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Universidad Católica (EC) v Libertad : Liga Pro match betting preview, prediction and odds

Fri 21st Nov, 21:30 BST, Olimpico Atahualpa, Quito

It's a long trek for Juan Carlos León Zambrano's Libertad side on Friday night, as they travel to the Olimpico Atahualpa for a Liga Pro clash with Diego Andrés Martínez Carrera's Universidad Católica (EC). All the odds are delivered directly from the bookmaker, while predictions are calculated from stats over a 20-game period. We focus especially on Liga Pro match data, including head-to-head performance. Explore it all using the tabs below.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

Neither Catolica or Libertad are in the sort of form that would have us feeling confident in tipping a match winner, so instead we've gone for over 1.5 goals. The stats show that both have form in this market, both individually and when going head-to-head. Our predictive algorithm suggests there's a 79% chance of two goals or more.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Catolica are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 54% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.39.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Catolica 54%	39/100	-
Draw 23%	15/4	-
Libertad 23%	6/1	-
Draw 1-1 11%	8/1	-
Catolica 2-1 10%	15/2	-
Catolica 1-0 10%	8/1	-
Catolica 2-0 9%	7/1	-
Catolica 3-1 6%	10/1	-
Libertad 2-1 6%	20/1	-
Libertad 1-0 6%	20/1	-
Draw 2-2 5%	16/1	-
Catolica 3-0 5%	9/1	-
Draw 0-0 5%	16/1	-
Catolica 3-2 3%	20/1	-
Libertad 2-0 3%	40/1	-
Catolica 4-1 3%	18/1	-
Catolica 4-0 2%	16/1	-
Libertad 3-1 2%	40/1	-
Over 2.5 Goals 57%	1/2	-
Under 2.5 Goals 43%	6/4	-
Home 1st Goal 54%	2/5	-
Away 1st Goal 43%	2/1	-
No 1st Goal 3%	16/1	-
BTTS - Yes 56%	8/11	-
BTTS - No 44%	1/1	-
BTTS - Home Win 27%	15/8	-
BTTS - Draw 18%	9/2	-
BTTS - Away Win 12%	10/1	-
Home/draw 77%	1/10	-
Away/draw 46%	7/4	-
Home/away 77%	2/11	-
Over 1.5 Goals 79%	1/7	-
Under 1.5 Goals 21%	9/2	-
Over 3.5 Goals 34%	6/5	-
Under 3.5 Goals 66%	8/13	-
Over 4.5 Goals 18%	11/4	-
Under 4.5 Goals 82%	1/4	-
Over 5.5 Goals 8%	7/1	-
Under 5.5 Goals 92%	1/12	-
Over 0.5 Goals 95%	1/40	-
Under 0.5 Goals 5%	16/1	-
Home DNB 70%	1/7	-
Away DNB 39%	9/2	-
Catolica win to nil 28%	13/8	-
Libertad win to nil 11%	12/1	-
Catolica / Catolica 41%	21/20	-
Catolica / Libertad 2%	40/1	-
Catolica / Draw 6%	14/1	-
Draw / Catolica 19%	10/3	-
Draw / Libertad 6%	14/1	-
Draw / Draw 11%	13/2	-
Libertad / Catolica 4%	18/1	-
Libertad / Libertad 7%	11/1	-
Libertad / Draw 4%	18/1	-

Win / draw / win form

Libertad have lost 3 consecutive league games

Catolica have not lost in 8 consecutive home league games

Libertad have not won in 5 consecutive away league games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

19 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

1 / 20

Won

Draw

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Catolica	1 - 1	Guayaquil
Catolica	2 - 2	LDU Quito
Catolica	2 - 1	Cuenca
Catolica	1 - 1	Delfin
Catolica	2 - 0	Tecnico
Catolica	1 - 1	Libertad
Catolica	6 - 2	Aucas
Catolica	3 - 0	Cuniburo
Catolica	0 - 3	I. Valle
Catolica	1 - 1	Emelec
Catolica	3 - 1	LDU Quito
Catolica	2 - 2	Guayaquil
Catolica	2 - 0	Orense
Catolica	1 - 0	Macara
Catolica	3 - 0	Manta
Catolica	1 - 1	Mushuc
Catolica	1 - 1	El Nacional
Catolica	2 - 4	LDU Quito
Catolica	3 - 2	Aucas
Catolica	2 - 0	Emelec

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

19 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

1 / 20

Won

Draw

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Catolica	2 - 0	I. Valle
H	Catolica	1 - 1	Guayaquil
A	Catolica	1 - 2	Orense
A	Catolica	1 - 1	Libertad
H	Catolica	2 - 2	LDU Quito
H	Catolica	2 - 1	Cuenca
A	Catolica	4 - 2	LDU Quito
H	Catolica	1 - 1	Delfin
A	Catolica	3 - 2	Guayaquil
H	Catolica	2 - 0	Tecnico
H	Catolica	1 - 1	Libertad
A	Catolica	1 - 1	Orense
H	Catolica	6 - 2	Aucas
A	Catolica	4 - 1	Macara
H	Catolica	3 - 0	Cuniburo
A	Catolica	2 - 4	Manta
A	Catolica	1 - 1	Mushuc
H	Catolica	0 - 3	I. Valle
H	Catolica	1 - 1	Emelec
A	Catolica	3 - 0	El Nacional

