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NAC Breda v Heracles Almelo : Eredivisie match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 20th Sep, 20:00 BST, Rat Verlegh Stadion, Breda

Heracles Almelo are away from home on Saturday night, as manager Bas Sibum takes his team to visit NAC Breda and Carl Hoefkens at the Rat Verlegh Stadion in the Eredivisie. We provide predictions based on in-depth statistical analysis of both teams, across 17 of the main markets. Data shown and the odds is designed to fit each market, and head to head (H2H) statistics are included across the board.

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Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

Neither NAC or Heracles are in the kind of form that would have us feeling confident enough to tip a match winner, so we're going with over 1.5 goals. The statistics show that both have form in this market, both individually and when going head-to-head. We're predicting there's a 79% chance of 2 goals or more.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think NAC are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 45% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.20.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
NAC 45%	6/5 6%	-
Draw 24%	12/5	-
Heracles 31%	11/5 10%	-
Draw 1-1 11%	11/2	-
NAC 2-1 9%	8/1 5%	-
NAC 1-0 9%	8/1 5%	-
Heracles 2-1 7%	11/1 9%	-
Heracles 1-0 7%	11/1 9%	-
NAC 2-0 7%	11/1	-
Draw 2-2 6%	11/1	-
Draw 0-0 5%	11/1	-
NAC 3-1 5%	16/1	-
Heracles 2-0 5%	16/1 13%	-
NAC 3-0 4%	20/1 9%	-
Heracles 3-1 3%	22/1 10%	-
NAC 3-2 3%	22/1	-
Heracles 3-2 3%	28/1	-
Heracles 3-0 2%	33/1 17%	-
Over 2.5 Goals 56%	4/5	-
Under 2.5 Goals 44%	1/1	-
Home 1st Goal 51%	4/5 2%	-
Away 1st Goal 46%	11/10 2%	-
No 1st Goal 3%	11/1	-
BTTS - Yes 59%	8/13	-
BTTS - No 41%	6/5	-
BTTS - Home Win 23%	3/1 8%	-
BTTS - Draw 19%	10/3	-
BTTS - Away Win 17%	9/2	-
Home/draw 69%	4/11 3%	-
Away/draw 55%	4/6 6%	-
Home/away 76%	3/10	-
Over 1.5 Goals 79%	2/9	-
Under 1.5 Goals 21%	3/1	-
Over 3.5 Goals 34%	7/4	-
Under 3.5 Goals 66%	2/5	-
Over 4.5 Goals 17%	9/2	-
Under 4.5 Goals 83%	1/7	-
Over 5.5 Goals 8%	10/1	-
Under 5.5 Goals 92%	1/20	-
Over 0.5 Goals 95%	1/25	-
Under 0.5 Goals 5%	11/1	-
Home DNB 62%	4/7 6%	-
Away DNB 48%	5/4 7%	-
NAC win to nil 21%	3/1 8%	-
Heracles win to nil 15%	5/1 9%	-
NAC / NAC 23%	5/2 7%	-
NAC / Heracles 3%	28/1 12%	-
NAC / Draw 6%	12/1	-
Draw / NAC 15%	9/2 8%	-
Draw / Heracles 12%	6/1	-
Draw / Draw 15%	9/2	-
Heracles / NAC 4%	22/1	-
Heracles / Heracles 16%	4/1 11%	-
Heracles / Draw 6%	12/1	-

