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Watford v Birmingham City : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

Thu 1st Jan, 15:00 BST, Vicarage Road, Watford

the Vicarage Road masses welcome Birmingham City's fans on Thursday afternoon, as Javier Gracia Carlos's Watford face Chris Davies's side in the Championship. Stats drive the predictions below for seventeen markets, and flipping between them shows bespoke analysis, including head to head (H2H), form and unique league tables. Odds are also provided. Click on the tabs below to see it all.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Championship Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Watford
51%
--
Draw
26%
--
Birmingham
23%
--
Watford 1-0
13%
--
Draw 1-1
12%
--
Watford 2-0
10%
--
Watford 2-1
9%
--
Draw 0-0
9%
--
Birmingham 1-0
8%
--
Birmingham 2-1
6%
--
Watford 3-0
5%
--
Watford 3-1
5%
--
Draw 2-2
4%
--
Birmingham 2-0
4%
--
Watford 3-2
2%
--
Watford 4-0
2%
--
Watford 4-1
2%
--
Birmingham 3-1
2%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
44%
--
Under 2.5 Goals
56%
--
Home 1st Goal
53%
--
Away 1st Goal
41%
--
No 1st Goal
5%
--
BTTS - Yes
47%
--
BTTS - No
53%
--
BTTS - Home Win
20%
--
BTTS - Draw
17%
--
BTTS - Away Win
10%
--
Home/draw
77%
--
Away/draw
49%
--
Home/away
74%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
70%
--
Under 1.5 Goals
30%
--
Over 3.5 Goals
23%
--
Under 3.5 Goals
77%
--
Over 4.5 Goals
10%
--
Under 4.5 Goals
90%
--
Over 5.5 Goals
4%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
96%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
91%
--
Under 0.5 Goals
9%
--
Home DNB
69%
--
Away DNB
41%
--
Watford win to nil
31%
--
Birmingham win to nil
13%
--
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Win / draw / win Championship table

Watford have played 21 matches so far this season and are in 14th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

11 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 3 games, drawn 4 and won 4. Watford have conceded 15 goals, scored 17, failed to score in 1 match and kept 1 clean sheet.

Home league performance

Watford have played 11 games at home, winning 6, drawing 4 and losing 1 fixture. They have scored 19 goals, conceded 12 goals, kept 1 clean sheet and failed to score 1 time in home league games.

Birmingham lay in 13th place on 29 points in the Championship league table having played 21 matches. Birmingham are unbeaten in 10 games against teams below them in the league and kept 3 clean sheets out of 10 games.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 10 games against teams below them in the table, winning 6, drawing 4 and losing 0 games. They have scored 19 goals and kept 3 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Birmingham have conceded 8 goals and scored in every game.

Away league performance

Birmingham have played 11 away games, winning 2, drawing 2 and losing 7 games. They have scored an average of 0.7 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.5 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Watford
Birmingham
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Coventry2114523047 
May 2
l
 
