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Queens Park Rangers v Leeds United : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

Loftus Road Stadium, London

Leeds United, led by manager Daniel Farke, visit Martí Cifuentes Corvillo and his Queens Park Rangers side at the Loftus Road Stadium on Saturday lunch time in the Championship. We want you to make a smart bet on this match, so we've sifted through our 20+ year database and dug out the statistics that are most significant. Head to head (H2H) and recent form is included, and these are used to generate our predictions. Odds are there to make sure you get the best return.

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Queens Park Rangers's next match is v Stoke at 15:00 on Saturday 29th March
Leeds United's next match is v Swansea at 15:00 on Saturday 29th March
The last English Championship meeting between QPR and Leeds was on Saturday 15th March 2025
English Championship
March 15th 2025
QPR 2
2 Leeds
 
K. Saito 17'40' (OG)M. Fox
S. Cook 30'51' J. Bogle
 
QPR
LEE
Shots On
4
3
Shots Off
3
6
Corners
1
8
Possession
34%
66%
Fouls
17
12
Yellow/red cards
3/1
2/0
 
QPRLeeds
 
P. Nardi
K. Paal
R. Edwards
J. Dunne
M. Foxfootball icon
S. Cookfootball icon (L. Morrison 74')
J. Colback
L. Andersen (N. Hautorp Madsen 84')
K. Saitofootball icon
M. Frey
P. Smyth (K. Dembélé 74')
I. Meslier
football iconJ. Bogle
H. Firpo Adames
P. Struijk
J. Rodon
A. Tanaka
(D. Gnonto 46') B. Aaronson
J. Rothwell
D. James
(L. Ramazani 84') M. Solomon
J. Piroe

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Championship Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

The stats suggest there isn't an obvious winner in this fixture, but there's plenty of reasons to believe that QPR and Leeds will find the net twice at least between them. We've seen goals when they've gone head-to-head in the past, and neither Martí Cifuentes Corvillo or Daniel Farke has served up too many 0-0s lately either. The bookmakers predict over 1.5 goals too, with top odds of 1.30 equating to approximately a 78% probability.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 45% chance of Leeds coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
QPR
29%
6/1
27%
13/2
25%
Draw
26%
7/2
5%
7/2
Leeds
45%
21/50
5%
4/9
4%
Draw 1-1
12%
8/17/1
7%
Leeds 1-0
11%
5/1
8%
19/4
Leeds 2-1
9%
8/1
6%
13/2
QPR 1-0
8%
14/1
15%
12/1
8%
Leeds 2-0
8%
5/1
14%
5/1
8%
QPR 2-1
7%
20/1
24%
18/1
27%
Draw 0-0
7%
10/1
8%
17/2
5%
Draw 2-2
5%
22/1
10%
16/1
QPR 2-0
5%
33/1
17%
28/1
26%
Leeds 3-1
5%
12/110/1
Leeds 3-0
4%
8/1
10%
15/2
6%
QPR 3-1
3%
50/1
24%
40/1
21%
Leeds 3-2
3%
28/122/1
10%
QPR 3-2
2%
50/1
24%
45/1
12%
QPR 3-0
2%
80/1
21%
60/1
33%
Over 2.5 Goals
50%
10/1117/20
Under 2.5 Goals
50%
10/1117/20
Home 1st Goal
45%
3/1
14%
-
Away 1st Goal
51%
3/10
4%
-
No 1st Goal
4%
10/1
8%
-
BTTS - Yes
53%
11/10
5%
23/20
5%
BTTS - No
47%
4/6
3%
13/20
3%
BTTS - Home Win
14%
12/1
18%
12/1
30%
BTTS - Draw
19%
11/25/1
4%
BTTS - Away Win
21%
13/55/2
Home/draw
55%
7/4
10%
9/5
12%
Away/draw
71%
1/10
4%
1/12
4%
Home/away
74%
2/111/5
Over 1.5 Goals
74%
3/102/7
Under 1.5 Goals
26%
5/212/5
Over 3.5 Goals
28%
12/521/10
3%
Under 3.5 Goals
72%
1/31/3
Over 4.5 Goals
13%
5/119/4
4%
Under 4.5 Goals
87%
1/81/9
Over 5.5 Goals
5%
12/110/1
8%
Under 5.5 Goals
95%
1/251/33
1%
Over 0.5 Goals
93%
1/20
1%
1/20
1%
Under 0.5 Goals
7%
10/1
8%
17/2
5%
Home DNB
47%
9/2
27%
9/2
25%
Away DNB
63%
1/7
5%
1/9
6%
QPR win to nil
15%
10/1
22%
-
Leeds win to nil
25%
6/5
8%
-
QPR / QPR
7%
12/1
18%
10/1
29%
QPR / Leeds
4%
20/118/1
QPR / Draw
4%
18/116/1
13%
Draw / QPR
6%
12/1
8%
12/1
18%
Draw / Leeds
20%
3/129/10
3%
Draw / Draw
14%
5/119/4
4%
Leeds / QPR
2%
40/140/1
21%
Leeds / Leeds
37%
6/5
4%
11/10
7%
Leeds / Draw
5%
16/1
13%
14/1
Win / draw / win Championship table

