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Vasco da Gama v Fluminense : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Thu 19th Mar, 00:30 BST, Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho, Rio de Janeiro

Fernando Diniz Silva's Vasco da Gama side are on home soil in the Serie A on Thursday morning, as Luis Francisco Zubeldía's Fluminense travel to the Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho. Our predictions are based on extensive statistical analysis of each side, across seventeen of the biggest markets. The data and the odds change with each market, and head to head (H2H) stats are included for all.


Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

We can expect some goalmouth action in this one, but don't count on a record-breaker. Under 3.5 goals is the prediction, meaning that 3 goals is the absolute maximum we'll see during 90 mins. Get best odds on under 3.5 just below, followed by relevant form stats and head-to-head (H2H) records.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 40% chance of Fluminense coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Vasco d Gama
33%
21/1015/8
Draw
26%
11/523/10
Fluminense
40%
27/206/4
Draw 1-1
13%
5/119/4
Fluminense 1-0
10%
7/113/2
Vasco d Gama 1-0
9%
17/27/1
Fluminense 2-1
9%
17/215/2
Vasco d Gama 2-1
8%
10/18/1
Draw 0-0
8%
8/17/1
Fluminense 2-0
7%
10/19/1
Vasco d Gama 2-0
6%
14/111/1
Draw 2-2
5%
12/111/1
Fluminense 3-1
4%
18/116/1
Fluminense 3-0
3%
22/116/1
Vasco d Gama 3-1
3%
25/116/1
Fluminense 3-2
2%
28/122/1
Vasco d Gama 3-0
2%
33/122/1
Vasco d Gama 3-2
2%
33/122/1
Over 2.5 Goals
48%
21/201/1
Under 2.5 Goals
52%
3/48/11
Home 1st Goal
46%
11/1011/10
Away 1st Goal
49%
5/619/20
No 1st Goal
5%
8/17/1
BTTS - Yes
52%
4/54/5
BTTS - No
48%
19/2010/11
BTTS - Home Win
15%
5/117/4
BTTS - Draw
19%
10/310/3
BTTS - Away Win
18%
4/119/5
Home/draw
60%
8/158/15
Away/draw
67%
4/112/5
Home/away
74%
4/111/3
Over 1.5 Goals
73%
1/31/3
Under 1.5 Goals
27%
12/521/10
Over 3.5 Goals
26%
5/25/2
Under 3.5 Goals
74%
3/102/7
Over 4.5 Goals
12%
6/16/1
Under 4.5 Goals
88%
1/101/11
Over 5.5 Goals
5%
14/112/1
Under 5.5 Goals
95%
1/331/50
Over 0.5 Goals
92%
1/141/18
Under 0.5 Goals
8%
8/17/1
Home DNB
52%
11/101/1
Away DNB
59%
4/68/11
Vasco d Gama win to nil
18%
9/2-
Fluminense win to nil
22%
3/1-
Vasco d Gama / Vasco d Gama
17%
15/417/5
Vasco d Gama / Fluminense
3%
25/120/1
Vasco d Gama / Draw
6%
14/111/1
Draw / Vasco d Gama
12%
11/211/2
Draw / Fluminense
14%
9/219/4
Draw / Draw
17%
4/118/5
Fluminense / Vasco d Gama
3%
28/120/1
Fluminense / Fluminense
21%
3/111/4
Fluminense / Draw
6%
12/111/1
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Win / draw / win form
Vasco d Gama 15TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
7
Draw
5
Lost
8
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Vasco d Gama2 - 1Palmeiras
Vasco d Gama0 - 1Bahia
Vasco d Gama1 - 1Chapecoense
Vasco d Gama0 - 2Mirassol
Vasco d Gama5 - 1Internacional
Vasco d Gama1 - 3Juventude
Vasco d Gama0 - 2Sao Paulo
Vasco d Gama2 - 0Fluminense
Vasco d Gama4 - 3Vitoria
Vasco d Gama2 - 0Cruzeiro
Vasco d Gama3 - 1Bahia
Vasco d Gama2 - 2Ceara
Vasco d Gama2 - 3Corinthians
Vasco d Gama1 - 1A Mineiro
Vasco d Gama1 - 1Gremio
Vasco d Gama0 - 2Botafogo
Vasco d Gama0 - 2Bragantino
Vasco d Gama3 - 0Fortaleza
Vasco d Gama0 - 1Palmeiras
Vasco d Gama0 - 0Flamengo
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
35
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
7
D
2
Lost
11
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AVasco d Gama3 - 3Cruzeiro
HVasco d Gama2 - 1Palmeiras
AVasco d Gama1 - 2Santos
HVasco d Gama0 - 1Bahia
HVasco d Gama1 - 1Chapecoense
AVasco d Gama1 - 2Mirassol
AVasco d Gama0 - 5A Mineiro
HVasco d Gama0 - 2Mirassol
HVasco d Gama5 - 1Internacional
AVasco d Gama0 - 1Bahia
AVasco d Gama0 - 2Gremio
HVasco d Gama1 - 3Juventude
AVasco d Gama0 - 3Botafogo
HVasco d Gama0 - 2Sao Paulo
AVasco d Gama3 - 0Bragantino
HVasco d Gama2 - 0Fluminense
AVasco d Gama2 - 0Fortaleza
