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Ajax v NAC Breda : Eredivisie match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 27th Sep, 15:30 BST, Johan Cruijff Arena, Amsterdam

the Johan Cruijff Arena is the setting on Saturday evening, as Johnny Heitinga's Ajax host Carl Hoefkens's NAC Breda in the Eredivisie. We've analysed both teams' last 20 Eredivisie matches, as well as baseline data within the competition and the market, to generate our percentage predictions. All the stats, including head to heads (H2H), are shown below, alongside odds from leading bookmakers.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Eredivisie Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Ajax to win

We're predicting Ajax will be victorious come the end of the 90 mins on Saturday in the win / draw / win market. The latest form statistics and historical head-to-head (H2H) data below all point in that direction and, as favourites with the bookmakers, the odds back that up too. There could be wild scenes among the home fans when the referee blows the final whistle at Johan Cruijff Arena.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Ajax are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 84% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.13.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Ajax
84%
1/8-
Draw
10%
15/2-
NAC
6%
14/1-
Ajax 3-0
10%
13/2-
Ajax 2-0
10%
7/1-
Ajax 4-0
8%
17/2-
Ajax 3-1
8%
9/1-
Ajax 2-1
7%
10/1-
Ajax 4-1
6%
12/1-
Ajax 1-0
6%
11/1-
Ajax 5-0
5%
14/1-
Draw 1-1
5%
16/1-
Ajax 5-1
4%
18/1-
Ajax 3-2
3%
25/1-
Ajax 6-0
3%
22/1-
Draw 2-2
3%
28/1-
Ajax 4-2
2%
28/1-
Ajax 6-1
2%
33/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
75%
2/7-
Under 2.5 Goals
24%
13/5-
Home 1st Goal
64%
1/4-
Away 1st Goal
36%
11/4-
No 1st Goal
1%
28/1-
BTTS - Yes
51%
19/20-
BTTS - No
49%
4/5-
BTTS - Home Win
39%
11/8-
BTTS - Draw
8%
9/1-
BTTS - Away Win
3%
20/1-
Home/draw
94%
1/33-
Away/draw
16%
5/1-
Home/away
90%
1/12-
Over 1.5 Goals
90%
1/14-
Under 1.5 Goals
10%
8/1-
Over 3.5 Goals
56%
8/11-
Under 3.5 Goals
44%
1/1-
Over 4.5 Goals
36%
13/8-
Under 4.5 Goals
64%
4/9-
Over 5.5 Goals
21%
10/3-
Under 5.5 Goals
79%
1/5-
Over 0.5 Goals
98%
1/150-
Under 0.5 Goals
2%
28/1-
Home DNB
91%
1/25-
Away DNB
13%
12/1-
Ajax win to nil
45%
10/11-
NAC win to nil
2%
25/1-
Ajax / Ajax
56%
4/9-
Ajax / NAC
2%
50/1-
Ajax / Draw
4%
22/1-
Draw / Ajax
20%
3/1-
Draw / NAC
2%
33/1-
Draw / Draw
6%
12/1-
NAC / Ajax
5%
16/1-
NAC / NAC
3%
28/1-
NAC / Draw
3%
28/1-
Win / draw / win Eredivisie table
Won
Draw
Lost
Ajax
NAC
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Feyenoord4400812 
Dec 14
Mar 21
Mar 7
l
 
2-0A
2
PSV5401912 
May 2
Sep 21
Nov 22
Jan 24
3
Ajax5320611 
-
-
Apr 23
Sep 27
4
AZ Alkmaar4310510 
Oct 18
Feb 7
l
 
0-1A
May 17
5
NEC530289 
Feb 21
Dec 20
Jan 17
l
 
3-0A
6
Utrecht530279 
May 10
Nov 9
Dec 14
May 2
7
Groningen530219 
Nov 30
Mar 7
Oct 3
Jan 10
8
S.Rotterdam5302-49 
Mar 14
Oct 4
Apr 4
Dec 7
9
Fortuna421127 
Feb 14
Dec 6
w
 
2-1F
Apr 11
10
PEC Zwolle4202-16 
w
 
3-1F
Feb 28
Oct 18
Mar 21
11
GA Eagles513106 
Jan 17
d
 
2-2F
Nov 1
Mar 14
12
FC Volendam5041-34 
Jan 24
d
 
1-1A
Feb 21
Nov 8
13
Twente5113-34 
Apr 4
Oct 26
Jan 30
d
 
2-2F
14
Telstar5113-44 
w
 
2-0F
Jan 11
Dec 20
Feb 28
15
NAC5113-54 
Sep 27
Apr 23
-
-
16
Excelsior5104-93 
Nov 22
Feb 1
Feb 7
Nov 29
17
Heerenveen5023-32 
Nov 1
May 17
May 10
Oct 24
18
Heracles5005-140 
w
 
