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PEC Zwolle v Ajax : Eredivisie match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 1st Mar, 11:15 BST, Mac3park Stadion, Zwolle

Home advantage can be vital in the Eredivisie, and Henry van der Vegt’s PEC Zwolle will have the luxury of it on Sunday morning. Fred Grim’s Ajax are their opponents at the Mac3park Stadion. You'll find statistics supporting our top of over 2.5 goals below, but there are 16 other markets we're covering too. We aim to give you as full a picture as possible, with Eredivisie performances and head to heads (H2Hs) included, so that you can make a smart bet. Finally, be sure to get the best odds from one of the UK's biggest bookmakers.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Eredivisie Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Over 2.5 goals

As Henry van der Vegt and his side approach kick-off, our prediction is for a combined total of over 3 goals scored during the match. Statistics imply both sides have the weapons to deliver up top, an encouraging sign for the neutrals. In the absense of a strong favourite to win the fixture, we're going for over 2.5 goals.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 48% chance of Ajax coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
PEC Zwolle
30%
15/4-
Draw
22%
31/10-
Ajax
48%
8/13-
Draw 1-1
10%
15/2-
Ajax 2-1
9%
15/2-
PEC Zwolle 2-1
7%
14/1-
Draw 2-2
7%
12/1-
Ajax 1-0
7%
9/1-
Ajax 2-0
6%
9/1-
Ajax 3-1
6%
11/1-
PEC Zwolle 1-0
5%
18/1-
Ajax 3-2
4%
18/1-
Ajax 3-0
4%
12/1-
PEC Zwolle 2-0
4%
28/1-
Draw 0-0
3%
18/1-
PEC Zwolle 3-1
3%
33/1-
PEC Zwolle 3-2
3%
33/1-
Ajax 4-1
3%
20/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
66%
1/2-
Under 2.5 Goals
34%
6/4-
Home 1st Goal
46%
6/4-
Away 1st Goal
52%
8/15-
No 1st Goal
2%
18/1-
BTTS - Yes
66%
8/15-
BTTS - No
34%
11/8-
BTTS - Home Win
18%
13/2-
BTTS - Draw
19%
15/4-
BTTS - Away Win
29%
15/8-
Home/draw
52%
5/4-
Away/draw
70%
2/11-
Home/away
78%
2/9-
Over 1.5 Goals
85%
1/7-
Under 1.5 Goals
15%
9/2-
Over 3.5 Goals
44%
6/5-
Under 3.5 Goals
56%
8/13-
Over 4.5 Goals
25%
11/4-
Under 4.5 Goals
75%
1/4-
Over 5.5 Goals
13%
6/1-
Under 5.5 Goals
87%
1/10-
Over 0.5 Goals
97%
1/50-
Under 0.5 Goals
3%
18/1-
Home DNB
45%
11/4-
Away DNB
64%
1/4-
PEC Zwolle win to nil
11%
10/1-
Ajax win to nil
20%
12/5-
PEC Zwolle / PEC Zwolle
11%
13/2-
PEC Zwolle / Ajax
4%
18/1-
PEC Zwolle / Draw
6%
14/1-
Draw / PEC Zwolle
8%
10/1-
Draw / Ajax
17%
15/4-
Draw / Draw
12%
6/1-
Ajax / PEC Zwolle
3%
28/1-
Ajax / Ajax
33%
6/4-
Ajax / Draw
6%
12/1-
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Win / draw / win Eredivisie table

PEC Zwolle have played 23 matches so far this season and are in 13th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

16 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 7 games, drawn 4 and won 5. PEC Zwolle have conceded 32 goals, scored 21, failed to score in 2 matches and kept 3 clean sheets.

Home league performance

PEC Zwolle have played 11 games at home, winning 6, drawing 1 and losing 4 fixtures. They have scored 15 goals, conceded 15 goals, kept 3 clean sheets and failed to score 3 times in home league games.

Ajax lay in 4th place on 43 points in the Eredivisie league table having played 24 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 20 games against teams below them in the table, winning 10, drawing 7 and losing 3 games. They have scored 40 goals and kept 4 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Ajax have conceded 26 goals and have failed to score in 1 match.

Away league performance

Ajax have played 11 away games, winning 3, drawing 7 and losing 1 game. They have scored an average of 2.1 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.8 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
PEC Zwolle
Ajax
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
PSV2420224162 
l
 
