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Southampton v Swansea City : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 18th Oct, 12:30 BST, St. Mary's Stadium, Southampton

Alan Sheehan guides his Swansea City troops to the St. Mary's Stadium in the Championship on Saturday lunch time, with William Still's Southampton their challengers. Below there are predictions for all the biggest betting markets, supporting statistics including head-to-heads, and the best odds. Access it all using the tabs below.

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Championship Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

Under 2.5 goals means, quite simply, that there will be a maximum of 2 goals scored in total by Southampton and Swansea during the regulation 90 mins. It's a bet the statistics below and the odds both favour on this occasion, and an outcome that we've seen head to head clashes between these sides has produced in the past. In the absence of an obvious winner, our best bet prediction for this one is under 2.5 goals.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Southampton are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 38% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.85.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Southampton 38%	1.83 10%	1.85
Draw 30%	3.30 6%	3.50
Swansea 32%	4.50 18%	4.20
Southampton 1-0 14%	6.50 8%	6.00
Draw 1-1 13%	6.50 7%	6.50
Draw 0-0 12%	8.50 6%	8.00
Swansea 1-0 12%	11.00 15%	9.50
Southampton 2-0 8%	8.00 14%	7.50
Southampton 2-1 8%	8.50	7.50
Swansea 2-1 7%	15.00 21%	12.00
Swansea 2-0 6%	21.00 28%	17.00
Draw 2-2 4%	15.00 21%	13.00
Southampton 3-0 3%	15.00 25%	12.00
Southampton 3-1 3%	15.00	13.00
Swansea 3-1 2%	41.00 20%	26.00
Swansea 3-0 2%	51.00 24%	34.00
Southampton 3-2 1%	29.00 15%	21.00
Swansea 3-2 1%	41.00 20%	29.00
Over 2.5 Goals 35%	2.10 5%	2.05
Under 2.5 Goals 65%	1.73 4%	1.70
Home 1st Goal 48%	1.62 6%	1.62
Away 1st Goal 44%	2.60 13%	2.70
No 1st Goal 9%	8.50 6%	8.00
BTTS - Yes 42%	1.91 9%	1.95
BTTS - No 58%	1.80 8%	1.80
BTTS - Home Win 13%	4.33	4.00
BTTS - Draw 18%	4.75 5%	4.80
BTTS - Away Win 11%	9.50 21%	8.00
Home/draw 68%	1.18 4%	1.22
Away/draw 62%	1.91 11%	1.91
Home/away 70%	1.33 3%	1.29
Over 1.5 Goals 62%	1.36	1.35
Under 1.5 Goals 38%	3.20	3.00
Over 3.5 Goals 16%	3.75 6%	3.50
Under 3.5 Goals 84%	1.29 3%	1.25
Over 4.5 Goals 6%	8.00	7.00
Under 4.5 Goals 94%	1.08	1.08
Over 5.5 Goals 2%	17.00	13.00
Under 5.5 Goals 98%	1.03	1.02
Over 0.5 Goals 88%	1.07 1%	1.06
Under 0.5 Goals 12%	9.00 13%	8.00
Home DNB 59%	1.33 9%	1.33
Away DNB 53%	3.25 19%	3.00
Southampton win to nil 25%	3.00 20%	-
Swansea win to nil 21%	7.00 22%	-
Southampton / Southampton 28%	2.88 11%	2.88
Southampton / Swansea 2%	41.00	29.00
Southampton / Draw 6%	15.00	13.00
Draw / Southampton 17%	4.75 10%	4.50
Draw / Swansea 9%	9.00 18%	8.00
Draw / Draw 16%	5.00	4.80
Swansea / Southampton 4%	23.00	19.00
Swansea / Swansea 11%	7.50 21%	6.50
Swansea / Draw 6%	15.00 12%	13.00

Win / draw / win Championship table

Southampton have played 9 matches so far this season and are in 17th position in the league. Southampton are winless in the 6 games they have played against teams above them in the table and have conceded in 5 of those games.

Performance against teams above them in the league

6 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 2 games, drawn 4 and won zero. Southampton have conceded 9 goals, scored 6, failed to score in 1 match and kept 1 clean sheet.

Home league performance

Southampton have played 4 games at home, winning 1, drawing 2 and losing 1 fixture. They have scored 4 goals, conceded 4 goals, kept 1 clean sheet and failed to score 1 time in home league games.

Swansea lay in 12th place on 12 points in the Championship league table having played 9 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 5 games against teams below them in the table, winning 3, drawing 1 and losing 1 game. They have scored 7 goals and kept 2 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Swansea have conceded 4 goals and have failed to score in 1 match.

