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Emelec v Aucas : Liga Pro match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 23rd Nov, 00:00 BST, Estadio Banco del Pacífico, Guayaquil

Guillermo Duró welcomes Juan Pablo Buch Pabón to the Estadio Banco del Pacífico on Sunday morning, as their Emelec and Aucas charges go head to head in the Liga Pro. Form, head-to-head statistics, predictions and odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers are all published below. It's our job to give you all the information you need to place a smart, well-informed bet. We've backed , but why not use the stats to find the perfect bet for you?

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We've made over 1.5 goals our top tip on this fixture, meaning that the teams will score at least two goals between them during 90 mins. Both Emelec and Aucas's latest form stats suggest things will go that way, while their head-to-head (H2H) record is pointing in the same direction too. The bookies make it the most likely outcome in this market too, available at 1.25.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Emelec are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 48% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.15.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Emelec 48%	23/20	-
Draw 25%	12/5 3%	-
Aucas 27%	39/20 3%	-
Draw 1-1 12%	11/2 7%	-
Emelec 1-0 10%	7/1 11%	-
Emelec 2-1 9%	17/2 6%	-
Emelec 2-0 8%	10/1 8%	-
Aucas 1-0 7%	17/2 14%	-
Aucas 2-1 7%	10/1	-
Draw 0-0 6%	10/1 8%	-
Draw 2-2 5%	14/1 15%	-
Emelec 3-1 5%	18/1 12%	-
Emelec 3-0 4%	20/1	-
Aucas 2-0 4%	14/1 12%	-
Emelec 3-2 3%	28/1 26%	-
Aucas 3-1 3%	22/1	-
Aucas 3-2 2%	33/1 17%	-
Emelec 4-1 2%	40/1 21%	-
Over 2.5 Goals 52%	19/20 8%	-
Under 2.5 Goals 48%	17/20 8%	-
Home 1st Goal 52%	5/6 2%	-
Away 1st Goal 44%	11/10	-
No 1st Goal 4%	10/1 8%	-
BTTS - Yes 55%	8/11 4%	-
BTTS - No 45%	1/1 5%	-
BTTS - Home Win 23%	7/2 4%	-
BTTS - Draw 18%	7/2	-
BTTS - Away Win 14%	5/1 9%	-
Home/draw 73%	4/11 3%	-
Away/draw 52%	4/6	-
Home/away 75%	3/10 1%	-
Over 1.5 Goals 76%	2/7 3%	-
Under 1.5 Goals 24%	5/2 7%	-
Over 3.5 Goals 30%	12/5 13%	-
Under 3.5 Goals 70%	3/10 4%	-
Over 4.5 Goals 15%	11/2 18%	-
Under 4.5 Goals 85%	1/9 3%	-
Over 5.5 Goals 6%	14/1 36%	-
Under 5.5 Goals 94%	1/33 2%	-
Over 0.5 Goals 94%	1/20 1%	-
Under 0.5 Goals 6%	10/1 8%	-
Home DNB 66%	4/6 3%	-
Away DNB 44%	11/10 5%	-
Emelec win to nil 25%	3/1	-
Aucas win to nil 14%	9/2	-
Emelec / Emelec 22%	11/4 4%	-
Emelec / Aucas 3%	28/1 12%	-
Emelec / Draw 6%	12/1	-
Draw / Emelec 15%	9/2	-
Draw / Aucas 12%	6/1	-
Draw / Draw 15%	9/2	-
Aucas / Emelec 3%	25/1 13%	-
Aucas / Aucas 17%	4/1 5%	-
Aucas / Draw 6%	14/1 15%	-

Win / draw / win form

Emelec have won 3 consecutive home league games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

