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Aucas v Libertad : Liga Pro match betting preview, prediction and odds

Tue 6th May, 01:00 BST, Estadio Gonzalo Pozo Ripalda, Quito

Juan Carlos León Zambrano pays counterpart Gabriel Ernesto Pereyra Vázquez a visit on Tuesday morning in the Liga Pro, as their Libertad and Aucas sides face each other at the Estadio Gonzalo Pozo Ripalda. Liga Pro statistics are the backbone of the predictions you'll find below, with head to head (H2H) performance included too. You can view it all, with graphics and odds available for the biggest betting markets using the tabs.


Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals
In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Aucas are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 49% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.67.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Aucas
51%
11/20
14%
-
Draw
24%
13/5
11%
-
Libertad
25%
17/4
17%
-
Draw 1-1
11%
13/2
15%
-
Aucas 1-0
10%
11/2-
Aucas 2-1
10%
15/2
6%
-
Aucas 2-0
9%
13/2
6%
-
Libertad 1-0
7%
14/1
36%
-
Libertad 2-1
6%
16/1
13%
-
Draw 0-0
6%
9/1
18%
-
Aucas 3-1
5%
12/1
24%
-
Draw 2-2
5%
16/1-
Aucas 3-0
5%
11/1
20%
-
Libertad 2-0
4%
28/1
38%
-
Aucas 3-2
3%
25/1
10%
-
Libertad 3-1
2%
40/1-
Aucas 4-1
2%
25/1
24%
-
Aucas 4-0
2%
22/1
32%
-
Over 2.5 Goals
53%
17/20
12%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
47%
19/20
15%
-
Home 1st Goal
53%
2/5
9%
-
Away 1st Goal
44%
9/4
13%
-
No 1st Goal
4%
9/1
18%
-
BTTS - Yes
55%
10/11-
BTTS - No
45%
4/5-
BTTS - Home Win
24%
13/5
17%
-
BTTS - Draw
18%
4/1
5%
-
BTTS - Away Win
13%
10/1
16%
-
Home/draw
75%
1/7
3%
-
Away/draw
49%
5/4
15%
-
Home/away
76%
1/4
6%
-
Over 1.5 Goals
77%
1/4
8%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
23%
11/4
25%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
31%
9/4
13%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
69%
1/3
6%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
15%
5/1
25%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
85%
1/8
4%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
7%
12/1
32%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
93%
1/25
2%
-
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1/20
2%
-
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
10/1
29%
-
Home DNB
68%
2/9
8%
-
Away DNB
42%
3/1
23%
-
Aucas win to nil
27%
13/8
5%
-
Libertad win to nil
12%
9/1
43%
-
Aucas / Aucas
34%
7/5
20%
-
Aucas / Libertad
2%
40/1-
Aucas / Draw
6%
14/1-
Draw / Aucas
19%
10/3
9%
-
Draw / Libertad
8%
10/1
22%
-
Draw / Draw
14%
5/1
20%
-
Libertad / Aucas
4%
20/1
9%
-
Libertad / Libertad
9%
17/2
27%
-
Libertad / Draw
5%
16/1
13%
-
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Win / draw / win form
6
Libertad have not lost in 6 consecutive away league games
Aucas 7TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
39
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
10
D
4
Lost
6
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Aucas2 - 0Mushuc
Aucas2 - 1Catolica
Aucas1 - 2I. Valle
Aucas2 - 2Cuniburo
Aucas4 - 1Tecnico
Aucas2 - 0Delfin
Aucas1 - 1Guayaquil
Aucas3 - 1Macara
Aucas1 - 4Cuenca
Aucas1 - 2Mushuc
Aucas0 - 2I. Valle
Aucas0 - 1LDU Quito
Aucas2 - 2Imbabura
Aucas2 - 2Catolica
Aucas2 - 0Libertad
Aucas3 - 1Emelec
Aucas3 - 0Cumbaya
Aucas3 - 4El Nacional
Aucas3 - 1Tecnico
Aucas2 - 0Orense
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
8
Draw
6
Lost
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HAucas2 - 0Mushuc
AAucas1 - 3LDU Quito
HAucas2 - 1Catolica
AAucas1 - 1Delfin
HAucas1 - 2I. Valle
AAucas1 - 0El Nacional
AAucas1 - 1Macara
HAucas2 - 2Cuniburo
AAucas0 - 2Cuenca
HAucas4 - 1Tecnico
AAucas2 - 1Imbabura
HAucas2 - 0Delfin
AAucas2 - 3Catolica
HAucas1 - 1Guayaquil
AAucas1 - 1Libertad
HAucas3 - 1Macara
AAucas0 - 0Emelec
HAucas1 - 4Cuenca
AAucas3 - 0Cumbaya
HAucas1 - 2Mushuc
Libertad 4TH
20 league games
Away
6
Overall
Goals: Scored
17
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
W
3
Draw
9
Lost
8
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Emelec1 - 1Libertad
Manta1 - 1Libertad
Cuenca0 - 1Libertad
Tecnico2 - 2Libertad
Cuenca1 - 1Libertad
El Nacional1 - 4Libertad
Orense1 - 0Libertad
Guayaquil0 - 0Libertad
Tecnico3 - 0Libertad
LDU Quito3 - 0Libertad
Catolica1 - 2Libertad
Emelec0 - 0Libertad
Imbabura4 - 2Libertad
Aucas2 - 0Libertad
Cumbaya0 - 0Libertad
I. Valle3 - 0Libertad
Delfin1 - 1Libertad
Macara3 - 0Libertad
Mushuc2 - 1Libertad
Tecnico1 - 1Libertad
Goals: Scored
32
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
9
Draw
7
L
4
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HLibertad3 - 1Catolica
HLibertad2 - 1Mushuc
ALibertad1 - 1Emelec
HLibertad1 - 3El Nacional
ALibertad1 - 1Manta
HLibertad4 - 1Orense
ALibertad1 - 0Cuenca
HLibertad1 - 4Guayaquil
ALibertad2 - 2Tecnico
HLibertad2 - 0I. Valle
HLibertad2 - 1Emelec
ALibertad1 - 1Cuenca
ALibertad4 - 1El Nacional
HLibertad3 - 1Imbabura
HLibertad1 - 1Aucas
ALibertad0 - 1Orense
HLibertad2 - 1Cumbaya
ALibertad0 - 0Guayaquil
HLibertad1 - 1I. Valle
ALibertad0 - 3Tecnico
Goal Statistics

