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Vasco da Gama v Gremio : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 22nd Mar, 19:00 BST, Estádio Club de Regatas Vasco da, Rio de Janeiro

The Serie A is the focus for both Vasco da Gama and Gremio on Sunday evening, as managers Fernando Diniz Silva and Luís Manuel Ribeiro de Castro go head to head at the Estádio Club de Regatas Vasco da. Our goal is for you to win betting on this match, so every stats you could ever need to make a smart selection is published below. Flip between 17 betting markets or take our top tip. We have predictions, head to head (H2H) analysis and odds for each one.


Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We do not expect to see a a bore-draw or a narrow 1-0 win here, and instead are predicting over 1.5 goals. That means that Vasco d Gama and Gremio will score a minimum of two between them during 90 mins. This is based on the recent form of the respective sides, as well as their historic head-to-heads. We give it a probability of 80%. The bookmakers have it available at 1.30.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Vasco d Gama are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 44% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.10.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Vasco d Gama
44%
21/2011/10
Draw
25%
9/423/10
Gremio
30%
5/25/2
Draw 1-1
12%
5/15/1
Vasco d Gama 1-0
10%
7/16/1
Vasco d Gama 2-1
9%
8/17/1
Gremio 1-0
8%
9/117/2
Vasco d Gama 2-0
7%
10/18/1
Gremio 2-1
7%
11/110/1
Draw 0-0
6%
9/115/2
Draw 2-2
6%
12/111/1
Gremio 2-0
5%
16/114/1
Vasco d Gama 3-1
5%
16/112/1
Vasco d Gama 3-0
4%
20/114/1
Gremio 3-1
3%
25/120/1
Vasco d Gama 3-2
3%
25/120/1
Gremio 3-2
2%
33/122/1
Gremio 3-0
2%
33/125/1
Over 2.5 Goals
52%
19/2010/11
Under 2.5 Goals
48%
17/205/6
Home 1st Goal
51%
4/58/11
Away 1st Goal
45%
6/511/8
No 1st Goal
4%
9/115/2
BTTS - Yes
55%
3/43/4
BTTS - No
45%
1/11/1
BTTS - Home Win
21%
7/23/1
BTTS - Draw
19%
10/316/5
BTTS - Away Win
15%
11/25/1
Home/draw
70%
2/72/7
Away/draw
56%
7/107/10
Home/away
75%
1/31/3
Over 1.5 Goals
76%
3/103/10
Under 1.5 Goals
24%
5/223/10
Over 3.5 Goals
30%
12/511/5
Under 3.5 Goals
70%
1/33/10
Over 4.5 Goals
14%
11/25/1
Under 4.5 Goals
86%
1/91/9
Over 5.5 Goals
6%
12/111/1
Under 5.5 Goals
94%
1/251/40
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1/161/18
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
9/115/2
Home DNB
62%
8/1510/21
Away DNB
48%
11/829/20
Vasco d Gama win to nil
23%
11/4-
Gremio win to nil
15%
5/1-
Vasco d Gama / Vasco d Gama
24%
5/211/5
Vasco d Gama / Gremio
3%
28/125/1
Vasco d Gama / Draw
7%
12/110/1
Draw / Vasco d Gama
15%
9/217/4
Draw / Gremio
11%
6/113/2
Draw / Draw
16%
4/119/5
Gremio / Vasco d Gama
4%
25/118/1
Gremio / Gremio
15%
9/29/2
Gremio / Draw
6%
14/111/1
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win form
Vasco d Gama 15TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
7
Draw
5
Lost
8
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Vasco d Gama2 - 1Palmeiras
Vasco d Gama0 - 1Bahia
Vasco d Gama1 - 1Chapecoense
Vasco d Gama0 - 2Mirassol
Vasco d Gama5 - 1Internacional
Vasco d Gama1 - 3Juventude
Vasco d Gama0 - 2Sao Paulo
Vasco d Gama2 - 0Fluminense
Vasco d Gama4 - 3Vitoria
Vasco d Gama2 - 0Cruzeiro
Vasco d Gama3 - 1Bahia
Vasco d Gama2 - 2Ceara
Vasco d Gama2 - 3Corinthians
Vasco d Gama1 - 1A Mineiro
Vasco d Gama1 - 1Gremio
Vasco d Gama0 - 2Botafogo
Vasco d Gama0 - 2Bragantino
Vasco d Gama3 - 0Fortaleza
Vasco d Gama0 - 1Palmeiras
Vasco d Gama0 - 0Flamengo
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
35
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
7
D
2
Lost
11
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AVasco d Gama3 - 3Cruzeiro
HVasco d Gama2 - 1Palmeiras
AVasco d Gama1 - 2Santos
HVasco d Gama0 - 1Bahia
HVasco d Gama1 - 1Chapecoense
AVasco d Gama1 - 2Mirassol
AVasco d Gama0 - 5A Mineiro
HVasco d Gama0 - 2Mirassol
HVasco d Gama5 - 1Internacional
AVasco d Gama0 - 1Bahia
AVasco d Gama0 - 2Gremio
HVasco d Gama1 - 3Juventude
AVasco d Gama0 - 3Botafogo
HVasco d Gama0 - 2Sao Paulo
AVasco d Gama3 - 0Bragantino
HVasco d Gama2 - 0Fluminense
AVasco d Gama2 - 0Fortaleza
HVasco d Gama4 - 3Vitoria
AVasco d Gama0 - 3Palmeiras
HVasco d Gama2 - 0Cruzeiro
Gremio 7TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
W
4
Draw
6
Lost
10
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Chapecoense1 - 1Gremio
Sao Paulo2 - 0Gremio
Fluminense2 - 1Gremio
S. Recife0 - 4Gremio
Botafogo3 - 2Gremio
Fortaleza2 - 2Gremio
Corinthians2 - 0Gremio
Bahia4 - 0Gremio
Bragantino1 - 0Gremio
Santos1 - 1Gremio
Internacional2 - 3Gremio
Flamengo1 - 1Gremio
A Mineiro1 - 3Gremio
Fluminense1 - 0Gremio
Palmeiras1 - 0Gremio
Vasco d Gama1 - 1Gremio
Cruzeiro4 - 1Gremio
Juventude0 - 2Gremio
Sao Paulo2 - 1Gremio
Vitoria1 - 1Gremio
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
8
D
4
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AGremio1 - 1Chapecoense
HGremio1 - 1Bragantino
HGremio2 - 1A Mineiro
AGremio0 - 2Sao Paulo
HGremio5 - 3Botafogo
AGremio1 - 2Fluminense
AGremio4 - 0S. Recife
HGremio1 - 2Fluminense
HGremio3 - 2Palmeiras
AGremio2 - 3Botafogo
HGremio2 - 0Vasco d Gama
AGremio2 - 2Fortaleza
HGremio0 - 1Cruzeiro
AGremio0 - 2Corinthians
HGremio3 - 1Juventude
AGremio0 - 4Bahia
HGremio2 - 0Sao Paulo
AGremio0 - 1Bragantino
AGremio1 - 1Santos
HGremio3 - 1Vitoria
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
5
Vasco d Gama have not lost to Gremio in 5 consecutive home league meetings
League games at Vasco d Gama since 2018
Vasco d Gama
Gremio
Goals: Scored
6
5
Games: Scored
5 / 7
3 / 7
Clean sheets
4 / 7
2 / 7
VDG
3
D
3
GRE
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Vasco d Gama
Draw1 - 1Draw
Vasco d Gama2 - 1
Vasco d Gama1 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
1 - 3Gremio
Vasco d Gama1 - 0
League games at Gremio since 2018
Gremio
Vasco d Gama
Goals: Scored
14
3
Games: Scored
7 / 7
3 / 7
Clean sheets
4 / 7
0 / 7
GRE
7
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Gremio
Gremio2 - 0
Gremio1 - 0
Gremio1 - 0
Gremio2 - 1
Gremio4 - 0
Gremio2 - 1
Gremio2 - 1
Goal Statistics

