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Universidad Católica (EC) v Emelec : Liga Pro match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 14th Jun, 23:00 BST, Estadio Olímpico Atahualpa, Quito

Home advantage makes a difference in the Liga Pro, and Diego Andrés Corredor Hurtado’s Universidad Católica (EC) will have the joy of it on Saturday night. Jorge César Fortunato Célico’s Emelec are their opponents at the Estadio Olímpico Atahualpa. Stats drive the algorithmic predictions below for all the markets, and changing between them delivers bespoke analysis, including head to head (H2H), form and a whole lot more besides. Odds are also provided. Click on the tabs below to find out more.


In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Catolica
59%
--
Draw
23%
--
Emelec
17%
--
Catolica 1-0
14%
--
Catolica 2-0
12%
--
Draw 1-1
11%
--
Catolica 2-1
10%
--
Draw 0-0
8%
--
Catolica 3-0
7%
--
Emelec 1-0
6%
--
Catolica 3-1
6%
--
Emelec 2-1
4%
--
Draw 2-2
4%
--
Catolica 4-0
3%
--
Emelec 2-0
3%
--
Catolica 4-1
2%
--
Catolica 3-2
2%
--
Emelec 3-1
1%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
47%
--
Under 2.5 Goals
53%
--
Home 1st Goal
57%
--
Away 1st Goal
38%
--
No 1st Goal
5%
--
BTTS - Yes
46%
--
BTTS - No
54%
--
BTTS - Home Win
23%
--
BTTS - Draw
16%
--
BTTS - Away Win
7%
--
Home/draw
83%
--
Away/draw
41%
--
Home/away
77%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
72%
--
Under 1.5 Goals
28%
--
Over 3.5 Goals
25%
--
Under 3.5 Goals
75%
--
Over 4.5 Goals
11%
--
Under 4.5 Goals
89%
--
Over 5.5 Goals
4%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
96%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
92%
--
Under 0.5 Goals
8%
--
Home DNB
76%
--
Away DNB
34%
--
Catolica win to nil
37%
--
Emelec win to nil
10%
--
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win form
7
Catolica have not lost in 7 consecutive home league games
Catolica 7TH
20 league games
Home
7
Overall
Goals: Scored
45
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
13
D
4
L
3
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Catolica3 - 1LDU Quito
Catolica2 - 2Guayaquil
Catolica2 - 0Orense
Catolica1 - 0Macara
Catolica3 - 0Manta
Catolica1 - 1Mushuc
Catolica1 - 1El Nacional
Catolica2 - 4LDU Quito
Catolica3 - 2Aucas
Catolica2 - 0Emelec
Catolica2 - 1Imbabura
Catolica2 - 1Delfin
Catolica5 - 1Mushuc
Catolica1 - 2Libertad
Catolica3 - 0Macara
Catolica3 - 2Tecnico
Catolica0 - 1Guayaquil
Catolica2 - 1Cumbaya
Catolica2 - 2I. Valle
Catolica5 - 1Orense
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
8
Draw
5
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ACatolica1 - 3Cuenca
HCatolica3 - 1LDU Quito
ACatolica0 - 1Delfin
HCatolica2 - 2Guayaquil
ACatolica1 - 1Tecnico
ACatolica1 - 3Libertad
HCatolica2 - 0Orense
ACatolica1 - 2Aucas
HCatolica1 - 0Macara
ACatolica2 - 3Cuniburo
HCatolica3 - 0Manta
HCatolica1 - 1Mushuc
ACatolica1 - 1I. Valle
HCatolica1 - 1El Nacional
ACatolica4 - 0Emelec
ACatolica2 - 1Macara
HCatolica2 - 4LDU Quito
HCatolica3 - 2Aucas
ACatolica0 - 2Tecnico
HCatolica2 - 0Emelec
Emelec 13TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
17
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
W
4
Draw
5
Lost
11
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
El Nacional2 - 0Emelec
Guayaquil2 - 0Emelec
I. Valle1 - 2Emelec
Cuenca0 - 1Emelec
Mushuc1 - 1Emelec
Cuniburo2 - 1Emelec
Delfin2 - 0Emelec
Libertad2 - 1Emelec
Macara1 - 1Emelec
Catolica2 - 0Emelec
Guayaquil2 - 1Emelec
Cumbaya1 - 0Emelec
I. Valle2 - 1Emelec
Delfin0 - 1Emelec
Mushuc3 - 0Emelec
Imbabura1 - 2Emelec
LDU Quito2 - 2Emelec
Aucas3 - 1Emelec
Tecnico1 - 1Emelec
Orense1 - 1Emelec
Goals: Scored
13
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
W
4
Draw
6
Lost
10
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HEmelec1 - 0Orense
AEmelec0 - 2El Nacional
AEmelec0 - 2Guayaquil
HEmelec0 - 1Aucas
AEmelec2 - 1I. Valle
HEmelec0 - 1Tecnico
AEmelec1 - 0Cuenca
HEmelec1 - 1Libertad
HEmelec1 - 1Manta
AEmelec1 - 1Mushuc
HEmelec1 - 0LDU Quito
AEmelec1 - 2Cuniburo
HEmelec0 - 0Macara
AEmelec0 - 2Delfin
HEmelec0 - 4Catolica
AEmelec1 - 2Libertad
HEmelec2 - 2Imbabura
AEmelec1 - 1Macara
HEmelec0 - 1LDU Quito
AEmelec0 - 2Catolica
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
3
Catolica have beaten Emelec in 3 consecutive home league meetings
League games at Catolica since 2018
Catolica
Emelec
Goals: Scored
17
7
Games: Scored
8 / 8
4 / 8
Clean sheets
4 / 8
0 / 8
CAT
6
D
1
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Catolica
Catolica2 - 0
Catolica3 - 2
Catolica2 - 0
2 - 3Emelec
Catolica4 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
Catolica1 - 0
Catolica2 - 0
League games at Emelec since 2018
Emelec
Catolica
Goals: Scored
14
13
Games: Scored
7 / 9
7 / 9
Clean sheets
2 / 9
2 / 9
CAT
3
D
1
5
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Emelec
0 - 4Catolica
Emelec2 - 1
Emelec2 - 1
0 - 1Catolica
Draw2 - 2Draw
Emelec2 - 0
Emelec1 - 0
Emelec3 - 1
2 - 3Catolica
Goal Statistics

