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Sao Paulo v Vitória : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 9th Aug, 22:30 BST, Estádio Cícero Pompeu de Toledo, São Paulo

Saturday night sees Hernán Jorge Crespo’s Sao Paulo and Fabio Pecchia’s Vitória go head to head in a Serie A clash at the Estádio Cícero Pompeu de Toledo. We have predictions, tips, and odds and head-to-head statistics across all the main betting markets, all with the aim of helping you find a winning bet on this Serie A clash.


Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

Concentration will be required as Sao Paulo and Vitoria go head-to-head, with hardly anything between the teams in defence, making it difficult to predict who will win. The statistics don't give us any proper confidence in that regard, but they are pointing strongly towards there being 2 goals or fewer in the fixture. That prediction is available at best priced odds of 1.57 with the bookies, so we're making under 2.5 goals our tip of the day on this one.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Sao Paulo are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 52% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.60.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Sao Paulo
50%
8/138/13
Draw
29%
12/513/5
Vitoria
21%
11/211/2
Sao Paulo 1-0
17%
15/47/2
Draw 0-0
13%
11/25/1
Draw 1-1
12%
6/16/1
Sao Paulo 2-0
11%
5/119/4
Vitoria 1-0
10%
11/19/1
Sao Paulo 2-1
8%
17/215/2
Sao Paulo 3-0
5%
10/19/1
Vitoria 2-1
5%
22/116/1
Sao Paulo 3-1
4%
16/114/1
Vitoria 2-0
4%
33/122/1
Draw 2-2
3%
25/120/1
Sao Paulo 4-0
2%
25/118/1
Sao Paulo 3-2
1%
40/128/1
Sao Paulo 4-1
1%
40/125/1
Vitoria 3-1
1%
66/145/1
Over 2.5 Goals
34%
8/56/4
Under 2.5 Goals
67%
19/4010/21
Home 1st Goal
53%
1/21/2
Away 1st Goal
38%
12/55/2
No 1st Goal
9%
11/25/1
BTTS - Yes
38%
6/48/5
BTTS - No
62%
1/24/9
BTTS - Home Win
15%
4/119/5
BTTS - Draw
16%
5/119/4
BTTS - Away Win
7%
16/112/1
Home/draw
79%
1/91/9
Away/draw
50%
5/45/4
Home/away
71%
3/102/7
Over 1.5 Goals
61%
8/151/2
Under 1.5 Goals
39%
6/47/5
Over 3.5 Goals
15%
4/119/5
Under 3.5 Goals
85%
1/62/13
Over 4.5 Goals
6%
10/19/1
Under 4.5 Goals
94%
1/201/25
Over 5.5 Goals
2%
25/120/1
Under 5.5 Goals
98%
1/801/200
Over 0.5 Goals
87%
1/91/10
Under 0.5 Goals
13%
11/211/2
Home DNB
70%
1/62/11
Away DNB
41%
4/117/5
Sao Paulo win to nil
35%
6/5-
Vitoria win to nil
14%
9/1-
Sao Paulo / Sao Paulo
33%
6/429/20
Sao Paulo / Vitoria
2%
50/140/1
Sao Paulo / Draw
5%
16/114/1
Draw / Sao Paulo
20%
3/13/1
Draw / Vitoria
7%
11/110/1
Draw / Draw
18%
7/217/5
Vitoria / Sao Paulo
3%
28/122/1
Vitoria / Vitoria
8%
11/117/2
Vitoria / Draw
5%
18/114/1
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win form
11
Vitoria have not won in 11 consecutive away league games
Sao Paulo 8TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
11
Draw
5
L
4
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Sao Paulo3 - 1Fluminense
Sao Paulo2 - 0Corinthians
Sao Paulo1 - 3Vasco d Gama
Sao Paulo0 - 2Mirassol
Sao Paulo2 - 1Gremio
Sao Paulo0 - 0Fortaleza
Sao Paulo2 - 1Santos
Sao Paulo1 - 1Cruzeiro
Sao Paulo0 - 0S. Recife
Sao Paulo1 - 2Juventude
Sao Paulo2 - 2A Mineiro
Sao Paulo2 - 1Athletico PR
Sao Paulo3 - 0Vasco d Gama
Sao Paulo3 - 1Corinthians
Sao Paulo1 - 3Internacional
Sao Paulo2 - 1Vitoria
Sao Paulo1 - 0Atletico Go
Sao Paulo1 - 0Flamengo
Sao Paulo2 - 2Botafogo
Sao Paulo1 - 0Gremio
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
6
Draw
7
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ASao Paulo2 - 1Internacional
HSao Paulo3 - 1Fluminense
ASao Paulo1 - 0Juventude
HSao Paulo2 - 0Corinthians
ASao Paulo2 - 2Bragantino
ASao Paulo0 - 2Flamengo
HSao Paulo1 - 3Vasco d Gama
ASao Paulo1 - 2Bahia
HSao Paulo0 - 2Mirassol
HSao Paulo2 - 1Gremio
ASao Paulo0 - 1Palmeiras
HSao Paulo0 - 0Fortaleza
ASao Paulo1 - 1Ceara
HSao Paulo2 - 1Santos
ASao Paulo2 - 2Botafogo
HSao Paulo1 - 1Cruzeiro
ASao Paulo0 - 0A Mineiro
HSao Paulo0 - 0S. Recife
ASao Paulo1 - 2Botafogo
HSao Paulo1 - 2Juventude
Vitoria 16TH
20 league games
Away
11
Overall
Goals: Scored
19
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
W
4
Draw
8
Lost
8
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Mirassol1 - 1Vitoria
Botafogo0 - 0Vitoria
Internacional1 - 0Vitoria
Corinthians0 - 0Vitoria
Bahia2 - 1Vitoria
Ceara1 - 0Vitoria
Fluminense1 - 1Vitoria
A Mineiro2 - 2Vitoria
Juventude2 - 0Vitoria
Flamengo2 - 2Vitoria
Botafogo1 - 1Vitoria
Criciuma0 - 1Vitoria
Athletico PR1 - 2Vitoria
A Mineiro2 - 2Vitoria
Internacional3 - 1Vitoria
Atletico Go0 - 2Vitoria
Sao Paulo2 - 1Vitoria
Bahia2 - 0Vitoria
Palmeiras0 - 2Vitoria
Gremio2 - 0Vitoria
Goals: Scored
19
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
W
3
Draw
11
Lost
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HVitoria2 - 2Palmeiras
AVitoria1 - 1Mirassol
HVitoria2 - 2S. Recife
HVitoria1 - 0Bragantino
AVitoria0 - 0Botafogo
AVitoria0 - 1Internacional
HVitoria0 - 0Cruzeiro
AVitoria0 - 0Corinthians
HVitoria0 - 1Santos
AVitoria1 - 2Bahia
HVitoria2 - 1Vasco d Gama
AVitoria0 - 1Ceara
HVitoria1 - 1Gremio
AVitoria1 - 1Fluminense
HVitoria2 - 1Fortaleza
AVitoria2 - 2A Mineiro
HVitoria1 - 2Flamengo
AVitoria0 - 2Juventude
AVitoria2 - 2Flamengo
HVitoria1 - 1Gremio
Goal Statistics
Sao Paulo 8th Vitoria 16th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.3
goals
0.7
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
27%
1
35%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 62% probability that Sao Paulo will score no more than 1 goal
0
48%
1
35%
2
13%
3
4+
There is a 83% probability of Vitoria scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+4
Sao Paulo’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+8
Vitoria’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.5
average goals scored
1.0
average goals scored
1.1
conceded
1.3
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2025/2025 season
Sao Paulo
PG (predicted goals)
Vitoria
1.3
0.7
Attack rating
17%
better
SAO
VIT
view stats
Games scored12
11
Failed to score6
7
Scored first8
5
Goals scored20
16
Avg. goals scored1.1
0.9
Avg. shots per game8
9
Avg. shots per goal7
10
Conversion rate for13
10
Avg. XG for1.3
1.1
KickOff rating
+17%
Defence rating
5%
better
SAO
VIT
view stats
Games conceded13
14
Clean sheets5
4
Conceded first7
10
Goals conceded20
20
Avg. goals conceded1.1
1.1
Avg. shots/game conceded9
11
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
10
Conversion rate against13%
10%
Avg. XG against1.2
1.3
KickOff rating
+5%