12 / 20

Conceded

12 / 20

Clean sheets

8 / 20

Failed to score

8 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Emelec	1 - 0	Delfin
Emelec	3 - 1	Cuenca
Emelec	4 - 0	El Nacional
Emelec	0 - 4	Guayaquil
Emelec	0 - 1	I. Valle
Emelec	1 - 1	Cuenca
Emelec	1 - 0	Mushuc
Emelec	2 - 0	Cuniburo
Emelec	2 - 2	Delfin
Emelec	1 - 0	Orense
Emelec	0 - 1	Aucas
Emelec	0 - 1	Tecnico
Emelec	1 - 1	Libertad
Emelec	1 - 1	Manta
Emelec	1 - 0	LDU Quito
Emelec	0 - 0	Macara
Emelec	0 - 4	Catolica
Emelec	2 - 2	Imbabura
Emelec	0 - 1	LDU Quito
Emelec	0 - 0	Aucas

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

13 / 20

Clean sheets

7 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Emelec	1 - 2	El Nacional
A	Emelec	0 - 3	Macara
H	Emelec	1 - 0	Delfin
A	Emelec	0 - 0	Aucas
H	Emelec	3 - 1	Cuenca
A	Emelec	0 - 0	Orense
H	Emelec	4 - 0	El Nacional
H	Emelec	0 - 4	Guayaquil
A	Emelec	2 - 1	Aucas
H	Emelec	0 - 1	I. Valle
A	Emelec	1 - 0	Tecnico
H	Emelec	1 - 1	Cuenca
A	Emelec	2 - 1	Libertad
A	Emelec	4 - 2	Manta
H	Emelec	1 - 0	Mushuc
A	Emelec	0 - 2	LDU Quito
H	Emelec	2 - 0	Cuniburo
A	Emelec	1 - 1	Macara
A	Emelec	1 - 1	Catolica
H	Emelec	2 - 2	Delfin

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

18 / 20

Conceded

17 / 20

Clean sheets

3 / 20

Failed to score

2 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Cuenca	1 - 2	Aucas
Macara	3 - 2	Aucas
Guayaquil	1 - 1	Aucas
Manta	1 - 1	Aucas
Libertad	3 - 2	Aucas
Mushuc	1 - 0	Aucas
Catolica	6 - 2	Aucas
I. Valle	2 - 1	Aucas
Cuniburo	0 - 1	Aucas
Tecnico	1 - 1	Aucas
Orense	2 - 1	Aucas
Emelec	0 - 1	Aucas
LDU Quito	3 - 1	Aucas
Delfin	1 - 1	Aucas
El Nacional	0 - 1	Aucas
Macara	1 - 1	Aucas
Cuenca	2 - 0	Aucas
Imbabura	1 - 2	Aucas
Catolica	3 - 2	Aucas
Libertad	1 - 1	Aucas

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

17 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

3 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Aucas	8 - 0	Delfin
H	Aucas	3 - 3	El Nacional
A	Aucas	2 - 1	Cuenca
H	Aucas	0 - 0	Emelec
A	Aucas	2 - 3	Macara
A	Aucas	1 - 1	Guayaquil
H	Aucas	0 - 0	Orense
A	Aucas	1 - 1	Manta
H	Aucas	1 - 2	Emelec
A	Aucas	2 - 3	Libertad
A	Aucas	0 - 1	Mushuc
H	Aucas	1 - 0	LDU Quito
A	Aucas	2 - 6	Catolica
H	Aucas	2 - 1	Delfin
A	Aucas	1 - 2	I. Valle
H	Aucas	1 - 0	El Nacional
H	Aucas	1 - 4	Macara
A	Aucas	1 - 0	Cuniburo
H	Aucas	1 - 3	Cuenca
A	Aucas	1 - 1	Tecnico

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Aucas have kept a clean sheet in 3 consecutive away league meetings with Emelec

Emelec

Aucas

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

6 / 9

3 / 9

Clean sheets

6 / 9

3 / 9

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Emelec
	0 - 1	Aucas
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Emelec	1 - 0
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
Emelec	4 - 0
Emelec	2 - 1
Emelec	2 - 0
Emelec	1 - 0

