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PSV v Excelsior : Eredivisie match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 10th Jan, 19:00 BST, Philips Stadion, Eindhoven

Home advantage is often beneficial in the Eredivisie, and Peter Bosz’s PSV will have the blessing of it on Saturday evening. Ruben den Uil’s Excelsior are their opponents at the Philips Stadion. Our predictions are based on complex statistical analysis of each side, across 17 of the biggest betting markets. Data shown and the odds are unique to each market, and head-to-head stats are included for all.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Eredivisie Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: PSV to win

Studying the bookmakers' odds and collated statistics regarding the two teams ahead of this Eredivisie match, a bet on win / draw / win for PSV to win in front of their own fans is what we would suggest. We predict they will overpower Excelsior, and head-to-head (H2H) records show they have the pedigree to do so. It may not all be plain sailing, but PSV claiming victory is the bet come Saturday evening.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think PSV are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 73% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.14.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
PSV
73%
1/7
1%
-
Draw
14%
7/1
6%
-
Excelsior
12%
14/1-
PSV 3-1
8%
9/1-
PSV 2-1
8%
10/1
8%
-
PSV 3-0
7%
15/2
6%
-
PSV 2-0
7%
17/2
5%
-
PSV 4-1
6%
11/1-
Draw 1-1
5%
16/1
11%
-
PSV 4-0
5%
9/1-
PSV 3-2
5%
22/1-
Draw 2-2
5%
22/1-
PSV 1-0
4%
14/1
12%
-
PSV 4-2
4%
25/1-
PSV 5-1
4%
16/1-
Excelsior 2-1
3%
40/1-
PSV 5-0
3%
14/1-
PSV 5-2
2%
40/1
21%
-
Over 2.5 Goals
79%
2/9
4%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
21%
16/5
8%
-
Home 1st Goal
57%
1/4-
Away 1st Goal
42%
11/4-
No 1st Goal
1%
33/1-
BTTS - Yes
67%
3/4
3%
-
BTTS - No
33%
1/1
2%
-
BTTS - Home Win
45%
6/5
5%
-
BTTS - Draw
13%
8/1-
BTTS - Away Win
9%
20/1
11%
-
Home/draw
88%
1/33-
Away/draw
26%
9/2
8%
-
Home/away
86%
1/12-
Over 1.5 Goals
92%
1/16
1%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
8%
9/1
9%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
61%
4/7
5%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
39%
5/4
10%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
41%
5/4
13%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
59%
4/7
8%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
25%
11/4
7%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
75%
1/4
3%
-
Over 0.5 Goals
98%
1/200-
Under 0.5 Goals
1%
28/1
15%
-
Home DNB
83%
1/25-
Away DNB
22%
12/1-
PSV win to nil
28%
11/10
5%
-
Excelsior win to nil
3%
28/1-
PSV / PSV
56%
1/2
4%
-
PSV / Excelsior
2%
50/1-
PSV / Draw
4%
22/1-
Draw / PSV
19%
10/3-
Draw / Excelsior
2%
33/1-
Draw / Draw
6%
14/1-
Excelsior / PSV
6%
14/1-
Excelsior / Excelsior
3%
28/1-
Excelsior / Draw
3%
28/1-
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Win / draw / win Eredivisie table

PSV have played 17 matches so far this season and lay in 1st place in the Eredivisie league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 17 games against teams below in the table, having won 15, drawn 1 and lost 1 match. They have kept 5 clean sheets and have failed to score in 1 fixture. PSV have outscored their opponents by 52 goals to 16 goals.

Home League Performance

PSV have played 8 games at home winning 6, drawing 1 and losing 1 game. They have scored 26 goals, kept 1 clean sheet and conceded 13 goals at home.

Excelsior are in 13th position in the Eredivisie on 19 points having played 16 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

4 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 17 goals and kept no clean sheets. They have scored 8 goals in total and failed to score in 2 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

11 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 8 games, drawn 0 and won 3. Excelsior have conceded 21 goals, scored 8, failed to score in 4 fixtures and have kept 2 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
PSV
Excelsior
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
PSV1715113146 
-
-
l
 
