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Ajax v AZ : Eredivisie match betting preview, prediction and odds

Johan Cruijff Arena, Amsterdam

Home advantage is often beneficial in the Eredivisie, and Johnny Heitinga’s Ajax will have the luxury of it on Saturday night. Maarten Martens’s AZ are their opponents at the Johan Cruijff Arena. For each and every Eredivisie preview, KickOff explores the statistics for multiple markets. Key stats, including head-to-head results, are then brought forward alongside odds.

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Ajax's next match is v Chelsea at 20:00 on Wednesday 22nd October
AZ's next match is v S. Bratislava at 20:00 on Thursday 23rd October
The last Dutch Eredivisie meeting between Ajax and AZ Alkmaar was on Saturday 18th October 2025
Dutch Eredivisie
October 18th 2025
Ajax 0
2 AZ Alkmaar
 
25' W. Pinto Batista
42' T. Parrott
 
AJA
AZ
Shots On
7
3
Shots Off
7
4
Corners
5
4
Possession
61%
39%
Fouls
13
19
Yellow/red cards
4/0
2/0
 
AjaxAZ Alkmaar
 
V. Jaroš
L. Rosa
A. Gaaei (G. Alders 78')
Y. Baas
J. Šutalo
K. Taylor
O. Gloukh (J. McConnell 70')
J. Mokio (D. Klaassen 58')
W. Weghorst
M. Godts (R. Bounida 78')
O. Edvardsen (R. Moro Prescoli 70')
R. Owusu-Oduro
A. Penetra Correia
P. Koopmeiners
S. Mijnans
(M. Šín 73') football iconW. Pinto Batista
(I. Sadiq 73') football iconT. Parrott
W. Goes
D. Kasius
K. Smit
(L. Zeefuik 90') I. Jensen
(M. Chávez García 73') M. De Wit

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Eredivisie Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

The stats suggest there's no obvious winner in this fixture, but there's plenty of reasons to believe that Ajax and AZ Alkmaar will score 2 or more goals between them. We've seen goals when they've gone head-to-head in the past, and neither Johnny Heitinga or Maarten Martens has served up too many 0-0s lately either. The bookmakers are predicting over 1.5 goals too, with top odds of 1.13 equating to roughly a 80% probability.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Ajax are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 52% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.91.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Ajax
52%
2.10
3%
91.00
5%
Draw
23%
3.90
4%
26.00
3%
AZ Alkmaar
25%
3.20
3%
1.00
6%
Draw 1-1
11%
7.50
6%
5.00
7%
Ajax 2-1
10%
9.007.50
Ajax 1-0
10%
11.00
15%
7.00
5%
Ajax 2-0
8%
13.00
8%
9.50
AZ Alkmaar 2-1
6%
12.00
8%
5.00
9%
AZ Alkmaar 1-0
6%
15.00
21%
6.50
8%
Ajax 3-1
6%
15.00
15%
15.00
9%
Draw 2-2
6%
11.00
9%
23.00
Draw 0-0
5%
17.00
19%
8.50
8%
Ajax 3-0
5%
21.0017.00
AZ Alkmaar 2-0
4%
19.00
9%
1.44
Ajax 3-2
3%
19.00
24%
101.00
Ajax 4-1
3%
29.00
26%
29.00
11%
AZ Alkmaar 3-1
2%
21.0019.00
Ajax 4-0
2%
41.0029.00
13%
Over 2.5 Goals
56%
1.53
9%
2.60
5%
Under 2.5 Goals
44%
2.40
13%
1.44
8%
Home 1st Goal
53%
1.731.83
2%
Away 1st Goal
44%
2.102.25
2%
No 1st Goal
3%
17.00
19%
8.00
8%
BTTS - Yes
57%
1.50
9%
3.90
3%
BTTS - No
43%
2.50
13%
1.22
5%
BTTS - Home Win
26%
3.50
13%
71.00
10%
BTTS - Draw
18%
4.3323.00
BTTS - Away Win
13%
5.004.20
5%
Home/draw
75%
1.36
1%
21.00
1%
Away/draw
48%
1.701.00
3%
Home/away
77%
1.251.00
Over 1.5 Goals
79%
1.17
4%
1.09
3%
Under 1.5 Goals
21%
5.00
17%
6.50
10%
Over 3.5 Goals
33%
2.25
19%
11.00
11%
Under 3.5 Goals
67%
1.57
12%
1.03
6%
Over 4.5 Goals
17%
4.00
24%
41.00
11%
Under 4.5 Goals
83%
1.22
7%
1.00
2%
Over 5.5 Goals
8%
8.00
38%
91.00
15%
Under 5.5 Goals
92%
1.08
4%
1.00
3%
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1.03
1%
1.06
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
17.00
19%
8.50
8%
Home DNB
68%
1.57
4%
71.00
3%
Away DNB
41%
2.25
5%
1.00
6%
Ajax win to nil
26%
4.50
11%
-
AZ Alkmaar win to nil
12%
7.00
22%
-
Ajax / Ajax
25%
3.25
7%
1.02
3%
Ajax / AZ Alkmaar
4%
23.00
13%
1.02
Ajax / Draw
6%
13.001.02
Draw / Ajax
14%
6.0081.00
Draw / AZ Alkmaar
11%
7.50
6%
101.00
6%
Draw / Draw
13%
6.50
7%
91.00
4%
AZ Alkmaar / Ajax
4%
21.00
11%
10.00
AZ Alkmaar / AZ Alkmaar
16%
5.001.20
5%
AZ Alkmaar / Draw
6%
13.005.75
Win / draw / win Eredivisie table

