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Stoke City v Plymouth Argyle : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

bet365 Stadium, Stoke

Saturday afternoon at the bet365 Stadium, and it’s a Championship clash between Stoke City and Plymouth Argyle. Steven Schumacher and Neil Dewsnip going all-out to guide their side to victory. We provide predictions based on extensive statistical analysis of both teams' performance, across seventeen of the main betting markets. The data and the odds change with each market, and head-to-head stats are included across the board.

This match has now expired. Kickoff has all of the best football predictions for you to choose from, for all Championship Predictions. Kickoff constantly updates all 17 football betting markets to analyse and predict football scores – whether you choose football accumulator tips, both teams to score (BTTS tips), correct score, or if you are looking for free football tips – then make sure to sign up to Kickoff.co.uk today.

Stoke City's next match is v Bristol C at 12:30 on Saturday 4th May
Plymouth Argyle's next match is v Hull at 12:30 on Saturday 4th May

The last English Championship meeting between Stoke and Plymouth was on Saturday 20th April 2024

English Championship

April 20th 2024

Stoke 3	0 Plymouth

K. Hoever 43'
M. Manhoef 45'
W. Burger 90'

	STK PLY
Shots On	4 1
Shots Off	9 3
Corners	7 3
Possession	52% 48%
Fouls	14 7
Yellow/red cards	3/0 4/0

Stoke	Plymouth

D. Iversen L. McNally K. Hoever E. Stevens B. Wilmot J. Thompson J. Bae L. Cundle (W. Burger 74') J. Laurent T. Campbell (N. Ennis 64') M. Manhoef (M. Marcel Léris 82')	M. Cooper B. Zibusiso Galloway (L. Gibson 46') J. Pleguezuelo Selva D. Scarr B. Mumba (A. Devine 46') J. Edwards (J. Houghton 9') A. Forshaw A. Randell (C. Wright 71') M. Bundu M. Whittaker (B. Waine 82') R. Hardie

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

We're suggesting it's fairly unlikely that this match will serve up 4 goals or more, and the odds and statistics align with our predictive algorithm on this one. Stoke and Plymouth have rarely treated their fans to a high volume of goals of late, whether that be in the Championship individually or when going head-to-head. So, in the absence of a strong favourite WDW or double chance market, we're going for under 3.5 goals. The UK's top bookies have that available at a best price of 1.44.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Stoke are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 38% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.83.

