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Oxford United v Derby County : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 18th Oct, 12:30 BST, The Kassam Stadium, Oxford

Oxford United and their manager Gary Rowett will be looking to get one over on John Eustace and his Derby County side on Saturday lunch time, as the pair clash at The Kassam Stadium in the Championship. The predictions for all the markets are based on the past 20 games each side has played (at home, away or overall) with additional weight assigned to top teams. All the stats and graphics are tailored for the betting market in question. Head to head (H2H) statistics between the team are also given if there are are enough previous meetings. Odds are provided straight from from the UK's biggest bookmakers.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Championship Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

We're suggesting there's minimal chance that this fixture will deliver 4+ goals, and the odds and stats align with KickOff's predictive algorithm on this one. Oxford Utd and Derby have seldom been involved in thrillers of late, whether that be in the Championship individually or in head-to-head clashes. So, in the absence of a strong favourite draw or double chance market, we're going for under 3.5 goals. You can go for that at a best price of 1.22.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 38% chance of Derby coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Oxford Utd
36%
2.45
7%
2.45
Draw
27%
3.20
6%
3.20
Derby
38%
2.90
3%
3.00
Draw 1-1
13%
6.00
8%
5.75
Derby 1-0
10%
7.50
25%
7.00
Oxford Utd 1-0
10%
6.50
24%
6.00
Derby 2-1
8%
11.0010.00
Draw 0-0
8%
7.50
32%
7.00
Oxford Utd 2-1
8%
10.00
5%
8.50
Derby 2-0
7%
13.00
13%
12.00
Oxford Utd 2-0
6%
11.00
8%
9.50
Draw 2-2
5%
17.00
31%
15.00
Derby 3-1
4%
29.00
26%
21.00
Oxford Utd 3-1
3%
23.00
21%
19.00
Derby 3-0
3%
34.00
17%
23.00
Oxford Utd 3-0
3%
23.0019.00
Derby 3-2
2%
41.00
41%
26.00
Oxford Utd 3-2
2%
41.00
58%
26.00
Over 2.5 Goals
46%
2.38
25%
2.30
Under 2.5 Goals
54%
1.57
18%
1.55
Home 1st Goal
47%
1.95
7%
1.95
Away 1st Goal
48%
2.20
7%
2.20
No 1st Goal
5%
7.50
32%
7.00
BTTS - Yes
52%
2.00
20%
2.00
BTTS - No
48%
1.73
18%
1.73
BTTS - Home Win
16%
6.00
33%
5.25
BTTS - Draw
19%
4.75
10%
4.50
BTTS - Away Win
17%
7.00
27%
6.00
Home/draw
62%
1.40
3%
1.40
Away/draw
64%
1.53
3%
1.53
Home/away
73%
1.36
5%
1.35
Over 1.5 Goals
72%
1.44
12%
1.44
Under 1.5 Goals
28%
2.75
27%
2.60
Over 3.5 Goals
25%
4.50
41%
4.33
Under 3.5 Goals
75%
1.20
12%
1.18
Over 4.5 Goals
11%
10.00
67%
8.50
Under 4.5 Goals
89%
1.06
6%
1.06
Over 5.5 Goals
4%
21.00
62%
19.00
Under 5.5 Goals
96%
1.02
2%
1.00
Over 0.5 Goals
92%
1.08
3%
1.08
Under 0.5 Goals
8%
7.50
32%
7.00
Home DNB
54%
1.73
4%
1.70
Away DNB
56%
2.00
5%
2.05
Oxford Utd win to nil
20%
3.75
13%
-
Derby win to nil
21%
4.33
21%
-
Oxford Utd / Oxford Utd
20%
4.00
7%
3.90
Oxford Utd / Derby
3%
34.00
17%
26.00
Oxford Utd / Draw
6%
15.00
15%
13.00
Draw / Oxford Utd
15%
5.50
8%
5.25
Draw / Derby
12%
6.506.50
Draw / Draw
19%
4.33
21%
4.20
Derby / Oxford Utd
3%
29.00
12%
23.00
Derby / Derby
17%
5.00
5%
4.60
Derby / Draw
6%
15.00
15%
13.00
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Win / draw / win Championship table

Oxford Utd have played 9 matches so far this season and are in 22nd position in the league. Oxford Utd are having a poor run against away teams, having not won a match so far this season. They have also not scored in 2 of those games.

Performance against teams above them in the league

8 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 4 games, drawn 3 and won 1. Oxford Utd have conceded 12 goals, scored 10, failed to score in 3 matches and kept 1 clean sheet.

Home league performance

Oxford Utd have played 4 games at home, winning 0, drawing 2 and losing 2 fixtures. They have scored 4 goals, conceded 6 goals, kept 0 clean sheets and failed to score 2 times in home league games.

