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FC Utrecht v AZ : Eredivisie match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 1st Mar, 15:45 BST, Stadion Galgenwaard, Utrecht

We’ve Eredivisie action to look forward to on Sunday afternoon, as Ron Jans and his FC Utrecht side host Maarten Martens’s AZ at the Stadion Galgenwaard. Our predictions are based on complex statistical analysis of both teams' performance, across seventeen major markets. The data and the odds change with each market, and head to head (H2H) stats are included across the board.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Eredivisie Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We're ruling out a bore-draw or a slim 1-0 win here, and instead are predicting over 1.5 goals. That means that Utrecht and AZ Alkmaar will score at least two between them during the standard 90 mins. It's a tip based on each side's recent form stats, as well as past records of their head-to-head clashes. We give it a probability of 75%. The bookmakers have it at 1.25.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Utrecht are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 40% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.55.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Utrecht
40%
31/20-
Draw
26%
12/5-
AZ Alkmaar
34%
31/20-
Draw 1-1
12%
11/2-
Utrecht 1-0
9%
17/2-
Utrecht 2-1
9%
9/1-
AZ Alkmaar 1-0
8%
17/2-
AZ Alkmaar 2-1
8%
9/1-
Utrecht 2-0
7%
12/1-
Draw 0-0
6%
11/1-
Draw 2-2
6%
12/1-
AZ Alkmaar 2-0
5%
12/1-
Utrecht 3-1
4%
20/1-
AZ Alkmaar 3-1
3%
20/1-
Utrecht 3-0
3%
25/1-
Utrecht 3-2
3%
25/1-
AZ Alkmaar 3-2
2%
25/1-
AZ Alkmaar 3-0
2%
25/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
52%
17/20-
Under 2.5 Goals
48%
19/20-
Home 1st Goal
49%
20/21-
Away 1st Goal
47%
20/21-
No 1st Goal
4%
11/1-
BTTS - Yes
56%
4/6-
BTTS - No
44%
11/10-
BTTS - Home Win
20%
15/4-
BTTS - Draw
19%
10/3-
BTTS - Away Win
17%
15/4-
Home/draw
66%
1/2-
Away/draw
60%
1/2-
Home/away
74%
3/10-
Over 1.5 Goals
76%
1/4-
Under 1.5 Goals
24%
11/4-
Over 3.5 Goals
30%
2/1-
Under 3.5 Goals
70%
4/11-
Over 4.5 Goals
14%
5/1-
Under 4.5 Goals
86%
1/8-
Over 5.5 Goals
6%
12/1-
Under 5.5 Goals
94%
1/25-
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1/25-
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
11/1-
Home DNB
58%
5/6-
Away DNB
52%
5/6-
Utrecht win to nil
21%
7/2-
AZ Alkmaar win to nil
17%
7/2-
Utrecht / Utrecht
20%
10/3-
Utrecht / AZ Alkmaar
3%
25/1-
Utrecht / Draw
7%
12/1-
Draw / Utrecht
13%
11/2-
Draw / AZ Alkmaar
13%
11/2-
Draw / Draw
15%
9/2-
AZ Alkmaar / Utrecht
3%
25/1-
AZ Alkmaar / AZ Alkmaar
20%
10/3-
AZ Alkmaar / Draw
7%
12/1-
Win / draw / win Eredivisie table

Utrecht have played 23 matches so far this season and are in 10th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

14 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 7 games, drawn 3 and won 4. Utrecht have conceded 21 goals, scored 17, failed to score in 3 matches and kept 1 clean sheet.

Home league performance

Utrecht have played 11 games at home, winning 5, drawing 2 and losing 4 fixtures. They have scored 18 goals, conceded 11 goals, kept 2 clean sheets and failed to score 3 times in home league games.

AZ Alkmaar lay in 6th place on 36 points in the Eredivisie league table having played 23 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 16 games against teams below them in the table, winning 8, drawing 4 and losing 4 games. They have scored 29 goals and kept 3 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. AZ Alkmaar have conceded 23 goals and have failed to score in 1 match.

Away league performance

AZ Alkmaar have played 12 away games, winning 6, drawing 1 and losing 5 games. They have scored an average of 1.4 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.4 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Utrecht
AZ Alkmaar
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
PSV2420224162 
l
 
1-2F
Apr 4
l
 
1-5A
Mar 7
2
Feyenoord2314362145 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
3-2A
d
 
3-3F
May 10
3
NEC2412751943 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
1-3F
l
 
1-3A
l
 
2-1A
4
Ajax24111031643 
w
 
2-1F
May 10
d
 
1-1F
w
 
0-2F
5
S.Rotterdam231148-737 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
2-1A
Feb 22
w
 