QPR have played 37 matches so far this season and are in 14th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

22 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 10 games, drawn 9 and won 3. QPR have conceded 30 goals, scored 20, failed to score in 8 matches and kept 4 clean sheets.

Home league performance

QPR have played 18 games at home, winning 7, drawing 5 and losing 6 fixtures. They have scored 27 goals, conceded 24 goals, kept 4 clean sheets and failed to score 2 times in home league games.

Leeds lay in 1st place on 79 points in the Championship league table having played 37 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 37 games against teams below them in the table, winning 23, drawing 10 and losing 4 games. They have scored 74 goals and kept 21 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Leeds have conceded 23 goals and have failed to score in 7 matches.

Away league performance

Leeds have played 18 away games, winning 8, drawing 7 and losing 3 games. They have scored an average of 1.5 goals per away game and conceded an average 0.8 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
QPR
Leeds
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Leeds Away38231145180 
d
 
2-2F
l
 
2-0A
-
-
2
Sheff Utd3825762580 
l
 
1-2A
d
 
2-2A
w
 
2-0F
w
 
1-3A
3
Burnley38211524178 
Apr 26
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
0-1A
d
 
0-00-0
4
Sunderland38191271869 
d
 
0-00-0
May 3
w
 
2-1A
d
 
2-2A
5
Coventry3817813759 
d
 
1-1A
l
 
1-0A
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-2F
6
West Brom38131871457 
l
 
1-3F
l
 
1-0A
d
 
1-1F
d
 
0-00-0
7
Bristol C3814159857 
Apr 12
d
 
1-1A
Apr 26
d
 
0-00-0
8
M'Boro3815914954 
l
 
1-4A
l
 
2-1A
w
 
3-1F
Apr 8
9
Blackburn3815716252 
w
 
2-1F
l
 
2-0A
d
 
1-1F
l
 
1-0A
10
Watford3815716-452 
w
 
3-1F
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
2-1F
w
 
0-4F
11
Millwall38131213-251 
d
 
1-1A
l
 
2-1A
w
 
2-0F
l
 
1-0A
12
Sheff Wed3814915-651 
l
 
0-2A
d
 
1-1A
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-2F
13
Norwich38121313649 
w
 
3-0F
d
 
1-1F
w
 
2-0F
d
 
1-1A
14
Preston38101711-547 
w
 
2-1A
Apr 18
Apr 12
d
 
1-1A
15
QPR Home38111215-645 
-
-
w
 
2-0F
d
 
2-2A
16
Swansea3812818-1144 
Apr 21
l
 
3-0A
Mar 29
w
 
3-4A
17
Portsmouth3811918-1542 
l
 
1-2F
l
 
2-1A
d
 
3-3F
l
 
1-0A
18
Oxford Utd38101216-1642 
w
 
2-0F
Apr 9
w
 
4-0F
Apr 18
19
Hull38101117-841 
l
 
1-3A
w
 
1-2F
w
 
2-0F
d
 
3-3A
20
Stoke3891217-1439 
d
 
1-1A
Mar 29
Apr 21
w
 
0-2F
21
Cardiff3891217-2039 
Apr 5
w
 
0-2F
w
 
7-0F
w
 
0-2F
22
Derby3810820-1138 
w
 
4-0F
l
 
2-0A
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-1F
23
Luton389821-2635 
w
 
