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PSV v Ajax : Eredivisie match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 21st Sep, 13:30 BST, Philips Stadion, Eindhoven

the Philips Stadion is the setting on Sunday afternoon, as Peter Bosz's PSV welcome Johnny Heitinga's Ajax in the Eredivisie. Stats for our tip of are shown below, including head-to-head history. Flipping the market with the tabs changes all stats and the odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers, making it easier than ever to find the right bet for you.

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Eredivisie Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Over 2.5 goals

As followers of Ajax get ready for this clash, they certainly have reason to expect an exciting match. After analysing the relevant stats and past head-to-head (H2H) fixture history, it looks as though over 2.5 goals will be a worthy bet, as both sides know they have goals in them and either could get the win. The prediction and odds are both pointing in the same direction: over 2.5 goals is the best bet here.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think PSV are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 58% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.67.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
PSV 58%	4/6 5%	-
Draw 21%	14/5 3%	-
Ajax 21%	4/1 11%	-
PSV 2-1 10%	15/2	-
Draw 1-1 9%	13/2	-
PSV 2-0 8%	17/2 5%	-
PSV 1-0 8%	9/1	-
PSV 3-1 7%	11/1 8%	-
Draw 2-2 6%	11/1	-
PSV 3-0 6%	14/1	-
Ajax 2-1 6%	14/1	-
Ajax 1-0 4%	16/1	-
PSV 3-2 4%	20/1 11%	-
Draw 0-0 4%	16/1	-
PSV 4-1 4%	20/1 9%	-
PSV 4-0 3%	25/1 10%	-
Ajax 2-0 3%	28/1 12%	-
Ajax 3-2 2%	33/1 17%	-
Over 2.5 Goals 64%	4/7	-
Under 2.5 Goals 36%	27/20	-
Home 1st Goal 55%	8/15 3%	-
Away 1st Goal 43%	6/4 5%	-
No 1st Goal 2%	16/1	-
BTTS - Yes 61%	4/7 3%	-
BTTS - No 39%	5/4 5%	-
BTTS - Home Win 31%	2/1 3%	-
BTTS - Draw 17%	7/2 4%	-
BTTS - Away Win 12%	13/2 7%	-
Home/draw 79%	1/6 1%	-
Away/draw 42%	23/20 8%	-
Home/away 79%	1/4 3%	-
Over 1.5 Goals 84%	1/6	-
Under 1.5 Goals 16%	4/1	-
Over 3.5 Goals 41%	11/8	-
Under 3.5 Goals 59%	8/15	-
Over 4.5 Goals 23%	3/1	-
Under 4.5 Goals 77%	2/9	-
Over 5.5 Goals 11%	7/1	-
Under 5.5 Goals 89%	1/12	-
Over 0.5 Goals 96%	1/40	-
Under 0.5 Goals 4%	16/1	-
Home DNB 73%	2/7 3%	-
Away DNB 36%	5/2 8%	-
PSV win to nil 27%	12/5 3%	-
Ajax win to nil 9%	9/1	-
PSV / PSV 32%	8/5 5%	-
PSV / Ajax 2%	33/1 17%	-
PSV / Draw 6%	12/1	-
Draw / PSV 17%	15/4 5%	-
Draw / Ajax 8%	9/1 5%	-
Draw / Draw 13%	11/2	-
Ajax / PSV 4%	18/1	-
Ajax / Ajax 11%	13/2 15%	-
Ajax / Draw 6%	14/1	-