Aucas

Emelec

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

7 / 10

8 / 10

Clean sheets

2 / 10

3 / 10

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Aucas
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
	1 - 2	Emelec
Aucas	3 - 1
Aucas	2 - 1
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
	2 - 3	Emelec
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
	0 - 2	Emelec
	0 - 1	Emelec
Aucas	2 - 0

Goal Statistics

	Emelec 8th	Aucas 9th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.6 goals	1.1 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 20% 1 32% 2 26% 3 14% 4+ 8% There is a 80% probability that Emelec will score 1 or more goals	0 32% 1 36% 2 21% 3 8% 4+ There is a 68% probability that Aucas will score no more than 1 goal

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-29 Emelec have scored 29% fewer goals at home than predicted	-2 Aucas’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
	1.0 average goals scored	1.2 average goals scored
	1.0 conceded	1.7 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Liga Pro - 2025/2025 season

21%

better

view stats

Games scored	22		31
Failed to score	13		4
Scored first	18		16
Goals scored	35		53
Avg. goals scored	1		1.5
Avg. shots per game	8		11
Avg. shots per goal	8		8
Conversion rate for	13		13
Avg. XG for	0		0
KickOff rating		+21%

better

view stats

Games conceded	24		24
Clean sheets	11		11
Conceded first	14		17
Goals conceded	40		48
Avg. goals conceded	1.1		1.4
Avg. shots/game conceded	11		9
Avg. shots/goal conceded	9		7
Conversion rate against	11%		15%
Avg. XG against	0		0
KickOff rating		+9%

Emelec v Aucas Liga Pro lLine ups will show here when available.

Emelec Liga Pro squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
33	5	5	8
R Caicedo	J Ayoví	R Caicedo	J Quiñónez

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
R Caicedo DEF	34	1	5	1 1
P Ortíz GLK	33			2 -
A González DEF	31	1	3	7 -
D Tobar DEF	29			3 1
M Solís FWD	29	2	3	3 -
J Gómez FWD	28	3		1
J Ayoví FWD	24	5		5 -
W Corozo FWD	21	2	2	3 -
A Barco MID	19	1		4 -
F Castelli FWD	19	5		5 1
L Castillo DEF	18	2		3 -
J Rodríguez DEF	18			4 -
J Cevallos MID	18	4	1	2 -
F León DEF	17	2	1	3 -
S Quintero MID	17		1	4 -
E. Muñoz Calderón MID	16			-
J Palacio FWD	15	1		1 -
C Cueva MID	14	2	3	2 -
R Garcés MID	13			1
J Quiñónez DEF	11	1		5 3
J Quiñónez DEF	11			-
J Angulo FWD	11		1	3 -
L Caicedo DEF	8			1 -
R. Borja Robalino MID	7			-
E Álvarez DEF	6			-
T Chamba MID	6			1 -
L. Fragozo Castrillon FWD	3			-
G Napa GLK	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
5	15	5	6
J Ayoví	F Castelli	R Caicedo	R Caicedo

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
J Ayoví FWD	5	7		1
F Castelli FWD	5	15		3
J Cevallos MID	4	5	1	1
J Gómez FWD	3	11		1
M Solís FWD	2	8	3	2
W Corozo FWD	2	6	2	2
L Castillo DEF	2	3		3
F León DEF	2	3	1	1
C Cueva MID	2	2	3	2
R Caicedo DEF	1	6	5	6
A González DEF	1	4	3	4
A Barco MID	1	2
J Palacio FWD	1	6
J Quiñónez DEF	1	2		1
P Ortíz GLK				1
D Tobar DEF		1
J Rodríguez DEF		3		1
S Quintero MID		2	1
E. Muñoz Calderón MID		5
R Garcés MID		1		1
J Quiñónez DEF		1
J Angulo FWD		5	1	1
L Caicedo DEF		3
R. Borja Robalino MID		2
T Chamba MID		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1065	48	168
R Caicedo	L Castillo	R Caicedo

