Middlesbrough's team badge Millwall's team badge

Middlesbrough v Millwall : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

Fri 3rd Apr, 12:30 BST, Riverside Stadium, Middlesbrough

the Riverside Stadium is the stage on Friday lunch time, as Kim Hellberg's Middlesbrough host Alex Neil's Millwall in the Championship. Stats for our tip of under 3.5 goals are shown below, including head-to-head history. Changing the market with the tabs changes all statistics and the odds, allowing you do find the bet that suits you best.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Championship Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

We don't think there's a clear favourite to claim victory here, but what is clear is that the odds suggest it'll have no more than 3 goals. Our statistical analysis draws the same conclusion. M'Boro and Millwall have taken part in a lot of under 3.5 goal games lately, and key performance statistics point towards those records being extended. We have confidence in predicting under 3.5 goals on Friday lunch time, and the bookies have it priced at 1.44.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think M'Boro are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 46% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.62.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
M'Boro
46%
8/13-
Draw
27%
27/10-
Millwall
27%
4/1-
M'Boro 1-0
13%
7/1-
Draw 1-1
13%
13/2-
Draw 0-0
9%
12/1-
Millwall 1-0
9%
14/1-
M'Boro 2-0
9%
15/2-
M'Boro 2-1
9%
15/2-
Millwall 2-1
6%
16/1-
Millwall 2-0
5%
28/1-
Draw 2-2
4%
14/1-
M'Boro 3-0
4%
12/1-
M'Boro 3-1
4%
12/1-
Millwall 3-1
2%
40/1-
M'Boro 3-2
2%
22/1-
Millwall 3-0
1%
50/1-
M'Boro 4-0
1%
22/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
42%
8/11-
Under 2.5 Goals
58%
11/10-
Home 1st Goal
51%
8/15-
Away 1st Goal
42%
13/8-
No 1st Goal
6%
12/1-
BTTS - Yes
47%
8/11-
BTTS - No
53%
1/1-
BTTS - Home Win
18%
9/4-
BTTS - Draw
18%
15/4-
BTTS - Away Win
11%
8/1-
Home/draw
73%
1/6-
Away/draw
54%
5/4-
Home/away
73%
2/7-
Over 1.5 Goals
69%
2/9-
Under 1.5 Goals
31%
10/3-
Over 3.5 Goals
22%
7/4-
Under 3.5 Goals
78%
4/9-
Over 4.5 Goals
9%
4/1-
Under 4.5 Goals
91%
1/6-
Over 5.5 Goals
3%
9/1-
Under 5.5 Goals
97%
1/16-
Over 0.5 Goals
91%
1/25-
Under 0.5 Goals
9%
12/1-
Home DNB
65%
1/4-
Away DNB
46%
11/4-
M'Boro win to nil
28%
2/1-
Millwall win to nil
16%
9/1-
M'Boro / M'Boro
33%
6/4-
M'Boro / Millwall
2%
33/1-
M'Boro / Draw
6%
14/1-
Draw / M'Boro
18%
7/2-
Draw / Millwall
8%
10/1-
Draw / Draw
13%
11/2-
Millwall / M'Boro
4%
20/1-
Millwall / Millwall
10%
7/1-
Millwall / Draw
6%
14/1-
Match Predictor Pro
Your ultimate betting assistant
Try it now
Win / draw / win Championship table

M'Boro have played 39 matches so far this season and lay in 2nd place in the Championship league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 37 games against teams below in the table, having won 20, drawn 11 and lost 6 matches. They have kept 12 clean sheets and have failed to score in 10 fixtures. M'Boro have outscored their opponents by 59 goals to 53 goals.

Home League Performance

M'Boro have played 19 games at home winning 10, drawing 6 and losing 3 games. They have scored 27 goals, kept 8 clean sheets and conceded 14 goals at home.

Millwall are in 4th position in the Championship on 69 points having played 39 matches so far this season. Millwall are winless in the 5 games they have played against teams above them in the table and have conceded in 4 of those games.

Away League Performance

4 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 21 goals and kept 6 clean sheets. They have scored 25 goals in total and failed to score in 3 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

5 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 3 games, drawn 2 and won zero. Millwall have conceded 10 goals, scored 2, failed to score in 3 fixtures and have kept 1 clean sheet.