2-1F
w
 
1-2A
w
 
3-0F
Apr 5
24
Plymouth3871219-3733 
d
 
1-1F
w
 
0-1F
w
 
3-0F
May 3
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
QPR 15TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
32
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
9
Draw
5
Lost
6
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
9
D
3
Lost
8
Leeds 1ST
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
8
Draw
8
L
4
Goals: Scored
43
Conceded
11
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
9 / 20
Clean sheets
11 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
13
Draw
5
L
2
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
3
QPR have beaten Leeds in 3 consecutive home league meetings
3
QPR have kept a clean sheet in 3 consecutive home league meetings with Leeds
League games at QPR since 1992
QPR
Leeds
Goals: Scored
22
19
Games: Scored
13 / 15
10 / 15
Clean sheets
5 / 15
2 / 15
QPR
7
D
3
LEE
5
League games at Leeds since 1993
Leeds
QPR
Goals: Scored
27
9
Games: Scored
13 / 16
7 / 16
Clean sheets
9 / 16
3 / 16
QPR
2
D
5
LEE
9
Goal Statistics

Leeds United's defensive record is to be admired, D. Farke's men having conceded 1 or less in 11 consecutive Championship games. An average PG rating of 1.2 for Queens Park Rangers makes sense in this context.

QPR 15th Leeds 1st
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.2
goals
1.5
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
32%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4+
There is a 68% probability that QPR will score no more than 1 goal
0
22%
1
33%
2
25%
3
13%
4+
There is a 78% probability that Leeds will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+15
QPR have scored 15% more goals at home than predicted
-4
Leeds’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.6
average goals scored
1.4
average goals scored
1.2
conceded
0.9
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Championship - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/280541/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
QPR
PG (predicted goals)
Leeds
1.2
1.5
Attack rating
QPR
LEE
27%
better
view stats
Games scored27
30
Failed to score10
7
Scored first13
23
Goals scored42
74
Avg. goals scored1.1
2
Avg. shots per game8
11
Avg. shots per goal7
6
Conversion rate for14
18
Avg. XG for1.1
1.9
KickOff rating
+27%
Defence rating
QPR
LEE
42%
better
view stats
Games conceded29
16
Clean sheets8
21
Conceded first21
11
Goals conceded48
23
Avg. goals conceded1.3
0.6
Avg. shots/game conceded8
5
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
8
Conversion rate against17%
13%
Avg. XG against1.2
0.7
KickOff rating
+42%

QPR v Leeds Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

QPR Championship squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
387410
P NardiM FreyP SmythJ Dunne
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
P Nardi GLK38
1
-
J Dunne DEF3752
10
-
S Cook DEF312
4
-
M Fox DEF201
4
-
K Paal DEF3313
4
-
J Colback MID161
3
1
R Edwards MID131
1
-
P Smyth MID3814
6
-
L Andersen MID251
-
K Saito MID3732
1
M Frey FWD2571
4
-
Subs
K Dembélé1513
2
-
J Walsh
-
L Morrison11
2
-
H Ashby22
4
-
K. Morgan2612
6
-
N Madsen242
1
-
D. Bennie9
1
-
M. Yang81
-
Leeds Championship squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
381599
I MeslierJ PiroeJ FirpoJ Bogle 
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
I Meslier GLK38
-
J Bogle  DEF3652
9
-
J Rodon DEF381
5
-
P Struijk DEF335
2
-
J Firpo DEF2539
7
-
A Tanaka MID3542
7
-
J Rothwell MID344
2
-
D James MID32109
4
-
B Aaronson MID3782
2
-
M Solomon MID3177
1
-
J Piroe FWD38156
1
-
Subs
M Joseph3633
-
A Cil13
-
S Byram2911
3
-
K Darlow
-
W Gnonto3555
4
-
I Schmidt7
-
J Debayo1
-
I Gruev17
2
-
L Ramazani2542
2
-