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
R Caicedo DEF	1065	44	168
D Tobar DEF	1056	42	103
A González DEF	1005	41	99
P Ortíz GLK	801		18
J Gómez FWD	661	42	112
J Cevallos MID	658	20	37
L Castillo DEF	496	48	90
F León DEF	487	16	45
A Barco MID	472	26	57
M Solís FWD	442	26	83
S Quintero MID	400	36	78
J Rodríguez DEF	385	33	70
C Cueva MID	302	5	36
J Quiñónez DEF	276	14	40
R Garcés MID	273	18	31
F Castelli FWD	263	13	116
E. Muñoz Calderón MID	244	16	39
L Caicedo DEF	238	23	41
J Ayoví FWD	234	11	40
W Corozo FWD	201	15	47
E Álvarez DEF	177	7	14
J Quiñónez DEF	117	12	31
J Palacio FWD	106	6	39
J Angulo FWD	90	6	38
T Chamba MID	81	1	14
R. Borja Robalino MID	62	8	10
G Napa GLK	10
L. Fragozo Castrillon FWD	4	1	2

Aucas Liga Pro squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
33	10	11	10
S Cortés	B Montenegro	J Mina	R Jaramillo

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
R Jaramillo MID	34	1	1	10 -
S Cortés DEF	33	1		6 1
A Mina MID	33	2	1	4 -
U Ciccioli DEF	32	2	3	6 1
J Mina DEF	32	1	11	3 -
J Ontaneda DEF	31	3	1	10 -
H Piedra GLK	29			1 1
B Montenegro FWD	29	10	3	-
C Ibarra DEF	25	1	1	4 1
L Cano FWD	24	6	6	1 1
J Almagro FWD	23	2	2	2 -
D Patino DEF	20			2 -
B Villagomez FWD	16	7	1	1 -
A Spina MID	14		2	5 1
S. Porozo Caicedo FWD	11	1		1 -
O. Pepinos Arboleda MID	10			2 -
E. Quiñónez Medina MID	7	1		2 -
Thiago MID	7			-
J Pintado MID	7			-
E Sánchez GLK	6			-
M. Sanabria MID	6			-
M. Olaya Campos DEF	4			-
J Canales MID	1			-
N. Sotomayor Velasco FWD	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
10	23	11	14
B Montenegro	B Montenegro	J Mina	J Mina

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
B Montenegro FWD	10	23	3	4
B Villagomez FWD	7	16	1	1
L Cano FWD	6	17	6	10
J Ontaneda DEF	3	5	1	2
A Mina MID	2	7	1	4
U Ciccioli DEF	2	11	3	8
J Almagro FWD	2	10	2	3
R Jaramillo MID	1	16	1	2
S Cortés DEF	1	7
J Mina DEF	1	4	11	14
C Ibarra DEF	1	4	1	1
S. Porozo Caicedo FWD	1	3		1
E. Quiñónez Medina MID	1	1		1
D Patino DEF				1
A Spina MID		2	2
O. Pepinos Arboleda MID		4
J Pintado MID		3		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1397	86	167
R Jaramillo	U Ciccioli	S Cortés

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
R Jaramillo MID	1397	69	140
S Cortés DEF	1294	55	167
J Ontaneda DEF	1263	59	133
J Mina DEF	1069	47	78
U Ciccioli DEF	996	86	167
A Mina MID	838	43	146
C Ibarra DEF	694	24	83
H Piedra GLK	637		5
D Patino DEF	516	22	41
L Cano FWD	478	22	66
B Montenegro FWD	417	6	81
A Spina MID	412	25	41
J Almagro FWD	317	18	54
O. Pepinos Arboleda MID	174	5	15
B Villagomez FWD	162	5	32
E Sánchez GLK	126	1	5
M. Olaya Campos DEF	121	6	14
E. Quiñónez Medina MID	107	4	9
S. Porozo Caicedo FWD	75	6	21
Thiago MID	69	5	5
J Pintado MID	42	2	4
M. Sanabria MID	25	3	6
N. Sotomayor Velasco FWD	5	1	2
J Canales MID	4