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Sport Recife v Sao Paulo : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 16th Aug, 22:30 BST, Estádio Adelmar da Costa Carvalh, Recife

Saturday night at the Estádio Adelmar da Costa Carvalh, and it’s a Serie A showdown between Sport Recife and Sao Paulo. Daniel Backstrom and Hernán Jorge Crespo going all-out to guide their side to the win. Our predictions for each betting market are based on the past 20 games each side has played (home, away and overall) with extra weighting applied to top teams. All the stats and graphics are designed specifically for the selected market. Head to head (H2H) stats between the team are also given if there are are enough previous meetings. Odds are provided straight from from the UK's biggest bookmakers.


Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

Under 2.5 goals means, quite simply, that there will be a maximum of 2 goals scored in total by S. Recife and Sao Paulo during the standard 90 minutes. It's a bet the stats below and the odds both favour on this occasion, and an outcome that we've seen these sides produce before. In the absence of an obvious winner, our best bet prediction for this one is under 2.5.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
S. Recife
28%
12/5-
Draw
29%
21/10-
Sao Paulo
43%
5/4-
Sao Paulo 1-0
14%
5/1-
Draw 1-1
13%
5/1-
Draw 0-0
12%
6/1-
S. Recife 1-0
11%
7/1-
Sao Paulo 2-0
9%
17/2-
Sao Paulo 2-1
8%
9/1-
S. Recife 2-1
6%
12/1-
S. Recife 2-0
5%
14/1-
Draw 2-2
4%
16/1-
Sao Paulo 3-0
4%
20/1-
Sao Paulo 3-1
3%
20/1-
S. Recife 3-1
2%
33/1-
S. Recife 3-0
2%
40/1-
Sao Paulo 3-2
1%
40/1-
S. Recife 3-2
1%
40/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
36%
7/5-
Under 2.5 Goals
64%
8/15-
Home 1st Goal
42%
13/10-
Away 1st Goal
50%
5/6-
No 1st Goal
8%
6/1-
BTTS - Yes
42%
21/20-
BTTS - No
58%
7/10-
BTTS - Home Win
10%
7/1-
BTTS - Draw
17%
15/4-
BTTS - Away Win
15%
9/2-
Home/draw
57%
8/13-
Away/draw
72%
3/10-
Home/away
71%
4/11-
Over 1.5 Goals
63%
1/2-
Under 1.5 Goals
37%
13/8-
Over 3.5 Goals
17%
7/2-
Under 3.5 Goals
83%
1/5-
Over 4.5 Goals
7%
10/1-
Under 4.5 Goals
94%
1/20-
Over 5.5 Goals
2%
20/1-
Under 5.5 Goals
98%
1/66-
Over 0.5 Goals
88%
1/10-
Under 0.5 Goals
12%
6/1-
Home DNB
48%
5/4-
Away DNB
63%
4/7-
S. Recife win to nil
18%
4/1-
Sao Paulo win to nil
28%
12/5-
S. Recife / S. Recife
15%
9/2-
S. Recife / Sao Paulo
3%
28/1-
S. Recife / Draw
6%
14/1-
Draw / S. Recife
12%
6/1-
Draw / Sao Paulo
15%
9/2-
Draw / Draw
19%
10/3-
Sao Paulo / S. Recife
2%
33/1-
Sao Paulo / Sao Paulo
22%
11/4-
Sao Paulo / Draw
6%
14/1-
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win form
S. Recife 20TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
8
Draw
6
Lost
6
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
S. Recife0 - 0Bahia
S. Recife2 - 2Santos
S. Recife0 - 1Botafogo
S. Recife1 - 1Internacional
S. Recife0 - 4Cruzeiro
S. Recife0 - 0Fortaleza
S. Recife0 - 1Bragantino
S. Recife1 - 2Palmeiras
S. Recife2 - 1Santos
S. Recife1 - 1Chapecoense
S. Recife4 - 0Guarani
S. Recife3 - 1Botafogo
S. Recife1 - 2Operario
S. Recife2 - 1Ceara
S. Recife1 - 1Goias
S. Recife2 - 0CRB
S. Recife3 - 2Ituano
S. Recife0 - 1Cortiba
S. Recife3 - 2Amazonas
S. Recife3 - 1Ponte Preta
Goals: Scored
17
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
W
2
Draw
7
Lost
11
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HS. Recife0 - 0Bahia
HS. Recife2 - 2Santos
AS. Recife2 - 2Vitoria
HS. Recife0 - 1Botafogo
AS. Recife0 - 2Juventude
AS. Recife0 - 1Mirassol
HS. Recife1 - 1Internacional
AS. Recife0 - 2Ceara
HS. Recife0 - 4Cruzeiro
AS. Recife1 - 2Fluminense
HS. Recife0 - 0Fortaleza
AS. Recife1 - 2Corinthians
HS. Recife0 - 1Bragantino
AS. Recife1 - 3Vasco d Gama
HS. Recife1 - 2Palmeiras
AS. Recife0 - 0Sao Paulo
HS. Recife2 - 1Santos
AS. Recife4 - 0Ponte Preta
HS. Recife1 - 1Chapecoense
AS. Recife1 - 2Operario
Sao Paulo 8TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
18
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
W
4
Draw
7
Lost
9
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Internacional1 - 2Sao Paulo
Juventude0 - 1Sao Paulo
Bragantino2 - 2Sao Paulo
Flamengo2 - 0Sao Paulo
Bahia2 - 1Sao Paulo
Palmeiras1 - 0Sao Paulo
Ceara1 - 1Sao Paulo
Botafogo2 - 2Sao Paulo
A Mineiro0 - 0Sao Paulo
Botafogo2 - 1Sao Paulo
Gremio2 - 1Sao Paulo
Bragantino1 - 1Sao Paulo
Bahia0 - 3Sao Paulo
Criciuma1 - 1Sao Paulo
Cuiaba2 - 0Sao Paulo
Cruzeiro0 - 1Sao Paulo
Fluminense2 - 0Sao Paulo
Palmeiras2 - 1Sao Paulo
Fortaleza1 - 0Sao Paulo
Juventude0 - 0Sao Paulo
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
6
Draw
7
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ASao Paulo2 - 1Internacional
HSao Paulo3 - 1Fluminense
ASao Paulo1 - 0Juventude
HSao Paulo2 - 0Corinthians
ASao Paulo2 - 2Bragantino
ASao Paulo0 - 2Flamengo
HSao Paulo1 - 3Vasco d Gama
ASao Paulo1 - 2Bahia
HSao Paulo0 - 2Mirassol
HSao Paulo2 - 1Gremio
ASao Paulo0 - 1Palmeiras
HSao Paulo0 - 0Fortaleza
ASao Paulo1 - 1Ceara
HSao Paulo2 - 1Santos
ASao Paulo2 - 2Botafogo
HSao Paulo1 - 1Cruzeiro
ASao Paulo0 - 0A Mineiro
HSao Paulo0 - 0S. Recife
ASao Paulo1 - 2Botafogo
HSao Paulo1 - 2Juventude
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
3
Sao Paulo have beaten S. Recife in 3 consecutive away league meetings
7
Sao Paulo have not lost to S. Recife in 7 consecutive league meetings
6
Sao Paulo have kept a clean sheet in 6 consecutive league meetings with S. Recife
League games at S. Recife since 2018
S. Recife
Sao Paulo
Goals: Scored
1
5
Games: Scored
1 / 3
3 / 3
Clean sheets
0 / 3
2 / 3
SAO
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT S. Recife
0 - 1Sao Paulo
0 - 1Sao Paulo
1 - 3Sao Paulo
League games at Sao Paulo since 2018
Sao Paulo
S. Recife
Goals: Scored
3
0
Games: Scored
2 / 4
0 / 4
Clean sheets
4 / 4
2 / 4
D
2
SAO
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Sao Paulo
Draw0 - 0Draw
Sao Paulo2 - 0
Sao Paulo1 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
Goal Statistics
S. Recife 20th Sao Paulo 8th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
0.9
goals
1.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
40%
1
37%
2
17%
3
4+
There is a 77% probability of S. Recife scoring 1 goal or less
0
30%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 66% probability that Sao Paulo will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+5
S. Recife’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+2
Sao Paulo’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.5
average goals scored
0.9
average goals scored
1.2
conceded
1.2
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2025/2025 season
S. Recife
PG (predicted goals)
Sao Paulo
0.9
1.2
Attack rating
REC
SAO
40%
better
view stats
Games scored7
12
Failed to score9
6
Scored first4
8
Goals scored9
20
Avg. goals scored0.6
1.1
Avg. shots per game9
8
Avg. shots per goal16
7
Conversion rate for6
13
Avg. XG for1
1.3
KickOff rating
+40%
Defence rating
REC
SAO
18%
better
view stats
Games conceded13
13
Clean sheets3
5
Conceded first9
7
Goals conceded25
20
Avg. goals conceded1.6
1.1
Avg. shots/game conceded11
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
8
Conversion rate against15%
13%
Avg. XG against1.4
1.2
KickOff rating
+18%