Predictions	Bet365	Coral	Betfred	888Sport
Stoke 38%	4/6	3/4 1%	4/5	-
Draw 27%	11/4 4%	27/10 8%	11/4	-
Plymouth 35%	4/1 9%	18/5 5%	10/3 4%	-
Draw 1-1 13%	6/1	11/2 7%	13/2	-
Stoke 1-0 11%	15/2 6%	13/2	13/2	-
Plymouth 1-0 10%	14/1	11/1	14/1	-
Draw 0-0 9%	12/1 8%	9/1 9%	11/1	-
Stoke 2-1 8%	15/2	13/2	7/1	-
Plymouth 2-1 8%	14/1 12%	11/1	12/1	-
Stoke 2-0 7%	8/1 6%	7/1	8/1	-
Plymouth 2-0 6%	25/1 10%	18/1	22/1	-
Draw 2-2 5%	12/1	11/1	12/1	-
Stoke 3-1 3%	12/1	10/1	12/1	-
Plymouth 3-1 3%	33/1 17%	25/1 13%	33/1	-
Stoke 3-0 3%	12/1	11/1	14/1	-
Plymouth 3-0 2%	50/1	33/1	50/1	-
Stoke 3-2 2%	20/1 9%	16/1	22/1	-
Plymouth 3-2 2%	40/1	25/1	33/1	-
Over 2.5 Goals 44%	4/6 3%	-	4/5 4%	-
Under 2.5 Goals 56%	6/5 5%	-	10/11 5%	-
Home 1st Goal 48%	4/9	-	4/7	-
Away 1st Goal 47%	15/8 4%	-	8/5 1%	-
No 1st Goal 5%	12/1 8%	-	10/1	-
BTTS - Yes 50%	4/6 3%	7/10	8/11	-
BTTS - No 50%	11/10 5%	21/20	Evs	-
BTTS - Home Win 16%	9/4 4%	9/4 2%	5/2 3%	-
BTTS - Draw 19%	15/4 6%	7/2 6%	18/5	-
BTTS - Away Win 15%	15/2 11%	13/2 7%	13/2	-
Home/draw 65%	1/6 3%	2/11 2%	1/5	-
Away/draw 62%	23/20	21/20 2%	21/20	-
Home/away 73%	1/4 3%	2/7 3%	2/7	-
Over 1.5 Goals 70%	2/9	-	1/4	-
Under 1.5 Goals 30%	10/3	-	11/4	-
Over 3.5 Goals 23%	7/4	-	2/1	-
Under 3.5 Goals 77%	4/9	-	4/11	-
Over 4.5 Goals 10%	4/1	-	9/2	-
Under 4.5 Goals 90%	1/6	-	1/8	-
Over 5.5 Goals 4%	9/1 9%	-	-	-
Under 5.5 Goals 96%	1/16 1%	-	-	-
Over 0.5 Goals 91%	1/25	-	1/25	-
Under 0.5 Goals 9%	12/1 8%	-	9/1	-
Home DNB 57%	1/4	2/7 1%	1/3	-
Away DNB 54%	11/4	23/10 3%	9/4	-
Stoke win to nil 22%	9/4 8%	-	21/10 3%	-
Plymouth win to nil 20%	9/1	-	7/1 6%	-
Stoke / Stoke 30%	13/8 1%	17/10 4%	7/4	-
Stoke / Plymouth 2%	33/1	28/1 12%	40/1	-
Stoke / Draw 6%	14/1	12/1	14/1	-
Draw / Stoke 18%	15/4 6%	17/5 2%	18/5	-
Draw / Plymouth 9%	9/1	8/1	9/1	-
Draw / Draw 14%	5/1	17/4 9%	5/1	-
Plymouth / Stoke 4%	20/1	16/1	20/1	-
Plymouth / Plymouth 11%	13/2 12%	6/1 8%	6/1	-
Plymouth / Draw 6%	14/1 12%	12/1	14/1	-

Win / draw / win Championship table

Stoke have played 43 matches so far this season and are in 20th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

35 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 18 games, drawn 8 and won 9. Stoke have conceded 51 goals, scored 28, failed to score in 16 matches and kept 10 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Stoke have played 21 games at home, winning 6, drawing 6 and losing 9 fixtures. They have scored 17 goals, conceded 27 goals, kept 7 clean sheets and failed to score 10 times in home league games.

Plymouth lay in 18th place on 48 points in the Championship league table having played 43 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 11 games against teams below them in the table, winning 5, drawing 4 and losing 2 games. They have scored 18 goals and kept 3 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Plymouth have conceded 12 goals and have failed to score in 2 matches.

Away league performance

Plymouth have played 21 away games, winning 3, drawing 7 and losing 11 games. They have scored an average of 0.9 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.5 goals per away game.