HVasco d Gama4 - 3Vitoria
AVasco d Gama0 - 3Palmeiras
HVasco d Gama2 - 0Cruzeiro
Fluminense 3RD
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
W
4
Draw
7
Lost
9
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Remo0 - 2Fluminense
Palmeiras2 - 1Fluminense
Bahia1 - 1Fluminense
Gremio1 - 2Fluminense
Palmeiras0 - 0Fluminense
Cruzeiro0 - 0Fluminense
Ceara2 - 0Fluminense
Vasco d Gama2 - 0Fluminense
Mirassol2 - 1Fluminense
S. Recife2 - 2Fluminense
Vitoria0 - 1Fluminense
Santos0 - 0Fluminense
Bragantino4 - 2Fluminense
Bahia3 - 3Fluminense
Sao Paulo3 - 1Fluminense
Flamengo1 - 0Fluminense
Internacional0 - 2Fluminense
Juventude1 - 1Fluminense
A Mineiro3 - 2Fluminense
Botafogo2 - 0Fluminense
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
14
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
9 / 20
Clean sheets
11 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
13
D
3
L
4
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HFluminense3 - 2Athletico PR
AFluminense2 - 0Remo
AFluminense1 - 2Palmeiras
HFluminense1 - 0Botafogo
AFluminense1 - 1Bahia
HFluminense2 - 1Gremio
HFluminense2 - 0Bahia
AFluminense2 - 1Gremio
HFluminense6 - 0Sao Paulo
AFluminense0 - 0Palmeiras
HFluminense2 - 1Flamengo
AFluminense0 - 0Cruzeiro
HFluminense1 - 0Mirassol
AFluminense0 - 2Ceara
HFluminense1 - 0Ceara
HFluminense1 - 0Internacional
AFluminense0 - 2Vasco d Gama
HFluminense1 - 0Juventude
AFluminense1 - 2Mirassol
HFluminense3 - 0A Mineiro
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
3
Vasco d Gama have beaten Fluminense in 3 consecutive home league meetings
6
Vasco d Gama have not lost to Fluminense in 6 consecutive home league meetings
League games at Vasco d Gama since 2018
Vasco d Gama
Fluminense
Goals: Scored
12
5
Games: Scored
6 / 6
4 / 6
Clean sheets
2 / 6
0 / 6
VDG
4
D
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Vasco d Gama
Vasco d Gama2 - 0
Vasco d Gama2 - 0
Vasco d Gama4 - 2
Draw1 - 1Draw
Vasco d Gama2 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
League games at Fluminense since 2018
Fluminense
Vasco d Gama
Goals: Scored
7
5
Games: Scored
4 / 6
5 / 6
Clean sheets
1 / 6
2 / 6
VDG
1
D
2
FLU
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Fluminense
Fluminense2 - 1
Fluminense2 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
Fluminense2 - 1
Draw0 - 0Draw
0 - 1Vasco d Gama
Goal Statistics
Vasco d Gama 15th Fluminense 3rd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.2
goals
1.4
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
30%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 66% probability that Vasco d Gama will score no more than 1 goal
0
25%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 60% probability that Fluminense will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+8
Vasco d Gama’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-2
Fluminense’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.5
average goals scored
1.1
average goals scored
1.4
conceded
1.5
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2026/2026 season
Vasco d Gama
PG (predicted goals)
Fluminense
1.2
1.4
Attack rating
VDG
FLU
34%
better
view stats
Games scored5
6
Failed to score1
0
Scored first2
4
Goals scored8
10
Avg. goals scored1.3
1.7
Avg. shots per game14
12
Avg. shots per goal11
7
Conversion rate for10
14
Avg. XG for2.1
1.5
KickOff rating
+34%
Defence rating
VDG
FLU
44%
better
view stats
Games conceded6
4
Clean sheets0
2
Conceded first4
2
Goals conceded10
6
Avg. goals conceded1.7
1
Avg. shots/game conceded9
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded5
8
Conversion rate against19%
12%
Avg. XG against0.6
1.3
KickOff rating
+44%

Vasco d Gama v Fluminense Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Vasco d Gama Serie A squad statistics 2026
Overall
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
NO DATA AVAILABLE
Fluminense Serie A squad statistics 2026
Overall
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
NO DATA AVAILABLE