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Vasco da Gama v Gremio : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 22nd Mar, 19:00 BST, Estádio Club de Regatas Vasco da, Rio de Janeiro

Luís Manuel Ribeiro de Castro leads his Gremio team to the Estádio Club de Regatas Vasco da in the Serie A on Sunday evening, with Fernando Diniz Silva's Vasco da Gama the opponent. Serie A statistics are the foundation of the predictions you'll find below, with head-to-head records included too. You can view it all, with graphics and odds from leading bookmakers available for every betting markets via the tabs.


Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We do not expect to see a a bore-draw or a narrow 1-0 win here, and instead are predicting over 1.5 goals. That means that Vasco d Gama and Gremio will score a minimum of two between them during 90 mins. This is based on the recent form of the respective sides, as well as their historic head-to-heads. We give it a probability of 80%. The bookmakers have it available at 1.30.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Vasco d Gama are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 44% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.10.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Vasco d Gama
44%
21/2011/10
Draw
25%
9/423/10
Gremio
30%
5/25/2
Draw 1-1
12%
5/15/1
Vasco d Gama 1-0
10%
7/16/1
Vasco d Gama 2-1
9%
8/17/1
Gremio 1-0
8%
9/117/2
Vasco d Gama 2-0
7%
10/18/1
Gremio 2-1
7%
11/110/1
Draw 0-0
6%
9/115/2
Draw 2-2
6%
12/111/1
Gremio 2-0
5%
16/114/1
Vasco d Gama 3-1
5%
16/112/1
Vasco d Gama 3-0
4%
20/114/1
Gremio 3-1
3%
25/120/1
Vasco d Gama 3-2
3%
25/120/1
Gremio 3-2
2%
33/122/1
Gremio 3-0
2%
33/125/1
Over 2.5 Goals
52%
19/2010/11
Under 2.5 Goals
48%
17/205/6
Home 1st Goal
51%
4/58/11
Away 1st Goal
45%
6/511/8
No 1st Goal
4%
9/115/2
BTTS - Yes
55%
3/43/4
BTTS - No
45%
1/11/1
BTTS - Home Win
21%
7/23/1
BTTS - Draw
19%
10/316/5
BTTS - Away Win
15%
11/25/1
Home/draw
70%
2/72/7
Away/draw
56%
7/107/10
Home/away
75%
1/31/3
Over 1.5 Goals
76%
3/103/10
Under 1.5 Goals
24%
5/223/10
Over 3.5 Goals
30%
12/511/5
Under 3.5 Goals
70%
1/33/10
Over 4.5 Goals
14%
11/25/1
Under 4.5 Goals
86%
1/91/9
Over 5.5 Goals
6%
12/111/1
Under 5.5 Goals
94%
1/251/40
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1/161/18
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
9/115/2
Home DNB
62%
8/1510/21
Away DNB
48%
11/829/20
Vasco d Gama win to nil
23%
11/4-
Gremio win to nil
15%
5/1-
Vasco d Gama / Vasco d Gama
24%
5/211/5
Vasco d Gama / Gremio
3%
28/125/1
Vasco d Gama / Draw
7%
12/110/1
Draw / Vasco d Gama
15%
9/217/4
Draw / Gremio
11%
6/113/2
Draw / Draw
16%
4/119/5
Gremio / Vasco d Gama
4%
25/118/1
Gremio / Gremio
15%
9/29/2
Gremio / Draw
6%
14/111/1
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win form
Vasco d Gama 15TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
7
Draw
5
Lost
8
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Vasco d Gama2 - 1Palmeiras
Vasco d Gama0 - 1Bahia
Vasco d Gama1 - 1Chapecoense
Vasco d Gama0 - 2Mirassol
Vasco d Gama5 - 1Internacional
Vasco d Gama1 - 3Juventude
Vasco d Gama0 - 2Sao Paulo
Vasco d Gama2 - 0Fluminense
Vasco d Gama4 - 3Vitoria
Vasco d Gama2 - 0Cruzeiro
Vasco d Gama3 - 1Bahia
Vasco d Gama2 - 2Ceara
Vasco d Gama2 - 3Corinthians
Vasco d Gama1 - 1A Mineiro
Vasco d Gama1 - 1Gremio
Vasco d Gama0 - 2Botafogo
Vasco d Gama0 - 2Bragantino
Vasco d Gama3 - 0Fortaleza
Vasco d Gama0 - 1Palmeiras
Vasco d Gama0 - 0Flamengo
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
35
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
7
D
2
Lost
11
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AVasco d Gama3 - 3Cruzeiro
HVasco d Gama2 - 1Palmeiras
AVasco d Gama1 - 2Santos
HVasco d Gama0 - 1Bahia
HVasco d Gama1 - 1Chapecoense
AVasco d Gama1 - 2Mirassol
AVasco d Gama0 - 5A Mineiro
HVasco d Gama0 - 2Mirassol
HVasco d Gama5 - 1Internacional
AVasco d Gama0 - 1Bahia
AVasco d Gama0 - 2Gremio
HVasco d Gama1 - 3Juventude
AVasco d Gama0 - 3Botafogo
HVasco d Gama0 - 2Sao Paulo
AVasco d Gama3 - 0Bragantino
HVasco d Gama2 - 0Fluminense
AVasco d Gama2 - 0Fortaleza
HVasco d Gama4 - 3Vitoria
AVasco d Gama0 - 3Palmeiras
HVasco d Gama2 - 0Cruzeiro
Gremio 7TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
W
4
Draw
6
Lost
10
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Chapecoense1 - 1Gremio
Sao Paulo2 - 0Gremio
Fluminense2 - 1Gremio
S. Recife0 - 4Gremio
Botafogo3 - 2Gremio
Fortaleza2 - 2Gremio
Corinthians2 - 0Gremio
Bahia4 - 0Gremio
Bragantino1 - 0Gremio
Santos1 - 1Gremio
Internacional2 - 3Gremio
Flamengo1 - 1Gremio
A Mineiro1 - 3Gremio
Fluminense1 - 0Gremio
Palmeiras1 - 0Gremio
Vasco d Gama1 - 1Gremio
Cruzeiro4 - 1Gremio
Juventude0 - 2Gremio
Sao Paulo2 - 1Gremio
Vitoria1 - 1Gremio
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
8
D
4
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AGremio1 - 1Chapecoense
HGremio1 - 1Bragantino
HGremio2 - 1A Mineiro
AGremio0 - 2Sao Paulo
HGremio5 - 3Botafogo
AGremio1 - 2Fluminense
AGremio4 - 0S. Recife
HGremio1 - 2Fluminense
HGremio3 - 2Palmeiras
AGremio2 - 3Botafogo
HGremio2 - 0Vasco d Gama
AGremio2 - 2Fortaleza
HGremio0 - 1Cruzeiro
AGremio0 - 2Corinthians
HGremio3 - 1Juventude
AGremio0 - 4Bahia
HGremio2 - 0Sao Paulo
AGremio0 - 1Bragantino
AGremio1 - 1Santos
HGremio3 - 1Vitoria
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
5
Vasco d Gama have not lost to Gremio in 5 consecutive home league meetings
League games at Vasco d Gama since 2018
Vasco d Gama
Gremio
Goals: Scored
6
5
Games: Scored
5 / 7
3 / 7
Clean sheets
4 / 7
2 / 7
VDG
3
D
3
GRE
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Vasco d Gama
Draw1 - 1Draw
Vasco d Gama2 - 1
Vasco d Gama1 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
1 - 3Gremio
Vasco d Gama1 - 0
League games at Gremio since 2018
Gremio
Vasco d Gama
Goals: Scored
14
3
Games: Scored
7 / 7
3 / 7
Clean sheets
4 / 7
0 / 7
GRE
7
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Gremio
Gremio2 - 0
Gremio1 - 0
Gremio1 - 0
Gremio2 - 1
Gremio4 - 0
Gremio2 - 1
Gremio2 - 1
Goal Statistics

