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Middlesbrough v Leeds United : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

Riverside Stadium, Middlesbrough

Daniel Farke is aiming for a crucial away win in the Championship on Saturday afternoon, as he takes his Leeds United side to the Riverside Stadium to visit Middlesbrough and Michael Carrick. You'll find stats supporting our top of under 3.5 goals below, but be sure to take a look at the 16 other markets we're covering too. Each has been designed to deliver as full a picture as possible, with Championship performances and head to heads (H2Hs) included, so that you're able to make the smartest bet choices. Finally, be sure to get the best odds from one of the UK's biggest bookmakers.

This match has now expired. Kickoff has all of the best football predictions for you to choose from, for all Championship Predictions. Kickoff constantly updates all 17 football betting markets to analyse and predict football scores – whether you choose football accumulator tips, both teams to score (BTTS tips), correct score, or if you are looking for free football tips – then make sure to sign up to Kickoff.co.uk today.

Middlesbrough's next match is v Watford at 12:30 on Saturday 4th May
Leeds United's next match is v Southampton at 12:30 on Saturday 4th May
The last English Championship meeting between M'Boro and Leeds was on Monday 22nd April 2024
English Championship
April 22nd 2024
M'Boro 3
4 Leeds
 
I. Jones 7'14' C. Summerville
E. Latte Lath 30'18' P. Bamford
E. Latte Lath 87'39' D. Gnonto
61' C. Summerville
 
MID
LEE
Shots On
5
5
Shots Off
3
2
Corners
11
4
Possession
67%
33%
Fouls
13
11
Yellow/red cards
3/0
1/0
 
M'BoroLeeds
 
Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

There is 77% chance of M'Boro and Leeds 3 goals or less combined during this Championship clash according to our predictive algorithm and, with no strong favourite in the WDW market, we think that's a great tip here. Calculations are made based on recent form, historical head-to-head (H2H) stats and the view of the betting market, and you can go with it at a best price of 1.30.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 48% chance of Leeds coming away with a win.
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral Betfred 888Sport
M'Boro
26%
16/5
12%
14/5
6%
16/5-
Draw
26%
14/5
6%
5/2
3%
11/4-
Leeds
48%
4/5
6%
3/4
3%
4/5-
Draw 1-1
12%
13/2
7%
6/113/2-
Leeds 1-0
12%
15/2
21%
13/2
15%
6/1-
Leeds 2-1
9%
15/27/17/1-
Leeds 2-0
9%
8/18/1
13%
15/2-
M'Boro 1-0
8%
12/1
30%
10/1
10%
12/1-
Draw 0-0
8%
12/1
30%
10/1
10%
11/1-
M'Boro 2-1
6%
12/111/112/1-
Draw 2-2
5%
14/1
12%
12/1
13%
14/1-
Leeds 3-1
5%
12/1
13%
11/1
8%
14/1-
Leeds 3-0
4%
14/1
12%
12/114/1-
M'Boro 2-0
4%
20/1
11%
18/1
12%
20/1-
Leeds 3-2
2%
22/1
21%
18/1
10%
22/1-
M'Boro 3-1
2%
28/1
15%
22/1
12%
33/1-
Leeds 4-1
2%
25/1
24%
20/1
19%
33/1-
M'Boro 3-2
2%
33/1
17%
25/1
10%
33/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
47%
8/11
14%
-5/6-
Under 2.5 Goals
53%
11/10
17%
-5/6-
Home 1st Goal
43%
13/8-6/4-
Away 1st Goal
52%
8/15
3%
-3/5-
No 1st Goal
5%
12/1
30%
-10/1-
BTTS - Yes
51%
4/6
9%
7/10
8%
4/5-
BTTS - No
49%
11/10
15%
21/20
11%
10/11-
BTTS - Home Win
12%
6/1
7%
6/113/2-
BTTS - Draw
18%
15/4
5%
18/5
8%
18/5-
BTTS - Away Win
21%
5/2
19%
5/2
8%
13/5-
Home/draw
52%
19/20
7%
19/20
2%
Evs-
Away/draw
74%
2/9
2%
2/9
2%
2/9-
Home/away
74%
1/4
3%
2/7
3%
1/4-
Over 1.5 Goals
72%
1/4
6%
-2/7-
Under 1.5 Goals
28%
3/1
18%
-5/2-
Over 3.5 Goals
25%
2/1
14%
-9/4-
Under 3.5 Goals
75%
2/5
8%
-1/3-
Over 4.5 Goals
12%
4/1
29%
-5/1-
Under 4.5 Goals
88%
1/6
6%
-1/9-
Over 5.5 Goals
5%
10/1
27%
---
Under 5.5 Goals
95%
1/20
2%
---
Over 0.5 Goals
92%
1/25
2%
-1/25-
Under 0.5 Goals
8%
12/1
30%
-9/1-
Home DNB
44%
2/1
9%
2/1
7%
2/1-
Away DNB
66%
4/11
3%
4/11
3%
4/11-
M'Boro win to nil
14%
7/1
23%
-13/2-
Leeds win to nil
27%
12/5
5%
-2/1-
M'Boro / M'Boro
12%
6/1
8%
11/2
13%
11/2-
M'Boro / Leeds
4%
20/1
9%
18/1
10%
20/1-
M'Boro / Draw
6%
14/112/1
13%
14/1-
Draw / M'Boro
9%
8/1
6%
15/29/1-
Draw / Leeds
18%
15/418/5
8%
18/5-
Draw / Draw
14%
5/1
20%
9/25/1-
Leeds / M'Boro
3%
33/128/133/1-
Leeds / Leeds
29%
15/8
7%
9/5
2%
9/5-
Leeds / Draw
6%
12/1
13%
12/1
13%
14/1-
bet365
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Win / draw / win Championship table