Stoke

Won

Draw

Lost

Scores

Plymouth

HOME	AWAY	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY
l 0-5A	l 2-0A	Leicester	45	31	4	10	50	97	w 1-0F	l 4-0A
d 0-00-0	l 2-0A	Ipswich	45	27	12	6	33	93	l 0-2A	l 3-2F
w 1-0F	l 1-0A	Leeds	45	27	9	9	39	90	l 0-2A	l 2-1A
l 0-1A	w 0-1F	Southampton	45	25	9	11	23	84	l 1-2A	l 2-1A
l 0-3A	l 1-0A	Norwich	45	21	10	14	16	73	w 6-2F	l 2-1F
d 2-2A	d 1-1F	West Brom	45	20	12	13	20	72	l 0-3A	d 0-00-0
l 1-3A	w 0-2F	Hull	45	19	13	13	9	70	May 4	d 1-1F
w 2-0F	w 0-2F	M'Boro	45	19	9	17	7	66	d 3-3A	w 0-2F
l 0-1A	d 0-00-0	Coventry	45	17	13	15	12	64	d 2-2F	l 1-0A
l 0-2A	w 1-2F	Preston	45	18	9	18	-8	63	l 0-1A	l 2-1A
May 4	w 2-3A	Bristol C	45	17	11	17	6	62	l 0-1A	l 4-1A
d 0-00-0	l 2-1A	Cardiff	45	19	5	21	-14	62	w 3-1A	d 2-2F
d 1-1F	l 3-0A	Swansea	45	15	12	18	-5	57	l 1-3F	w 0-1F
w 1-0F	d 1-1A	Watford	45	13	17	15	2	56	d 3-3A	d 0-00-0
w 2-1F	l 3-1A	Sunderland	45	16	8	21	0	56	w 2-0F	l 3-1F
d 0-00-0	l 1-0A	Millwall	45	15	11	19	-11	56	l 0-2A	l 1-0A
w 1-0F	l 4-2A	QPR	45	14	11	20	-12	53	d 1-1A	d 0-00-0
-	-	Stoke Home	45	14	11	20	-15	53	w 2-1A	l 3-0A
l 0-3A	l 3-1A	Blackburn	45	13	11	21	-16	50	w 3-0F	d 1-1A
l 0-1A	d 1-1A	Sheff Wed	45	14	8	23	-26	50	w 3-0F	l 1-0A
w 3-0F	l 2-1F	Plymouth Away	45	12	12	21	-12	48	-	-
l 1-2A	w 1-3F	Birmingham	45	12	11	22	-16	47	d 3-3A	l 2-1A
d 1-1A	d 2-2A	Huddersfield	45	9	18	18	-27	45	w 3-1F	d 1-1F
w 4-1F	w 0-1F	Rotherham	45	4	12	29	-55	24	w 3-2A	w 0-1F

Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

10 / 20

Conceded

13 / 20

Clean sheets

7 / 20

Failed to score

10 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

HOME FORM
Stoke	2 - 2	West Brom
Stoke	1 - 1	Huddersfield
Stoke	0 - 3	Norwich
Stoke	2 - 0	M'Boro
Stoke	0 - 1	Coventry
Stoke	1 - 0	QPR
Stoke	0 - 5	Leicester
Stoke	1 - 2	Birmingham
Stoke	0 - 0	Ipswich
Stoke	0 - 0	Millwall
Stoke	1 - 1	Swansea
Stoke	0 - 1	Sheff Wed
Stoke	0 - 3	Blackburn
Stoke	0 - 0	Cardiff
Stoke	1 - 0	Leeds
Stoke	2 - 1	Sunderland
Stoke	0 - 1	Southampton
Stoke	1 - 3	Hull
Stoke	0 - 2	Preston
Stoke	1 - 0	Watford

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM
A	Stoke	1 - 1	Sheff Wed
A	Stoke	0 - 3	Swansea
H	Stoke	2 - 2	West Brom
H	Stoke	1 - 1	Huddersfield
A	Stoke	2 - 0	Hull
H	Stoke	0 - 3	Norwich
A	Stoke	2 - 1	Preston
A	Stoke	0 - 1	Leeds
H	Stoke	2 - 0	M'Boro
A	Stoke	1 - 2	Cardiff
H	Stoke	0 - 1	Coventry
H	Stoke	1 - 0	QPR
A	Stoke	1 - 3	Blackburn
H	Stoke	0 - 5	Leicester
A	Stoke	1 - 3	Sunderland
H	Stoke	1 - 2	Birmingham
A	Stoke	1 - 0	Rotherham
H	Stoke	0 - 0	Ipswich
A	Stoke	1 - 1	Watford
A	Stoke	3 - 1	Birmingham

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM
Rotherham	0 - 1	Plymouth
Norwich	2 - 1	Plymouth
Blackburn	1 - 1	Plymouth
Sheff Wed	1 - 0	Plymouth
M'Boro	0 - 2	Plymouth
Sunderland	3 - 1	Plymouth
Swansea	0 - 1	Plymouth
Huddersfield	1 - 1	Plymouth
Southampton	2 - 1	Plymouth
Cardiff	2 - 2	Plymouth
QPR	0 - 0	Plymouth
Leicester	4 - 0	Plymouth
Coventry	1 - 0	Plymouth
Leeds	2 - 1	Plymouth
Ipswich	3 - 2	Plymouth
West Brom	0 - 0	Plymouth
Hull	1 - 1	Plymouth
Bristol C	4 - 1	Plymouth
Preston	2 - 1	Plymouth
Birmingham	2 - 1	Plymouth