2-0F
Apr 11
Sep 20
Feb 14
UEFA Champions League
UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
UEFA Europa League Qualifiers
UEFA Conference League Qualifiers Play Off
Relegation Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
4
Ajax have won 4 consecutive home league games
Ajax 3RD
20 league games
Home
4
Overall
Goals: Scored
45
Conceded
15
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
16
D
3
L
1
Goals: Scored
36
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
13
Draw
5
L
2
NAC 15TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
15
Conceded
43
Games: Scored
10 / 20
Conceded
19 / 20
Clean sheets
1 / 20
Failed to score
10 / 20
W
2
D
4
Lost
14
Goals: Scored
15
Conceded
35
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
19 / 20
Clean sheets
1 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
W
1
Draw
9
Lost
10
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
3
Ajax have beaten NAC in 3 consecutive home league meetings
League games at Ajax since 2018
Ajax
NAC
Goals: Scored
11
2
Games: Scored
3 / 3
2 / 3
Clean sheets
1 / 3
0 / 3
AJA
3
League games at NAC since 2017
NAC
Ajax
Goals: Scored
2
12
Games: Scored
1 / 3
3 / 3
Clean sheets
0 / 3
2 / 3
AJA
2
BRE
1
Goal Statistics
Ajax 3rd NAC 15th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
3.2
goals
0.8
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
1
13%
2
21%
3
22%
4
18%
5+
26%
There is a 26% probability that Ajax will score 5 or more goals in this match
0
47%
1
36%
2
13%
3
4+
There is a 83% probability of NAC scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-2
Ajax’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-29
NAC have scored 29% fewer goals when away than predicted
2.3
average goals scored
0.8
average goals scored
0.8
conceded
2.2
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Eredivisie - 2025/2026 season
Ajax
PG (predicted goals)
NAC
3.2
0.8
Attack rating
53%
better
AJA
BRE
view stats
Games scored5
2
Failed to score0
3
Scored first4
2
Goals scored10
4
Avg. goals scored2
0.8
Avg. shots per game14
7
Avg. shots per goal7
9
Conversion rate for15
11
Avg. XG for2
1.2
KickOff rating
+53%
Defence rating
48%
better
AJA
BRE
view stats
Games conceded3
5
Clean sheets2
0
Conceded first1
3
Goals conceded4
9
Avg. goals conceded0.8
1.8
Avg. shots/game conceded6
13
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
7
Conversion rate against13%
14%
Avg. XG against0.7
2.3
KickOff rating
+48%

Ajax v NAC Eredivisie lLine ups will show here when available.

Ajax Eredivisie squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
5322
V JarošW WeghorstS Berghuis W Weghorst
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
V Jaroš GLK5
-
Y Baas  DEF51
-
O Wijndal DEF5
1
-
O Gloukh MID5
-
D Klaassen MID521
-
K Taylor MID51
1
-
W Weghorst FWD531
2
-
S Berghuis  FWD512
-
A Gaaei DEF41
-
J. Mokio DEF4
-
Y Regeer MID4
1
-
R Moro FWD4
1
-
O Edvardsen FWD4
-
K Itakura DEF31
-
J Sutalo DEF3
-
L Rosa DEF3
1
-
K Fitz-Jim MID3
-
M Godts FWD321
-
A. Bouwman DEF1
-
J. McConnell MID1
-
R. Bounida FWD1
-
NAC Eredivisie squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
5112
D BielicaM NassohB Kemper C. Valerius
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
D Bielica GLK5
-
B Kemper  DEF51
1
-
C. Valerius DEF5
2
-
M Nassoh MID51
1
-
M. Balard MID5
-
C Leemans MID5
1
-
J. Talvitie FWD51
-
K Sowah FWD5
1
-
R Hillen DEF4
1
-
B Lucassen DEF4
-
E Mahmutovic DEF4
1
-
L Holtby MID411
-
D. Versluis FWD4
-
S Hooijdonk FWD41
1
R. Paula MID31
-
L Greiml DEF2
-
T Kongolo DEF2
-
C Brym FWD21
-
J. Candelaria DEF1
-