Sao Paulo v Vitoria Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Sao Paulo Serie A squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
18535
RafaelA SilvaLucianoA Silva
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Rafael GLK18
2
-
C Soares DEF171
1
-
Alisson MID171
4
-
A Silva FWD1752
5
-
E Díaz DEF162
4
-
Luciano FWD1643
5
-
N Ferraresi  DEF152
2
-
M Antônio MID142
3
-
D Bobadilla MID141
2
-
A Franco DEF13
3
-
R Arboleda DEF133
2
-
Ferreira FWD1342
3
-
Sabino DEF12
2
-
Wendell DEF111
-
L. dos Santos Ferreira FWD10
1
-
P Maia MID9
2
-
Rodrigo MID8
3
-
R. Rodrigues dos Santos Silva FWD82
-
Oscar MID6
1
-
L. Marques Alencar FWD3
-
G Tapia FWD31
2
-
J Calleri FWD3
1
Luan MID2
-
J Dinenno FWD2
1
-
L Moura FWD1
-
H. Fabiano do Carmo FWD1
-
Vitoria Serie A squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
17525
L ArcanjoR KayzerRonaldClaudinho
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
L Arcanjo GLK17
2
-
L Halter DEF161
4
-
Ronald MID162
2
-
Z Marcos DEF151
2
-
G Baralhas MID1511
4
-
R Ryller MID13
3
-
Matheuzinho MID132
3
1
Erick FWD1322
4
-
Jamerson DEF122
-
Claudinho DEF12
5
-
Osvaldo FWD121
3
-
F Fabrício FWD111
-
L Braga FWD111
1
-
R Kayzer FWD115
1
-
Edu DEF9
-
Pepê MID9
2
1
R Cáceres DEF81
2
-
W Oliveira MID8
3
-
M. Kesley de Jesus Ramalho DEF7
1
-
L Pereira FWD6
-
R López FWD61
2
-
Neris DEF3
1
-
Carlinhos FWD31
2
-
F. Cardoso MID2
-
R Rodrigues MID2
-
Ismael MID1
-