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

17 / 20

Clean sheets

3 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
LDU Quito	3 - 1	Libertad
Guayaquil	1 - 0	Libertad
Macara	1 - 1	Libertad
Delfin	0 - 0	Libertad
Catolica	1 - 1	Libertad
Mushuc	1 - 2	Libertad
El Nacional	2 - 2	Libertad
Orense	0 - 1	Libertad
Guayaquil	3 - 3	Libertad
I. Valle	1 - 1	Libertad
Cuniburo	1 - 0	Libertad
LDU Quito	1 - 1	Libertad
Aucas	2 - 0	Libertad
Emelec	1 - 1	Libertad
Manta	1 - 1	Libertad
Cuenca	0 - 1	Libertad
Tecnico	2 - 2	Libertad
Cuenca	1 - 1	Libertad
El Nacional	1 - 4	Libertad
Orense	1 - 0	Libertad

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

17 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

3 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Libertad	1 - 3	LDU Quito
H	Libertad	1 - 3	I. Valle
A	Libertad	0 - 1	Guayaquil
H	Libertad	1 - 1	Catolica
H	Libertad	2 - 0	Orense
H	Libertad	1 - 0	Cuniburo
A	Libertad	1 - 1	Macara
H	Libertad	0 - 1	LDU Quito
A	Libertad	0 - 0	Delfin
H	Libertad	3 - 2	Aucas
A	Libertad	1 - 1	Catolica
A	Libertad	2 - 1	Mushuc
H	Libertad	1 - 2	Emelec
A	Libertad	2 - 2	El Nacional
H	Libertad	1 - 0	Manta
A	Libertad	1 - 0	Orense
H	Libertad	2 - 1	Cuenca
A	Libertad	3 - 3	Guayaquil
H	Libertad	4 - 1	Tecnico
A	Libertad	1 - 1	I. Valle

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Catolica

Libertad

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

2 / 3

Clean sheets

1 / 3

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Catolica
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
	1 - 2	Libertad
Draw	0 - 0	Draw

Libertad

Catolica

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

3 / 4

4 / 4

Clean sheets

0 / 4

1 / 4

CAT

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Libertad
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Libertad	3 - 1
	0 - 1	Catolica
Draw	2 - 2	Draw

Goal Statistics

Universidad Católica (EC) have been reliable in front of goal of late, finding the net in 17 consecutive Liga Pro outings. Their PG of 1.8 against Libertad on Friday suggests that run is likely to continue.

	Catolica 4th	Libertad 6th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.8 goals	1.1 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 16% 1 29% 2 27% 3 16% 4+ 11% There is a 84% probability that Catolica will score 1 or more goals	0 33% 1 37% 2 20% 3 4+ There is a 70% probability that Libertad will score no more than 1 goal

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	+9 Catolica’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	+10 Libertad’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
	2.0 average goals scored	1.2 average goals scored
	1.2 conceded	1.2 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Liga Pro - 2025/2025 season

21%

better

CAT

view stats

Games scored	33		28
Failed to score	2		7
Scored first	13		15
Goals scored	65		47
Avg. goals scored	1.9		1.3
Avg. shots per game	12		9
Avg. shots per goal	6		7
Conversion rate for	16		15
Avg. XG for	0		0
KickOff rating		+21%

CAT

better

view stats

Games conceded	27		28
Clean sheets	8		7
Conceded first	22		19
Goals conceded	45		44
Avg. goals conceded	1.3		1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded	10		10
Avg. shots/goal conceded	8		8
Conversion rate against	13%		12%
Avg. XG against	0		0
KickOff rating		+1%

Catolica v Libertad Liga Pro lLine ups will show here when available.

Catolica Liga Pro squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
32	17	10	13
L Cangá	B Palacios	A Londono	L Cangá

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
B Palacios FWD	35	17	3	3 -
L Cangá DEF	32	3	1	12 1
G Anangonó DEF	32	1	3	11 1
E Clavijo MID	32	2	4	3 -
D Romero DEF	30		5	4 -
J Cacciabue MID	30			4 -
A Londono FWD	30	7	10	5 -
M Díaz MID	29	4	8	5 -
L. Moreno Zuñiga MID	28	1	1	3 -
A Rodríguez MID	26	1	3	3 1
C Medina DEF	23	1		1 -
J Fajardo FWD	23	10	1	5 -
R Romo GLK	21			2 -
J Chancellor DEF	21			5 -
E Mejía DEF	19	1	3	1 -
M Alonso FWD	18	6	1	2 -
E. Valencia Reasco DEF	17			2 -
R. Troya Macías MID	15			-
J Lara GLK	14			-
F Martínez MID	14		1	2 1
I. Sánchez Cortez FWD	8			-
M Herrera DEF	7			1 -
I Mosquera DEF	4			-
E. Valencia Tenorio GLK	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
17	38	10	15
B Palacios	B Palacios	A Londono	M Díaz