Ajax have played 8 matches so far this season and lay in 3rd place in the Eredivisie league table. Ajax are unbeaten in 7 games against teams below them in the league and kept 2 clean sheets out of 7 games. Ajax have a great home record this season winning all their home games and keeping 2 clean sheets.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 7 games against teams below in the table, having won 4, drawn 3 and lost no matches. They have kept 2 clean sheets and have scored in every game. Both Ajax and AZ have scored 17 goals this season.

Home League Performance

Ajax have played 4 games at home winning 4, drawing 0 and losing 0 games. They have scored 9 goals, kept 2 clean sheets and conceded 2 goals at home.

AZ Alkmaar are in 4th position in the Eredivisie on 15 points having played 8 matches so far this season. AZ Alkmaar are unbeaten in 1 games against teams above them in the league and kept zero clean sheets out of 1 games. AZ Alkmaar are winless in the 1 games they have played against teams above them in the table and have conceded in every game.

Away League Performance

1 of those games has been a losing match. They have conceded 5 goals and kept 1 clean sheet. They have scored 6 goals in total and found the back of the net in every game.

Performance against teams above them in the league

1 game have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 0 games, drawn 1 and won zero. AZ Alkmaar have conceded 3 goals, scored 3, scored in every game and have kept no clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Ajax
AZ Alkmaar
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
PSV97111522 
May 2
d
 
2-2A
Nov 9
Mar 7
2
Feyenoord87101222 
Dec 14
Mar 21
d
 
3-3F
May 10
3
AZ Alkmaar9531718 
l
 
0-2A
Feb 7
-
-
4
Ajax9441516 
-
-
Feb 7
w
 
0-2F
5
Groningen8503315 
Nov 30
Mar 7
w
 
4-1F
Mar 21
6
NEC9423814 
Feb 21
Dec 20
Jan 31
l
 
2-1A
7
Twente9423314 
Apr 4
Oct 26
May 2
Nov 30
8
Utrecht9414713 
May 10
Nov 9
Oct 26
Feb 28
9
Fortuna8413113 
Feb 14
Dec 6
Apr 4
Dec 21
10
GA Eagles9243-110 
Jan 17
d
 
2-2F
Dec 7
Apr 23
11
S.Rotterdam8314-1110 
Mar 14
d
 
3-3F
Feb 21
Nov 2
12
Heerenveen8233-19 
Nov 1
May 17
Apr 11
Nov 23
13
NAC9225-68 
w
 
