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Heracles Almelo v PSV : Eredivisie match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 28th Feb, 17:45 BST, Polman Stadion, Almelo

Bas Sibum and Peter Bosz take on one another in the Eredivisie on Saturday evening, as Heracles Almelo face PSV at the Polman Stadion. Eredivisie statistics are the most important part of the predictions you'll find below, with head-to-head records included too. You can view it all, with graphics and odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers available for seventeen major betting markets using the tabs.


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Best Tip: PSV to win

The turnout should be good at Polman Stadion on Saturday evening but, unfortunately, we predict a high percentage of those in attendance will be leaving the place 90 minutes later rather less happy than they arrived. The stats below, including head-to-head (H2H) records and recent form, all point towards an away win in the win / draw / win market, with visitors PSV getting the better of hosts Heracles. It could be a bruising afternoon for home gaffer Bas Sibum but, in the meantime, we'd strongly recommend making the most of best bookie odds of 1.20 to back the away win.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 64% chance of PSV coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Heracles
18%
8/115/2
Draw
18%
19/45/1
PSV
64%
1/43/10
PSV 2-1
9%
17/215/2
PSV 3-1
8%
9/115/2
Draw 1-1
8%
12/19/1
PSV 2-0
7%
8/115/2
PSV 3-0
6%
17/28/1
PSV 1-0
6%
12/19/1
Draw 2-2
6%
16/114/1
PSV 3-2
5%
18/114/1
Heracles 2-1
5%
25/118/1
PSV 4-1
5%
12/111/1
PSV 4-0
4%
12/111/1
Heracles 1-0
3%
33/120/1
PSV 4-2
3%
25/118/1
Draw 0-0
2%
28/120/1
Heracles 3-2
2%
40/133/1
Over 2.5 Goals
72%
3/103/10
Under 2.5 Goals
28%
5/211/5
Home 1st Goal
43%
9/45/2
Away 1st Goal
55%
1/33/10
No 1st Goal
1%
28/118/1
BTTS - Yes
65%
8/138/13
BTTS - No
35%
6/523/20
BTTS - Home Win
12%
12/110/1
BTTS - Draw
16%
11/211/2
BTTS - Away Win
38%
13/1013/10
Home/draw
36%
11/412/5
Away/draw
82%
1/141/14
Home/away
82%
1/71/8
Over 1.5 Goals
88%
1/121/11
Under 1.5 Goals
12%
7/111/2
Over 3.5 Goals
51%
4/54/5
Under 3.5 Goals
49%
10/1119/20
Over 4.5 Goals
31%
7/417/10
Under 4.5 Goals
69%
2/52/5
Over 5.5 Goals
17%
7/217/5
Under 5.5 Goals
83%
2/112/11
Over 0.5 Goals
98%
1/1501/1000
Under 0.5 Goals
2%
28/118/1
Home DNB
31%
7/111/2
Away DNB
76%
1/121/11
Heracles win to nil
6%
18/1-
PSV win to nil
26%
6/4-
Heracles / Heracles
6%
16/110/1
Heracles / PSV
5%
14/114/1
Heracles / Draw
4%
20/116/1
Draw / Heracles
5%
20/114/1
Draw / PSV
18%
10/37/2
Draw / Draw
8%
10/18/1
PSV / Heracles
2%
40/133/1
PSV / PSV
47%
8/113/4
PSV / Draw
5%
18/114/1
Win / draw / win Eredivisie table

Heracles have played 23 matches so far this season and are in 18th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

23 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 16 games, drawn 2 and won 5. Heracles have conceded 58 goals, scored 31, failed to score in 9 matches and kept 1 clean sheet.

Home league performance

Heracles have played 11 games at home, winning 4, drawing 1 and losing 6 fixtures. They have scored 20 goals, conceded 25 goals, kept 1 clean sheet and failed to score 4 times in home league games.

PSV lay in 1st place on 62 points in the Eredivisie league table having played 24 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 24 games against teams below them in the table, winning 20, drawing 2 and losing 2 games. They have scored 70 goals and kept 6 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. PSV have conceded 29 goals and have failed to score in 1 match.

Away league performance

PSV have played 12 away games, winning 11, drawing 0 and losing 1 game. They have scored an average of 2.6 goals per away game and conceded an average 1 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Heracles
PSV
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
PSV2420224162 
Feb 28
l
 
4-3A
-
-
2
Feyenoord2314362145 
l
 
0-7A
l
 
4-2A
w
 
3-0F
w
 
2-3F
3
NEC2412751943 
l
 
1-4F
l
 
4-1A
Mar 14
w
 
3-5F
4
Ajax24111031643 
Apr 11
l
 
2-0A
d
 
2-2F
May 2
5
S.Rotterdam231148-737 
w
 
3-0F
l
 
2-0A
w
 
6-1F
Apr 11
6
AZ Alkmaar231067236 
l
 
1-2A
Mar 15
Mar 7
w
 
1-5F
7
Twente2381141235 
l
 
0-2A
l
 
2-1F
May 17
w
 
0-2F
8
Groningen239410031 
May 17
l
 
4-0A
w
 
4-2F
w
 
1-2A
9
Heerenveen24879-231 
l
 
0-3A
Apr 5
w
 
3-1A
w
 
0-2F
10
Utrecht23869530 
Mar 6
l
 
4-0A
Apr 4
w
 
1-2A
11
Fortuna248511-729 
w
 
2-1F
d
 
1-1A
w
 
5-2F
w
 
1-2F
12
Excelsior247512-1526 
Mar 20
w
 
1-2A
w
 
5-1F
w
 
1-2A
13
PEC Zwolle237511-1626 
w
 
8-2A
May 3
Apr 23
w
 
0-4F
14
FC Volendam246612-1324 
Apr 26
l
 
3-0A
w
 
3-0F
l
 
2-1A
15
GA Eagles234118-623 
w
 
4-2F
Feb 22
w
 
2-1F
May 10
16
NAC245712-1122 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
2-1F
d
 