3-1A
Jan 4
l
 
3-0A
2
M'Boro2112631142 
w
 
3-0F
Apr 25
Mar 2
l
 
2-1A
3
Preston21984735 
d
 
1-1A
Feb 14
Apr 22
w
 
0-1F
4
Millwall211056-435 
Jan 17
l
 
1-0A
w
 
4-0F
Feb 25
5
Ipswich219751334 
Feb 24
d
 
1-1F
d
 
1-1F
Apr 6
6
Hull211047134 
w
 
2-1A
Jan 4
l
 
2-3A
Apr 18
7
Stoke211038833 
Dec 20
Mar 14
Jan 24
l
 
1-0A
8
Leicester21876331 
Mar 21
Dec 26
Feb 7
l
 
2-0A
9
QPR21948-531 
w
 
2-1F
Apr 3
Mar 10
l
 
2-1A
10
Southampton21867530 
d
 
2-2A
Feb 7
Dec 29
l
 
3-1A
11
Bristol C21867430 
d
 
1-1F
Feb 27
Apr 25
l
 
1-0A
12
Derby21867130 
Feb 21
w
 
2-3A
Dec 26
Mar 21
13
Birmingham21858429 
Jan 1
l
 
2-1A
-
-
14
Watford21786229 
-
-
w
 
2-1F
Jan 1
15
Wrexham216105128 
Mar 7
d
 
2-2A
Apr 11
d
 
1-1A
16
West Brom21849-328 
w
 
2-1A
Apr 21
Feb 14
d
 
1-1A
17
Charlton20668-624 
Apr 6
l
 
1-0A
d
 
1-1F
Mar 7
18
Sheff Utd217212-623 
Apr 18
l
 
1-0A
Mar 14
Dec 20
19
Swansea216510-723 
Jan 31
d
 
1-1F
w
 
1-0F
Jan 17
20
Blackburn206410-622 
l
 
0-1A
Jan 24
Apr 3
w
 
1-2A
21
Portsmouth205510-1020 
Jan 21
d
 
2-2A
w
 
4-0F
May 2
22
Oxford Utd214710-819 
w
 
2-1A
Apr 11
w
 
1-0F
Jan 31
23
Norwich214512-1017 
w
 
3-2A
Dec 29
w
 
4-1F
Feb 21
24
Sheff Wed201613-25-9 
d
 
1-1A
Mar 10
d
 
2-2F
Jan 20
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
Watford 14TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
9
Draw
6
Lost
5
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Watford1 - 1Sheff Wed
Watford3 - 2Norwich
Watford1 - 1Preston
Watford1 - 1Bristol C
Watford3 - 0M'Boro
Watford2 - 1West Brom
Watford2 - 1Oxford Utd
Watford2 - 1Hull
Watford0 - 1Blackburn
Watford2 - 2Southampton
Watford2 - 1QPR
Watford1 - 1Sheff Wed
Watford1 - 2Burnley
Watford1 - 0Hull
Watford0 - 0Plymouth
Watford1 - 0Swansea
Watford1 - 2Millwall
Watford2 - 0Luton
Watford0 - 4Leeds
Watford0 - 1Norwich
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
19 / 20
Clean sheets
1 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
7
Draw
8
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AWatford2 - 2Wrexham
HWatford1 - 1Sheff Wed
HWatford3 - 2Norwich
AWatford1 - 2Birmingham
HWatford1 - 1Preston
AWatford3 - 2Derby
HWatford1 - 1Bristol C
AWatford1 - 1Ipswich
HWatford3 - 0M'Boro
AWatford1 - 3Coventry
HWatford2 - 1West Brom
AWatford0 - 1Sheff Utd
HWatford2 - 1Oxford Utd
AWatford2 - 2Portsmouth
HWatford2 - 1Hull
AWatford0 - 1Millwall
HWatford0 - 1Blackburn
HWatford2 - 2Southampton
AWatford1 - 1Swansea
HWatford2 - 1QPR
Birmingham 13TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
8
D
4
Lost
8
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
QPR2 - 1Birmingham
Southampton3 - 1Birmingham
West Brom1 - 1Birmingham
M'Boro2 - 1Birmingham
Bristol C1 - 0Birmingham
Preston0 - 1Birmingham
Wrexham1 - 1Birmingham
Coventry3 - 0Birmingham
Stoke1 - 0Birmingham
Leicester2 - 0Birmingham
Blackburn1 - 2Birmingham
Cambridge1 - 2Birmingham
Blackpool0 - 2Birmingham
Stevenage0 - 1Birmingham
Burton1 - 2Birmingham
Peterborough1 - 2Birmingham
Bristol R1 - 2Birmingham
Northampton1 - 1Birmingham
Bolton3 - 1Birmingham
Reading0 - 0Birmingham
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
8
D
4
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HBirmingham1 - 1Charlton
ABirmingham1 - 2QPR
ABirmingham1 - 3Southampton
HBirmingham2 - 1Watford
ABirmingham1 - 1West Brom
HBirmingham4 - 1Norwich
ABirmingham1 - 2M'Boro
HBirmingham4 - 0Millwall
HBirmingham4 - 0Portsmouth
ABirmingham0 - 1Bristol C
ABirmingham1 - 0Preston
HBirmingham2 - 3Hull
ABirmingham1 - 1Wrexham
HBirmingham2 - 2Sheff Wed
ABirmingham0 - 3Coventry
HBirmingham1 - 0Swansea
ABirmingham0 - 1Stoke
ABirmingham0 - 2Leicester
HBirmingham1 - 0Oxford Utd
ABirmingham2 - 1Blackburn
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
6
Watford have beaten Birmingham in 6 consecutive home league meetings
7
Watford have not lost to Birmingham in 7 consecutive home league meetings
6
Watford have kept a clean sheet in 6 consecutive home league meetings with Birmingham
League games at Watford since 1998
Watford
Birmingham
Goals: Scored
20
7
Games: Scored
10 / 11
4 / 11
Clean sheets
7 / 11
1 / 11
WAT
7
D
3
BIR
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Watford
Watford2 - 0
Watford3 - 0
Watford3 - 0
Watford1 - 0
Watford1 - 0
Watford2 - 0
Draw2 - 2Draw
0 - 1Birmingham
Draw3 - 3Draw
Watford2 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
League games at Birmingham since 1999
Birmingham
Watford
Goals: Scored
17
16
Games: Scored
8 / 12
10 / 12
Clean sheets
2 / 12
4 / 12
WAT
5
D
1
BIR
6
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Birmingham
Birmingham2 - 1
0 - 1Watford
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 1Watford
Birmingham2 - 1
0 - 1Watford
0 - 4Watford
Birmingham3 - 0
Birmingham3 - 2
Birmingham3 - 2
Birmingham2 - 0
1 - 2Watford
Goal Statistics

Watford have been steady in front of goal of late, scoring in 11 consecutive Championship outings. Their PG of 1.5 against Birmingham City on Thursday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