M'Boro have played 43 matches so far this season and are in 9th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

15 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 6 games, drawn 3 and won 6. M'Boro have conceded 25 goals, scored 21, failed to score in 2 matches and kept 2 clean sheets.

Home league performance

M'Boro have played 21 games at home, winning 9, drawing 4 and losing 8 fixtures. They have scored 24 goals, conceded 21 goals, kept 8 clean sheets and failed to score 6 times in home league games.

Leeds lay in 3rd place on 87 points in the Championship league table having played 43 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 39 games against teams below them in the table, winning 22, drawing 9 and losing 8 games. They have scored 64 goals and kept 17 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Leeds have conceded 30 goals and have failed to score in 8 matches.

Away league performance

Leeds have played 21 away games, winning 10, drawing 4 and losing 7 games. They have scored an average of 1.5 goals per away game and conceded an average 1 goals per away game.

M'Boro
Won
Draw
Lost
Scores
Leeds
HOME AWAY TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY
w
 
1-0F
w
 
1-2F
 Leicester45314105097 
w
 
3-1A
w
 
0-1F
l
 
0-2A
d
 
1-1F
 Ipswich45271263393 
w
 
4-0F
w
 
3-4A
l
 
3-4F
l
 
3-2F
 Leeds Away4527993990 
-
-
w
 
2-1A
d
 
1-1A
 Southampton45259112384 
May 4
l
 
3-1A
w
 
3-1A
w
 
1-2F
 Norwich452110141673 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
2-3A
w
 
1-0F
l
 
4-2A
 West Brom452012132072 
d
 
1-1A
l
 
1-0A
l
 
1-2F
d
 
2-2F
 Hull45191313970 
w
 
3-1F
d
 
0-00-0
-
-
 M'Boro Home4519917766 
w
 
3-2A
w
 
3-4A
l
 
1-3F
l
 
3-0A
 Coventry451713151264 
d
 
1-1F
l
 
2-1A
w
 
4-0F
l
 
2-1A
 Preston4518918-863 
w
 
2-1A
l
 
2-1A
l
 
1-2A
l
 
3-2A
 Bristol C45171117662 
w
 
2-1F
w
 
0-1F
w
 
2-0F
w
 
1-4F
 Cardiff4519521-1462 
d
 
2-2A
w
 
0-3F
w
 
2-0F
w
 
1-2F
 Swansea45151218-557 
w
 
3-1A
w
 
0-4F
May 4
w
 
2-3F
 Watford45131715256 
w
 
3-0F
d
 
2-2A
d
 
1-1F
w
 
0-4F
 Sunderland4516821056 
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
1-0A
l
 
0-1A
w
 
1-3A
 Millwall45151119-1156 
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-3F
l
 
0-2A
w
 
0-2F
 QPR45141120-1253 
w
 
1-0F
l
 
4-0A
l
 
0-2A
l
 
2-0A
 Stoke45141120-1553 
w
 
1-0F
l
 
1-0A
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
2-1A
 Blackburn45131121-1650 
l
 
0-1A
w
 
0-2F
w
 
2-0F
d
 
1-1A
 Sheff Wed4514823-2650 
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
0-2F
l
 