Away league performance

Swansea have played 4 away games, winning 2, drawing 0 and losing 2 games. They have scored an average of 1 goals per away game and conceded an average 0.8 goals per away game.

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	Southampton Swansea
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
1	Coventry	9	5	4	0	20	19	Dec 20	Mar 14	Mar 21	Dec 26
2	M'Boro	9	5	3	1	6	18	d 1-1F	Jan 4	Apr 6	l 1-0A
3	Leicester	9	4	4	1	5	16	Nov 25	Feb 14	l 1-3A	Apr 11
4	Preston	9	4	4	1	4	16	Nov 1	May 2	Feb 24	Nov 5
5	Stoke	9	4	3	2	5	15	l 1-2A	Jan 31	Mar 7	Dec 13
6	QPR	9	4	3	2	-1	15	Feb 24	Nov 5	Oct 22	Apr 21
7	West Brom	9	4	2	3	-1	14	Dec 9	Mar 11	Jan 1	Nov 29
8	Millwall	9	4	2	3	-3	14	Jan 1	Nov 29	d 1-1F	Jan 4
9	Ipswich	8	3	4	1	7	13	Apr 3	d 1-1A	Nov 8	Feb 28
10	Bristol C	9	3	4	2	5	13	Apr 21	Oct 21	Feb 21	Nov 22
11	Watford	9	3	3	3	0	12	Feb 7	d 2-2F	d 1-1A	Jan 31
12	Swansea	9	3	3	3	0	12	Oct 18	Apr 18	-	-
13	Charlton	9	3	3	3	0	12	Feb 21	Nov 22	May 2	Nov 1
14	Portsmouth	9	3	3	3	-1	12	d 0-00-0	Jan 25	Dec 9	Mar 10
15	Hull	9	3	3	3	-2	12	Jan 17	l 3-1A	d 2-2F	Jan 24
16	Birmingham	9	3	3	3	-3	12	Dec 6	Dec 29	Jan 17	l 1-0A
17	Southampton	9	2	5	2	-1	11	-	-	Apr 18	Oct 18
18	Wrexham	9	2	4	3	-1	10	w 2-1A	Apr 6	Dec 19	Mar 14
19	Norwich	9	2	2	5	-3	8	Mar 7	Dec 13	Oct 25	Apr 25
20	Derby	9	1	5	3	-4	8	Apr 11	d 1-1F	Nov 25	Feb 14
21	Blackburn	8	2	1	5	-4	7	Apr 25	Oct 25	Jan 20	w 1-2A
22	Oxford Utd	9	1	3	5	-3	6	Mar 21	Dec 26	Dec 6	Dec 29
23	Sheff Wed	9	1	3	5	-12	6	Nov 8	Feb 28	Feb 7	w 0-2F
24	Sheff Utd	9	1	0	8	-13	3	Jan 21	w 1-2A	w 1-0F	Apr 3

	Promotion
	Promotion Play Off
	Relegation

Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

13 / 20

Conceded

17 / 20

Clean sheets

3 / 20

Failed to score

7 / 20

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Southampton	1 - 1	M'Boro
Southampton	0 - 0	Portsmouth
Southampton	1 - 2	Stoke
Southampton	2 - 1	Wrexham
Southampton	1 - 2	Arsenal
Southampton	0 - 0	Man City
Southampton	1 - 2	Fulham
Southampton	0 - 3	A Villa
Southampton	1 - 1	C Palace
Southampton	1 - 2	Wolves
Southampton	0 - 4	Brighton
Southampton	1 - 3	Bournemouth
Southampton	1 - 3	Newcastle
Southampton	0 - 5	Brentford
Southampton	0 - 1	West Ham
Southampton	0 - 5	Spurs
Southampton	1 - 5	Chelsea
Southampton	2 - 3	Liverpool
Southampton	1 - 0	Everton
Southampton	2 - 3	Leicester

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

18 / 20

Clean sheets

2 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Southampton	1 - 1	Derby
A	Southampton	2 - 1	Sheff Utd
H	Southampton	1 - 1	M'Boro
A	Southampton	1 - 3	Hull
H	Southampton	0 - 0	Portsmouth
A	Southampton	2 - 2	Watford
H	Southampton	1 - 2	Stoke
A	Southampton	1 - 1	Ipswich
H	Southampton	2 - 1	Wrexham
H	Southampton	1 - 2	Arsenal
A	Southampton	0 - 2	Everton
H	Southampton	0 - 0	Man City
A	Southampton	0 - 2	Leicester
H	Southampton	1 - 2	Fulham
A	Southampton	1 - 1	West Ham
H	Southampton	0 - 3	A Villa
A	Southampton	1 - 3	Spurs
H	Southampton	1 - 1	C Palace
H	Southampton	1 - 2	Wolves
A	Southampton	1 - 3	Liverpool