2-1F
Apr 23
May 17
w
 
0-1F
14
PEC Zwolle9225-88 
w
 
3-1F
Feb 28
d
 
2-2F
Jan 17
15
Telstar8215-57 
w
 
2-0F
Jan 11
w
 
2-1F
Jan 25
16
FC Volendam9144-67 
Jan 24
d
 
1-1A
Jan 10
d
 
2-2A
17
Excelsior8206-106 
Nov 22
Feb 1
Dec 14
Feb 14
18
Heracles8107-133 
w
 
2-0F
Apr 11
Mar 14
w
 
1-2F
UEFA Champions League
UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
UEFA Europa League Qualifiers
UEFA Conference League Qualifiers Play Off
Relegation Play Off
Relegation Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
5
Ajax have won 5 consecutive home league games
10
Ajax have not lost in 10 consecutive league games
Ajax 3RD
20 league games
Home
5
Overall
10
Goals: Scored
46
Conceded
16
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
16
D
3
L
1
Goals: Scored
35
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
11
Draw
7
L
2
AZ Alkmaar 4TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
9
Draw
6
Lost
5
Goals: Scored
42
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
9
Draw
8
L
3
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
8
AZ Alkmaar have not lost to Ajax in 8 consecutive league meetings
League games at Ajax since 2016
Ajax
AZ Alkmaar
Goals: Scored
22
10
Games: Scored
8 / 10
6 / 10
Clean sheets
4 / 10
2 / 10
AJA
5
D
2
AZ
3
League games at AZ Alkmaar since 2015
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
Goals: Scored
13
14
Games: Scored
8 / 10
7 / 10
Clean sheets
3 / 10
2 / 10
AJA
3
D
2
AZ
5
Goal Statistics

Ajax have been reliable in front of goal of late, scoring in 10 consecutive Eredivisie matches. Their PG of 1.8 against AZ on Saturday suggests that run is likely to continue.

Ajax 3rd AZ Alkmaar 4th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.8
goals
1.1
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
17%
1
30%
2
27%
3
16%
4+
10%
There is a 83% probability that Ajax will score 1 or more goals
0
32%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4+
There is a 68% probability that AZ Alkmaar will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
=0
Ajax’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-2
AZ Alkmaar’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
2.3
average goals scored
1.7
average goals scored
0.8
conceded
1.3
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Eredivisie - 2025/2026 season
Ajax
PG (predicted goals)
AZ Alkmaar
1.8
1.1
Attack rating
0%
better
AJA
AZ
view stats
Games scored8
8
Failed to score0
0
Scored first6
6
Goals scored17
17
Avg. goals scored2.1
2.1
Avg. shots per game12
13
Avg. shots per goal6
6
Conversion rate for17
16
Avg. XG for1.9
2.3
KickOff rating
0%
Defence rating
15%
better
AJA
AZ
view stats
Games conceded6
7
Clean sheets2
1
Conceded first2
2
Goals conceded10
12
Avg. goals conceded1.3
1.5
Avg. shots/game conceded9
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
6
Conversion rate against14%
16%
Avg. XG against1.3
1.4
KickOff rating
+15%

Ajax v AZ Alkmaar Eredivisie lLine ups will show here when available.

Ajax Eredivisie squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
8532
V JarošW WeghorstM GodtsK Taylor
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
V Jaroš GLK8
-
A Gaaei DEF61
-
J Sutalo DEF6
-
Y Baas  DEF71
-
L Rosa DEF5
1
-
J. Mokio MID6
-
K Taylor MID822
2
-
O Edvardsen MID6
2
-
O Gloukh MID831
-
M Godts MID623
1
-
W Weghorst FWD751
2
-
Subs
R Pasveer GLK
-
P. Peters Reverson GLK
-
K Itakura DEF51
1
-
A. Bouwman DEF1
-
G. Alders DEF
-
J. McConnell MID2
-
D Klaassen MID821
-
K Fitz-Jim MID6
2
-
Y Regeer MID5
2
-
R Moro FWD7
1
-
R. Bounida FWD1
-
AZ Alkmaar Eredivisie squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
8345
D KasiusT ParrottS MijnansM Wit
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
R Owusu-Oduro GLK7
-
D Kasius DEF82
2
-
W Goes DEF8
3
-
A Penetra DEF81
3
-
M Wit DEF7
5
-
P Koopmeiners MID8
1
-
S Mijnans MID814
1
-
K. Smit MID712
3
-
Weslley FWD51
-
T Parrott FWD33
1
-
I Jensen FWD8
-
Subs
H Verhulst GLK
-
J Zoet GLK1
-
M Dekker DEF1
-
M. Chávez García DEF41
-
E. Dijkstra DEF1
-
D. Kwakman MID1
-
M Šín MID611
1
-
I Sadiq FWD72
2
-
L Zeefuik FWD5
1
-
R. Daal FWD71
-