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NEC Nijmegen v AZ : Eredivisie match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 28th Sep, 11:15 BST, Sportpark De Weeren, Amsterdam

AZ pay Eredivisie counterparts NEC Nijmegen a visit on Sunday morning, as Maarten Martens guides his side into an away clash with Dick Campbell & co. at the Sportpark De Weeren. We provide predictions based on complex statistical analysis of both teams, across seventeen of the main betting markets. The data and the odds are unique to each market, and head to head (H2H) statistics are included for all.


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Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We do not expect to see a a bore-draw or a narrow 1-0 win here, and instead are predicting over 1.5 goals. That means that NEC and AZ Alkmaar will score at least a couple of between them during 90 mins. This is based on form stats for each side, as well as their historic head-to-heads. We give it a probability of 80%. The bookies have it at 1.22.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
NEC
29%
23/10-
Draw
24%
13/5-
AZ Alkmaar
48%
1/1-
Draw 1-1
11%
6/1-
AZ Alkmaar 2-1
9%
15/2-
AZ Alkmaar 1-0
8%
8/1-
AZ Alkmaar 2-0
7%
10/1-
NEC 2-1
7%
11/1-
NEC 1-0
6%
11/1-
Draw 2-2
6%
12/1-
AZ Alkmaar 3-1
5%
14/1-
Draw 0-0
5%
12/1-
AZ Alkmaar 3-0
4%
18/1-
NEC 2-0
4%
18/1-
AZ Alkmaar 3-2
4%
22/1-
NEC 3-1
3%
25/1-
NEC 3-2
3%
28/1-
AZ Alkmaar 4-1
2%
28/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
58%
7/10-
Under 2.5 Goals
42%
11/10-
Home 1st Goal
46%
6/5-
Away 1st Goal
52%
8/11-
No 1st Goal
3%
12/1-
BTTS - Yes
60%
8/13-
BTTS - No
40%
6/5-
BTTS - Home Win
16%
5/1-
BTTS - Draw
19%
7/2-
BTTS - Away Win
25%
11/4-
Home/draw
52%
4/5-
Away/draw
71%
1/3-
Home/away
76%
2/7-
Over 1.5 Goals
80%
2/9-
Under 1.5 Goals
20%
3/1-
Over 3.5 Goals
36%
13/8-
Under 3.5 Goals
64%
4/9-
Over 4.5 Goals
19%
4/1-
Under 4.5 Goals
81%
1/6-
Over 5.5 Goals
9%
10/1-
Under 5.5 Goals
91%
1/20-
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1/25-
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
12/1-
Home DNB
45%
6/4-
Away DNB
64%
1/2-
NEC win to nil
13%
11/2-
AZ Alkmaar win to nil
23%
11/4-
NEC / NEC
15%
9/2-
NEC / AZ Alkmaar
4%
20/1-
NEC / Draw
6%
14/1-
Draw / NEC
10%
7/1-
Draw / AZ Alkmaar
15%
9/2-
Draw / Draw
14%
5/1-
AZ Alkmaar / NEC
3%
28/1-
AZ Alkmaar / AZ Alkmaar
26%
11/5-
AZ Alkmaar / Draw
6%
12/1-
Win / draw / win Eredivisie table
Won
Draw
Lost
NEC
AZ Alkmaar
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Feyenoord4400812 
Apr 11
Nov 23
Sep 21
May 10
2
PSV5401912 
l
 
3-5A
Mar 14
Nov 9
Mar 7
3
Ajax5320611 
Dec 20
Feb 21
Feb 7
Oct 18
4
AZ Alkmaar4310510 
Sep 28
Jan 31
-
-
5
NEC530289 
-
-
Jan 31
Sep 28
6
Utrecht530279 
Jan 9
Nov 2
Oct 26
Feb 28
7
Groningen530219 
Nov 9
May 10
w
 
4-1F
Mar 21
8
S.Rotterdam5302-49 
Nov 29
Feb 14
Feb 21
Nov 2
9
Fortuna421127 
Feb 28
l
 
3-2A
Apr 4
Dec 21
10
PEC Zwolle4202-16 
Jan 24
Oct 25
Sep 24
Jan 17
11
GA Eagles513106 
May 17
Oct 5
Dec 7
Apr 23
12
FC Volendam5041-34 
Mar 7
Dec 7
Jan 10
d
 