Win / draw / win Eredivisie table

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	PSV Ajax
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
1	Feyenoord	3	3	0	0	7	9	Jan 31	Oct 26	Dec 13	Mar 21
2	NEC	4	3	0	1	10	9	Mar 14	Sep 13	Feb 21	Dec 20
3	Utrecht	4	3	0	1	8	9	Apr 4	Dec 20	May 10	Nov 9
4	PSV	4	3	0	1	7	9	-	-	May 2	Sep 21
5	Ajax	4	2	2	0	4	8	Sep 21	May 2	-	-
6	AZ Alkmaar	3	2	1	0	4	7	Mar 7	Nov 9	Oct 18	Feb 7
7	PEC Zwolle	3	2	0	1	1	6	Apr 23	Oct 4	Sep 13	Feb 28
8	Groningen	4	2	0	2	0	6	w 4-2F	Feb 7	Nov 29	Mar 7
9	S.Rotterdam	4	2	0	2	-5	6	w 6-1F	Apr 11	Mar 14	Oct 4
10	Fortuna	3	1	1	1	0	4	Nov 1	Jan 17	Feb 14	Dec 6
11	FC Volendam	4	0	4	0	0	4	Nov 29	Feb 14	Jan 24	d 1-1A
12	Telstar	4	1	1	2	-2	4	l 0-2A	Mar 21	w 2-0F	Jan 10
13	GA Eagles	4	0	3	1	-3	3	Oct 18	May 10	Jan 17	d 2-2F
14	Twente	4	1	0	3	-3	3	May 17	w 0-2F	Apr 4	Oct 26
15	NAC	4	1	0	3	-5	3	Jan 24	Nov 22	Sep 27	Apr 23
16	Excelsior	4	1	0	3	-8	3	Jan 10	Sep 27	Nov 22	Jan 31
17	Heerenveen	4	0	2	2	-2	2	Feb 21	Dec 6	Nov 1	May 17
18	Heracles	4	0	0	4	-13	0	Dec 13	Feb 28	w 2-0F	Apr 11

	UEFA Champions League
	UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
	UEFA Europa League Qualifiers
	UEFA Conference League Qualifiers Play Off
	Relegation Play Off
	Relegation

Win / draw / win form

Ajax have drawn 3 consecutive away league games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

18 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

2 / 20

Won

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
PSV	0 - 2	Telstar
PSV	4 - 2	Groningen
PSV	6 - 1	S.Rotterdam
PSV	4 - 1	Heracles
PSV	4 - 1	Fortuna
PSV	5 - 0	Almere City
PSV	0 - 2	Ajax
PSV	2 - 1	Heerenveen
PSV	2 - 2	Utrecht
PSV	1 - 1	Willem II
PSV	3 - 2	NAC
PSV	2 - 2	AZ Alkmaar
PSV	3 - 0	Feyenoord
PSV	6 - 1	Twente
PSV	5 - 0	Groningen
PSV	6 - 0	PEC Zwolle
PSV	2 - 1	S.Rotterdam
PSV	2 - 0	NEC
PSV	3 - 0	GA Eagles
PSV	5 - 1	Waalwijk

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

18 / 20

Conceded

17 / 20

Clean sheets

3 / 20

Failed to score

2 / 20

Won

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	PSV	0 - 2	Telstar
H	PSV	4 - 2	Groningen
A	PSV	2 - 0	Twente
H	PSV	6 - 1	S.Rotterdam
A	PSV	3 - 1	S.Rotterdam
H	PSV	4 - 1	Heracles
A	PSV	3 - 2	Feyenoord
H	PSV	4 - 1	Fortuna
A	PSV	3 - 1	Twente
H	PSV	5 - 0	Almere City
A	PSV	3 - 1	Groningen
H	PSV	0 - 2	Ajax
A	PSV	3 - 0	Waalwijk
H	PSV	2 - 1	Heerenveen
A	PSV	2 - 3	GA Eagles
H	PSV	2 - 2	Utrecht
H	PSV	1 - 1	Willem II
A	PSV	3 - 3	NEC
H	PSV	3 - 2	NAC
A	PSV	1 - 3	PEC Zwolle

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

19 / 20

Conceded

12 / 20

Clean sheets

8 / 20

Failed to score

1 / 20

Won

Draw

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
FC Volendam	1 - 1	Ajax
GA Eagles	2 - 2	Ajax
Groningen	2 - 2	Ajax
Utrecht	4 - 0	Ajax
Willem II	1 - 2	Ajax
PSV	0 - 2	Ajax
PEC Zwolle	0 - 1	Ajax
Almere City	0 - 1	Ajax
Fortuna	0 - 2	Ajax
Heerenveen	0 - 2	Ajax
S.Rotterdam	0 - 2	Ajax
AZ Alkmaar	2 - 1	Ajax
NEC	1 - 2	Ajax
Twente	2 - 2	Ajax
Feyenoord	0 - 2	Ajax
Heracles	3 - 4	Ajax
Waalwijk	0 - 2	Ajax
GA Eagles	1 - 1	Ajax
NAC	2 - 1	Ajax
Vitesse	2 - 2	Ajax