0-4A
Apr 23
May 2
d
 
2-2A
2
Feyenoord2314362145 
May 17
l
 
6-1A
w
 
2-0F
Mar 22
3
NEC2412751943 
d
 
2-2A
l
 
2-1F
d
 
1-1F
d
 
2-2A
4
Ajax24111031643 
Mar 1
l
 
3-1A
-
-
5
S.Rotterdam231148-737 
w
 
1-0F
Mar 8
Mar 14
d
 
3-3F
6
AZ Alkmaar231067236 
w
 
3-1F
d
 
2-2A
l
 
0-2A
d
 
1-1A
7
Twente2381141235 
w
 
1-0F
d
 
1-1F
Apr 4
w
 
2-3A
8
Groningen239410031 
Mar 13
d
 
2-2F
w
 
2-0F
Mar 7
9
Heerenveen24879-231 
w
 
2-1F
l
 
4-2F
d
 
1-1F
May 17
10
Utrecht23869530 
l
 
0-2A
Feb 22
May 10
l
 
2-1A
11
Fortuna248511-729 
w
 
1-0F
May 10
w
 
4-1F
w
 
1-3A
12
Excelsior247512-1526 
Apr 12
l
 
2-1A
l
 
1-2A
d
 
2-2F
13
PEC Zwolle237511-1626 
-
-
w
 
3-1F
Mar 1
14
FC Volendam246612-1324 
l
 
1-2F
l
 
2-1A
w
 
2-0F
d
 
1-1A
15
GA Eagles234118-623 
l
 
0-2A
Apr 5
d
 
2-2F
d
 
2-2F
16
NAC245712-1122 
Mar 21
d
 
2-2A
w
 
2-1F
Apr 25
17
Telstar233911-1218 
w
 
4-1F
w
 
0-2F
w
 
2-0F
w
 
2-3F
18
Heracles235216-2717 
May 3
l
 
8-2F
w
 
2-0F
Apr 11
UEFA Champions League
UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
UEFA Europa League Qualifiers
UEFA Conference League Qualifiers Play Off
Relegation Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
5
Ajax have not lost in 5 consecutive away league games
PEC Zwolle 13TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
9
Draw
5
Lost
6
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
PEC Zwolle1 - 2FC Volendam
PEC Zwolle4 - 1Telstar
PEC Zwolle3 - 1AZ Alkmaar
PEC Zwolle1 - 0Fortuna
PEC Zwolle2 - 1Heerenveen
PEC Zwolle1 - 0S.Rotterdam
PEC Zwolle2 - 2NEC
PEC Zwolle0 - 4PSV
PEC Zwolle0 - 2GA Eagles
PEC Zwolle0 - 2Utrecht
PEC Zwolle1 - 0Twente
PEC Zwolle2 - 0Groningen
PEC Zwolle1 - 1GA Eagles
PEC Zwolle1 - 1Twente
PEC Zwolle2 - 0Waalwijk
PEC Zwolle0 - 1Ajax
PEC Zwolle1 - 1Heerenveen
PEC Zwolle3 - 3Utrecht
PEC Zwolle3 - 1PSV
PEC Zwolle0 - 1NEC
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
47
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
5
Draw
5
Lost
10
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
APEC Zwolle2 - 4Heerenveen
HPEC Zwolle1 - 2FC Volendam
HPEC Zwolle4 - 1Telstar
APEC Zwolle1 - 2NEC
HPEC Zwolle3 - 1AZ Alkmaar
APEC Zwolle1 - 1Twente
APEC Zwolle1 - 2Excelsior
HPEC Zwolle1 - 0Fortuna
APEC Zwolle1 - 6Feyenoord
HPEC Zwolle2 - 1Heerenveen
APEC Zwolle2 - 2Groningen
HPEC Zwolle1 - 0S.Rotterdam
APEC Zwolle2 - 8Heracles
HPEC Zwolle2 - 2NEC
APEC Zwolle2 - 2NAC
HPEC Zwolle0 - 4PSV
APEC Zwolle1 - 2FC Volendam
APEC Zwolle2 - 2AZ Alkmaar
HPEC Zwolle0 - 2GA Eagles
APEC Zwolle1 - 3Ajax
Ajax 4TH
20 league games
Away
5
Overall
Goals: Scored
37
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
10
Draw
8
L
2
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
AZ Alkmaar1 - 1Ajax
Excelsior2 - 2Ajax
Telstar2 - 3Ajax
NEC2 - 2Ajax
Fortuna1 - 3Ajax
Utrecht2 - 1Ajax
Twente2 - 3Ajax
S.Rotterdam3 - 3Ajax
PSV2 - 2Ajax
FC Volendam1 - 1Ajax
GA Eagles2 - 2Ajax
Groningen2 - 2Ajax
Utrecht4 - 0Ajax
Willem II1 - 2Ajax
PSV0 - 2Ajax
PEC Zwolle0 - 1Ajax
Almere City0 - 1Ajax
Fortuna0 - 2Ajax
Heerenveen0 - 2Ajax
S.Rotterdam0 - 2Ajax
Goals: Scored
40
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
9
Draw
8
L
3
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HAjax1 - 1NEC
HAjax4 - 1Fortuna
AAjax1 - 1AZ Alkmaar
AAjax2 - 2Excelsior
HAjax2 - 0FC Volendam
HAjax2 - 2GA Eagles
AAjax3 - 2Telstar
AAjax2 - 2NEC
HAjax2 - 0Feyenoord
AAjax3 - 1Fortuna
HAjax2 - 0Groningen
HAjax1 - 2Excelsior
AAjax1 - 2Utrecht
HAjax1 - 1Heerenveen
AAjax3 - 2Twente
HAjax0 - 2AZ Alkmaar
AAjax3 - 3S.Rotterdam
HAjax2 - 1NAC
AAjax2 - 2PSV
HAjax3 - 1PEC Zwolle
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
9
Ajax have beaten PEC Zwolle in 9 consecutive away league meetings
18
Ajax have not lost to PEC Zwolle in 18 consecutive league meetings
League games at PEC Zwolle since 2015
PEC Zwolle
Ajax
Goals: Scored
5
22
Games: Scored
4 / 9
9 / 9
Clean sheets
0 / 9
5 / 9
AJA
9
FIXTURE HISTORY AT PEC Zwolle
0 - 1Ajax
1 - 3Ajax
0 - 2Ajax
0 - 2Ajax
2 - 4Ajax
1 - 4Ajax
0 - 1Ajax
1 - 3Ajax
0 - 2Ajax
League games at Ajax since 2016
Ajax
PEC Zwolle
Goals: Scored
27
5
Games: Scored
9 / 9
4 / 9
Clean sheets
5 / 9
0 / 9
D
1
AJA
8
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Ajax
Ajax3 - 1
Ajax2 - 0
Draw2 - 2Draw
Ajax3 - 0
Ajax4 - 0
Ajax2 - 1
Ajax3 - 0
Ajax5 - 1
Ajax3 - 0
Goal Statistics

