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Libertad v Deportivo Cuenca : Liga Pro match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 5th Jul, 23:00 BST, ,

Analysing both teams' last 20 Liga Pro matches, as well as trends within the competition and the market, to generate our match predictions. All the stats, including head to heads (H2H), are shown below, alongside the best odds.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We've made over 1.5 goals our top tip on this fixture, meaning that the teams will score 2 goals or more between them during the standard 90 mins. Both Libertad and Cuenca's recent form stats suggest it's likely, while their head-to-head (H2H) record is pointing in the same direction too. The bookies make it the most probable outcome in this market too, available at 1.25.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Libertad are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 43% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.45.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Libertad 43%	29/20	-
Draw 26%	9/4	-
Cuenca 31%	9/5	-
Draw 1-1 12%	11/2	-
Libertad 1-0 10%	8/1	-
Libertad 2-1 9%	9/1	-
Cuenca 1-0 9%	9/1	-
Libertad 2-0 8%	12/1	-
Cuenca 2-1 7%	10/1	-
Draw 0-0 7%	10/1	-
Draw 2-2 5%	12/1	-
Cuenca 2-0 5%	14/1	-
Libertad 3-1 4%	18/1	-
Libertad 3-0 4%	22/1	-
Cuenca 3-1 3%	20/1	-
Libertad 3-2 3%	28/1	-
Cuenca 3-2 2%	28/1	-
Cuenca 3-0 2%	28/1	-
Over 2.5 Goals 49%	9/10	-
Under 2.5 Goals 51%	9/10	-
Home 1st Goal 50%	4/5	-
Away 1st Goal 45%	11/10	-
No 1st Goal 5%	10/1	-
BTTS - Yes 53%	4/6	-
BTTS - No 47%	11/10	-
BTTS - Home Win 20%	15/4	-
BTTS - Draw 19%	10/3	-
BTTS - Away Win 15%	9/2	-
Home/draw 69%	2/5	-
Away/draw 57%	8/15	-
Home/away 74%	1/3	-
Over 1.5 Goals 74%	1/4	-
Under 1.5 Goals 26%	11/4	-
Over 3.5 Goals 27%	9/4	-
Under 3.5 Goals 73%	1/3	-
Over 4.5 Goals 13%	11/2	-
Under 4.5 Goals 87%	1/9	-
Over 5.5 Goals 5%	12/1	-
Under 5.5 Goals 95%	1/25	-
Over 0.5 Goals 93%	1/20	-
Under 0.5 Goals 7%	10/1	-
Home DNB 61%	8/11	-
Away DNB 49%	1/1	-
Libertad win to nil 23%	10/3	-
Cuenca win to nil 16%	4/1	-
Libertad / Libertad 21%	3/1	-
Libertad / Cuenca 3%	25/1	-
Libertad / Draw 6%	12/1	-
Draw / Libertad 14%	5/1	-
Draw / Cuenca 13%	11/2	-
Draw / Draw 15%	9/2	-
Cuenca / Libertad 3%	25/1	-
Cuenca / Cuenca 18%	7/2	-
Cuenca / Draw 6%	12/1	-

Win / draw / win form

Cuenca have won 4 consecutive league games

Cuenca have not lost in 6 consecutive league games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

17 / 20

Clean sheets

3 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Libertad	4 - 1	Tecnico
Libertad	0 - 1	Macara
Libertad	0 - 1	Delfin
Libertad	3 - 1	Catolica
Libertad	2 - 1	Mushuc
Libertad	1 - 3	El Nacional
Libertad	4 - 1	Orense
Libertad	1 - 4	Guayaquil
Libertad	2 - 0	I. Valle
Libertad	2 - 1	Emelec
Libertad	3 - 1	Imbabura
Libertad	1 - 1	Aucas
Libertad	2 - 1	Cumbaya
Libertad	1 - 1	I. Valle
Libertad	2 - 0	Delfin
Libertad	0 - 1	Macara
Libertad	2 - 2	Mushuc
Libertad	0 - 0	Cuenca
Libertad	0 - 2	El Nacional
Libertad	2 - 3	LDU Quito

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

18 / 20

Clean sheets

2 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Libertad	3 - 3	Guayaquil
H	Libertad	4 - 1	Tecnico
A	Libertad	1 - 1	I. Valle
A	Libertad	0 - 1	Cuniburo
H	Libertad	0 - 1	Macara
A	Libertad	1 - 1	LDU Quito
H	Libertad	0 - 1	Delfin
A	Libertad	0 - 2	Aucas
H	Libertad	3 - 1	Catolica
H	Libertad	2 - 1	Mushuc
A	Libertad	1 - 1	Emelec
H	Libertad	1 - 3	El Nacional
A	Libertad	1 - 1	Manta
H	Libertad	4 - 1	Orense
A	Libertad	1 - 0	Cuenca
H	Libertad	1 - 4	Guayaquil
A	Libertad	2 - 2	Tecnico
H	Libertad	2 - 0	I. Valle
H	Libertad	2 - 1	Emelec
A	Libertad	1 - 1	Cuenca