2-2F
w
 
0-1F
17
Telstar233911-1218 
d
 
1-1A
May 10
l
 
0-2A
Mar 22
18
Heracles235216-2717 
-
-
w
 
4-3F
Feb 28
UEFA Champions League
UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
UEFA Europa League Qualifiers
UEFA Conference League Qualifiers Play Off
Relegation Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
Heracles 18TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
36
Conceded
39
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
8
D
4
Lost
8
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
48
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
19 / 20
Clean sheets
1 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
5
D
2
Lost
13
PSV 1ST
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
52
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
20 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
0 / 20
Won
16
D
1
L
3
Goals: Scored
58
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
20 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
0 / 20
Won
17
D
2
L
1
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
8
PSV have beaten Heracles in 8 consecutive league meetings
17
PSV have not lost to Heracles in 17 consecutive league meetings
League games at Heracles since 2015
Heracles
PSV
Goals: Scored
6
23
Games: Scored
5 / 9
9 / 9
Clean sheets
0 / 9
4 / 9
HER
1
D
1
PSV
7
League games at PSV since 2016
PSV
Heracles
Goals: Scored
25
7
Games: Scored
9 / 9
5 / 9
Clean sheets
4 / 9
0 / 9
D
1
PSV
8
Goal Statistics

A PG of 2.5 is decent for PSV in their meeting with Heracles Almelo, as is their run of scoring 1 goal or more in 110 consecutive Eredivisie matches.

Heracles 18th PSV 1st
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.3
goals
2.5
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
28%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 64% probability that Heracles will score no more than 1 goal
0
9%
1
21%
2
26%
3
21%
4+
23%
There is a 70% probability that PSV will score 2 or more goals in this match
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+14
Heracles have scored 14% more goals at home than predicted
+18
PSV have scored 18% more goals when away than predicted
1.8
average goals scored
2.6
average goals scored
2.0
conceded
1.3
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Eredivisie - 2025/2026 season
Heracles
PG (predicted goals)
PSV
1.3
2.5
Attack rating
HER
PSV
50%
better
view stats
Games scored14
22
Failed to score9
1
Scored first6
18
Goals scored31
67
Avg. goals scored1.3
2.8
Avg. shots per game9
12
Avg. shots per goal7
4
Conversion rate for15
23
Avg. XG for1.5
2.1
KickOff rating
+50%
Defence rating
HER
PSV
46%
better
view stats
Games conceded22
17
Clean sheets1
6
Conceded first17
5
Goals conceded58
28
Avg. goals conceded2.5
1.2
Avg. shots/game conceded12
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded5
7
Conversion rate against21%
14%
Avg. XG against2
1.1
KickOff rating
+46%

Heracles v PSV Eredivisie lLine ups will show here when available.

Heracles Eredivisie squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
231067
D MiraniJ HornkampA Hrustic I Mesík
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
D Mirani DEF233
4
-
I Mesík DEF222
7
-
L. Kulenović FWD2253
-
A Hrustic  MID2116
5
-
T Bruns MID191
1
-
J Žambůrek MID191
5
-
T Gilst FWD191
2
-
B Limbombe FWD1913
1
-
M Wierik DEF181
2
-
W Ould-Chikh MID1714
2
-
M Engels FWD172
2
1
A Hoorenbeeck DEF162
1
-
M Benita DEF16
3
-
D Kust DEF142
1
-
J Hornkamp FWD14101
2
1
T Jansink GLK12
-
J Wieckhoff DEF11
1
-
Y Sanches FWD112
-
F Keijzer GLK8
-
S Scheperman MID71
1
-
S Cestic DEF2
-
J. Tijink DEF1
-
J Reine-Adélaïde MID1
-
PSV Eredivisie squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
2312124
J SchoutenG TilJ VeermanJ Veerman
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
R Flamingo DEF2321
3
-
J Veerman MID23812
4
-
J Schouten MID2312
3
1
M Kovář GLK22
-
S Dest DEF2214
4
-
G Til MID22123
1
-
I Perisic FWD2147
4
-
Y. Gąsiorowski Hernandis DEF2031
-
M Júnior DEF2018
2
-
I Saibari MID20115
1
-
E Bajraktarevic FWD2022
-
C Driouech FWD1913
2
-
D Man FWD1856
1
-
R Pepi FWD1691
-
A Obispo DEF142
1
-
P Wanner MID1422
3
-
A Salah-Eddine DEF12
3
-
K Sildillia DEF111
1
-
R Bommel FWD63
1
-
M Boadu FWD42
-
N Schiks GLK2
-
A Plea FWD21
-
J. van den Berg MID1
-