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Sao Paulo v Vasco da Gama : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Fri 13th Jun, 01:30 BST, Estádio Cícero Pompeu de Toledo, São Paulo

the Estádio Cícero Pompeu de Toledo masses welcome Vasco da Gama's fans on Friday morning, as Luis Francisco Zubeldía's Sao Paulo go head to head with Fabio Pecchia's charges in the Serie A. Team form, head to head (H2H) statistics, predictions and the best odds are all published below. Helping our users place smart bets is what we do best. Here we've gone for under 2.5 goals, but why not take a look and see if there's another bet you prefer?


Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

We are anticipating a relatively tight affair here and, as such, are predicting under 2.5 goals. This means that we expect 2 goals or fewer will be scored in total as Sao Paulo and Vasco d Gama go head-to-head. Clear game plans will be required to deliver us a winner, but we have faith in both sides to deliver just that. The stats and the odds below point in this direction too.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Sao Paulo are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 53% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.80.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Sao Paulo
53%
4/5-
Draw
27%
5/2-
Vasco d Gama
20%
7/2-
Sao Paulo 1-0
16%
9/2-
Draw 1-1
12%
6/1-
Sao Paulo 2-0
12%
13/2-
Draw 0-0
11%
6/1-
Sao Paulo 2-1
9%
8/1-
Vasco d Gama 1-0
8%
8/1-
Sao Paulo 3-0
6%
14/1-
Vasco d Gama 2-1
5%
14/1-
Sao Paulo 3-1
4%
18/1-
Draw 2-2
3%
20/1-
Vasco d Gama 2-0
3%
20/1-
Sao Paulo 4-0
2%
33/1-
Sao Paulo 3-2
2%
40/1-
Sao Paulo 4-1
2%
40/1-
Vasco d Gama 3-1
1%
40/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
38%
7/5-
Under 2.5 Goals
62%
8/15-
Home 1st Goal
54%
8/15-
Away 1st Goal
38%
21/10-
No 1st Goal
8%
6/1-
BTTS - Yes
40%
6/5-
BTTS - No
60%
8/13-
BTTS - Home Win
17%
4/1-
BTTS - Draw
16%
9/2-
BTTS - Away Win
7%
10/1-
Home/draw
80%
2/11-
Away/draw
47%
19/20-
Home/away
73%
2/7-
Over 1.5 Goals
64%
1/2-
Under 1.5 Goals
36%
13/8-
Over 3.5 Goals
18%
4/1-
Under 3.5 Goals
82%
1/6-
Over 4.5 Goals
7%
10/1-
Under 4.5 Goals
93%
1/20-
Over 5.5 Goals
2%
22/1-
Under 5.5 Goals
98%
1/80-
Over 0.5 Goals
89%
1/10-
Under 0.5 Goals
11%
6/1-
Home DNB
72%
1/3-
Away DNB
39%
9/4-
Sao Paulo win to nil
36%
13/8-
Vasco d Gama win to nil
13%
11/2-
Sao Paulo / Sao Paulo
29%
15/8-
Sao Paulo / Vasco d Gama
2%
40/1-
Sao Paulo / Draw
6%
14/1-
Draw / Sao Paulo
18%
7/2-
Draw / Vasco d Gama
9%
8/1-
Draw / Draw
18%
7/2-
Vasco d Gama / Sao Paulo
3%
28/1-
Vasco d Gama / Vasco d Gama
10%
7/1-
Vasco d Gama / Draw
5%
16/1-
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win form
5
Vasco d Gama have lost 5 consecutive away league games
5
Vasco d Gama have not won in 5 consecutive away league games
Sao Paulo 13TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
12
Draw
5
L
3
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Sao Paulo0 - 2Mirassol
