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Norwich City v Watford : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

Mon 29th Dec, 19:45 BST, Carrow Road, Norwich

Javier Gracia Carlos leads his Watford team to the Carrow Road in the Championship on Monday evening, with Liam Manning's Norwich City their challengers. Analysing both sides' last 20 Championship matches, as well as trends within the competition and the betting market, to generate our match predictions. All the stats, including head to heads (H2H), are shown below, alongside odds.

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Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Norwich 39%	-	-
Draw 26%	-	-
Watford 36%	-	-
Draw 1-1 12%	-	-
Norwich 1-0 9%	-	-
Watford 1-0 9%	-	-
Norwich 2-1 8%	-	-
Watford 2-1 8%	-	-
Draw 0-0 7%	-	-
Norwich 2-0 6%	-	-
Watford 2-0 6%	-	-
Draw 2-2 6%	-	-
Norwich 3-1 4%	-	-
Watford 3-1 4%	-	-
Norwich 3-0 3%	-	-
Norwich 3-2 3%	-	-
Watford 3-0 3%	-	-
Watford 3-2 3%	-	-
Over 2.5 Goals 51%	-	-
Under 2.5 Goals 49%	-	-
Home 1st Goal 49%	-	-
Away 1st Goal 47%	-	-
No 1st Goal 4%	-	-
BTTS - Yes 55%	-	-
BTTS - No 45%	-	-
BTTS - Home Win 19%	-	-
BTTS - Draw 19%	-	-
BTTS - Away Win 18%	-	-
Home/draw 64%	-	-
Away/draw 61%	-	-
Home/away 74%	-	-
Over 1.5 Goals 76%	-	-
Under 1.5 Goals 24%	-	-
Over 3.5 Goals 29%	-	-
Under 3.5 Goals 71%	-	-
Over 4.5 Goals 14%	-	-
Under 4.5 Goals 86%	-	-
Over 5.5 Goals 6%	-	-
Under 5.5 Goals 94%	-	-
Over 0.5 Goals 94%	-	-
Under 0.5 Goals 7%	-	-
Home DNB 57%	-	-
Away DNB 54%	-	-
Norwich win to nil 20%	-	-
Watford win to nil 18%	-	-

Win / draw / win Championship table

Norwich have played 21 matches so far this season and are in 23rd position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

20 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 12 games, drawn 4 and won 4. Norwich have conceded 33 goals, scored 23, failed to score in 4 matches and kept 1 clean sheet.

Home league performance

Norwich have played 10 games at home, winning 2, drawing 1 and losing 7 fixtures. They have scored 11 goals, conceded 16 goals, kept 0 clean sheets and failed to score 3 times in home league games.

Watford lay in 14th place on 29 points in the Championship league table having played 21 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 10 games against teams below them in the table, winning 3, drawing 4 and losing 3 games. They have scored 13 goals and kept 0 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Watford have conceded 13 goals and have failed to score in 3 matches.

Away league performance

Watford have played 10 away games, winning 1, drawing 4 and losing 5 games. They have scored an average of 1.1 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.6 goals per away game.

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	Norwich Watford
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
1	Coventry	21	14	5	2	30	47	Jan 26	d 1-1F	May 2	l 3-1A
2	M'Boro	21	12	6	3	11	42	l 1-2A	Jan 31	w 3-0F	Apr 25
3	Preston	21	9	8	4	7	35	Mar 14	Dec 20	d 1-1A	Feb 14
4	Millwall	21	10	5	6	-4	35	l 1-2A	Apr 6	Jan 17	l 1-0A
5	Ipswich	21	9	7	5	13	34	Apr 11	l 3-1A	Feb 24	d 1-1F
6	Hull	21	10	4	7	1	34	l 0-2A	May 2	w 2-1A	Jan 4
7	Stoke	21	10	3	8	8	33	Jan 4	d 1-1F	Dec 20	Mar 14
8	Leicester	21	8	7	6	3	31	l 1-2F	Feb 28	Mar 21	Dec 26
9	QPR	21	9	4	8	-5	31	w 3-1F	Jan 1	w 2-1F	Apr 3
10	Southampton	21	8	6	7	5	30	w 2-1F	Mar 7	d 2-2A	Feb 7
11	Bristol C	21	8	6	7	4	30	l 0-1A	Apr 18	d 1-1F	Feb 27
12	Derby	21	8	6	7	1	30	Apr 21	l 1-0A	Feb 21	w 2-3A
13	Birmingham	21	8	5	8	4	29	Feb 21	l 4-1A	Jan 1	l 2-1A
14	Watford	21	7	8	6	2	29	Dec 29	l 3-2F	-	-
15	Wrexham	21	6	10	5	1	28	l 2-3F	Jan 17	Mar 7	d 2-2A
16	West Brom	21	8	4	9	-3	28	l 0-1A	Jan 20	w 2-1A	Apr 21
17	Charlton	20	6	6	8	-6	24	Dec 26	Mar 21	Apr 6	l 1-0A
18	Sheff Utd	21	7	2	12	-6	23	Mar 10	d 1-1A	Apr 18	l 1-0A
19	Swansea	21	6	5	10	-7	23	Apr 25	l 2-1A	Jan 31	d 1-1F
20	Blackburn	20	6	4	10	-6	22	Feb 7	w 0-2F	l 0-1A	Jan 24
21	Portsmouth	20	5	5	10	-10	20	Apr 3	w 1-2F	Jan 21	d 2-2A
22	Oxford Utd	21	4	7	10	-8	19	d 1-1F	Feb 14	w 2-1A	Apr 11
23	Norwich	21	4	5	12	-10	17	-	-	w 3-2A	Dec 29
24	Sheff Wed	20	1	6	13	-25	-9	Feb 25	d 1-1A	d 1-1A	Mar 10

