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LDU Quito v El Nacional : Liga Pro match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 3rd May, 20:00 BST, Estadio de Liga Deportiva Univer, Quito

LDU Quito and their boss Pablo Andrés Sánchez will be aiming to beat Omar Andrés Asad and his El Nacional side on Saturday night, as the pair clash at the Estadio de Liga Deportiva Univer in the Liga Pro. Our aim is to give you all the tools you need to make a smart, well-informed bet on this tie, so we've delved into our 20+ year database and found the statistics that will help you do exactly that. Head-to-head and recent form are included, and it all goes into our algorithmic predictions. Odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers are there to get you maximum bang for your buck.


Best Tip: LDU Quito to win

We are predicting LDU Quito will claim victory after 90 minutes on Saturday in the win / draw / win market. The latest form stats and historical head-to-head (H2H) records below all point in that direction and, as favourites with the bookies, the odds back that up too. There could be wild scenes among the home fans when the referee blows the final whistle at Estadio de Liga Deportiva Univer.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think LDU Quito are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 63% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.48.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
LDU Quito
63%
12/25
9%
-
Draw
20%
31/10
9%
-
El Nacional
16%
6/1
27%
-
LDU Quito 2-0
11%
6/1
7%
-
LDU Quito 1-0
10%
11/2
7%
-
LDU Quito 2-1
10%
15/2-
Draw 1-1
10%
7/1
14%
-
LDU Quito 3-0
7%
9/1
17%
-
LDU Quito 3-1
7%
12/1-
Draw 0-0
5%
10/1
10%
-
Draw 2-2
5%
18/1
12%
-
El Nacional 1-0
5%
14/1-
El Nacional 2-1
5%
18/1
12%
-
LDU Quito 4-0
4%
20/1
9%
-
LDU Quito 4-1
4%
22/1
12%
-
LDU Quito 3-2
3%
28/1
12%
-
El Nacional 2-0
2%
33/1
17%
-
LDU Quito 4-2
2%
40/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
58%
17/20
3%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
42%
19/20
3%
-
Home 1st Goal
57%
4/11
3%
-
Away 1st Goal
40%
13/5
13%
-
No 1st Goal
3%
10/1
10%
-
BTTS - Yes
53%
1/1
9%
-
BTTS - No
47%
8/11
5%
-
BTTS - Home Win
29%
5/2
3%
-
BTTS - Draw
15%
9/2
10%
-
BTTS - Away Win
9%
11/1
9%
-
Home/draw
84%
1/10
4%
-
Away/draw
37%
13/8
16%
-
Home/away
80%
2/9
2%
-
Over 1.5 Goals
80%
1/4
3%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
20%
11/4
7%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
36%
2/1
8%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
64%
4/11
2%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
19%
5/1
8%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
81%
1/8
1%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
9%
12/1-
Under 5.5 Goals
91%
1/25-
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1/25
2%
-
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
12/1
30%
-
Home DNB
78%
1/6
4%
-
Away DNB
31%
4/1
25%
-
LDU Quito win to nil
34%
11/8
9%
-
El Nacional win to nil
8%
10/1
10%
-
LDU Quito / LDU Quito
36%
13/10
8%
-
LDU Quito / El Nacional
2%
40/1-
LDU Quito / Draw
6%
14/1-
Draw / LDU Quito
19%
10/3-
Draw / El Nacional
6%
12/1
18%
-
Draw / Draw
14%
5/1-
El Nacional / LDU Quito
4%
20/1-
El Nacional / El Nacional
8%
10/1
22%
-
El Nacional / Draw
5%
16/1-
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win form
3
LDU Quito have won 3 consecutive home league games
18
LDU Quito have not lost in 18 consecutive home league games
LDU Quito 5TH
20 league games
Home
3
Overall
Goals: Scored
47
Conceded
12
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
15
D
4
L
1
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
LDU Quito3 - 1Aucas
LDU Quito3 - 0Delfin
LDU Quito4 - 0Orense
LDU Quito0 - 0Cuniburo
LDU Quito3 - 0I. Valle
LDU Quito5 - 0Cuenca
LDU Quito2 - 1I. Valle
LDU Quito1 - 1Mushuc
LDU Quito2 - 0Orense
LDU Quito1 - 1El Nacional
LDU Quito3 - 0Guayaquil
LDU Quito3 - 0Libertad
LDU Quito2 - 1Cumbaya
LDU Quito2 - 1Catolica
LDU Quito2 - 2Emelec
LDU Quito1 - 0Tecnico
LDU Quito2 - 1Delfin
LDU Quito5 - 0Imbabura
LDU Quito1 - 2Aucas
LDU Quito2 - 1Macara
Goals: Scored
37
Conceded
16
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
11
Draw
5
L
4
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ALDU Quito1 - 1Manta
HLDU Quito3 - 1Aucas
ALDU Quito0 - 1Mushuc
ALDU Quito2 - 1Cuenca
ALDU Quito0 - 1Emelec
HLDU Quito3 - 0Delfin
HLDU Quito4 - 0Orense
ALDU Quito1 - 1I. Valle
HLDU Quito0 - 0Cuniburo
ALDU Quito0 - 1I. Valle
HLDU Quito3 - 0I. Valle
HLDU Quito5 - 0Cuenca
ALDU Quito4 - 2Catolica
HLDU Quito2 - 1I. Valle
ALDU Quito1 - 0Emelec
HLDU Quito1 - 1Mushuc
ALDU Quito2 - 1Tecnico
HLDU Quito2 - 0Orense
ALDU Quito2 - 3Delfin
HLDU Quito1 - 1El Nacional
El Nacional 15TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
7
D
4
Lost
9
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Guayaquil1 - 0El Nacional
Libertad1 - 3El Nacional
Manta4 - 3El Nacional
Catolica1 - 1El Nacional
Mushuc2 - 2El Nacional
I. Valle2 - 0El Nacional
Delfin1 - 1El Nacional
Imbabura1 - 0El Nacional
LDU Quito1 - 1El Nacional
Cuenca1 - 2El Nacional
Emelec0 - 1El Nacional
Tecnico1 - 2El Nacional
Libertad0 - 2El Nacional
Orense0 - 1El Nacional
Guayaquil1 - 0El Nacional
Cumbaya1 - 0El Nacional
Aucas3 - 4El Nacional
Macara1 - 0El Nacional
Catolica3 - 0El Nacional
Cuenca1 - 0El Nacional
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
5
Draw
5
Lost
10
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HEl Nacional3 - 2Delfin
AEl Nacional0 - 1Guayaquil
HEl Nacional1 - 3I. Valle
AEl Nacional3 - 1Libertad
HEl Nacional0 - 1Orense
HEl Nacional0 - 1Aucas
AEl Nacional3 - 4Manta
HEl Nacional0 - 0Tecnico
AEl Nacional1 - 1Catolica
HEl Nacional0 - 1Cuenca
HEl Nacional2 - 1Tecnico
AEl Nacional2 - 2Mushuc
HEl Nacional1 - 4Libertad
AEl Nacional0 - 2I. Valle
HEl Nacional0 - 1Orense
AEl Nacional1 - 1Delfin
HEl Nacional3 - 0Guayaquil
AEl Nacional0 - 1Imbabura
AEl Nacional1 - 1LDU Quito
HEl Nacional2 - 1Cumbaya
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
10
LDU Quito have not lost to El Nacional in 10 consecutive league meetings
League games at LDU Quito since 2018
LDU Quito
El Nacional
Goals: Scored
9
1
Games: Scored
5 / 6
1 / 6
Clean sheets
5 / 6
1 / 6
4
D
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT LDU Quito
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
LDU Quito1 - 0
LDU Quito2 - 0
LDU Quito4 - 0
LDU Quito1 - 0
League games at El Nacional since 2018
El Nacional
LDU Quito
Goals: Scored
7
12
Games: Scored
4 / 6
6 / 6
Clean sheets
0 / 6
2 / 6
3
D
2
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT El Nacional
1 - 2LDU Quito
0 - 2LDU Quito
0 - 3LDU Quito
Draw2 - 2Draw
Draw2 - 2Draw
El Nacional2 - 1
Goal Statistics
LDU Quito 5th El Nacional 15th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.1
goals
0.9
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
13%
1
26%
2
27%
3
19%
4+
16%
There is a 61% probability that LDU Quito will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
39%
1
37%
2
17%
3
4+
There is a 76% probability of El Nacional scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+21
LDU Quito have scored 21% more goals at home than predicted
+7
El Nacional’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
2.4
average goals scored
1.2
average goals scored
0.6
conceded
1.3
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga Pro - 2025/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/293036/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
LDU Quito
PG (predicted goals)
El Nacional
2.1
0.9
Attack rating
24%
better
view stats
Games scored6
5
Failed to score3
5
Scored first4
3
Goals scored14
11
Avg. goals scored1.6
1.1
Avg. shots per game9
10
Avg. shots per goal6
9
Conversion rate for18
11
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
+24%
Defence rating
44%
better
view stats
Games conceded6
9
Clean sheets3
1
Conceded first4
6
Goals conceded6
15
Avg. goals conceded0.7
1.5
Avg. shots/game conceded8
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded13
6
Conversion rate against8%
16%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
+44%