Sao Paulo2 - 1Gremio
Sao Paulo0 - 0Fortaleza
Sao Paulo2 - 1Santos
Sao Paulo1 - 1Cruzeiro
Sao Paulo0 - 0S. Recife
Sao Paulo1 - 2Juventude
Sao Paulo2 - 2A Mineiro
Sao Paulo2 - 1Athletico PR
Sao Paulo3 - 0Vasco d Gama
Sao Paulo3 - 1Corinthians
Sao Paulo1 - 3Internacional
Sao Paulo2 - 1Vitoria
Sao Paulo1 - 0Atletico Go
Sao Paulo1 - 0Flamengo
Sao Paulo2 - 2Botafogo
Sao Paulo1 - 0Gremio
Sao Paulo2 - 0Bragantino
Sao Paulo3 - 1Bahia
Sao Paulo2 - 1Criciuma
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
5
Draw
9
Lost
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ASao Paulo1 - 2Bahia
HSao Paulo0 - 2Mirassol
HSao Paulo2 - 1Gremio
ASao Paulo0 - 1Palmeiras
HSao Paulo0 - 0Fortaleza
ASao Paulo1 - 1Ceara
HSao Paulo2 - 1Santos
ASao Paulo2 - 2Botafogo
HSao Paulo1 - 1Cruzeiro
ASao Paulo0 - 0A Mineiro
HSao Paulo0 - 0S. Recife
ASao Paulo1 - 2Botafogo
HSao Paulo1 - 2Juventude
ASao Paulo1 - 2Gremio
HSao Paulo2 - 2A Mineiro
ASao Paulo1 - 1Bragantino
HSao Paulo2 - 1Athletico PR
ASao Paulo3 - 0Bahia
ASao Paulo1 - 1Criciuma
HSao Paulo3 - 0Vasco d Gama
Vasco d Gama 15TH
20 league games
Away
5
Overall
Goals: Scored
15
Conceded
35
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
W
4
D
3
Lost
13
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Fluminense2 - 1Vasco d Gama
Vitoria2 - 1Vasco d Gama
Cruzeiro1 - 0Vasco d Gama
Ceara2 - 1Vasco d Gama
Corinthians3 - 0Vasco d Gama
Cuiaba1 - 2Vasco d Gama
Corinthians3 - 1Vasco d Gama
Fortaleza3 - 0Vasco d Gama
Botafogo3 - 0Vasco d Gama
Sao Paulo3 - 0Vasco d Gama
Cruzeiro1 - 1Vasco d Gama
Flamengo1 - 1Vasco d Gama
Vitoria0 - 1Vasco d Gama
Criciuma2 - 2Vasco d Gama
Gremio1 - 0Vasco d Gama
A Mineiro2 - 0Vasco d Gama
Atletico Go0 - 1Vasco d Gama
Internacional1 - 2Vasco d Gama
Bahia2 - 1Vasco d Gama
Juventude2 - 0Vasco d Gama
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
7
D
2
Lost
11
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AVasco d Gama1 - 2Fluminense
HVasco d Gama3 - 0Fortaleza
AVasco d Gama1 - 2Vitoria
HVasco d Gama0 - 1Palmeiras
AVasco d Gama0 - 1Cruzeiro
HVasco d Gama0 - 0Flamengo
AVasco d Gama1 - 2Ceara
HVasco d Gama3 - 1S. Recife
AVasco d Gama0 - 3Corinthians
HVasco d Gama2 - 1Santos
AVasco d Gama2 - 1Cuiaba
HVasco d Gama2 - 0A Mineiro
HVasco d Gama2 - 2Atletico Go
AVasco d Gama1 - 3Corinthians
HVasco d Gama0 - 1Internacional
AVasco d Gama0 - 3Fortaleza
AVasco d Gama0 - 3Botafogo
HVasco d Gama3 - 2Bahia
HVasco d Gama1 - 0Cuiaba
AVasco d Gama0 - 3Sao Paulo
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
5
Sao Paulo have not lost to Vasco d Gama in 5 consecutive home league meetings
League games at Sao Paulo since 2018
Sao Paulo
Vasco d Gama
Goals: Scored
11
4
Games: Scored
5 / 5
3 / 5
Clean sheets
2 / 5
0 / 5
SAO
4
D
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Sao Paulo
Sao Paulo3 - 0
Sao Paulo4 - 2
Draw1 - 1Draw
Sao Paulo1 - 0
Sao Paulo2 - 1
League games at Vasco d Gama since 2018
Vasco d Gama
Sao Paulo
Goals: Scored
10
2
Games: Scored
4 / 5
2 / 5
Clean sheets
3 / 5