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

12 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

8 / 20

Won

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Blackburn	1 - 2	Swansea
Birmingham	1 - 0	Swansea
Sheff Wed	0 - 2	Swansea
M'Boro	1 - 0	Swansea
Millwall	1 - 0	Swansea
QPR	1 - 2	Swansea
Sunderland	0 - 1	Swansea
Leeds	2 - 2	Swansea
Watford	1 - 0	Swansea
Preston	0 - 0	Swansea
Stoke	3 - 1	Swansea
Bristol C	0 - 1	Swansea
Norwich	5 - 1	Swansea
Cardiff	3 - 0	Swansea
Portsmouth	4 - 0	Swansea
Hull	2 - 1	Swansea
Plymouth	1 - 2	Swansea
Luton	1 - 1	Swansea
Derby	1 - 2	Swansea
Burnley	1 - 0	Swansea

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

13 / 20

Clean sheets

7 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Swansea	1 - 3	Leicester
A	Swansea	2 - 1	Blackburn
H	Swansea	1 - 1	Millwall
A	Swansea	0 - 1	Birmingham
H	Swansea	2 - 2	Hull
A	Swansea	2 - 0	Sheff Wed
H	Swansea	1 - 1	Watford
H	Swansea	1 - 0	Sheff Utd
A	Swansea	0 - 1	M'Boro
H	Swansea	3 - 3	Oxford Utd
A	Swansea	0 - 1	Millwall
A	Swansea	2 - 1	QPR
H	Swansea	1 - 0	Hull
A	Swansea	1 - 0	Sunderland
H	Swansea	3 - 0	Plymouth
H	Swansea	1 - 0	Derby
A	Swansea	2 - 2	Leeds
H	Swansea	0 - 2	Burnley
A	Swansea	0 - 1	Watford
H	Swansea	1 - 0	M'Boro

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Southampton have beaten Swansea in 3 consecutive league meetings

Southampton have kept a clean sheet in 3 consecutive home league meetings with Swansea

Southampton

Swansea

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

6 / 8

4 / 8

Clean sheets

4 / 8

2 / 8

SOU

SWA

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Southampton
Southampton	5 - 0
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Southampton	1 - 0
Southampton	3 - 1
	0 - 1	Swansea
Southampton	2 - 0
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Draw	2 - 2	Draw

Swansea

Southampton

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

3 / 8

6 / 8

Clean sheets

2 / 8

5 / 8

SOU

SWA

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Swansea
	1 - 3	Southampton
	0 - 1	Southampton
Swansea	2 - 1
	0 - 1	Southampton
	0 - 1	Southampton
	0 - 1	Southampton
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Swansea	3 - 0

Goal Statistics

	Southampton 17th	Swansea 12th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.1 goals	1.0 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 33% 1 37% 2 20% 3 4+ There is a 70% probability that Southampton will score no more than 1 goal	0 37% 1 37% 2 18% 3 4+ There is a 74% probability of Swansea scoring 1 goal or less

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-34 Southampton have scored 34% fewer goals at home than predicted	-11 Swansea have scored 11% fewer goals when away than predicted
	0.8 average goals scored	0.9 average goals scored
	2.3 conceded	1.5 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Championship - 2025/2026 season

better

SOU

SWA

view stats

Games scored	7		6
Failed to score	1		2
Scored first	2		4
Goals scored	10		9
Avg. goals scored	1.1		1
Avg. shots per game	9		7
Avg. shots per goal	8		7
Conversion rate for	12		15
Avg. XG for	1.8		1.1
KickOff rating		+2%

SOU

SWA

27%

better

view stats

Games conceded	7		6
Clean sheets	1		2
Conceded first	5		4
Goals conceded	11		7
Avg. goals conceded	1.2		0.8
Avg. shots/game conceded	7		7
Avg. shots/goal conceded	5		8
Conversion rate against	18%		12%
Avg. XG against	1.2		1.1
KickOff rating		+27%

Southampton v Swansea Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

Southampton Championship squad statistics 2025/2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
9	3	2	3
S Charles	A Armstrong	R Fraser	S Charles

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
R Manning DEF	9	2		2 -
S Charles MID	9			3 -
A Armstrong FWD	9	3		1 -
R Fraser FWD	9		2	-
R Stewart FWD	8	2	1	2 -
J. Robinson FWD	7	1	1	-
C Archer FWD	7	1		1 -
G Bazunu GLK	6			-
J Stephens DEF	6	1		2 -
F Azaz MID	6			-
F Downes MID	6			3 -
M Roerslev DEF	5			1 -
J Quarshie DEF	5			1 -
R Edwards DEF	5			-
T Harwood-Bellis DEF	5	1		3 -
N Wood DEF	5		1	2 -
C. Jander MID	5			-
T Fellows FWD	5			-
D Downs FWD	5		1	1 -
L Scienza FWD	4			-
A McCarthy GLK	3			-
Welington DEF	3			1 -
E Jelert DEF	2			-
K Matsuki MID	2			1 -