0-2A
d
 
3-3F
 Plymouth45121221-1248 
w
 
2-1F
w
 
0-2F
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-1F
 Birmingham45121122-1647 
w
 
3-0F
l
 
1-0A
d
 
1-1A
w
 
1-2F
 Huddersfield4591818-2745 
w
 
4-1F
d
 
1-1A
d
 
1-1A
l
 
1-0A
 Rotherham4541229-5524 
w
 
3-0F
d
 
1-1F
Win / draw / win form
M'Boro 8TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
9
D
4
Lost
7
see results
HOME FORM
M'Boro2 - 0Swansea
M'Boro2 - 0Sheff Wed
M'Boro0 - 0Blackburn
M'Boro3 - 1Norwich
M'Boro0 - 2Plymouth
M'Boro1 - 2Bristol C
M'Boro1 - 1Sunderland
M'Boro1 - 1Rotherham
M'Boro1 - 3Coventry
M'Boro1 - 0West Brom
M'Boro1 - 2Hull
M'Boro0 - 2Ipswich
M'Boro4 - 0Preston
M'Boro1 - 0Leicester
M'Boro0 - 2Stoke
M'Boro1 - 0Birmingham
M'Boro2 - 0Cardiff
M'Boro2 - 1Southampton
M'Boro0 - 2QPR
M'Boro1 - 1Huddersfield
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
8
Draw
6
Lost
6
see results
OVERALL FORM
AM'Boro1 - 1Ipswich
AM'Boro2 - 2Hull
HM'Boro2 - 0Swansea
HM'Boro2 - 0Sheff Wed
AM'Boro1 - 1Southampton
HM'Boro0 - 0Blackburn
AM'Boro1 - 0Birmingham
AM'Boro2 - 0QPR
HM'Boro3 - 1Norwich
AM'Boro0 - 2Stoke
HM'Boro0 - 2Plymouth
AM'Boro2 - 1Leicester
AM'Boro1 - 2Preston
HM'Boro1 - 2Bristol C
HM'Boro1 - 1Sunderland
HM'Boro1 - 1Rotherham
AM'Boro3 - 1Millwall
HM'Boro1 - 3Coventry
AM'Boro2 - 1Huddersfield
AM'Boro0 - 1Rotherham
Leeds 3RD
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
32
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
10
D
4
Lost
6
see results
AWAY FORM
Coventry2 - 1Leeds
Watford2 - 2Leeds
Sheff Wed0 - 2Leeds
Huddersfield1 - 1Leeds
Plymouth0 - 2Leeds
Swansea0 - 4Leeds
Bristol C0 - 1Leeds
Cardiff0 - 3Leeds
West Brom1 - 0Leeds
Preston2 - 1Leeds
Sunderland1 - 0Leeds
Blackburn0 - 2Leeds
Rotherham1 - 1Leeds
Leicester0 - 1Leeds
Stoke1 - 0Leeds
Norwich2 - 3Leeds
Southampton3 - 1Leeds
Hull0 - 0Leeds
Millwall0 - 3Leeds
Ipswich3 - 4Leeds
Goals: Scored
35
Conceded
12
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
9 / 20
Clean sheets
11 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
13
D
3
L
4
see results
OVERALL FORM
HLeeds0 - 1Blackburn
HLeeds0 - 0Sunderland
ALeeds1 - 2Coventry
HLeeds3 - 1Hull
ALeeds2 - 2Watford
HLeeds2 - 0Millwall
ALeeds2 - 0Sheff Wed
HLeeds1 - 0Stoke
ALeeds1 - 1Huddersfield
HLeeds3 - 1Leicester
ALeeds2 - 0Plymouth
ALeeds4 - 0Swansea
HLeeds3 - 0Rotherham
ALeeds1 - 0Bristol C
HLeeds1 - 0Norwich
HLeeds2 - 1Preston
ALeeds3 - 0Cardiff
HLeeds3 - 0Birmingham
ALeeds0 - 1West Brom
ALeeds1 - 2Preston
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
3
Leeds have beaten M'Boro in 3 consecutive league meetings
5
Leeds have not lost to M'Boro in 5 consecutive league meetings
League games at M'Boro since 1992
M'Boro
Leeds
Goals: Scored
21
18
Games: Scored
11 / 18
11 / 18
Clean sheets
7 / 18
7 / 18
MID
4
D
8
LEE
6
see results
FIXTURE HISTORY AT M'Boro
0 - 1Leeds
Draw1 - 1Draw
M'Boro3 - 0
M'Boro3 - 0
0 - 1Leeds
Draw0 - 0Draw
M'Boro1 - 0
0 - 2Leeds
1 - 2Leeds
2 - 3Leeds
Draw2 - 2Draw
Draw2 - 2Draw
1 - 2Leeds
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
M'Boro4 - 1
All league games since 1992
M'Boro
Leeds
Goals: Scored
37
45
Games: Scored
22 / 37
25 / 37
Clean sheets
12 / 37
15 / 37
MID
8
D
13
LEE
16
see results
FIXTURE HISTORY
Leeds3 - 2
0 - 1Leeds
Leeds4 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
M'Boro3 - 0
Leeds2 - 1
Draw0 - 0Draw
M'Boro3 - 0
0 - 1Leeds
Leeds1 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
Leeds2 - 1
M'Boro1 - 0
Leeds2 - 1
0 - 2Leeds
0 - 1M'Boro
Draw1 - 1Draw
1 - 2Leeds
0 - 3M'Boro
2 - 3Leeds
2 - 3M'Boro
Draw2 - 2Draw
Leeds1 - 0
Draw2 - 2Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
1 - 2Leeds
Draw0 - 0Draw
Leeds2 - 0
Leeds2 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
0 - 1M'Boro
Draw1 - 1Draw
Leeds3 - 0
M'Boro4 - 1
Goal Statistics
M'Boro 8th Leeds 3rd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.0
goals
1.5
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
35%
1
37%
2
19%
3
4+
There is a 72% probability that M'Boro will score no more than 1 goal
0
22%
1
33%
2
25%
3
13%
4+
There is a 78% probability that Leeds will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-27
M'Boro have scored 27% fewer goals at home than predicted
+4
Leeds’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.2
average goals scored
1.6
average goals scored
1.0
conceded
1.0
conceded
 