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM
H	Plymouth	1 - 0	Leicester
H	Plymouth	1 - 1	QPR
A	Plymouth	1 - 0	Rotherham
H	Plymouth	0 - 1	Bristol C
A	Plymouth	1 - 2	Norwich
H	Plymouth	0 - 1	Preston
A	Plymouth	1 - 1	Blackburn
A	Plymouth	0 - 1	Sheff Wed
H	Plymouth	0 - 2	Ipswich
A	Plymouth	2 - 0	M'Boro
H	Plymouth	0 - 3	West Brom
H	Plymouth	0 - 2	Leeds
H	Plymouth	2 - 2	Coventry
A	Plymouth	1 - 3	Sunderland
A	Plymouth	1 - 0	Swansea
H	Plymouth	3 - 1	Cardiff
A	Plymouth	1 - 1	Huddersfield
H	Plymouth	3 - 3	Watford
A	Plymouth	1 - 2	Southampton
A	Plymouth	2 - 2	Cardiff

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Stoke

Plymouth

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

3 / 4

2 / 4

Clean sheets

2 / 4

1 / 4

STK

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Stoke
Stoke	3 - 2
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Stoke	2 - 0

Stoke

Plymouth

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

7 / 9

6 / 9

Clean sheets

3 / 9

2 / 9

STK

PLY

FIXTURE HISTORY
Plymouth	2 - 1
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
Stoke	3 - 2
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Plymouth	2 - 1
Stoke	2 - 0
Draw	0 - 0	Draw

Goal Statistics

Goals have been difficult to come by for Plymouth Argyle of late. It has been 9 Championship matches since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.2 suggests they'll struggle to end that run on Saturday afternoon against Stoke City.

	Stoke 18th	Plymouth 21st
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.2 goals	1.2 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 29% 1 36% 2 22% 3 9% 4+ There is a 65% probability that Stoke will score no more than 1 goal	0 30% 1 36% 2 22% 3 9% 4+ There is a 66% probability that Plymouth will score no more than 1 goal

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-49 Stoke have scored 49% fewer goals at home than predicted	-20 Plymouth have scored 20% fewer goals when away than predicted
	0.7 average goals scored	0.9 average goals scored
	1.3 conceded	1.6 conceded

Statistics Championship - 2023/2024 Season

STK

PLY

13%

better

view stats

Games scored	28		31
Failed to score	17		14
Scored first	16		17
Goals scored	45		58
Avg. goals scored	1		1.3
Avg. shots per game	9		9
Avg. shots per goal	9		7
Conversion rate	12%		14%
KickOff rating		+13%

better

STK

PLY

view stats

Games conceded	32		35
Clean sheets	13		10
Conceded first	25		25
Goals conceded	60		70
Avg. goals conceded	1.3		1.6
Avg. shots/game conceded	9		10
Avg. shots/goal conceded	6		7
Conversion rate	16%		15%
KickOff rating		+5%

Stoke v Plymouth Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

Stoke Championship squad statistics 2023/2024

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
35	6	5	14
M Rose	A Vidigal	L Cundle	J Thompson

Line-up	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
D Iversen GLK	15			-
K Hoever DEF	37	3	3	3 -
L McNally DEF	35	2	1	7 -
B Wilmot DEF	22	1	2	6 -
E Stevens DEF	18			6 -
L Cundle MID	13	1		1 -
J Thompson MID	29	2	2	14 -
M Manhoef MID	11	1	1	2 -
J Laurent MID	34	1	1	8 -
J. Bae MID	35	2	4	2 -
T Campbell FWD	20	1	1	2 -
Subs
J Bonham GLK	14			-
M Rose DEF	37	1		5 -
W Burger MID	36	2	4	10 -
A Vidigal MID	28	6		2 -
L Baker MID	19	2		3 -
M Léris MID	28	2	1	5 -
N Ennis FWD	12	1		1 -
S Haksabanovic FWD	19	1	2	1 -
N Lowe FWD	12	1		-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
6	17	5	6
A Vidigal	A Vidigal	L Cundle	J. Bae