0-1F
6
AZ Alkmaar231067236 
Mar 1
l
 
4-1A
-
-
7
Twente2381141235 
d
 
1-1F
Mar 15
May 3
l
 
1-0A
8
Groningen239410031 
l
 
0-1A
w
 
1-2A
w
 
4-1F
Mar 22
9
Heerenveen24879-231 
d
 
2-2F
d
 
1-1A
Apr 12
l
 
3-1A
10
Utrecht23869530 
-
-
w
 
4-1F
Mar 1
11
Fortuna248511-729 
May 17
l
 
1-0A
Apr 4
l
 
4-3A
12
Excelsior247512-1526 
w
 
4-1F
Apr 26
d
 
1-1F
w
 
1-2A
13
PEC Zwolle237511-1626 
Feb 22
w
 
0-2F
d
 
2-2F
l
 
3-1A
14
FC Volendam246612-1324 
w
 
3-1A
l
 
2-1A
w
 
1-0F
d
 
2-2A
15
GA Eagles234118-623 
Mar 22
d
 
2-2F
d
 
2-2A
Apr 23
16
NAC245712-1122 
May 2
d
 
1-1A
May 17
w
 
0-1F
17
Telstar233911-1218 
Apr 11
d
 
1-1A
w
 
2-1F
w
 
0-1F
18
Heracles235216-2717 
w
 
4-0F
Mar 6
Mar 15
w
 
1-2F
UEFA Champions League
UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
UEFA Europa League Qualifiers
UEFA Conference League Qualifiers Play Off
Relegation Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
Utrecht 10TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
9
D
4
Lost
7
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
6
Draw
6
Lost
8
AZ Alkmaar 6TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
9
D
4
Lost
7
Goals: Scored
32
Conceded
34
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
8
Draw
5
Lost
7
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
6
AZ Alkmaar have not lost to Utrecht in 6 consecutive away league meetings
League games at Utrecht since 2016
Utrecht
AZ Alkmaar
Goals: Scored
14
17
Games: Scored
9 / 11
9 / 11
Clean sheets
2 / 11
2 / 11
FCU
2
D
5
AZ
4
League games at AZ Alkmaar since 2015
AZ Alkmaar
Utrecht
Goals: Scored
31
18
Games: Scored
10 / 11
8 / 11
Clean sheets
3 / 11
1 / 11
FCU
3
D
3
AZ
5
Goal Statistics

Goals have been difficult to come by for FC Utrecht of late. It has been 8 Eredivisie games since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.4 suggests they'll have problems ending that run on Sunday afternoon against AZ.

Utrecht 10th AZ Alkmaar 6th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.4
goals
1.3
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
24%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4+
There is a 76% probability that Utrecht will score 1 or more goals
0
27%
1
35%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 62% probability that AZ Alkmaar will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-13
Utrecht have scored 13% fewer goals at home than predicted
-8
AZ Alkmaar’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.6
average goals scored
1.6
average goals scored
1.0
conceded
1.4
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Eredivisie - 2025/2026 season
Utrecht
PG (predicted goals)
AZ Alkmaar
1.4
1.3
Attack rating
FCU
AZ
19%
better
view stats
Games scored19
22
Failed to score4
1
Scored first10
13
Goals scored35
39
Avg. goals scored1.5
1.7
Avg. shots per game10
11
Avg. shots per goal7
7
Conversion rate for15
15
Avg. XG for1.5
2.1
KickOff rating
+19%
Defence rating
FCU
AZ
3%
better
view stats
Games conceded20
18
Clean sheets3
5
Conceded first13
10
Goals conceded30
37
Avg. goals conceded1.3
1.6
Avg. shots/game conceded9
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
6
Conversion rate against14%
18%
Avg. XG against1.4
1.3
KickOff rating
+3%

Utrecht v AZ Alkmaar Eredivisie lLine ups will show here when available.

Utrecht Eredivisie squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
235104
A. EngwandaG. ZechiëlS KarouaniA. Engwanda
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
G. Zechiël MID2353
2
-
A. Engwanda MID231
4
-
V Barkas GLK22
-
M Rodríguez FWD223
3
1
S Karouani DEF21210
2
-
S Horemans DEF191
1
-
N Viergever  DEF19
2
-
A Blake FWD1912
2
-
M Hoorn  DEF181
-
D Wit MID1741
3
-
M Didden  DEF161
3
-
C Bozdogan MID151
-
Y Cathline FWD1522
3
-
S Haller  FWD1412
1
-
D Min FWD143
1
-
D Murkin DEF923
1
-
N Vesterlund DEF9
1
-
V Jensen MID85
1
-
M Jonathans FWD71
-
M Eerdhuijzen DEF6
1
-
E. Demircan FWD6
-
D Berg MID51
-
Z Iqbal MID5
1
-
M Brouwer GLK2
-
J. van Ommeren MID2
-
N Ohio FWD2
-
AZ Alkmaar Eredivisie squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
231258
A PenetraT ParrottS MijnansM Wit
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Penetra DEF2321
4
-
M Wit DEF2223
8
-
W Goes DEF221
8
-
I Jensen FWD2212
-
P Koopmeiners MID211
5
-
S Mijnans MID1955
1
-
Weslley FWD1922
-
K. Smit MID1822
4
-
T Parrott FWD18121
2
-
I Sadiq FWD182
3
-
R Owusu-Oduro GLK16
-
M. Chávez García DEF161
5
-
M Šín MID1511
1
-
R. Daal FWD151
-
D Kasius DEF1121
2
-
L Zeefuik FWD10
1
-
E. Dijkstra DEF9
1
-
M Meerdink FWD931
1
-
J Zoet GLK8
-
J Clasie MID7
3
1
M Dekker DEF6
-
D. Kwakman MID6
-
S Maikuma DEF5
-