Statistics Championship - 2023/2024 Season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/260054/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
M'Boro
PG (predicted goals)
Leeds
1
1.5
Attack rating
MID
LEE
2%
better
view stats
Games scored36
36
Failed to score9
9
Scored first24
22
Goals scored68
80
Avg. goals scored1.5
1.8
Avg. shots per game10
10
Avg. shots per goal6
6
Conversion rate16%
17%
KickOff rating
+2%
Defence rating
MID
LEE
22%
better
view stats
Games conceded34
26
Clean sheets11
19
Conceded first20
20
Goals conceded61
41
Avg. goals conceded1.4
0.9
Avg. shots/game conceded9
6
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
7
Conversion rate16%
15%
KickOff rating
+22%

M'Boro v Leeds Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

M'Boro Championship squad statistics 2023/2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
321258
J HowsonE LathL AylingJ Howson
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
S Greenwood MID3653
7
-
L Engel DEF3524
4
-
J Howson MID3522
8
-
S Silvera FWD3542
-
S Dieng GLK32
2
-
I Jones MID3263
7
-
R Berg DEF311
2
-
D Barlaser MID292
2
-
D Fry DEF281
1
-
E Lath FWD2712
5
-
R McGree FWD2241
2
-
M Clarke DEF213
2
-
P McNair DEF21
2
-
H Hackney MID211
6
-
L O'Brien MID211
1
-
J Coburn FWD2151
2
-
M Forss FWD2172
2
-
A Dijksteel DEF18
1
-
L Ayling DEF175
8
-
F Azaz MID1732
1
-
T Glover GLK12
1
-
A Bangura DEF1211
1
-
L Thomas DEF9
-
A Gilbert FWD91
-
D Lenihan DEF81
1
-
T Smith DEF6
2
1
Leeds Championship squad statistics 2023/2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
4317169
E AmpaduC SummervilleG RutterE Ampadu
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
E Ampadu MID431
9
-
G Rutter FWD42616
6
-
I Meslier GLK41
4
1
A Gray MID4112
2
-
J Rodon DEF40
6
-
C Summerville FWD40178
7
-
D James FWD39137
4
-
J Piroe FWD39123
1
-
G Kamara MID343
3
-
W Gnonto FWD3372
2
-
P Bamford FWD3271
1
-
S Byram DEF3021
2
-
J Anthony FWD281
-
I Gruev MID261
6
-
P Struijk DEF233
1
-
J Firpo DEF235
5
-
M Joseph FWD181
-
L Cooper DEF151
-
C Roberts DEF1111
1
-
J Shackleton DEF101
2
-
J Gelhardt FWD8
1
-
C Cresswell DEF5
-
K Darlow GLK2
-
K Klaesson GLK1
-
D Gyabi MID1
-
S Perkins FWD1
-