Win / draw / win Eredivisie table

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	NAC Heracles
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
1	Feyenoord	3	3	0	0	7	9	Mar 7	l 2-0A	Oct 18	Jan 24
2	NEC	4	3	0	1	10	9	Jan 17	l 3-0A	l 1-4F	Feb 7
3	Utrecht	4	3	0	1	8	9	Dec 13	May 2	Mar 7	l 4-0A
4	PSV	4	3	0	1	7	9	Nov 22	Jan 24	Feb 28	Dec 13
5	Ajax	4	2	2	0	4	8	Apr 23	Sep 27	Apr 11	l 2-0A
6	AZ Alkmaar	3	2	1	0	4	7	l 0-1A	May 17	Sep 14	Mar 14
7	PEC Zwolle	3	2	0	1	1	6	Oct 18	Mar 21	Nov 2	May 2
8	Groningen	4	2	0	2	0	6	Oct 3	Jan 10	May 17	l 4-0A
9	S.Rotterdam	4	2	0	2	-5	6	Apr 4	Dec 6	Sep 27	Jan 10
10	Fortuna	3	1	1	1	0	4	w 2-1F	Apr 11	Jan 31	Nov 29
11	FC Volendam	4	0	4	0	0	4	Feb 21	Nov 8	Apr 23	Oct 25
12	Telstar	4	1	1	2	-2	4	Dec 20	Feb 28	Dec 6	May 10
13	GA Eagles	4	0	3	1	-3	3	Nov 1	Mar 14	Nov 22	Feb 21
14	Twente	4	1	0	3	-3	3	Jan 31	Sep 13	Jan 17	Oct 5
15	NAC	4	1	0	3	-5	3	-	-	Feb 14	Sep 20
16	Excelsior	4	1	0	3	-8	3	Feb 7	Nov 29	Mar 21	Nov 8
17	Heerenveen	4	0	2	2	-2	2	May 10	Oct 24	Dec 20	Apr 4
18	Heracles	4	0	0	4	-13	0	Sep 20	Feb 14	-	-

	UEFA Champions League
	UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
	UEFA Europa League Qualifiers
	UEFA Conference League Qualifiers Play Off
	Relegation Play Off
	Relegation

Win / draw / win form

Heracles have lost 4 consecutive away league games

Heracles have failed to score in 3 consecutive away league games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

17 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

3 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
NAC	0 - 1	AZ Alkmaar
NAC	2 - 1	Fortuna
NAC	1 - 1	Willem II
NAC	1 - 3	PEC Zwolle
NAC	1 - 1	GA Eagles
NAC	1 - 1	Groningen
NAC	1 - 1	S.Rotterdam
NAC	0 - 0	Feyenoord
NAC	1 - 1	Heracles
NAC	2 - 1	Twente
NAC	2 - 4	Heerenveen
NAC	1 - 2	AZ Alkmaar
NAC	1 - 0	Almere City
NAC	0 - 3	PSV
NAC	4 - 1	Waalwijk
NAC	1 - 0	NEC
NAC	1 - 0	Fortuna
NAC	1 - 2	Utrecht
NAC	2 - 1	Ajax
NAC	1 - 2	NEC

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

12 / 20

Conceded

19 / 20

Clean sheets

1 / 20

Failed to score

8 / 20

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	NAC	0 - 1	AZ Alkmaar
A	NAC	0 - 3	NEC
H	NAC	2 - 1	Fortuna
A	NAC	0 - 2	Feyenoord
H	NAC	1 - 1	Willem II
A	NAC	0 - 3	NEC
A	NAC	0 - 1	Fortuna
H	NAC	1 - 3	PEC Zwolle
A	NAC	1 - 1	AZ Alkmaar
H	NAC	1 - 1	GA Eagles
A	NAC	1 - 3	Ajax
H	NAC	1 - 1	Groningen
A	NAC	1 - 1	Almere City
H	NAC	1 - 1	S.Rotterdam
A	NAC	0 - 1	Utrecht
H	NAC	0 - 0	Feyenoord
A	NAC	0 - 5	Waalwijk
H	NAC	1 - 1	Heracles
A	NAC	2 - 3	PSV
H	NAC	2 - 1	Twente