	Promotion
	Promotion Play Off
	Relegation

Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

18 / 20

Clean sheets

2 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Norwich	2 - 1	Southampton
Norwich	3 - 1	QPR
Norwich	1 - 1	Oxford Utd
Norwich	1 - 2	Leicester
Norwich	0 - 2	Hull
Norwich	0 - 1	Bristol C
Norwich	0 - 1	West Brom
Norwich	2 - 3	Wrexham
Norwich	1 - 2	M'Boro
Norwich	1 - 2	Millwall
Norwich	4 - 2	Cardiff
Norwich	3 - 5	Portsmouth
Norwich	0 - 0	Sunderland
Norwich	1 - 0	West Brom
Norwich	2 - 3	Sheff Wed
Norwich	1 - 1	Oxford Utd
Norwich	4 - 2	Stoke
Norwich	0 - 1	Preston
Norwich	1 - 1	Derby
Norwich	5 - 1	Swansea

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

19 / 20

Clean sheets

1 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Norwich	2 - 1	Southampton
A	Norwich	1 - 1	Sheff Utd
A	Norwich	2 - 3	Watford
H	Norwich	3 - 1	QPR
H	Norwich	1 - 1	Oxford Utd
A	Norwich	1 - 4	Birmingham
H	Norwich	1 - 2	Leicester
A	Norwich	1 - 1	Sheff Wed
H	Norwich	0 - 2	Hull
A	Norwich	1 - 2	Swansea
A	Norwich	0 - 1	Derby
H	Norwich	0 - 1	Bristol C
A	Norwich	1 - 3	Ipswich
H	Norwich	0 - 1	West Brom
A	Norwich	1 - 1	Stoke
H	Norwich	2 - 3	Wrexham
A	Norwich	1 - 1	Coventry
A	Norwich	2 - 0	Blackburn
H	Norwich	1 - 2	M'Boro
A	Norwich	2 - 1	Portsmouth

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

17 / 20

Clean sheets

3 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Wrexham	2 - 2	Watford
Birmingham	2 - 1	Watford
Derby	2 - 3	Watford
Ipswich	1 - 1	Watford
Coventry	3 - 1	Watford
Sheff Utd	1 - 0	Watford
Portsmouth	2 - 2	Watford
Millwall	1 - 0	Watford
Swansea	1 - 1	Watford
Charlton	1 - 0	Watford
Blackburn	2 - 1	Watford
Portsmouth	1 - 0	Watford
West Brom	2 - 1	Watford
Bristol C	2 - 1	Watford
Oxford Utd	1 - 0	Watford
Stoke	0 - 0	Watford
M'Boro	0 - 1	Watford
Sunderland	2 - 2	Watford
Coventry	2 - 1	Watford
Derby	0 - 2	Watford

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

17 / 20

Conceded

19 / 20

Clean sheets

1 / 20

Failed to score

3 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Watford	2 - 2	Wrexham
H	Watford	1 - 1	Sheff Wed
H	Watford	3 - 2	Norwich
A	Watford	1 - 2	Birmingham
H	Watford	1 - 1	Preston
A	Watford	3 - 2	Derby
H	Watford	1 - 1	Bristol C
A	Watford	1 - 1	Ipswich
H	Watford	3 - 0	M'Boro
A	Watford	1 - 3	Coventry
H	Watford	2 - 1	West Brom
A	Watford	0 - 1	Sheff Utd
H	Watford	2 - 1	Oxford Utd
A	Watford	2 - 2	Portsmouth
H	Watford	2 - 1	Hull
A	Watford	0 - 1	Millwall
H	Watford	0 - 1	Blackburn
H	Watford	2 - 2	Southampton
A	Watford	1 - 1	Swansea
H	Watford	2 - 1	QPR