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
B Palacios FWD	17	38	3	6
J Fajardo FWD	10	18	1	1
A Londono FWD	7	22	10	11
M Alonso FWD	6	15	1	4
M Díaz MID	4	8	8	15
L Cangá DEF	3	5	1	3
E Clavijo MID	2	10	4	8
G Anangonó DEF	1	5	3	9
L. Moreno Zuñiga MID	1	5	1
A Rodríguez MID	1	4	3	8
C Medina DEF	1	2
E Mejía DEF	1	8	3	5
D Romero DEF		7	5	8
J Cacciabue MID		8		1
J Chancellor DEF		4
R. Troya Macías MID		1
F Martínez MID		1	1	1
I. Sánchez Cortez FWD		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1602	48	152
J Cacciabue	G Anangonó	G Anangonó

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
J Cacciabue MID	1602	42	62
L Cangá DEF	1583	45	109
G Anangonó DEF	1207	48	152
E Clavijo MID	1166	42	96
M Díaz MID	1101	15	77
L. Moreno Zuñiga MID	1012	30	68
C Medina DEF	975	42	101
D Romero DEF	853	27	67
J Chancellor DEF	837	24	74
A Londono FWD	650	30	124
E Mejía DEF	618	24	59
R Romo GLK	534	2	5
A Rodríguez MID	500	27	55
B Palacios FWD	456	12	82
M Alonso FWD	412	13	47
J Lara GLK	351		3
M Herrera DEF	337	8	19
E. Valencia Reasco DEF	278	20	50
F Martínez MID	277	7	9
R. Troya Macías MID	227	10	17
J Fajardo FWD	192	4	35
I Mosquera DEF	57	5	6
I. Sánchez Cortez FWD	32	4	8
E. Valencia Tenorio GLK	26

Libertad Liga Pro squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
35	14	7	8
I Zambrano	E Caicedo	C Arboleda	D Bolaños

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
I Zambrano MID	35	3	4	5 -
N. Caicedo Mina FWD	34	7	1	4 -
R Biojó DEF	33	1		6 -
C Arboleda FWD	33	4	7	1 1
W Ayoví FWD	33	4	3	4 -
K Becerra DEF	31	2		4 1
E Caicedo FWD	31	14	2	4 1
D Bolaños DEF	30		2	7 1
Y Nazareno FWD	28	1	5	2 1
J Monaga DEF	26	1		4 -
O Quiñónez DEF	26	1	1	5 -
J Humanante MID	25			5 -
Ángel Quiñónez FWD	22	1		1 -
D Ávila FWD	20	4	1	3 1
Y. Bravo Gurumendi MID	18			1 -
A García DEF	14			-
C Chamorro DEF	13			1 -
L Nazareno GLK	11			1 -
W. Bardales Tenorio DEF	10		1	1 1
F Mina GLK	9			2 -
S. Bueno Quiñónez MID	2			-
B Zapatier FWD	2			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
14	26	7	13
E Caicedo	E Caicedo	C Arboleda	C Arboleda

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
E Caicedo FWD	14	26	2	2
N. Caicedo Mina FWD	7	17	1	1
C Arboleda FWD	4	8	7	13
W Ayoví FWD	4	19	3	3
D Ávila FWD	4	13	1	1
I Zambrano MID	3	14	4	3
K Becerra DEF	2	2		1
R Biojó DEF	1	4
Y Nazareno FWD	1	9	5	8
J Monaga DEF	1	2		1
O Quiñónez DEF	1	4	1	2
Ángel Quiñónez FWD	1	4
D Bolaños DEF		1	2	3
J Humanante MID		2
Y. Bravo Gurumendi MID		3
A García DEF				1
W. Bardales Tenorio DEF			1	1
F Mina GLK				1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1381	74	179
R Biojó	D Bolaños	I Zambrano

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
R Biojó DEF	1381	39	133
I Zambrano MID	1069	56	179
K Becerra DEF	988	46	158
O Quiñónez DEF	831	37	65
D Bolaños DEF	748	74	126
W Ayoví FWD	727	33	136
C Arboleda FWD	683	24	75
Y. Bravo Gurumendi MID	501	27	64
Y Nazareno FWD	408	35	124
E Caicedo FWD	403	17	154
A García DEF	388	13	42
L Nazareno GLK	295		5
J Monaga DEF	275	17	41
N. Caicedo Mina FWD	243	21	86
F Mina GLK	220	2	6
Ángel Quiñónez FWD	212	12	43
J Humanante MID	210	8	27
W. Bardales Tenorio DEF	131	9	26
D Ávila FWD	106	3	15
C Chamorro DEF	97	3	11
S. Bueno Quiñónez MID	12		1
B Zapatier FWD	2