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

9 / 20

Conceded

17 / 20

Clean sheets

3 / 20

Failed to score

11 / 20

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Groningen	4 - 0	Heracles
Ajax	2 - 0	Heracles
Utrecht	4 - 0	Heracles
PSV	4 - 1	Heracles
Willem II	1 - 2	Heracles
Groningen	4 - 1	Heracles
Waalwijk	0 - 0	Heracles
Heerenveen	1 - 1	Heracles
Fortuna	1 - 0	Heracles
Ajax	4 - 0	Heracles
NAC	1 - 1	Heracles
Almere City	0 - 2	Heracles
Feyenoord	5 - 2	Heracles
AZ Alkmaar	1 - 0	Heracles
Utrecht	1 - 0	Heracles
Twente	5 - 0	Heracles
GA Eagles	4 - 1	Heracles
NEC	1 - 2	Heracles
PEC Zwolle	3 - 0	Heracles
S.Rotterdam	0 - 0	Heracles

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

18 / 20

Clean sheets

2 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Heracles	0 - 4	Groningen
A	Heracles	0 - 2	Ajax
H	Heracles	1 - 4	NEC
A	Heracles	0 - 4	Utrecht
H	Heracles	1 - 2	NEC
A	Heracles	1 - 4	PSV
A	Heracles	2 - 1	Willem II
H	Heracles	1 - 4	Feyenoord
A	Heracles	1 - 4	Groningen
H	Heracles	1 - 0	AZ Alkmaar
A	Heracles	0 - 0	Waalwijk
H	Heracles	2 - 1	Twente
A	Heracles	1 - 1	Heerenveen
A	Heracles	0 - 1	Fortuna
H	Heracles	4 - 2	PEC Zwolle
A	Heracles	0 - 4	Ajax
H	Heracles	4 - 2	GA Eagles
A	Heracles	1 - 1	NAC
H	Heracles	1 - 1	Groningen
H	Heracles	1 - 1	Utrecht

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

NAC

Heracles

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

3 / 3

Clean sheets

0 / 3

BRE

FIXTURE HISTORY AT NAC
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
NAC	2 - 1
NAC	6 - 1

Heracles

NAC

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

3 / 3

1 / 3

Clean sheets

2 / 3

0 / 3

HER

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Heracles
Heracles		2 - 0
Heracles		1 - 0
Heracles		2 - 1

Goal Statistics

NAC Breda's fans will be hoping for goals on Saturday night, not least because Heracles Almelo have conceded in each of their last 9 Eredivisie matches. A PG of 1.6 for C. Hoefkens's side suggests that run should continue.

Goals have been an issue for Heracles Almelo of late. It has been 6 Eredivisie games since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.3 suggests they'll have problems ending that run on Saturday night against NAC Breda.

	NAC 15th	Heracles 18th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.6 goals	1.3 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 20% 1 32% 2 26% 3 14% 4+ 8% There is a 80% probability that NAC will score 1 or more goals	0 27% 1 35% 2 23% 3 10% 4+ There is a 62% probability that Heracles will score no more than 1 goal

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-18 NAC have scored 18% fewer goals at home than predicted	-36 Heracles have scored 36% fewer goals when away than predicted
	1.2 average goals scored	0.7 average goals scored
	1.3 conceded	2.3 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Eredivisie - 2025/2026 season

21%

better

BRE

HER

view stats

Games scored	1		1
Failed to score	3		3
Scored first	1		1
Goals scored	2		1
Avg. goals scored	0.5		0.3
Avg. shots per game	7		8
Avg. shots per goal	15		30
Conversion rate for	7		3
Avg. XG for	1.3		0.8
KickOff rating		+21%

21%

better

BRE

HER

view stats

Games conceded	4		4
Clean sheets	0		0
Conceded first	3		3
Goals conceded	7		14
Avg. goals conceded	1.8		3.5
Avg. shots/game conceded	13		13
Avg. shots/goal conceded	8		4
Conversion rate against	13%		26%
Avg. XG against	2.3		2.6
KickOff rating		+21%

NAC v Heracles Eredivisie lLine ups will show here when available.