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

18 / 20

Conceded

10 / 20

Clean sheets

10 / 20

Failed to score

2 / 20

Won

Draw

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Ajax	1 - 1	FC Volendam
H	Ajax	2 - 0	Heracles
A	Ajax	2 - 2	GA Eagles
H	Ajax	2 - 0	Telstar
H	Ajax	2 - 0	Twente
A	Ajax	2 - 2	Groningen
H	Ajax	0 - 3	NEC
H	Ajax	1 - 1	S.Rotterdam
A	Ajax	0 - 4	Utrecht
A	Ajax	2 - 1	Willem II
H	Ajax	3 - 1	NAC
A	Ajax	2 - 0	PSV
H	Ajax	2 - 2	AZ Alkmaar
A	Ajax	1 - 0	PEC Zwolle
A	Ajax	1 - 0	Almere City
H	Ajax	2 - 0	GA Eagles
H	Ajax	4 - 0	Heracles
A	Ajax	2 - 0	Fortuna
H	Ajax	2 - 1	Feyenoord
A	Ajax	2 - 0	Heerenveen

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

PSV

Ajax

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

8 / 10

6 / 10

Clean sheets

4 / 10

2 / 10

PSV

AJA

FIXTURE HISTORY AT PSV
	0 - 2	Ajax
PSV	5 - 2
PSV	3 - 0
	1 - 2	Ajax
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
PSV	3 - 0
PSV	3 - 0
PSV	1 - 0
	0 - 2	Ajax

Ajax

PSV

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

10 / 10

7 / 10

Clean sheets

3 / 10

0 / 10

PSV

AJA

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Ajax
Ajax	3 - 2
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
	1 - 2	PSV
Ajax	5 - 0
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
Ajax	1 - 0
Ajax	3 - 1
Ajax	3 - 0
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
	1 - 2	PSV

Goal Statistics

Ajax have been dreadful at the back of late, conceding 2 or more goals in 3 consecutive Eredivisie games. This run could continue, with PSV's PG an impressive 2.1.

	PSV 4th	Ajax 5th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	2.1 goals	1.2 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 12% 1 26% 2 27% 3 19% 4+ 16% There is a 62% probability that PSV will score 2 or more goals in this match	0 31% 1 36% 2 21% 3 8% 4+ There is a 67% probability that Ajax will score no more than 1 goal

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	+14 PSV have scored 14% more goals at home than predicted	-10 Ajax’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
	3.3 average goals scored	1.7 average goals scored
	1.0 conceded	1.2 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Eredivisie - 2025/2026 season

better

PSV

AJA

view stats

Games scored	3		4
Failed to score	1		0
Scored first	3		3
Goals scored	12		7
Avg. goals scored	3		1.8
Avg. shots per game	14		14
Avg. shots per goal	5		8
Conversion rate for	21		12
Avg. XG for	2.2		2
KickOff rating		0%

PSV

AJA

27%

better

view stats

Games conceded	3		2
Clean sheets	1		2
Conceded first	1		1
Goals conceded	5		3
Avg. goals conceded	1.3		0.8
Avg. shots/game conceded	9		7
Avg. shots/goal conceded	7		9
Conversion rate against	14%		11%
Avg. XG against	1.1		0.7
KickOff rating		+27%

PSV v Ajax Eredivisie lLine ups will show here when available.