2-2A
13
Twente5113-34 
Oct 18
Apr 23
May 2
Nov 30
14
Telstar5113-44 
May 2
Dec 13
Oct 5
Jan 25
15
NAC5113-54 
w
 
3-0F
Jan 17
May 17
w
 
0-1F
16
Excelsior5104-93 
w
 
5-0F
Apr 4
Dec 14
Feb 14
17
Heerenveen5023-32 
Mar 21
Sep 21
Apr 11
Nov 23
18
Heracles5005-140 
Feb 7
w
 
1-4A
Mar 14
w
 
1-2F
UEFA Champions League
UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
UEFA Europa League Qualifiers
UEFA Conference League Qualifiers Play Off
Relegation Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
NEC 5TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
47
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
20 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
0 / 20
Won
8
Draw
6
Lost
6
Goals: Scored
39
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
8
Draw
5
Lost
7
AZ Alkmaar 4TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
10
Draw
6
L
4
Goals: Scored
40
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
11
Draw
6
L
3
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at NEC since 2016
NEC
AZ Alkmaar
Goals: Scored
6
16
Games: Scored
3 / 6
6 / 6
Clean sheets
0 / 6
3 / 6
NEC
1
D
1
AZ
4
League games at AZ Alkmaar since 2015
AZ Alkmaar
NEC
Goals: Scored
8
8
Games: Scored
6 / 6
4 / 6
Clean sheets
2 / 6
0 / 6
NEC
2
D
2
AZ
2
Goal Statistics

NEC Nijmegen have been consistent in attack of late, scoring in 10 consecutive Eredivisie outings. Their PG of 1.7 against AZ on Sunday suggests that run is likely to continue.

NEC 5th AZ Alkmaar 4th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.3
goals
1.7
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
27%
1
36%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 63% probability that NEC will score no more than 1 goal
0
18%
1
31%
2
27%
3
15%
4+
10%
There is a 82% probability that AZ Alkmaar will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+33
NEC have scored 33% more goals at home than predicted
-1
AZ Alkmaar’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
2.4
average goals scored
1.7
average goals scored
1.5
conceded
1.2
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Eredivisie - 2025/2026 season
NEC
PG (predicted goals)
AZ Alkmaar
1.3
1.7
Attack rating
15%
better
NEC
AZ
view stats
Games scored5
4
Failed to score0
0
Scored first2
3
Goals scored17
9
Avg. goals scored3.4
2.3
Avg. shots per game14
13
Avg. shots per goal4
6
Conversion rate for25
17
Avg. XG for2.8
2
KickOff rating
+15%
Defence rating
NEC
AZ
24%
better
view stats
Games conceded3
3
Clean sheets2
1
Conceded first3
1
Goals conceded9
4
Avg. goals conceded1.8
1
Avg. shots/game conceded10
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded5
10
Conversion rate against19%
10%
Avg. XG against1.4
1.5
KickOff rating
+24%

NEC v AZ Alkmaar Eredivisie lLine ups will show here when available.

NEC Eredivisie squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
5322
G CrettazT CheryT CheryS. Ouaissa
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
G Crettaz GLK5
-
B Pereira DEF5
1
-
T Chery MID532
1
-
V Crooij MID51
-
D Proper MID51
1
-
S. Ouaissa MID51
2
-
K Sano MID5
-
B Linssen FWD532
2
-
V Misidjan FWD512
-
B. Onal FWD412
1
-
K. Shiogai FWD42
-
Y Kachati FWD411
-
K Ogawa FWD42
-
P Sandler DEF311
-
R González FWD3
-
Y. Sbai DEF2
-
D. Fonville DEF11
-
A Kaplan DEF1
-
D Nejasmic MID1
-
N Lebreton MID1
-
AZ Alkmaar Eredivisie squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
4324
M WitT ParrottK. SmitM Wit
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Wit DEF4
4
-
W Goes DEF4
-
A Penetra DEF41
2
-
D Kasius DEF41
1
-
J Clasie MID4
1
-
P Koopmeiners MID4
-
S Mijnans MID411
1
-
K. Smit MID42
2
-
M Meerdink FWD41
-
R. Daal FWD4
-
I Sadiq FWD41
1
-
I Jensen FWD4
-
R Owusu-Oduro GLK3
-
M. Chávez García DEF21
-
M Šín MID21
-
T Parrott FWD23
1
-
Weslley FWD2
-
L Zeefuik FWD2
1
-
J Zoet GLK1
-