Vasco da Gama's fans will be hoping for goals on Sunday evening, not least because Gremio have conceded in each of their last 5 Serie A outings. A PG of 1.5 for F. Diniz Silva's side suggests that run should continue.

Vasco d Gama 15th Gremio 7th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.5
goals
1.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
22%
1
33%
2
25%
3
13%
4+
There is a 78% probability that Vasco d Gama will score 1 or more goals
0
30%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 66% probability that Gremio will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+8
Vasco d Gama’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+18
Gremio have scored 18% more goals when away than predicted
1.5
average goals scored
1.2
average goals scored
1.4
conceded
1.6
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2026/2026 season
Vasco d Gama
PG (predicted goals)
Gremio
1.5
1.2
Attack rating
VDG
GRE
8%
better
view stats
Games scored5
4
Failed to score1
1
Scored first2
2
Goals scored8
9
Avg. goals scored1.3
1.8
Avg. shots per game14
9
Avg. shots per goal11
5
Conversion rate for10
19
Avg. XG for2.1
1.5
KickOff rating
+8%
Defence rating
VDG
GRE
10%
better
view stats
Games conceded6
5
Clean sheets0
0
Conceded first4
3
Goals conceded10
9
Avg. goals conceded1.7
1.8
Avg. shots/game conceded9
11
Avg. shots/goal conceded5
6
Conversion rate against19%
16%
Avg. XG against0.6
1.8
KickOff rating
+10%

Vasco d Gama v Gremio Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Vasco d Gama Serie A squad statistics 2026
Overall
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
NO DATA AVAILABLE
Gremio Serie A squad statistics 2026
Overall
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
NO DATA AVAILABLE