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

11 / 20

Conceded

11 / 20

Clean sheets

9 / 20

Failed to score

9 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Aucas	1 - 3	Cuenca
Guayaquil	0 - 0	Cuenca
Orense	1 - 0	Cuenca
Cuniburo	0 - 1	Cuenca
Macara	0 - 1	Cuenca
I. Valle	4 - 0	Cuenca
Delfin	0 - 0	Cuenca
Mushuc	3 - 1	Cuenca
El Nacional	0 - 1	Cuenca
LDU Quito	5 - 0	Cuenca
Imbabura	0 - 2	Cuenca
Cumbaya	1 - 0	Cuenca
Mushuc	1 - 1	Cuenca
Aucas	1 - 4	Cuenca
Delfin	0 - 0	Cuenca
Macara	3 - 1	Cuenca
Emelec	0 - 1	Cuenca
Libertad	0 - 0	Cuenca
I. Valle	1 - 0	Cuenca
Tecnico	2 - 1	Cuenca

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

13 / 20

Conceded

11 / 20

Clean sheets

9 / 20

Failed to score

7 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Cuenca	1 - 0	Mushuc
A	Cuenca	3 - 1	Aucas
H	Cuenca	4 - 1	El Nacional
H	Cuenca	3 - 1	Catolica
A	Cuenca	0 - 0	Guayaquil
H	Cuenca	2 - 0	Tecnico
A	Cuenca	0 - 1	Orense
H	Cuenca	2 - 0	Manta
A	Cuenca	1 - 0	Cuniburo
H	Cuenca	0 - 1	Emelec
A	Cuenca	1 - 0	Macara
A	Cuenca	0 - 4	I. Valle
H	Cuenca	1 - 2	LDU Quito
A	Cuenca	0 - 0	Delfin
H	Cuenca	0 - 1	Libertad
A	Cuenca	1 - 3	Mushuc
H	Cuenca	2 - 0	Aucas
A	Cuenca	1 - 0	El Nacional
A	Cuenca	0 - 5	LDU Quito
H	Cuenca	1 - 1	Libertad

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Libertad

Cuenca

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

1 / 2

Clean sheets

1 / 2

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Libertad
Draw		0 - 0		Draw
Libertad		3 - 1

Cuenca

Libertad

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

2 / 3

3 / 3

Clean sheets

0 / 3

1 / 3

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Cuenca
	0 - 1	Libertad
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Cuenca	2 - 1

Goal Statistics

Deportivo Cuenca's defensive record is very strong, N. Araujo's men having conceded 1 or less in 11 consecutive Liga Pro matches. An underwhelming PG rating of 1.4 for Libertad makes sense in this context.

	Libertad 10th	Cuenca 5th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.4 goals	1.2 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 24% 1 34% 2 25% 3 12% 4+ There is a 76% probability that Libertad will score 1 or more goals	0 30% 1 36% 2 22% 3 9% 4+ There is a 66% probability that Cuenca will score no more than 1 goal

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	+20 Libertad have scored 20% more goals at home than predicted	-15 Cuenca have scored 15% fewer goals when away than predicted
	1.6 average goals scored	0.9 average goals scored
	1.3 conceded	1.2 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Liga Pro - 2025/2025 season

15%

better

view stats

Games scored	11		9
Failed to score	4		6
Scored first	5		7
Goals scored	19		14
Avg. goals scored	1.1		0.8
Avg. shots per game	7		7
Avg. shots per goal	6		9
Conversion rate for	15		11
Avg. XG for	0		0
KickOff rating		+15%

37%

better

view stats

Games conceded	13		7
Clean sheets	2		8
Conceded first	10		6
Goals conceded	20		13
Avg. goals conceded	1.1		0.7
Avg. shots/game conceded	7		8
Avg. shots/goal conceded	7		11
Conversion rate against	15%		9%
Avg. XG against	0		0
KickOff rating		+37%

Libertad v Cuenca Liga Pro lLine ups will show here when available.

Libertad Liga Pro squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
18	8	5	5
R Biojó	E Caicedo	C Arboleda	D Bolaños

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
R Biojó DEF	18			4 -
I Zambrano MID	18	1	2	2 -
N. Caicedo Mina MID	18	5	1	3 -
C Montaño MID	18	1	2	3 -
W Ayoví FWD	17	2	1	2 -
O Quiñónez DEF	16	1		3 -
D Bolaños DEF	16		2	4 1
K Becerra DEF	16	1		2 -
C Arboleda FWD	16	2	5	1 1
E Bores GLK	15			3 -
E Caicedo FWD	15	8		2 1
Ángel Quiñónez FWD	14	1		1 -
Y Nazareno FWD	13		1	1 -
J Humanante MID	12			2 -
J Monaga DEF	11	1		2 -
W. Bardales Tenorio DEF	9		1	1 1
D Ávila FWD	9	3	1	2 1
C Chamorro DEF	7			1 -
J Vergés MID	7			1 -
R. Borja Suárez FWD	4	1	1	-
E Lastre FWD	4		1	-
Y. Bravo Gurumendi MID	2			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
8	14	5	8
E Caicedo	E Caicedo	C Arboleda	C Arboleda