Won
Draw
Lost
M'Boro
Millwall
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Coventry3924874180 
l
 
2-4A
l
 
3-1A
l
 
0-4A
l
 
2-1A
2
M'Boro39201182271 
-
-
l
 
0-3A
Apr 3
3
Ipswich38191272869 
w
 
2-1F
Apr 19
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
1-1A
4
Millwall3920910969 
Apr 3
w
 
0-3F
-
-
5
Hull3920613566 
l
 
0-1A
w
 
1-4F
l
 
1-3A
w
 
1-3F
6
Southampton391712101563 
w
 
4-0F
d
 
1-1A
w
 
3-2A
d
 
0-00-0
7
Wrexham39171210963 
d
 
1-1A
May 2
l
 
0-2A
w
 
0-2F
8
Derby3917913860 
w
 
2-1A
l
 
1-0A
w
 
1-0F
d
 
1-1F
9
Watford39141411456 
Apr 25
l
 
3-0A
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-2F
10
Norwich3916617654 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
1-2F
Apr 6
w
 
1-2F
11
Birmingham39141114-153 
w
 
2-1F
w
 
1-3F
w
 
3-0F
l
 
4-0A
12
QPR3915816-653 
w
 
3-1F
w
 
0-4F
Apr 18
w
 
1-2F
13
Preston39131313-452 
w
 
4-0F
d
 
2-2A
d
 
1-1A
w
 
0-2F
14
Swansea3915717-552 
w
 
1-0F
Apr 6
w
 
2-1F
d
 
1-1A
15
Stoke3914916351 
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
1-2A
w
 
2-0F
Apr 21
16
Bristol C3914916-151 
d
 
1-1F
l
 
2-0A
w
 
2-1F
w
 
0-1F
17
Sheff Utd3915519050 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
1-2F
d
 
1-1A
w
 
0-1F
18
Charlton39121215-1048 
l
 
0-1A
w
 
1-2F
w
 
4-0F
d
 
1-1A
19
Blackburn39111018-1343 
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
1-2F
l
 
2-0A
20
West Brom39111018-1443 
w
 
2-1F
w
 
2-3F
w
 
3-0F
Apr 10
21
Portsmouth38101018-1740 
Apr 11
l
 
1-0A
l
 
1-3A
l
 
3-1A
22
Leicester39111216-939 
d
 
1-1A
d
 
1-1A
w
 
1-0F
Apr 25
23
Oxford Utd3991218-1539 
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
1-1A
May 2
d
 
2-2F
24
Sheff Wed391929-55-6 
Apr 22
w
 
0-1F
w
 
1-0F
w
 
1-2A
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
M'Boro 2ND
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
14
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
10
Draw
7
L
3
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
M'Boro1 - 1Bristol C
M'Boro0 - 1Charlton
M'Boro1 - 1Leicester
M'Boro0 - 0Oxford Utd
M'Boro1 - 0Norwich
M'Boro4 - 0Preston
M'Boro4 - 0Southampton
M'Boro0 - 1Hull
M'Boro0 - 0Blackburn
M'Boro3 - 1QPR
M'Boro2 - 1Derby
M'Boro2 - 4Coventry
M'Boro2 - 1Birmingham
M'Boro1 - 1Wrexham
M'Boro2 - 1Ipswich
M'Boro0 - 0Stoke
M'Boro2 - 1West Brom
M'Boro1 - 0Sheff Utd
M'Boro1 - 0Swansea
M'Boro0 - 0Norwich
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
10
Draw
5
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AM'Boro0 - 0Blackburn
HM'Boro1 - 1Bristol C
HM'Boro0 - 1Charlton
AM'Boro4 - 0QPR
AM'Boro3 - 1Birmingham
HM'Boro1 - 1Leicester
HM'Boro0 - 0Oxford Utd
AM'Boro1 - 3Coventry
AM'Boro2 - 1Sheff Utd
HM'Boro1 - 0Norwich
HM'Boro4 - 0Preston
AM'Boro2 - 1Stoke
AM'Boro3 - 2West Brom
HM'Boro4 - 0Southampton
AM'Boro0 - 1Derby
HM'Boro0 - 1Hull
HM'Boro0 - 0Blackburn
AM'Boro0 - 2Bristol C
HM'Boro3 - 1QPR
AM'Boro2 - 1Charlton
Millwall 4TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
9
Draw
6
Lost
5
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Ipswich1 - 1Millwall
Hull1 - 3Millwall
Preston0 - 2Millwall
Sheff Wed1 - 2Millwall
Wrexham0 - 2Millwall
Coventry2 - 1Millwall
Watford0 - 2Millwall
Southampton0 - 0Millwall
Blackburn2 - 0Millwall
Derby1 - 1Millwall
Bristol C0 - 1Millwall
Portsmouth3 - 1Millwall
Birmingham4 - 0Millwall
Oxford Utd2 - 2Millwall
QPR1 - 2Millwall
Swansea1 - 1Millwall
Charlton1 - 1Millwall
Sheff Utd0 - 1Millwall
Norwich1 - 2Millwall
Burnley3 - 1Millwall
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
10
Draw
5
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AMillwall1 - 1Ipswich
HMillwall1 - 2Blackburn
HMillwall1 - 0Derby
AMillwall3 - 1Hull
AMillwall2 - 0Preston
HMillwall3 - 0Birmingham
HMillwall1 - 3Portsmouth
AMillwall2 - 1Sheff Wed
AMillwall2 - 0Wrexham
HMillwall1 - 1Sheff Utd
HMillwall4 - 0Charlton
AMillwall1 - 2Coventry
AMillwall2 - 0Watford
HMillwall2 - 1Swansea
AMillwall0 - 0Southampton
HMillwall2 - 1Bristol C
HMillwall0 - 0Ipswich
AMillwall0 - 2Blackburn
HMillwall1 - 3Hull
AMillwall1 - 1Derby
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at M'Boro since 1994
M'Boro
Millwall
Goals: Scored
23
12
Games: Scored
13 / 15
9 / 15
Clean sheets
6 / 15
2 / 15
MID
7
D
4
MIL
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT M'Boro
M'Boro1 - 0
0 - 1Millwall
M'Boro1 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
M'Boro3 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
M'Boro2 - 0
M'Boro3 - 0
1 - 2Millwall
1 - 2Millwall
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 1Millwall
M'Boro3 - 0
M'Boro4 - 2
League games at Millwall since 1993
Millwall
M'Boro
Goals: Scored
17
26
Games: Scored
11 / 16
11 / 16
Clean sheets
5 / 16
5 / 16
MID
7
D
4
MIL
5
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Millwall
0 - 3M'Boro
Millwall1 - 0
1 - 3M'Boro
Millwall2 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
Millwall1 - 0
0 - 2M'Boro
Draw2 - 2Draw
Millwall2 - 1
1 - 5M'Boro
0 - 2M'Boro
Millwall3 - 1
1 - 3M'Boro
2 - 3M'Boro
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Goal Statistics