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
3	7	2	4
A Armstrong	A Armstrong	R Fraser	R Manning

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
A Armstrong FWD	3	7
R Manning DEF	2	3		4
R Stewart FWD	2	6	1	1
J. Robinson FWD	1	5	1
C Archer FWD	1	4		1
J Stephens DEF	1	2		1
T Harwood-Bellis DEF	1	4
S Charles MID		1
R Fraser FWD		2	2	2
F Azaz MID		2		1
M Roerslev DEF				1
R Edwards DEF		1
N Wood DEF			1	1
T Fellows FWD		1
D Downs FWD			1	1
L Scienza FWD		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
448	20	70
S Charles	S Charles	S Charles

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
S Charles MID	448	20	70
R Manning DEF	363	7	23
J Quarshie DEF	356	5	18
J Stephens DEF	344	7	22
R Fraser FWD	321	3	18
T Harwood-Bellis DEF	320	5	22
R Edwards DEF	281	6	14
N Wood DEF	278	11	24
C. Jander MID	205	13	25
G Bazunu GLK	181		8
F Downes MID	165	2	14
F Azaz MID	138	5	16
M Roerslev DEF	132	3	10
T Fellows FWD	130	4	19
A Armstrong FWD	114	7	20
R Stewart FWD	77	3	18
A McCarthy GLK	77		3
J. Robinson FWD	74	4	27
Welington DEF	73	7	10
C Archer FWD	45	1	10
L Scienza FWD	45	2	14
D Downs FWD	17		3
E Jelert DEF	12
K Matsuki MID	8		1

Swansea Championship squad statistics 2025/2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
9	4	2	4
L Vigouroux	Z Vipotnik	Z Inoussa	J Tymon

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
L Vigouroux GLK	9			-
C Burgess DEF	9			3 -
J Tymon DEF	9		1	4 -
J Key DEF	9			-
B Cabango DEF	9			3 -
E Galbraith MID	9		1	3 -
Z Inoussa FWD	9		2	1 -
Ronald FWD	9	3	1	1 -
G Franco MID	8	1		2 -
Z Vipotnik FWD	8	4	1	-
J Eom FWD	8			-
L Cullen FWD	8	1		1 -
M. Junior Yalcouyé MID	7		1	-
M Stamenić MID	6			2 -
M. Widell MID	6			-
A Idah FWD	5	1	1	-
J Fulton MID	3			1 -
B Hedilazio FWD	3			-
K Casey DEF	1			-
B Wales FWD	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
4	8	2	3
Z Vipotnik	Z Vipotnik	Z Inoussa	J Tymon

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
Z Vipotnik FWD	4	8	1
Ronald FWD	3	6	1	2
G Franco MID	1	2		1
L Cullen FWD	1	2
A Idah FWD	1	1	1	1
J Tymon DEF		2	1	3
J Key DEF		1
E Galbraith MID		4	1	1
Z Inoussa FWD		3	2	2
J Eom FWD		4		2
M. Junior Yalcouyé MID			1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
718	25	54
C Burgess	B Cabango	C Burgess

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
C Burgess DEF	718	11	54
B Cabango DEF	555	25	52
J Key DEF	413	15	36
J Tymon DEF	380	15	27
E Galbraith MID	378	13	34
L Vigouroux GLK	304		6
G Franco MID	300	23	45
M Stamenić MID	291	12	25
Ronald FWD	186	7	45
Z Inoussa FWD	158	5	40
M. Junior Yalcouyé MID	140	5	21
J Eom FWD	92	8	30
Z Vipotnik FWD	91	2	18
L Cullen FWD	63	5	19
J Fulton MID	37	5	9
K Casey DEF	33		1
A Idah FWD	32		3
B Hedilazio FWD	30	1	8
M. Widell MID	13	1	2

English Championship match betting previews, predictions and odds

Southampton v Swansea

Leicester v Portsmouth

Sat 18th Oct, 19:45

Southampton v Swansea City : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

Southampton have played 9 matches so far this season and are in 17th position in the league. Southampton are winless in the 6 games they have played against teams above them in the table and have conceded in 5 of those games.

Performance against teams above them in the league

Home league performance

Swansea lay in 12th place on 12 points in the Championship league table having played 9 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

Away league performance

Southampton v Swansea Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

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