Line-up	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
K Hoever DEF	3	6	3	5
L McNally DEF	2	5	1	1
J Thompson MID	2	2	2	1
J. Bae MID	2	9	4	6
B Wilmot DEF	1	3	2	2
L Cundle MID	1	2
M Manhoef MID	1	4	1	2
J Laurent MID	1	8	1	1
T Campbell FWD	1	9	1
E Stevens DEF				2
Subs
A Vidigal MID	6	17		1
W Burger MID	2	11	4	6
L Baker MID	2	12		3
M Léris MID	2	5	1	2
M Rose DEF	1	2		1
N Ennis FWD	1	6
S Haksabanovic FWD	1	4	2	1
N Lowe FWD	1	4		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
2041	100	199
M Rose	W Burger	W Burger

Line-up	passes	tackles	duels won
L McNally DEF	1405	67	196
K Hoever DEF	1376	92	176
B Wilmot DEF	1234	17	109
J Laurent MID	1050	55	144
J Thompson MID	943	53	87
J. Bae MID	694	41	115
E Stevens DEF	687	28	62
D Iversen GLK	469		6
L Cundle MID	362	20	32
T Campbell FWD	236	12	44
M Manhoef MID	155	9	31
Subs
M Rose DEF	2041	40	146
W Burger MID	1422	100	199
M Léris MID	505	36	147
L Baker MID	445	13	39
J Bonham GLK	443		2
A Vidigal MID	415	16	62
S Haksabanovic FWD	384	15	52
N Ennis FWD	85	8	32
N Lowe FWD	70	2	21

Plymouth Championship squad statistics 2023/2024

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
42	19	8	10
M Whittaker	M Whittaker	M Whittaker	A Randell

Line-up	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
M Cooper GLK	16			2 -
J Pleguezuelo DEF	30			3 -
D Scarr DEF	25	1		5 1
B Galloway DEF	23			2 -
J Edwards MID	32	2		4 -
A Randell MID	42	3	2	10 -
A Forshaw MID	11		2	3 -
B Mumba MID	40	3	3	10 -
M Whittaker MID	43	19	8	5 -
M Bundu MID	24	3	1	-
R Hardie FWD	37	12	4	3 -
Subs
C Hazard GLK	27			3 -
L Gibson DEF	38			6 -
A Phillips DEF	16			3 -
L Sousa DEF	8			1 -
A Devine MID	12		2	2 -
J Houghton MID	39			6 -
C Wright MID	18			1 -
B Waine FWD	29	2	1	1 -
F Issaka FWD	5			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
19	62	8	11
M Whittaker	M Whittaker	M Whittaker	M Whittaker

Line-up	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
M Whittaker MID	19	62	8	11
R Hardie FWD	12	35	4	4
A Randell MID	3	12	2	4
B Mumba MID	3	14	3	4
M Bundu MID	3	11	1	1
J Edwards MID	2	3
D Scarr DEF	1	3
J Pleguezuelo DEF		1
A Forshaw MID			2
Subs
B Waine FWD	2	7	1	1
L Gibson DEF		2		1
A Phillips DEF				1
A Devine MID		3	2	1
J Houghton MID		7		2
C Wright MID		6		1
F Issaka FWD		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1905	62	166
L Gibson	B Mumba	B Mumba

Line-up	passes	tackles	duels won
D Scarr DEF	1181	20	94
J Pleguezuelo DEF	1112	27	99
M Whittaker MID	1061	43	165
A Randell MID	980	43	135
B Mumba MID	940	62	166
J Edwards MID	751	47	119
M Cooper GLK	573		14
B Galloway DEF	504	34	95
A Forshaw MID	322	18	35
R Hardie FWD	302	11	109
M Bundu MID	238	8	43
Subs
L Gibson DEF	1905	41	128
J Houghton MID	1178	53	135
C Hazard GLK	918		8
A Phillips DEF	608	20	69
C Wright MID	239	12	26
A Devine MID	234	10	40
L Sousa DEF	113	5	16
B Waine FWD	102	4	43
F Issaka FWD	5	2	2