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Norwich

Watford

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

14 / 17

Clean sheets

3 / 17

NOR

WAT

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Norwich
Norwich	4 - 1
Norwich	4 - 2
	0 - 1	Watford
	1 - 3	Watford
	0 - 1	Watford
	0 - 2	Watford
Norwich	4 - 2
Norwich	3 - 0
	2 - 3	Watford
Norwich	2 - 0
	1 - 3	Watford
	2 - 3	Watford
	1 - 2	Watford
Norwich	4 - 0
Norwich	3 - 1
Norwich	2 - 1
Draw	1 - 1	Draw

Watford

Norwich

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

15 / 18

16 / 18

Clean sheets

2 / 18

3 / 18

NOR

WAT

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Watford
Watford	3 - 2
	0 - 1	Norwich
Watford	3 - 2
Watford	2 - 1
	0 - 3	Norwich
Watford	1 - 0
Watford	2 - 1
Watford	2 - 0
	0 - 3	Norwich
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
Watford	2 - 1
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Watford	2 - 1
	1 - 2	Norwich
Watford	2 - 1
Watford	2 - 1
Watford	4 - 1
Draw	1 - 1	Draw

Goal Statistics

	Norwich 23rd	Watford 14th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.4 goals	1.3 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 25% 1 35% 2 24% 3 11% 4+ There is a 60% probability that Norwich will score no more than 1 goal	0 26% 1 35% 2 23% 3 10% 4+ There is a 61% probability that Watford will score no more than 1 goal

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	+1 Norwich’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	-7 Watford’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
	1.6 average goals scored	1.0 average goals scored
	1.6 conceded	1.4 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Championship - 2025/2026 season

better

NOR

WAT

view stats

Games scored	17		17
Failed to score	4		4
Scored first	10		5
Goals scored	24		30
Avg. goals scored	1.1		1.4
Avg. shots per game	9		10
Avg. shots per goal	8		7
Conversion rate for	13		14
Avg. XG for	1.4		1.6
KickOff rating		0%

NOR

WAT

better

view stats

Games conceded	20		20
Clean sheets	1		1
Conceded first	11		16
Goals conceded	34		28
Avg. goals conceded	1.6		1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded	10		9
Avg. shots/goal conceded	6		7
Conversion rate against	16%		14%
Avg. XG against	1.8		1.3
KickOff rating		+3%

Norwich v Watford Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

Norwich Championship squad statistics 2025/2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
21	6	3	5
V Kovacevic	J Sargent	J Sargent	H Darling

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
V Kovacevic GLK	21			2 -
H Darling DEF	20	1	1	5 -
J Sargent FWD	20	6	3	-
O Schwartau MID	19	2	1	-
K. Fisher DEF	18			4 -
K McLean MID	18		1	3 -
J Makama FWD	18	6		1 -
M Topic MID	16			3 -
J Medić DEF	14		1	3 -
J Stacey DEF	14	1	1	2 -
P Mattsson MID	14			4 -
E Marcondes MID	14	1	1	-
M Kvistgaarden FWD	14	4		-
M Jurásek FWD	11		1	-
A. Crnac FWD	11			2 -
A Forson MID	10	1		-
J Schlupp MID	9		1	2 -
J. Wright MID	9		1	1 1
R. McConville DEF	8		1	2 -
J Córdoba DEF	7		1	1 -
L Gibbs MID	7			-
B Chrisene DEF	5			-
P Diallo FWD	5			1 -
S Duffy DEF	4			2 -
T Springett FWD	3			1 -
L Mahovo DEF	2			-
A Slimane MID	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
6	16	3	5
J Sargent	J Sargent	J Sargent	K McLean

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
J Sargent FWD	6	16	3	4
J Makama FWD	6	12		1
M Kvistgaarden FWD	4	9
O Schwartau MID	2	9	1	4
H Darling DEF	1	3	1	1
J Stacey DEF	1	4	1	4
E Marcondes MID	1	7	1	2
A Forson MID	1	3
K. Fisher DEF		2		1
K McLean MID		4	1	5
M Topic MID		2		2
J Medić DEF		1	1
P Mattsson MID		1
M Jurásek FWD		1	1	2
A. Crnac FWD		2		3
J Schlupp MID		1	1
J. Wright MID		2	1	2
R. McConville DEF		1	1	1
J Córdoba DEF		1	1	1
L Gibbs MID		2
B Chrisene DEF		1		1
P Diallo FWD		2		1
S Duffy DEF		2
L Mahovo DEF				1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1182	47	106
H Darling	K. Fisher	P Mattsson

