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Macará v Mushuc Runa : Liga Pro match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 23rd Aug, 23:00 BST, Estadio Bellavista de Ambato, Ambato

Macará and Mushuc Runa take on one another at the Estadio Bellavista de Ambato on Saturday night, with both Guillermo Óscar Sanguinetti Giordano and Ever Hugo Almeida seeking a win in the Liga Pro. We provide predictions based on extensive statistical analysis of both teams' performance, across 17 major betting markets. Data shown and the odds is designed to fit each market, and head-to-head statistics are included across them all.

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

We don't believe there is a clear favourite to win this match, but what is clear is that the odds are pointing towards it'll have 3 goals or less. Our statistical analysis says the same. Macara and Mushuc have delivered a lot of under 3.5 goal games recently, and key performance stats point towards more of the same. We have confidence in predicting under 3.5 goals on Saturday night, and the bookmakers have it priced at 1.25.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Macara are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 43% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.00.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Macara 43%	1/1	-
Draw 28%	12/5	-
Mushuc 29%	27/10	-
Draw 1-1 13%	11/2	-
Macara 1-0 13%	11/2	-
Mushuc 1-0 10%	9/1	-
Draw 0-0 10%	8/1	-
Macara 2-1 8%	8/1	-
Macara 2-0 8%	8/1	-
Mushuc 2-1 7%	12/1	-
Mushuc 2-0 5%	18/1	-
Draw 2-2 4%	16/1	-
Macara 3-1 4%	16/1	-
Macara 3-0 4%	16/1	-
Mushuc 3-1 2%	33/1	-
Macara 3-2 2%	28/1	-
Mushuc 3-0 2%	40/1	-
Mushuc 3-2 1%	40/1	-
Over 2.5 Goals 41%	11/10	-
Under 2.5 Goals 59%	7/10	-
Home 1st Goal 50%	8/11	-
Away 1st Goal 44%	7/5	-
No 1st Goal 6%	8/1	-
BTTS - Yes 47%	10/11	-
BTTS - No 53%	4/5	-
BTTS - Home Win 17%	7/2	-
BTTS - Draw 18%	15/4	-
BTTS - Away Win 12%	7/1	-
Home/draw 71%	2/7	-
Away/draw 57%	4/5	-
Home/away 72%	3/10	-
Over 1.5 Goals 67%	4/11	-
Under 1.5 Goals 33%	2/1	-
Over 3.5 Goals 21%	11/4	-
Under 3.5 Goals 79%	1/4	-
Over 4.5 Goals 9%	7/1	-
Under 4.5 Goals 91%	1/12	-
Over 5.5 Goals 3%	18/1	-
Under 5.5 Goals 97%	1/50	-
Over 0.5 Goals 90%	1/16	-
Under 0.5 Goals 10%	9/1	-
Home DNB 62%	4/9	-
Away DNB 49%	13/8	-
Macara win to nil 26%	9/4	-
Mushuc win to nil 17%	5/1	-
Macara / Macara 26%	9/4	-
Macara / Mushuc 2%	33/1	-
Macara / Draw 6%	14/1	-
Draw / Macara 17%	4/1	-
Draw / Mushuc 10%	7/1	-
Draw / Draw 17%	4/1	-
Mushuc / Macara 3%	25/1	-
Mushuc / Mushuc 14%	5/1	-
Mushuc / Draw 6%	14/1	-

Win / draw / win form

Mushuc have not won in 16 consecutive away league games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

13 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

7 / 20

Draw

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Macara	0 - 0	Delfin
Macara	1 - 4	Catolica
Macara	1 - 2	I. Valle
Macara	1 - 1	Emelec
Macara	1 - 0	Cuniburo
Macara	2 - 2	Manta
Macara	1 - 1	El Nacional
Macara	0 - 1	LDU Quito
Macara	0 - 1	Guayaquil
Macara	0 - 1	Cuenca
Macara	0 - 1	Tecnico
Macara	1 - 1	Aucas
Macara	1 - 0	Orense
Macara	1 - 2	Catolica
Macara	1 - 1	Emelec
Macara	1 - 1	Cumbaya
Macara	0 - 2	Delfin
Macara	2 - 0	Imbabura
Macara	0 - 0	Tecnico
Macara	3 - 1	Cuenca

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

11 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

9 / 20

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Macara	2 - 0	Guayaquil
H	Macara	0 - 0	Delfin
A	Macara	1 - 1	Cuenca
H	Macara	1 - 4	Catolica
A	Macara	0 - 1	Tecnico
H	Macara	1 - 2	I. Valle
A	Macara	4 - 1	Aucas
H	Macara	1 - 1	Emelec
H	Macara	1 - 0	Cuniburo
A	Macara	0 - 1	Orense
H	Macara	2 - 2	Manta
A	Macara	1 - 0	Libertad
H	Macara	1 - 1	El Nacional
H	Macara	0 - 1	LDU Quito
A	Macara	3 - 4	Mushuc
H	Macara	0 - 1	Guayaquil
A	Macara	0 - 0	Delfin
H	Macara	0 - 1	Cuenca
A	Macara	0 - 1	Catolica
H	Macara	0 - 1	Tecnico