 
Won
Draw
Lost
Oxford Utd
Derby
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Coventry95402019 
d
 
2-2A
Feb 7
l
 
3-5A
Apr 3
2
M'Boro9531618 
Nov 22
Feb 21
Jan 1
Nov 29
3
Leicester9441516 
d
 
2-2F
Jan 24
Dec 6
Dec 29
4
Preston9441416 
Dec 13
Mar 7
l
 
0-1A
Jan 17
5
Stoke9432515 
Nov 4
Feb 24
Apr 6
l
 
3-1F
6
QPR9432-115 
Jan 20
d
 
0-00-0
Oct 25
Apr 25
7
West Brom9423-114 
Feb 28
Nov 8
Jan 24
w
 
0-1F
8
Millwall9423-314 
Nov 1
May 2
Dec 10
Mar 10
9
Ipswich8341713 
Nov 28
Jan 1
Feb 7
d
 
2-2A
10
Bristol C9342513 
Jan 17
w
 
1-3F
d
 
1-1A
Jan 31
11
Watford9333012 
Apr 11
l
 
2-1F
Nov 22
Feb 21
12
Swansea9333012 
Dec 29
Dec 6
Feb 14
Nov 25
13
Charlton9333012 
Mar 14
Dec 20
d
 
1-1A
Jan 21
14
Portsmouth9333-112 
l
 
0-1A
Apr 6
Dec 20
Mar 14
15
Hull9333-212 
Apr 3
l
 
3-2A
Nov 4
Feb 24
16
Birmingham9333-312 
Jan 31
l
 
1-0A
Mar 21
Dec 26
17
Southampton9252-111 
Dec 26
Mar 21
d
 
1-1A
Apr 11
18
Wrexham9243-110 
Apr 21
Oct 22
Jan 4
d
 
1-1A
19
Norwich9225-38 
Feb 14
Nov 25
Oct 21
Apr 21
20
Derby9153-48 
Oct 18
Apr 18
-
-
21
Blackburn8215-47 
Mar 11
Dec 9
Feb 28
Nov 8
22
Oxford Utd9135-36 
-
-
Apr 18
Oct 18
23
Sheff Wed9135-126 
Apr 25
Oct 25
Mar 7
Dec 15
24
Sheff Utd9108-133 
l
 