Vasco da Gama's fans will be hoping for goals on Sunday evening, not least because Gremio have conceded in each of their last 5 Serie A matches. A PG of 1.5 for F. Diniz Silva's side suggests that run should continue.

Vasco d Gama 15th Gremio 7th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.5
goals
1.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
22%
1
33%
2
25%
3
13%
4+
There is a 78% probability that Vasco d Gama will score 1 or more goals
0
30%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 66% probability that Gremio will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+8
Vasco d Gama’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+18
Gremio have scored 18% more goals when away than predicted
1.5
average goals scored
1.2
average goals scored
1.4
conceded
1.6
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2026/2026 season
Vasco d Gama
PG (predicted goals)
Gremio
1.5
1.2
Attack rating
VDG
GRE
8%
better
view stats
Games scored5
4
Failed to score1
1
Scored first2
2
Goals scored8
9
Avg. goals scored1.3
1.8
Avg. shots per game14
9
Avg. shots per goal11
5
Conversion rate for10
19
Avg. XG for2.1
1.5
KickOff rating
+8%
Defence rating
VDG
GRE
10%
better
view stats
Games conceded6
5
Clean sheets0
0
Conceded first4
3
Goals conceded10
9
Avg. goals conceded1.7
1.8
Avg. shots/game conceded9
11
Avg. shots/goal conceded5
6
Conversion rate against19%
16%
Avg. XG against0.6
1.8
KickOff rating
+10%

Vasco d Gama v Gremio Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Vasco d Gama Serie A squad statistics 2026
Overall
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
NO DATA AVAILABLE
Gremio Serie A squad statistics 2026
Overall
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
NO DATA AVAILABLE