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

20 / 20

Clean sheets

0 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
LDU Quito	2 - 1	Mushuc
Emelec	1 - 0	Mushuc
Cuniburo	1 - 1	Mushuc
Cuenca	1 - 0	Mushuc
Delfin	3 - 1	Mushuc
I. Valle	2 - 1	Mushuc
Manta	2 - 1	Mushuc
Aucas	2 - 0	Mushuc
Libertad	2 - 1	Mushuc
Tecnico	1 - 1	Mushuc
Catolica	1 - 1	Mushuc
Guayaquil	1 - 0	Mushuc
Guayaquil	2 - 2	Mushuc
Delfin	4 - 2	Mushuc
LDU Quito	1 - 1	Mushuc
Tecnico	2 - 2	Mushuc
Aucas	1 - 2	Mushuc
Catolica	5 - 1	Mushuc
Imbabura	2 - 3	Mushuc
Libertad	2 - 2	Mushuc

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

18 / 20

Clean sheets

2 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Mushuc	1 - 0	Aucas
H	Mushuc	1 - 2	Libertad
A	Mushuc	1 - 2	LDU Quito
H	Mushuc	0 - 1	Tecnico
A	Mushuc	0 - 1	Emelec
A	Mushuc	1 - 1	Cuniburo
H	Mushuc	1 - 1	Catolica
A	Mushuc	0 - 1	Cuenca
H	Mushuc	0 - 5	Guayaquil
A	Mushuc	1 - 3	Delfin
H	Mushuc	2 - 3	El Nacional
A	Mushuc	1 - 2	I. Valle
H	Mushuc	2 - 5	Orense
A	Mushuc	1 - 2	Manta
H	Mushuc	4 - 3	Macara
A	Mushuc	0 - 2	Aucas
A	Mushuc	1 - 2	Libertad
H	Mushuc	1 - 0	LDU Quito
A	Mushuc	1 - 1	Tecnico
H	Mushuc	1 - 1	Emelec

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Macara

Mushuc

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

3 / 5

Clean sheets

2 / 5

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Macara
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Macara	3 - 0
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
	0 - 3	Mushuc
Draw	1 - 1	Draw

Mushuc

Macara

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

4 / 6

3 / 6

Clean sheets

3 / 6

2 / 6

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Mushuc
Mushuc	4 - 3
Mushuc	2 - 1
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Mushuc	2 - 0
Draw	1 - 1	Draw

Goal Statistics

Goals have been a problem for Macará of late. It has been 5 Liga Pro matches since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.3 suggests they'll have problems ending that run on Saturday night against Mushuc Runa.

	Macara 12th	Mushuc 16th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.3 goals	1.0 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 27% 1 35% 2 23% 3 10% 4+ There is a 62% probability that Macara will score no more than 1 goal	0 36% 1 37% 2 19% 3 4+ There is a 73% probability that Mushuc will score no more than 1 goal

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-31 Macara have scored 31% fewer goals at home than predicted	+12 Mushuc have scored 12% more goals when away than predicted
	0.9 average goals scored	1.2 average goals scored
	1.1 conceded	1.9 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Liga Pro - 2025/2025 season

33%

better

view stats

Games scored	8		13
Failed to score	7		2
Scored first	6		6
Goals scored	12		21
Avg. goals scored	0.5		0.8
Avg. shots per game	6		8
Avg. shots per goal	12		9
Conversion rate for	8		11
Avg. XG for	0		0
KickOff rating		+33%

30%

better

view stats

Games conceded	11		13
Clean sheets	4		2
Conceded first	7		9
Goals conceded	15		26
Avg. goals conceded	0.6		1
Avg. shots/game conceded	5		6
Avg. shots/goal conceded	9		6
Conversion rate against	11%		16%
Avg. XG against	0		0
KickOff rating		+30%

Macara v Mushuc Liga Pro lLine ups will show here when available.

Macara Liga Pro squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
24	4	5	8
J Cazares	F. Paz	A Muñoz	J Cazares

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
J Jiménez DEF	24	3		5 -
L. Espinoza Lema DEF	24		1	6 -
J Cazares MID	24		2	8 -
N Arena DEF	22	1	1	4 1
L Álvarez MID	22	1	1	3 -
S. Viera Gallo FWD	22	1	2	1 -
M. Tello Escobar MID	21	1		-
J Morales MID	21		1	7 -
A. Chére Ayoví FWD	19			-
F. Paz FWD	19	4		1 -
L Ayala DEF	17			2 -
B Caicedo DEF	17			6 -
A Muñoz FWD	16	3	5	2 -
G. Blanc MID	14	2	1	3 -
J Cevallos GLK	13			1 -
C. Correa GLK	13			4 1
J Mohor MID	10			1 -
Ángel Alexander Ledesma Félix FWD	10	2		1 -
P Maciel MID	9	2	1	1 -
M Fernández FWD	9	1		-
E Mesa DEF	8			1 -
R Zambrano DEF	5			-
J Jiménez DEF	4	1		-
S Zamora MID	4			-
V. Ávila Reyes FWD	4			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
4	10	5	5
F. Paz	F. Paz	A Muñoz	S. Viera Gallo