Middlesbrough's defensive record is very strong, K. Hellberg's men having conceded 1 or less in 6 consecutive Championship outings. An underwhelming PG rating of 1.0 for Millwall makes sense in this context.

M'Boro 2nd Millwall 4th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.4
goals
1.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
25%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 60% probability that M'Boro will score no more than 1 goal
0
37%
1
37%
2
18%
3
4+
There is a 74% probability of Millwall scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-15
M'Boro have scored 15% fewer goals at home than predicted
+14
Millwall have scored 14% more goals when away than predicted
1.4
average goals scored
1.3
average goals scored
0.7
conceded
1.2
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Championship - 2025/2026 season
M'Boro
PG (predicted goals)
Millwall
1.4
1
Attack rating
MID
MIL
1%
better
view stats
Games scored29
31
Failed to score9
7
Scored first19
21
Goals scored59
52
Avg. goals scored1.5
1.3
Avg. shots per game10
9
Avg. shots per goal7
7
Conversion rate for15
14
Avg. XG for1.5
1.5
KickOff rating
+1%
Defence rating
MID
MIL
6%
better
view stats
Games conceded27
23
Clean sheets11
15
Conceded first16
15
Goals conceded37
43
Avg. goals conceded0.9
1.1
Avg. shots/game conceded7
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
8
Conversion rate against14%
13%
Avg. XG against1
1.3
KickOff rating
+6%

M'Boro v Millwall Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

M'Boro Championship squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
391179
S BrynnM WhittakerH HackneyL Ayling
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
S Brynn GLK391
1
-
T Conway FWD3984
5
-
H Hackney MID3857
4
-
M Targett DEF3643
4
-
L Ayling DEF3615
9
-
M Whittaker FWD36116
3
-
C Brittain DEF344
5
-
A Morris MID333
3
-
A Browne MID3241
1
-
D Strelec FWD255
1
-
K Sène FWD242
2
-
A Jones DEF2211
3
1
D Fry DEF222
-
R McGree MID2153
1
-
S Silvera FWD1921
3
-
A Gilbert MID1711
5
-
A Malanda DEF14
2
-
S Hansen FWD141
1
-
J Sarmiento  FWD10
-
A Bangura DEF91
-
G Edmundson DEF7
1
-
L. Castledine MID71
-
M. Hamilton FWD4
-
F. Munroe DEF2
-
D Lenihan DEF2
1
-
Millwall Championship squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
39879
T CramaM IvanovicF AzeezT Crama
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
T Crama DEF3936
9
-
C Neghli FWD3933
3
-
J Cooper DEF3841
8
-
M Ivanovic FWD3781
1
-
Z. Norton Sturge DEF311
8
1
M Langstaff FWD3131
2
-
F Azeez MID2887
2
1
B Mitchell MID271
6
-
T Ballo FWD2614
4
-
A Doughty MID245
4
-
M Crocombe GLK23
-
C Taylor DEF2332
1
-
L Cundle MID224
1
-
C Norre MID2213
3
-
R Leonard DEF2111
4
-
J Coburn FWD206
2
-
J Bryan DEF17
4
1
D Mazou-Sacko MID16
1
-
R. Bangura-Williams FWD1411
2
-
D McNamara DEF13
2
-
M Luongo MID9
1
-
D Kelly MID9
-
W Smallbone MID9
-
B Bannan MID8
1
-
A Patterson GLK7
-
T Watson FWD7
2
-
Z Lovelace FWD1
-