1 / 5
D
1
VDG
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Vasco d Gama
Vasco d Gama4 - 1
Draw0 - 0Draw
Vasco d Gama2 - 1
Vasco d Gama2 - 0
Vasco d Gama2 - 0
Goal Statistics
Sao Paulo 13th Vasco d Gama 15th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.4
goals
0.8
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
24%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4+
There is a 76% probability that Sao Paulo will score 1 or more goals
0
47%
1
35%
2
13%
3
4+
There is a 82% probability of Vasco d Gama scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+5
Sao Paulo’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-15
Vasco d Gama have scored 15% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.6
average goals scored
0.8
average goals scored
1.0
conceded
1.8
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2025/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/294565/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Sao Paulo
PG (predicted goals)
Vasco d Gama
1.4
0.8
Attack rating
SAO
VDG
21%
better
view stats
Games scored5
6
Failed to score5
4
Scored first3
4
Goals scored8
11
Avg. goals scored0.7
1.1
Avg. shots per game7
9
Avg. shots per goal10
8
Conversion rate for10
12
Avg. XG for1.2
0.9
KickOff rating
+21%
Defence rating
23%
better
SAO
VDG
view stats
Games conceded7
8
Clean sheets3
2
Conceded first4
5
Goals conceded9
13
Avg. goals conceded0.8
1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded8
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded10
8
Conversion rate against10%
13%
Avg. XG against1.2
1.3
KickOff rating
+23%

Sao Paulo v Vasco d Gama Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Sao Paulo Serie A squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
11323
RafaelA SilvaFerreiraE Díaz
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Rafael GLK11
2
-
N Ferraresi  DEF10
2
-
C Soares DEF101
1
-
E Díaz DEF101
3
-
Alisson MID10
3
-
Luciano FWD101
2
-
A Silva FWD1031
3
-
L. dos Santos Ferreira MID9
1
-
A Franco DEF8
1
-
M. Alves Nascimento MID81
3
-
M Antônio MID8
3
-
Ferreira FWD832
2
-
Wendell DEF7
-
D Bobadilla MID7
2
-
R Arboleda DEF61
1
-
R. Rodrigues dos Santos Silva FWD61
-
Sabino DEF5
1
-
R Tressoldi DEF5
1
-
Rodrigo MID5
3
-
P Maia MID4
2
-
I Vinícius  DEF3
1
-
Oscar MID3
1
-
J Calleri FWD3
1
L. Marques Alencar FWD2
-
L Moura FWD1
-
H. Fabiano do Carmo FWD1
-
Vasco d Gama Serie A squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
10733
L JardimP VegettiL Piton H Moura
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
L Jardim GLK10
-
J Victor DEF101
1
-
H Moura MID101
3
-
L Piton  DEF93
2
-
R Rocha FWD911
-
P Vegetti FWD971
2
-
P Henrique DEF81
3
-
Adson MID8
-
Paulinho MID8
2
-
L Freitas DEF7
-
T Tchê MID7
-
B Garré MID6
-
P Coutinho MID61
1
Jair MID6
2
-
A Teixeira FWD6
1
-
M Santos MID5
1
-
L. Marinho Ribeiro dos Santos DEF4
3
-
D Payet MID42
-
J Bebanz DEF3
-
M Lemos  DEF2
-
L. Zuccarello MID2
-
J Sforza MID2
-
V Luis DEF1
-
J Meneses MID1
-