PEC Zwolle have been reliable in attack of late, finding the net in 15 consecutive Eredivisie games. Their PG of 1.5 against Ajax on Sunday suggests that run is likely to continue.

PEC Zwolle 13th Ajax 4th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.5
goals
1.9
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
23%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4+
There is a 77% probability that PEC Zwolle will score 1 or more goals
0
15%
1
28%
2
27%
3
17%
4+
13%
There is a 85% probability that Ajax will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-1
PEC Zwolle’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+2
Ajax’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.4
average goals scored
1.9
average goals scored
1.2
conceded
1.4
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Eredivisie - 2025/2026 season
PEC Zwolle
PG (predicted goals)
Ajax
1.5
1.9
Attack rating
PEC
AJA
16%
better
view stats
Games scored20
22
Failed to score3
1
Scored first13
14
Goals scored33
46
Avg. goals scored1.4
1.9
Avg. shots per game7
11
Avg. shots per goal5
6
Conversion rate for21
17
Avg. XG for1
1.7
KickOff rating
+16%
Defence rating
PEC
AJA
19%
better
view stats
Games conceded19
18
Clean sheets4
5
Conceded first10
9
Goals conceded49
30
Avg. goals conceded2.1
1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded13
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
7
Conversion rate against16%
14%
Avg. XG against1.9
1.3
KickOff rating
+19%

PEC Zwolle v Ajax Eredivisie lLine ups will show here when available.

PEC Zwolle Eredivisie squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
231065
S FloranusK. KostonsK. KostonsA MacNulty
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
S Graves DEF232
4
-
S Floranus DEF2313
3
-
T Oosting MID2331
3
-
K. Kostons FWD23106
1
-
K Rooij FWD2355
3
-
A MacNulty DEF221
4
1
T. de Graaff GLK21
-
R Thomas MID201
5
-
S Shoretire FWD2051
4
-
O Aertssen DEF192
2
-
J Monteiro MID1822
1
T. Gooijer DEF163
2
1
J Faberski FWD161
1
-
D Mbayo FWD141
1
-
N. Fichtinger MID131
3
1
Z Buurmeester MID11
-
G. Reiziger MID9
-
J. Pereira da Gama MID8
3
-
T Buitink FWD5
1
-
D. Voute DEF3
-
O Velanas MID3
-
J Schendelaar GLK2
-
D Haar DEF2
1
-
S Lagsir MID2
-
Ajax Eredivisie squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
211384
Y Baas M GodtsM GodtsY Regeer
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
D Klaassen MID2342
1
-
O Gloukh MID2355
2
-
M Godts FWD22138
2
-
Y Baas  DEF2141
2
1
V Jaroš GLK19
1
-
Y Regeer MID192
4
-
W Weghorst FWD1962
4
-
A Gaaei DEF183
2
-
L Rosa DEF18
2
-
J. Mokio MID1721
-
O Wijndal DEF161
3
-
J Sutalo DEF15
1
-
K Taylor MID1524
3
-
K Itakura DEF141
1
-
R. Bounida MID1414
3
-
K Dolberg FWD1432
1
-
R Moro FWD141
1
-
O Edvardsen FWD141
2
-
K Fitz-Jim MID131
2
-
S. Steur MID10
-
S Berghuis  FWD912
-
A. Bouwman DEF71
2
-
D. Christoffel Annum-Assamoah Konadu FWD5
-
R Pasveer GLK4
-
J. McConnell MID4
-
G. Alders DEF3
-