Universidad Católica (EC)'s fans will be hoping for goals on Saturday night, not least because Emelec have conceded in each of their last 5 Liga Pro outings. A PG of 1.7 for Diego Andrés Corredor Hurtado's side suggests that run should continue.

Scoring more than 1 goal looks like a tall order for Emelec, with Jorge César Fortunato Célico's men having not found the back of the net in 3 consecutive Liga Pro matches.

Catolica 7th Emelec 13th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.7
goals
0.8
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
18%
1
31%
2
27%
3
15%
4+
10%
There is a 82% probability that Catolica will score 1 or more goals
0
45%
1
36%
2
15%
3
4+
There is a 81% probability of Emelec scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+14
Catolica have scored 14% more goals at home than predicted
-17
Emelec have scored 17% fewer goals when away than predicted
2.3
average goals scored
0.9
average goals scored
1.2
conceded
1.6
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga Pro - 2025/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/293073/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Catolica
PG (predicted goals)
Emelec
1.7
0.8
Attack rating
42%
better
CAT
view stats
Games scored11
7
Failed to score0
4
Scored first5
5
Goals scored18
8
Avg. goals scored1.2
0.5
Avg. shots per game8
5
Avg. shots per goal7
10
Conversion rate for15
10
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
+42%
Defence rating
7%
better
CAT
view stats
Games conceded7
8
Clean sheets4
3
Conceded first6
5
Goals conceded12
13
Avg. goals conceded0.8
0.9
Avg. shots/game conceded7
7
Avg. shots/goal conceded9
8
Conversion rate against11%
12%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
+7%

Catolica v Emelec Liga Pro lLine ups will show here when available.

Catolica Liga Pro squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
15746
I DíazB PalaciosM DíazG Anangonó
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
B Palacios FWD1571
1
-
I Díaz FWD1571
-
G Anangonó DEF142
5
1
L Cangá DEF141
6
-
J Cacciabue MID14
3
-
A Londono FWD1422
2
-
D Romero DEF133
1
-
M Díaz MID1334
2
-
E Clavijo FWD131
1
-
C Medina DEF111
-
L. Moreno Zuñiga DEF11
-
L Castillo DEF10
1
-
J Chancellor DEF10
3
-
J Fajardo FWD101
2
-
J Lara GLK9
-
R. Troya Macías MID8
-
M Maciel FWD7
-
R Romo GLK6
-
I Mosquera DEF3
-
F Martínez MID3
1
-
Emelec Liga Pro squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
14228
A GonzálezW CorozoJ SánchezJ Quiñónez
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A González DEF14
3
-
J Rodríguez DEF14
3
-
R Caicedo DEF14
1
J Sánchez FWD142
1
-
P Ortíz GLK13
2
-
W Corozo FWD1322
2
-
M Solís FWD131
2
-
M Meli MID121
4
1
J Gómez FWD12
-
J Quiñónez DEF111
5
3
D Tobar DEF11
1
-
E. Muñoz Calderón MID11
-
F Castelli FWD112
4
1
J Ayoví FWD111
4
-
R Garcés MID10
-
C Valencia MID101
-
E Álvarez DEF6
-
T Chamba MID6
1
-
J. Valverde Rodríguez MID4
1
-
F León DEF3
-
R. Borja Robalino MID3
-
J. Gonzaga Yazbek FWD2
-
G Napa GLK1
-