1-2F
Jan 10
2
Feyenoord1711242135 
Feb 1
w
 
2-3F
l
 
1-2F
Mar 15
3
Ajax178631030 
d
 
2-2F
May 2
Feb 1
w
 
1-2F
4
NEC178541429 
Mar 14
w
 
3-5F
Apr 4
l
 
5-0A
5
Groningen17836327 
w
 
4-2F
Feb 8
l
 
0-2A
May 2
6
Twente17674525 
May 17
w
 
0-2F
w
 
1-0F
Jan 24
7
AZ Alkmaar16745325 
Mar 7
w
 
1-5F
Feb 14
-
8
Utrecht17656523 
Apr 4
w
 
1-2A
Apr 26
l
 
4-1A
9
Heerenveen17656323 
Feb 21
w
 
0-2F
Mar 7
l
 
2-1F
10
S.Rotterdam17728-1323 
w
 
6-1F
Apr 11
l
 
0-1A
May 17
11
Fortuna17638-421 
w
 
5-2F
Jan 17
w
 
1-0F
Feb 20
12
GA Eagles17476-319 
w
 
2-1F
May 10
Mar 1
l
 
2-0A
13
Excelsior16619-1119 
Jan 10
w
 
1-2A
-
-
14
PEC Zwolle17548-1719 
Apr 23
w
 
0-4F
w
 
2-1F
Apr 12
15
Telstar17368-715 
l
 
0-2A
Mar 22
Jan 17
d
 
2-2A
16
FC Volendam17359-1214 
w
 
3-0F
Feb 13
May 10
w
 
1-2F
17
Heracles174211-1814 
w
 
4-3F
Feb 28
l
 
1-2F
Mar 20
18
NAC173410-1013 
Jan 24
w
 
0-1F
w
 
1-0F
Feb 6
UEFA Champions League
UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
UEFA Europa League Qualifiers
UEFA Conference League Qualifiers Play Off
Relegation Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
11
PSV have won 11 consecutive league games
13
PSV have not lost in 13 consecutive league games
PSV 1ST
20 league games
Home
Overall
11
Goals: Scored
63
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
14
D
4
L
2
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
PSV4 - 3Heracles
PSV3 - 0FC Volendam
PSV5 - 2Fortuna
PSV2 - 1GA Eagles
PSV2 - 2Ajax
PSV0 - 2Telstar
PSV4 - 2Groningen
PSV6 - 1S.Rotterdam
PSV4 - 1Heracles
PSV4 - 1Fortuna
PSV5 - 0Almere City
PSV0 - 2Ajax
PSV2 - 1Heerenveen
PSV2 - 2Utrecht
PSV1 - 1Willem II
PSV3 - 2NAC
PSV2 - 2AZ Alkmaar
PSV3 - 0Feyenoord
PSV6 - 1Twente
PSV5 - 0Groningen
Goals: Scored
62
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
18
D
1
L
1
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
APSV2 - 1Utrecht
HPSV4 - 3Heracles
APSV2 - 0Heerenveen
HPSV3 - 0FC Volendam
APSV1 - 0NAC
APSV5 - 1AZ Alkmaar
HPSV5 - 2Fortuna
APSV3 - 2Feyenoord
HPSV2 - 1GA Eagles
APSV4 - 0PEC Zwolle
APSV2 - 1Excelsior
HPSV2 - 2Ajax
APSV5 - 3NEC
HPSV0 - 2Telstar
HPSV4 - 2Groningen
APSV2 - 0Twente
HPSV6 - 1S.Rotterdam
APSV3 - 1S.Rotterdam
HPSV4 - 1Heracles
APSV3 - 2Feyenoord
Excelsior 13TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
57
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
20 / 20
Clean sheets
0 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
W
2
D
4
Lost
14
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Ajax1 - 2Excelsior
Telstar2 - 2Excelsior
GA Eagles2 - 0Excelsior
Heerenveen2 - 1Excelsior
FC Volendam1 - 2Excelsior
Utrecht4 - 1Excelsior
NEC5 - 0Excelsior
Feyenoord4 - 0Excelsior
Ajax2 - 2Excelsior
PEC Zwolle2 - 1Excelsior
GA Eagles3 - 0Excelsior
AZ Alkmaar4 - 0Excelsior
Fortuna5 - 2Excelsior
S.Rotterdam4 - 2Excelsior
Almere City2 - 1Excelsior
PSV3 - 1Excelsior
Twente4 - 2Excelsior
Waalwijk2 - 2Excelsior
Utrecht2 - 2Excelsior
FC Volendam3 - 1Excelsior
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
36
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
7
D
2
Lost
11
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HExcelsior2 - 1PEC Zwolle
HExcelsior0 - 2Groningen
HExcelsior1 - 0NAC
AExcelsior2 - 1Ajax
HExcelsior1 - 2Heracles
AExcelsior2 - 2Telstar
AExcelsior0 - 2GA Eagles
HExcelsior1 - 0Fortuna
AExcelsior1 - 2Heerenveen
HExcelsior1 - 2PSV
AExcelsior2 - 1FC Volendam
HExcelsior0 - 1S.Rotterdam
HExcelsior1 - 0Twente
AExcelsior1 - 4Utrecht
HExcelsior1 - 2Feyenoord
AExcelsior0 - 5NEC
AExcelsior0 - 4Feyenoord
HExcelsior4 - 0Heracles
HExcelsior0 - 3NEC
AExcelsior2 - 2Ajax
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
12
PSV have beaten Excelsior in 12 consecutive league meetings
13
PSV have not lost to Excelsior in 13 consecutive league meetings
League games at PSV since 2015
PSV
Excelsior
Goals: Scored
17
2
Games: Scored
6 / 6
2 / 6
Clean sheets
4 / 6
0 / 6
PSV
5
D
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT PSV
PSV3 - 1
PSV4 - 0
PSV6 - 0
PSV1 - 0
PSV2 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
League games at Excelsior since 2016
Excelsior
PSV
Goals: Scored
5
20
Games: Scored
5 / 7
7 / 7
Clean sheets
0 / 7
2 / 7
PSV
7
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Excelsior
1 - 2PSV
0 - 2PSV
1 - 6PSV
0 - 2PSV
1 - 2PSV
1 - 3PSV
1 - 3PSV
Goal Statistics
PSV 1st Excelsior 13th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
3.0
goals
1.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
1
15%
2
22%
3
22%
4
17%
5+
23%
There is a 24% probability that PSV will score 5 or more goals in this match
0
30%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 66% probability that Excelsior will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+15
PSV have scored 15% more goals at home than predicted
-1
Excelsior’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
3.2
average goals scored
1.2
average goals scored
1.3
conceded
2.9
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Eredivisie - 2025/2026 season
PSV
PG (predicted goals)
Excelsior
3
1.2
Attack rating
48%
better
PSV
EXC
view stats
Games scored16
12
Failed to score1
4
Scored first14
10
Goals scored52
16
Avg. goals scored3.1
1
Avg. shots per game13
9
Avg. shots per goal4
9
Conversion rate for23
11
Avg. XG for2.1
1.5
KickOff rating
+48%
Defence rating
21%
better
PSV
EXC
view stats
Games conceded12
13
Clean sheets5
3
Conceded first3
6
Goals conceded21
27
Avg. goals conceded1.2
1.7
Avg. shots/game conceded9
12
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
7
Conversion rate against14%
14%
Avg. XG against1.2
2
KickOff rating
+21%