LDU Quito v El Nacional Liga Pro lLine ups will show here when available.

LDU Quito Liga Pro squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
9335
B RamírezG VillamilA ArceC Gruezo
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
C Gruezo MID9
5
-
B Ramírez FWD911
3
1
A Alvarado FWD92
1
-
L Alzugaray FWD92
-
L Pastrán FWD9
1
-
A Domínguez GLK8
-
R Ade DEF8
1
-
D. de la Cruz DEF81
1
G Allala DEF8
-
G Villamil MID831
1
-
M Estrada FWD831
-
A Arce FWD813
-
L Quiñónez DEF7
-
F Cornejo MID711
-
K Minda MID61
1
-
J Quintero DEF41
-
Y Villigua DEF4
-
A Cabeza FWD31
1
-
G Valle GLK1
-
R Caicedo DEF1
-
D Aimar DEF1
-
F Mina FWD1
-
El Nacional Liga Pro squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
8324
A RecaldeE MejíaA RecaldeF Carabalí
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
E Mejía MID103
-
Ángel Alexander Ledesma Félix MID91
3
-
A Recalde MID922
-
M Olmedo MID9
2
-
D Cabezas GLK8
2
-
F Carabalí DEF8
4
-
R Briones DEF81
1
-
J Cevallos MID81
-
M Montaño MID8
-
J Cifuente FWD82
1
-
B Rivera DEF7
-
C Vélez MID7
2
-
D Pazmino MID611
1
-
J Chalá FWD61
1
-
J. Guisamano Camacho MID5
-
V Branda FWD5
-
J Blanco DEF4
1
-
F Mora MID41
-
E Caicedo MID4
1
-
F Martínez MID4
-
B Jesús FWD3
-
L Chalá GLK2
-
A Montenegro MID2
-
J. Mejía Moreira MID2
1
-
J Colorado MID2
-
A Bedoya DEF1
-
J. Maya Zambrano MID1
-