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
H Darling DEF	1182	20	100
K McLean MID	1015	33	89
J Medić DEF	771	6	47
V Kovacevic GLK	639		18
P Mattsson MID	635	38	106
K. Fisher DEF	580	47	80
M Topic MID	535	24	51
J Stacey DEF	447	38	71
J Córdoba DEF	399	10	27
R. McConville DEF	342	3	30
O Schwartau MID	339	37	77
J Sargent FWD	286	9	90
J. Wright MID	262	19	33
J Schlupp MID	234	7	29
E Marcondes MID	223	10	30
J Makama FWD	198	12	71
S Duffy DEF	189	3	18
A. Crnac FWD	141	11	29
P Diallo FWD	122	9	21
L Gibbs MID	120	4	15
B Chrisene DEF	94	3	9
M Jurásek FWD	85	9	17
A Forson MID	83	14	25
M Kvistgaarden FWD	79	3	26
T Springett FWD	58	4	8
L Mahovo DEF	37
A Slimane MID	13	1	4

Watford Championship squad statistics 2025/2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
18	7	4	6
I Louza	L Kjerrumgaard	J Ngakia	I Louza

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
E Kayembe MID	20	2		2 -
L Kjerrumgaard FWD	19	7		1 -
J Ngakia DEF	18	2	4	1 -
H Kyprianou MID	18			5 -
I Louza MID	18	6	4	5 1
N Irankunda FWD	18	2	1	4 -
M Bola DEF	17	1	3	2 -
K Keben DEF	17		1	3 -
M Pollock DEF	16		1	2 -
M Sissoko MID	16			-
V Semedo FWD	16	2	1	1 -
M. Doumbia FWD	16	2	1	2 -
E Selvik GLK	15			1 -
K Baah FWD	15	1	1	4 -
M. Alleyne DEF	12			2 -
T Ince FWD	11	1		-
J Abankwah DEF	10			1 1
R Vata FWD	10	2	2	-
O. Maamma FWD	8	2	1	1 -
N Baxter GLK	7			-
J Petris DEF	7			2 -
C Wiley DEF	5			-
G Chakvetadze MID	5			2 -
N Mendy MID	4			-
F Mendy DEF	2			-
J Morris DEF	1			1 -
P Dwomoh MID	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
7	17	4	10
L Kjerrumgaard	L Kjerrumgaard	J Ngakia	I Louza

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
L Kjerrumgaard FWD	7	17
I Louza MID	6	14	4	10
E Kayembe MID	2	6		3
J Ngakia DEF	2	4	4	5
N Irankunda FWD	2	9	1	4
V Semedo FWD	2	10	1
M. Doumbia FWD	2	8	1	3
R Vata FWD	2	8	2	2
O. Maamma FWD	2	7	1	1
M Bola DEF	1	4	3	4
K Baah FWD	1	7	1	1
T Ince FWD	1	4
H Kyprianou MID		2
K Keben DEF		1	1	1
M Pollock DEF		1	1
M Sissoko MID		1
M. Alleyne DEF				1
J Petris DEF				1
C Wiley DEF		1		1
G Chakvetadze MID		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1179	61	106
I Louza	J Ngakia	J Ngakia

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
I Louza MID	1179	24	69
M Pollock DEF	916	14	91
K Keben DEF	855	14	64
J Ngakia DEF	712	61	106
H Kyprianou MID	637	21	76
M Bola DEF	614	12	53
E Kayembe MID	568	11	46
M. Alleyne DEF	540	24	65
J Abankwah DEF	457	13	48
E Selvik GLK	425	1	6
N Irankunda FWD	249	15	82
M. Doumbia FWD	226	6	46
L Kjerrumgaard FWD	201	6	73
N Baxter GLK	189		1
M Sissoko MID	178	13	22
O. Maamma FWD	156	14	37
T Ince FWD	133	7	13
R Vata FWD	130	7	25
K Baah FWD	116	4	30
J Petris DEF	114	4	29
N Mendy MID	113	2	10
V Semedo FWD	93	5	23
C Wiley DEF	92	7	11
G Chakvetadze MID	69	4	7
F Mendy DEF	40	6	10
P Dwomoh MID	2
J Morris DEF	1