S. Recife v Sao Paulo Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

S. Recife Serie A squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
15226
C BarlettaC BarlettaL LimaL Lima
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
C Barletta FWD1621
1
-
C Rivera MID14
4
-
L Lima MID142
6
-
I Cariús DEF13
1
-
Chico DEF13
1
-
C França GLK12
2
-
J. Gomes da Silva MID12
2
-
Hereda DEF111
1
-
D Queiroz MID11
-
R Atencio FWD11
1
-
M Alexandre DEF9
5
-
J Silva DEF8
1
-
S Oliveira MID81
3
-
Romarinho FWD82
-
Pablo FWD71
1
-
L Cunha DEF6
2
-
R Thyere DEF5
-
Gabriel GLK4
-
Matheusinho MID41
-
D Lacerda FWD41
2
-
J Ramírez FWD4
-
G Paciência FWD4
-
Kevyson DEF3
-
A Carlos DEF3
-
P Augusto MID3
1
-
Hyoran MID3
1
-
L Pereira FWD1
-
Sao Paulo Serie A squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
18535
RafaelA SilvaLucianoA Silva
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Rafael GLK18
2
-
C Soares DEF171
1
-
Alisson MID171
4
-
A Silva FWD1752
5
-
E Díaz DEF162
4
-
Luciano FWD1643
5
-
N Ferraresi  DEF152
2
-
M Antônio MID142
3
-
D Bobadilla MID141
2
-
A Franco DEF13
3
-
R Arboleda DEF133
2
-
Ferreira FWD1342
3
-
Sabino DEF12
2
-
Wendell DEF111
-
L. dos Santos Ferreira FWD10
1
-
P Maia MID9
2
-
Rodrigo MID8
3
-
R. Rodrigues dos Santos Silva FWD82
-
Oscar MID6
1
-
L. Marques Alencar FWD3
-
G Tapia FWD31
2
-
J Calleri FWD3
1
Luan MID2
-
J Dinenno FWD2
1
-
L Moura FWD1
-
H. Fabiano do Carmo FWD1
-