PSV Eredivisie squad statistics 2025/2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
4	2	3	2
M Kovář	G Til	I Perisic	R Flamingo

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
M Kovář GLK	4			-
K Sildillia DEF	4			-
Y. Gąsiorowski Hernandis DEF	4	1	1	-
S Dest DEF	4	1	1	1 -
R Flamingo DEF	4			2 -
I Saibari MID	4			-
J Schouten MID	4	1		1 -
G Til MID	4	2		-
R Bommel FWD	4	2		-
I Perisic FWD	4	1	3	-
J Veerman MID	3	1	2	-
C Driouech FWD	3			-
E Bajraktarevic FWD	3	2		-
M Júnior DEF	2		1	-
P Wanner MID	2			-
D Man FWD	2			-
A Plea FWD	2		1	-
R Pepi FWD	2			-
A Obispo DEF	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
2	3	3	2
G Til	R Flamingo	I Perisic	J Veerman

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
G Til MID	2	3
R Bommel FWD	2	3		1
E Bajraktarevic FWD	2	3
Y. Gąsiorowski Hernandis DEF	1	2	1
S Dest DEF	1	2	1
J Schouten MID	1	2
I Perisic FWD	1	2	3	1
J Veerman MID	1	2	2	2
R Flamingo DEF		3
I Saibari MID		3		1
C Driouech FWD		1
M Júnior DEF		1	1	2
D Man FWD		1
A Plea FWD			1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
267	8	28
R Flamingo	I Perisic	S Dest

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
R Flamingo DEF	267	6	22
J Schouten MID	239	6	15
Y. Gąsiorowski Hernandis DEF	236	3	16
S Dest DEF	234	7	28
J Veerman MID	176	4	9
M Kovář GLK	162		5
I Saibari MID	158	1	18
I Perisic FWD	145	8	14
K Sildillia DEF	121	3	10
M Júnior DEF	118	5	12
R Bommel FWD	117	6	18
G Til MID	83	3	10
D Man FWD	52	1	7
E Bajraktarevic FWD	47		10
A Plea FWD	36	2	6
C Driouech FWD	18		1
A Obispo DEF	16		1
P Wanner MID	10		1
R Pepi FWD	9		1

Ajax Eredivisie squad statistics 2025/2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
4	3	2	2
V Jaroš	W Weghorst	S Berghuis	W Weghorst

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
V Jaroš GLK	4			-
Y Baas DEF	4	1		-
O Wijndal DEF	4			-
O Gloukh MID	4			-
D Klaassen MID	4	1	1	-
K Taylor MID	4			1 -
R Moro FWD	4			1 -
S Berghuis FWD	4	1	2	-
W Weghorst FWD	4	3	1	2 -
A Gaaei DEF	3			-
J. Mokio DEF	3			-
L Rosa DEF	3			1 -
Y Regeer MID	3			-
K Fitz-Jim MID	3			-
O Edvardsen FWD	3			-
K Itakura DEF	2	1		-
J Sutalo DEF	2			-
M Godts FWD	2			-
A. Bouwman DEF	1			-
R. Bounida FWD	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
3	9	2	3
W Weghorst	S Berghuis	S Berghuis	W Weghorst

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
W Weghorst FWD	3	3	1	3
Y Baas DEF	1	2		1
D Klaassen MID	1	1	1
S Berghuis FWD	1	9	2	2
K Itakura DEF	1	1
O Wijndal DEF		1		1
O Gloukh MID		3
K Taylor MID		2		1
R Moro FWD		3		2
A Gaaei DEF		2
J. Mokio DEF		1
K Fitz-Jim MID		1
O Edvardsen FWD		1
M Godts FWD		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
396	6	31
Y Baas	Y Baas	W Weghorst

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
Y Baas DEF	396	6	17
S Berghuis FWD	245	2	7
O Wijndal DEF	211	5	17
K Taylor MID	202	6	13
L Rosa DEF	168	2	6
K Fitz-Jim MID	144	2	3
V Jaroš GLK	132
O Gloukh MID	116	3	11
W Weghorst FWD	110	3	31
D Klaassen MID	98	6	11
K Itakura DEF	90	2	7
A Gaaei DEF	85	1	5
R Moro FWD	80	1	5
J Sutalo DEF	61	1	3
A. Bouwman DEF	61	2	3
O Edvardsen FWD	57	2	6
Y Regeer MID	52	4	7
M Godts FWD	37		1
J. Mokio DEF	24	2	5
R. Bounida FWD	2