Aucas have been reliable in front of goal of late, finding the net in 8 consecutive Liga Pro outings. Their PG of 1.7 against Libertad on Tuesday suggests that run is likely to continue.

Aucas 7th Libertad 4th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.7
goals
1.1
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
18%
1
31%
2
26%
3
15%
4+
9%
There is a 82% probability that Aucas will score 1 or more goals
0
33%
1
37%
2
20%
3
4+
There is a 70% probability that Libertad will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+15
Aucas have scored 15% more goals at home than predicted
+1
Libertad’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
2.0
average goals scored
0.9
average goals scored
1.4
conceded
1.5
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga Pro - 2025/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/293038/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Aucas
PG (predicted goals)
Libertad
1.7
1.1
Attack rating
25%
better
view stats
Games scored9
10
Failed to score1
0
Scored first5
5
Goals scored15
18
Avg. goals scored1.5
1.8
Avg. shots per game12
9
Avg. shots per goal8
5
Conversion rate for13
19
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
+25%
Defence rating
2%
better
view stats
Games conceded8
8
Clean sheets2
2
Conceded first5
5
Goals conceded13
14
Avg. goals conceded1.3
1.4
Avg. shots/game conceded9
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
7
Conversion rate against14%
15%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
+2%

Aucas v Libertad Liga Pro lLine ups will show here when available.

Aucas Liga Pro squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
10464
J MinaM CarcelénJ MinaJ Ontaneda
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Mina DEF106
2
-
J Ontaneda DEF10
4
-
M Carcelén MID1044
1
-
R Jaramillo MID10
3
-
A Mina MID9
2
-
J Vázquez MID9
-
R Briones  MID922
3
-
U Ciccioli DEF82
2
-
H Piedra GLK7
-
J Almagro FWD71
1
-
C Ibarra DEF6
1
-
B Montenegro FWD64
-
C Méndez FWD61
-
D Patino DEF5
-
D Valencia FWD5
-
F Illescas MID4
-
Thiago MID4
-
E Sánchez GLK3
-
L Cano FWD31
1
-
B. Carabalí Delgado DEF1
-
O. Pepinos Arboleda MID1
-
E. Quiñónez Medina MID1
1
-
Libertad Liga Pro squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
10553
E BoresN. Caicedo MinaC ArboledaE Bores
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
E Bores GLK10
3
-
R Biojó DEF10
2
-
I Zambrano MID10
2
-
N. Caicedo Mina MID105
1
-
C Montaño MID1012
2
-
O Quiñónez DEF9
3
-
E Caicedo FWD94
1
-
W Ayoví FWD921
1
-
D Bolaños DEF81
1
1
K Becerra DEF81
2
-
Ángel Quiñónez FWD8
-
C Arboleda FWD825
1
1
J Monaga DEF71
2
-
J Humanante MID7
1
-
W. Bardales Tenorio DEF61
-
Y Nazareno FWD6
-
C Chamorro DEF5
1
-
D Ávila FWD411
1
1
R. Borja Suárez FWD411
-
E Lastre FWD31
-
Y. Bravo Gurumendi MID2
-