NAC Eredivisie squad statistics 2025/2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
4	1	1	2
D Bielica	J. Talvitie	S Hooijdonk	C. Valerius

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
D Bielica GLK	4			-
B Kemper DEF	4			-
E Mahmutovic DEF	4			1 -
C. Valerius DEF	4			2 -
M. Balard MID	4			-
C Leemans MID	4			1 -
M Nassoh MID	4			1 -
J. Talvitie FWD	4	1		-
S Hooijdonk FWD	4		1	1
K Sowah FWD	4			1 -
R Hillen DEF	3			1 -
B Lucassen DEF	3			-
L Holtby MID	3	1	1	-
D. Versluis FWD	3			-
R. Paula MID	2			-
J. Candelaria DEF	1			-
L Greiml DEF	1			-
T Kongolo DEF	1			-
C Brym FWD	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
1	3	1	2
J. Talvitie	B Kemper	S Hooijdonk	J. Talvitie

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
J. Talvitie FWD	1	2		2
L Holtby MID	1	2	1
B Kemper DEF		3		1
C Leemans MID				1
M Nassoh MID		2		1
S Hooijdonk FWD		1	1
K Sowah FWD		2
R Hillen DEF		1
B Lucassen DEF		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
142	8	25
M. Balard	J. Talvitie	S Hooijdonk

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
M. Balard MID	142	7	11
E Mahmutovic DEF	129	2	11
D Bielica GLK	128		1
K Sowah FWD	127	2	11
R Hillen DEF	127	8	15
B Kemper DEF	103	5	19
M Nassoh MID	103	7	17
L Holtby MID	90	7	12
C. Valerius DEF	73	7	17
J. Talvitie FWD	68	8	18
S Hooijdonk FWD	57	8	25
B Lucassen DEF	44	5	10
T Kongolo DEF	38	4	11
L Greiml DEF	34	2	7
C Leemans MID	21	4	4
R. Paula MID	11	1	4
J. Candelaria DEF	7
C Brym FWD	6		2
D. Versluis FWD	4	2	3

Heracles Eredivisie squad statistics 2025/2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
4	1	1	2
F Keijzer	J Hornkamp	S Scheperman	J Žambůrek

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
F Keijzer GLK	4			-
D Kust DEF	4			1 -
I Mesík DEF	4			-
D Mirani DEF	4			1 -
S Scheperman MID	4		1	1 -
T Bruns MID	4			-
J Žambůrek MID	4			2 -
Y Sanches FWD	4			-
T Gilst FWD	4			-
L. Kulenović FWD	4			-
B Limbombe FWD	4			1 -
M Benita DEF	3			-
J Wieckhoff DEF	3			-
A Hrustic MID	3			-
M Wierik DEF	2			-
J Hornkamp FWD	2	1		1 1
J Reine-Adélaïde MID	1			-
M Engels FWD	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
1	3	1	1
J Hornkamp	J Hornkamp	S Scheperman	S Scheperman

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
J Hornkamp FWD	1	3
D Mirani DEF		1
S Scheperman MID			1	1
Y Sanches FWD		1
L. Kulenović FWD		2
B Limbombe FWD		2		1
J Reine-Adélaïde MID				1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
183	11	28
D Mirani	S Scheperman	L. Kulenović

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
D Mirani DEF	183	5	24
I Mesík DEF	168	4	9
F Keijzer GLK	161
S Scheperman MID	132	11	24
D Kust DEF	88	8	15
J Žambůrek MID	73	7	23
L. Kulenović FWD	64	2	28
J Wieckhoff DEF	63	2	7
B Limbombe FWD	56	3	16
T Bruns MID	55	2	7
A Hrustic MID	37	4	7
M Benita DEF	36	7	16
T Gilst FWD	32	1	6
J Hornkamp FWD	18		4
Y Sanches FWD	17	3	5
J Reine-Adélaïde MID	14		1
M Wierik DEF	3