
1.031.00
Over 0.5 Goals
92%
1.071.10
Under 0.5 Goals
8%
9.006.00
Home DNB
42%
2.752.80
Away DNB
68%
1.401.36
Sao Paulo win to nil
13%
6.50-
Flamengo win to nil
30%
3.25-
Sao Paulo / Sao Paulo
12%
6.506.50
Sao Paulo / Flamengo
3%
26.0023.00
Sao Paulo / Draw
6%
15.0013.00
Draw / Sao Paulo
10%
8.008.00
Draw / Flamengo
17%
4.754.80
Draw / Draw
18%
5.004.00
Flamengo / Sao Paulo
2%
34.0034.00
Flamengo / Flamengo
26%
3.103.10
Flamengo / Draw
6%
15.0013.00
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win form
Sao Paulo 8TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
10
D
4
Lost
6
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Sao Paulo3 - 0Internacional
Sao Paulo2 - 1Juventude
Sao Paulo0 - 1Bragantino
Sao Paulo2 - 2Flamengo
Sao Paulo2 - 0Bahia
Sao Paulo2 - 3Palmeiras
Sao Paulo0 - 1Ceara
Sao Paulo1 - 0Botafogo
Sao Paulo2 - 0A Mineiro
Sao Paulo2 - 0Vitoria
Sao Paulo3 - 1Fluminense
Sao Paulo2 - 0Corinthians
Sao Paulo1 - 3Vasco d Gama
Sao Paulo0 - 2Mirassol
Sao Paulo2 - 1Gremio
Sao Paulo0 - 0Fortaleza
Sao Paulo2 - 1Santos
Sao Paulo1 - 1Cruzeiro
Sao Paulo0 - 0S. Recife
Sao Paulo1 - 2Juventude
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
8
D
2
Lost
10
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ASao Paulo0 - 1Vitoria
HSao Paulo3 - 0Internacional
ASao Paulo0 - 6Fluminense
HSao Paulo2 - 1Juventude
ASao Paulo1 - 3Corinthians
HSao Paulo0 - 1Bragantino
HSao Paulo2 - 2Flamengo
ASao Paulo2 - 0Vasco d Gama
HSao Paulo2 - 0Bahia
ASao Paulo0 - 3Mirassol
ASao Paulo0 - 2Gremio
HSao Paulo2 - 3Palmeiras
ASao Paulo2 - 0Fortaleza
HSao Paulo0 - 1Ceara
ASao Paulo0 - 1Santos
HSao Paulo1 - 0Botafogo
ASao Paulo0 - 1Cruzeiro
HSao Paulo2 - 0A Mineiro
ASao Paulo2 - 2S. Recife
HSao Paulo2 - 0Vitoria
Flamengo 1ST
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
35
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
10
Draw
5
Lost
5
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Mirassol3 - 3Flamengo
A Mineiro1 - 1Flamengo
Fluminense2 - 1Flamengo
S. Recife1 - 5Flamengo
Sao Paulo2 - 2Flamengo
Fortaleza1 - 0Flamengo
Botafogo0 - 3Flamengo
Bahia1 - 0Flamengo
Corinthians1 - 2Flamengo
Juventude0 - 2Flamengo
Internacional1 - 3Flamengo
Ceara1 - 1Flamengo
Bragantino1 - 2Flamengo
Santos1 - 0Flamengo
Palmeiras0 - 2Flamengo
Cruzeiro2 - 1Flamengo
Vasco d Gama0 - 0Flamengo
Gremio0 - 2Flamengo
Vitoria1 - 2Flamengo
Criciuma0 - 3Flamengo
Goals: Scored
45
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
11
Draw
6
L
3
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AFlamengo3 - 3Mirassol
HFlamengo1 - 0Ceara
AFlamengo1 - 1A Mineiro
HFlamengo3 - 0Bragantino
AFlamengo1 - 2Fluminense
AFlamengo5 - 1S. Recife
HFlamengo3 - 2Santos
AFlamengo2 - 2Sao Paulo
HFlamengo3 - 0S. Recife
AFlamengo0 - 1Fortaleza
HFlamengo3 - 2Palmeiras
AFlamengo3 - 0Botafogo
AFlamengo0 - 1Bahia
HFlamengo0 - 0Cruzeiro
AFlamengo2 - 1Corinthians
HFlamengo1 - 1Vasco d Gama
AFlamengo2 - 0Juventude
HFlamengo1 - 1Gremio
HFlamengo8 - 0Vitoria
AFlamengo3 - 1Internacional
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Sao Paulo since 2018
Sao Paulo
Flamengo
Goals: Scored
9
12
Games: Scored
6 / 8
6 / 8
Clean sheets
2 / 8
2 / 8
SAO
3
D
3
FLA
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Sao Paulo
Draw2 - 2Draw
Sao Paulo1 - 0
Sao Paulo1 - 0
0 - 2Flamengo
0 - 4Flamengo
Sao Paulo2 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw2 - 2Draw
League games at Flamengo since 2018
Flamengo
Sao Paulo
Goals: Scored
14
9
Games: Scored
6 / 8
6 / 8
Clean sheets
2 / 8
2 / 8
SAO
2
D
2
FLA
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Flamengo
Flamengo2 - 0
Flamengo2 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
Flamengo3 - 1
Flamengo5 - 1
1 - 4Sao Paulo
Draw0 - 0Draw
0 - 1Sao Paulo
Goal Statistics

Flamengo have been reliable in front of goal of late, finding the net in 9 consecutive Serie A games. Their PG of 1.5 against Sao Paulo on Thursday suggests that run is likely to continue.

Sao Paulo 8th Flamengo 1st
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.0
goals
1.5
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
38%
1
37%
2
18%
3
4+
There is a 75% probability of Sao Paulo scoring 1 goal or less
0
21%
1
33%
2
25%
3
13%
4+
There is a 79% probability that Flamengo will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-2
Sao Paulo’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+27
Flamengo have scored 27% more goals when away than predicted
1.4
average goals scored
1.8
average goals scored
1.0
conceded
1.0
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2026/2026 season
Sao Paulo
PG (predicted goals)
Flamengo
1
1.5
Attack rating
0%
better
SAO
FLA
view stats
Games scored0
0
Failed to score0
0
Scored first0
0
Goals scored0
0
Avg. goals scored0
0
Avg. shots per game0
0
Avg. shots per goal0
0
Conversion rate for0
0
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
0%
Defence rating
0%
better
SAO
FLA
view stats
Games conceded0
0
Clean sheets0
0
Conceded first0
0
Goals conceded0
0
Avg. goals conceded0
0
Avg. shots/game conceded0
0
Avg. shots/goal conceded0
0
Conversion rate against0%
0%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
0%

Sao Paulo v Flamengo Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Sao Paulo Serie A squad statistics 2026
Overall
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
NO DATA AVAILABLE
Flamengo Serie A squad statistics 2026
Overall
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
NO DATA AVAILABLE