0-1A
Jan 4
May 2
Nov 1
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
Oxford Utd 22ND
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
8
D
4
Lost
8
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Oxford Utd0 - 1Sheff Utd
Oxford Utd2 - 2Leicester
Oxford Utd2 - 2Coventry
Oxford Utd0 - 1Portsmouth
Oxford Utd2 - 0Sunderland
Oxford Utd0 - 1Leeds
Oxford Utd1 - 3QPR
Oxford Utd1 - 0Sheff Utd
Oxford Utd1 - 0Watford
Oxford Utd2 - 3Coventry
Oxford Utd0 - 2Portsmouth
Oxford Utd1 - 1Bristol C
Oxford Utd3 - 2Luton
Oxford Utd1 - 0Blackburn
Oxford Utd2 - 0Plymouth
Oxford Utd3 - 2Cardiff
Oxford Utd1 - 3Sheff Wed
Oxford Utd1 - 1Millwall
Oxford Utd2 - 6M'Boro
Oxford Utd1 - 0Hull
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
5
Draw
6
Lost
9
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AOxford Utd1 - 2Watford
AOxford Utd0 - 0QPR
HOxford Utd0 - 1Sheff Utd
AOxford Utd3 - 1Bristol C
HOxford Utd2 - 2Leicester
HOxford Utd2 - 2Coventry
AOxford Utd0 - 1Birmingham
AOxford Utd2 - 3Hull
HOxford Utd0 - 1Portsmouth
AOxford Utd3 - 3Swansea
HOxford Utd2 - 0Sunderland
AOxford Utd1 - 1Cardiff
HOxford Utd0 - 1Leeds
AOxford Utd1 - 0Sheff Wed
HOxford Utd1 - 3QPR
HOxford Utd1 - 0Sheff Utd
AOxford Utd1 - 2M'Boro
HOxford Utd1 - 0Watford
AOxford Utd1 - 2Hull
AOxford Utd1 - 1Norwich
Derby 20TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
5
Draw
6
Lost
9
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Wrexham1 - 1Derby
West Brom0 - 1Derby
Ipswich2 - 2Derby
Stoke3 - 1Derby
Hull0 - 1Derby
West Brom1 - 3Derby
Portsmouth2 - 2Derby
Swansea1 - 0Derby
Plymouth2 - 3Derby
M'Boro1 - 0Derby
QPR4 - 0Derby
Norwich1 - 1Derby
Cardiff2 - 1Derby
Bristol C1 - 0Derby
Sheff Wed4 - 2Derby
Luton2 - 1Derby
Burnley0 - 0Derby
Leeds2 - 0Derby
Preston1 - 1Derby
Coventry1 - 2Derby
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
7
Draw
8
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HDerby1 - 1Southampton
HDerby1 - 1Charlton
ADerby1 - 1Wrexham
HDerby0 - 1Preston
ADerby1 - 0West Brom
ADerby2 - 2Ipswich
HDerby1 - 1Bristol C
HDerby3 - 5Coventry
ADerby1 - 3Stoke
HDerby0 - 0Stoke
ADerby1 - 0Hull
ADerby3 - 1West Brom
HDerby0 - 1Luton
ADerby2 - 2Portsmouth
HDerby0 - 0Burnley
ADerby0 - 1Swansea
HDerby2 - 0Preston
ADerby3 - 2Plymouth
HDerby2 - 0Coventry
HDerby2 - 1Blackburn
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Oxford Utd since 1993
Oxford Utd
Derby
Goals: Scored
7
8
Games: Scored
4 / 5
4 / 5
Clean sheets
1 / 5
1 / 5
OXF
1
D
1
DER
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Oxford Utd
Draw1 - 1Draw
2 - 3Derby
2 - 3Derby
Oxford Utd2 - 0
0 - 1Derby
League games at Derby since 1992
Derby
Oxford Utd
Goals: Scored
4
4
Games: Scored
3 / 5
3 / 5
Clean sheets
2 / 5
2 / 5
OXF
2
D
1
DER
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Derby
Draw0 - 0Draw
1 - 2Oxford Utd
Derby1 - 0
Derby2 - 1
0 - 1Oxford Utd
Goal Statistics
Oxford Utd 22nd Derby 20th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.2
goals
1.3
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
29%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 65% probability that Oxford Utd will score no more than 1 goal
0
28%
1
36%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 64% probability that Derby will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
=0
Oxford Utd’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+17
Derby have scored 17% more goals when away than predicted
1.3
average goals scored
1.1
average goals scored
1.5
conceded
1.6
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Championship - 2025/2026 season
Oxford Utd
PG (predicted goals)
Derby
1.2
1.3
Attack rating
OXF
DER
27%
better
view stats
Games scored4
7
Failed to score4
1
Scored first2
2
Goals scored9
10
Avg. goals scored1
1.1
Avg. shots per game8
5
Avg. shots per goal8
4
Conversion rate for12
24
Avg. XG for1.2
0.9
KickOff rating
+27%
Defence rating
11%
better
OXF
DER
view stats
Games conceded7
7
Clean sheets1
1
Conceded first5
6
Goals conceded11
14
Avg. goals conceded1.2
1.6
Avg. shots/game conceded8
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
6
Conversion rate against15%
17%
Avg. XG against1.4
1.6
KickOff rating
+11%

Oxford Utd v Derby Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

Oxford Utd Championship squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
9312
J CummingW. LankshearM HelikC Brannagan
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Cumming GLK9
-
M Helik DEF91
1
-
S Mills MID9
1
-
C Brannagan MID92
2
-
W. Lankshear FWD93
-
S Dembélé FWD9
-
G Leigh DEF81
-
S Long DEF8
1
-
J Currie DEF7
1
-
B Spencer DEF7
1
-
B Keersmaecker MID711
-
W Vaulks MID7
2
-
M Harris FWD7
-
P Placheta  FWD71
-
N Prelec FWD61
-
F Krastev MID4
-
L Harris MID4
1
-
M Phillips FWD4
-
T Goodrham FWD41
1
-
H Avest DEF3
-
T Bradshaw FWD3
-
B Davies DEF1
-
L Sibley MID1
-
G O'Donkor FWD1
-
Derby Championship squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
9414
J ZetterströmC MorrisA Weimann E Adams
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Zetterström GLK9
1
-
D Sanderson DEF9
3
-
M Clarke DEF91
2
-
A Weimann  MID911
1
-
E Adams MID91
4
-
C Morris FWD94
3
-
B Clark MID8
1
-
D Ozoh MID7
3
-
K Jackson FWD7
1
-
M Johnston DEF6
1
-
C Elder DEF61
1
-
C Forsyth DEF6
1
-
L Travis MID61
4
-
J Ward MID5
-
D Batth DEF4
-
R Nyambe DEF4
1
-
B Díaz FWD41
1
-
L Thompson MID3
1
-
R Brewster FWD31
-
L Salvesen FWD3
-
C Blackett-Taylor FWD11
-