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
E Caicedo FWD	8	14
N. Caicedo Mina MID	5	10	1	1
D Ávila FWD	3	7	1	1
W Ayoví FWD	2	11	1	1
C Arboleda FWD	2	3	5	8
Ángel Quiñónez FWD	1	2
C Montaño MID	1	3	2	4
O Quiñónez DEF	1	2
K Becerra DEF	1	1		1
R. Borja Suárez FWD	1	1	1	1
I Zambrano MID	1	6	2	3
J Monaga DEF	1	1		1
E Lastre FWD			1
J Vergés MID		4
R Biojó DEF		3
W. Bardales Tenorio DEF			1	1
Y Nazareno FWD		3	1	1
D Bolaños DEF		1	2	2

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
799	40	93
R Biojó	D Bolaños	C Montaño

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
R Biojó DEF	799	24	75
C Montaño MID	641	37	93
K Becerra DEF	558	26	91
I Zambrano MID	528	27	78
O Quiñónez DEF	514	26	44
E Bores GLK	466	1	6
D Bolaños DEF	422	40	64
W Ayoví FWD	376	11	70
C Arboleda FWD	358	14	41
E Caicedo FWD	172	11	65
Ángel Quiñónez FWD	149	9	33
J Monaga DEF	146	9	20
N. Caicedo Mina MID	138	15	53
Y Nazareno FWD	127	9	41
W. Bardales Tenorio DEF	122	9	26
J Vergés MID	95	4	11
D Ávila FWD	74	1	9
C Chamorro DEF	69	3	6
J Humanante MID	54	6	15
R. Borja Suárez FWD	27	7	13
Y. Bravo Gurumendi MID	8
E Lastre FWD	6		3

Cuenca Liga Pro squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
18	6	5	4
B. Bustos	C Tobar	C Tobar	L. Arroyo Cabeza

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
B. Bustos GLK	18			1 -
A Gómez DEF	18	1		2 -
C Tobar MID	18	6	5	1 -
K Moreno MID	17	1	1	2 -
E Raggio DEF	16			1 1
A López DEF	16			3 -
L Chila DEF	16			1 -
L. Arroyo Cabeza MID	16	3	1	4 -
L Estupiñán FWD	15	1	1	1 -
J. Chacón Murillo MID	13			2 1
L Mancinelli FWD	13	4	1	1 -
A Venezia FWD	13	2	1	1 1
A Rodríguez FWD	12	2		2 -
E Guevara DEF	10			1 -
M Solís FWD	10			1 -
M Piedra DEF	9		1	2 -
D Noboa MID	8		1	-
R Morocho MID	8			1 -
R Calderón MID	7			2 -
B Morcillo DEF	6		1	-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
6	16	5	6
C Tobar	C Tobar	C Tobar	C Tobar

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
C Tobar MID	6	16	5	6
L Mancinelli FWD	4	10	1	3
L. Arroyo Cabeza MID	3	13	1	2
A Venezia FWD	2	7	1	3
A Rodríguez FWD	2	5
K Moreno MID	1	1	1
L Estupiñán FWD	1	6	1	2
A Gómez DEF	1	4		2
M Solís FWD		3
R Calderón MID		4		1
R Morocho MID		1
D Noboa MID		1	1	1
M Piedra DEF			1
J. Chacón Murillo MID		1
L Chila DEF		1		1
A López DEF		1
E Raggio DEF		2
B Morcillo DEF		1	1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
634	38	89
K Moreno	A López	A Gómez

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
K Moreno MID	634	27	79
E Raggio DEF	620	34	69
A Gómez DEF	601	35	89
C Tobar MID	524	22	68
L Chila DEF	470	26	53
A López DEF	469	38	67
B. Bustos GLK	410	2	7
J. Chacón Murillo MID	349	23	44
L Mancinelli FWD	325	7	31
R Calderón MID	306	16	37
A Venezia FWD	286	8	29
L Estupiñán FWD	275	15	55
L. Arroyo Cabeza MID	179	4	45
M Piedra DEF	130	15	24
R Morocho MID	124	11	29
A Rodríguez FWD	113	8	44
E Guevara DEF	101	6	16
B Morcillo DEF	77	4	7
M Solís FWD	63	3	13
D Noboa MID	57	5	10

Ecuadorian Liga Pro match betting previews, predictions and odds

Libertad v Deportivo Cuenca : Liga Pro match betting preview, prediction and odds

Libertad v Cuenca Liga Pro lLine ups will show here when available.

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