PSV v Excelsior Eredivisie lLine ups will show here when available.

PSV Eredivisie squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
171174
M KovářG TilJ VeermanS Dest
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Kovář GLK17
-
R Flamingo DEF1711
3
-
J Schouten MID1712
2
1
G Til MID17111
-
Y. Gąsiorowski Hernandis DEF1621
-
S Dest DEF1614
4
-
I Saibari MID1694
-
J Veerman MID1687
4
-
R Pepi FWD1471
-
I Perisic FWD1427
3
-
M Júnior DEF1315
2
-
C Driouech FWD132
2
-
E Bajraktarevic FWD1322
-
D Man FWD1225
-
A Salah-Eddine DEF11
2
-
A Obispo DEF9
-
K Sildillia DEF7
-
P Wanner MID7
1
-
R Bommel FWD63
1
-
M Boadu FWD21
-
A Plea FWD21
-
J. van den Berg MID1
-
Excelsior Eredivisie squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
16525
C WidellN NaujoksR MeissenA Zagre
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
R Meissen DEF162
3
-
I Bronkhorst DEF16
4
-
C Widell DEF16
2
-
G Regt FWD1621
2
-
D Fernandes FWD1612
-
S Gassel GLK14
-
A Carlén MID141
3
-
M Duinen FWD141
1
-
A Zagre DEF131
4
1
I Yegoian MID1322
1
-
N Naujoks MID135
1
-
S Wlodarczyk FWD1221
-
J. Armantrading FWD10
1
-
S Mitrovic FWD9
-
L Schouten DEF81
-
N. Martens DEF71
-
S. Hendrikx DEF6
1
S. Middendorp MID6
1
D. Yun FWD61
1
-
C. Nadje MID5
1
-
S Janssen DEF4
-
L Hartjes MID4
-
Z. Booth FWD3
-
C Raatsie GLK2
-
M Tielemans MID2
-
T. Holla GLK1
-
N. Groen FWD1
-