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
F. Paz FWD	4	10		1
J Jiménez DEF	3	3		1
A Muñoz FWD	3	10	5	4
G. Blanc MID	2	3	1	2
Ángel Alexander Ledesma Félix FWD	2	8
P Maciel MID	2	8	1	2
N Arena DEF	1	3	1	4
L Álvarez MID	1	4	1	1
S. Viera Gallo FWD	1	8	2	5
M. Tello Escobar MID	1	9
M Fernández FWD	1	3		1
J Jiménez DEF	1
L. Espinoza Lema DEF		1	1	1
J Cazares MID		2	2	1
J Morales MID		5	1	3
A. Chére Ayoví FWD		2		2
L Ayala DEF		1
B Caicedo DEF		1
J Mohor MID		2		1
R Zambrano DEF		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
866	56	118
J Cazares	J Cazares	J Jiménez

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
J Cazares MID	866	56	118
J Jiménez DEF	710	33	118
N Arena DEF	518	43	94
A Muñoz FWD	428	30	63
L Álvarez MID	419	23	44
L Ayala DEF	400	18	36
B Caicedo DEF	400	21	81
L. Espinoza Lema DEF	391	27	75
J Morales MID	356	26	93
F. Paz FWD	282	15	77
J Cevallos GLK	275		6
S. Viera Gallo FWD	272	16	60
M. Tello Escobar MID	261	14	35
G. Blanc MID	257	31	73
P Maciel MID	249	6	26
C. Correa GLK	224	1	6
J Mohor MID	173	18	36
A. Chére Ayoví FWD	144	12	58
Ángel Alexander Ledesma Félix FWD	124	1	63
E Mesa DEF	113	9	17
M Fernández FWD	90	1	28
R Zambrano DEF	68	2	6
J Jiménez DEF	22	1	2
V. Ávila Reyes FWD	21	1	3
S Zamora MID	13	1	1

Mushuc Liga Pro squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
21	3	4	10
D Quintero	C Penilla	E. Caicedo López	B Bentaberry

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
L Arce MID	24	2	2	3 -
C Penilla FWD	23	3	1	1 -
D Quintero DEF	22	1		5 -
G Mina DEF	22		1	3 -
B Bentaberry DEF	19			8 2
K Peralta DEF	19			6 -
S Tapiero MID	19	2		5 -
R Sinisterra FWD	19		1	1 -
E. Caicedo López FWD	18	3	4	-
R Formento GLK	17		2	2 -
Ángel Gracia DEF	17	3	4	2 1
N Davila MID	17			4 1
C Orejuela FWD	16	3		2 1
L Lopez DEF	12	2		1 1
B Delgado FWD	11	1		-
A Pabón GLK	8			-
J. Quiñones Mesías DEF	7			1 1
J Cabezas FWD	7		1	-
J Chala DEF	6			3 -
A Zambrano MID	6			-
J Vergés MID	6		1	1 -
R Burbano FWD	6			-
J Mina MID	5			1 -
M Olmedo MID	4			-
S Palma DEF	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
3	21	4	4
C Penilla	C Penilla	E. Caicedo López	C Penilla

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
C Penilla FWD	3	21	1	4
E. Caicedo López FWD	3	10	4	3
Ángel Gracia DEF	3	12	4	2
C Orejuela FWD	3	14
L Arce MID	2	11	2	2
S Tapiero MID	2	5		1
L Lopez DEF	2	6		1
D Quintero DEF	1	1		1
B Delgado FWD	1	2		1
G Mina DEF		3	1	2
B Bentaberry DEF		3		1
R Sinisterra FWD		7	1	1
R Formento GLK			2	1
N Davila MID		2
J Cabezas FWD		1	1
A Zambrano MID		1
J Vergés MID		2	1
R Burbano FWD		1
J Mina MID		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
576	38	106
L Arce	N Davila	B Bentaberry

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
L Arce MID	576	31	98
B Bentaberry DEF	450	29	106
D Quintero DEF	431	33	86
R Formento GLK	416	1	9
S Tapiero MID	357	36	82
C Penilla FWD	356	21	83
G Mina DEF	338	32	64
Ángel Gracia DEF	310	17	41
N Davila MID	299	38	81
L Lopez DEF	264	20	57
K Peralta DEF	260	29	52
C Orejuela FWD	236	15	35
A Pabón GLK	217		5
E. Caicedo López FWD	177	6	88
R Sinisterra FWD	147	9	64
J Vergés MID	120	7	15
J Chala DEF	93	6	22
B Delgado FWD	90	2	18
J. Quiñones Mesías DEF	90	15	31
R Burbano FWD	84	1	6
M Olmedo MID	58	9	20
A Zambrano MID	54	6	13
J Cabezas FWD	35	3	8
J Mina MID	34	1	2
S Palma DEF	6		1