Watford 14th Birmingham 13th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.5
goals
0.9
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
22%
1
33%
2
25%
3
13%
4+
There is a 78% probability that Watford will score 1 or more goals
0
40%
1
37%
2
17%
3
4+
There is a 77% probability of Birmingham scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-4
Watford’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-21
Birmingham have scored 21% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.3
average goals scored
1.1
average goals scored
1.1
conceded
1.3
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Championship - 2025/2026 season
Watford
PG (predicted goals)
Birmingham
1.5
0.9
Attack rating
WAT
BIR
8%
better
view stats
Games scored17
17
Failed to score4
4
Scored first5
10
Goals scored30
30
Avg. goals scored1.4
1.4
Avg. shots per game10
10
Avg. shots per goal7
7
Conversion rate for14
15
Avg. XG for1.6
1.5
KickOff rating
+8%
Defence rating
WAT
BIR
17%
better
view stats
Games conceded20
16
Clean sheets1
5
Conceded first16
11
Goals conceded28
26
Avg. goals conceded1.3
1.2
Avg. shots/game conceded9
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
6
Conversion rate against14%
16%
Avg. XG against1.3
1.1
KickOff rating
+17%

Watford v Birmingham Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

Watford Championship squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
18746
I Louza L KjerrumgaardJ NgakiaI Louza 
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
E Kayembe MID202
2
-
L Kjerrumgaard FWD197
1
-
J Ngakia DEF1824
1
-
H Kyprianou MID18
5
-
I Louza  MID1864
5
1
N Irankunda FWD1821
4
-
K Keben DEF171
3
-
M Bola DEF1713
2
-
M Pollock DEF161
2
-
M Sissoko MID16
-
V Semedo FWD1621
1
-
M. Doumbia FWD1621
2
-
E Selvik GLK15
1
-
K Baah FWD1511
4
-
M. Alleyne DEF12
2
-
T Ince FWD111
-
J Abankwah DEF10
1
1
R Vata FWD1022
-
O. Maamma FWD821
1
-
N Baxter GLK7
-
J Petris DEF7
2
-
C Wiley DEF5
-
G Chakvetadze MID5
2
-
N Mendy MID4
-
F Mendy DEF2
-
J Morris DEF1
1
-
P Dwomoh MID1
-
Birmingham Championship squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
21846
C KlarerJ StansfieldD GrayT Iwata
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
C Klarer DEF212
4
-
T Doyle MID213
1
-
D Gray FWD2154
2
-
S Paik MID204
4
-
T Iwata MID2011
6
-
J Stansfield FWD2083
4
-
K Furuhashi FWD19
1
-
A Cochrane DEF1814
3
-
L Dykes FWD182
-
K Anderson  FWD171
1
-
P Neumann DEF161
2
-
P Roberts FWD1622
2
-
L. Koumas FWD16
1
-
B Osayi-Samuel DEF14
5
-
M Ducksch FWD133
-
J Beadle GLK12
2
-
M Leonard MID11
1
-
R Allsop GLK9
2
-
E Laird DEF71
-
J Robinson DEF6
2
2
E Cashin DEF6
-
W Willumsson MID3
-
A Sampsted DEF2
-
K Fujimoto MID1
-
English Championship match betting previews, predictions and odds
Swansea v Wrexham
Fri 19th Dec, 20:00
Southampton v Coventry
Sat 20th Dec, 12:30
Preston v Norwich
Sat 20th Dec, 12:30
Blackburn v Millwall
Sat 20th Dec, 12:30
Watford v Stoke
Sat 20th Dec, 15:00
Hull v West Brom
Sat 20th Dec, 15:00
QPR v Leicester
Sat 20th Dec, 15:00
Derby v Portsmouth
Sat 20th Dec, 15:00
Charlton v Oxford Utd
Sat 20th Dec, 15:00
Sheff Utd v Birmingham
Sat 20th Dec, 15:00
Ipswich v Sheff Wed
Sat 20th Dec, 15:00
Bristol C v M'Boro
Sat 20th Dec, 15:00
Birmingham v Derby
Fri 26th Dec, 12:30
Millwall v Ipswich
Fri 26th Dec, 13:00
M'Boro v Blackburn
Fri 26th Dec, 15:00
Sheff Wed v Hull
Fri 26th Dec, 15:00
Portsmouth v QPR
Fri 26th Dec, 15:00
West Brom v Bristol C
Fri 26th Dec, 15:00
Stoke v Preston
Fri 26th Dec, 15:00
Coventry v Swansea
Fri 26th Dec, 15:00
Oxford Utd v Southampton
Fri 26th Dec, 15:00
Norwich v Charlton
Fri 26th Dec, 15:00
Leicester v Watford
Fri 26th Dec, 15:00
Wrexham v Sheff Utd
Fri 26th Dec, 17:30
Coventry v Ipswich
Mon 29th Dec, 18:00
Portsmouth v Charlton
Mon 29th Dec, 19:45
Sheff Wed v Blackburn
Mon 29th Dec, 19:45
West Brom v QPR
Mon 29th Dec, 19:45
Wrexham v Preston
Mon 29th Dec, 19:45
Oxford Utd v Swansea
Mon 29th Dec, 19:45
Norwich v Watford
Mon 29th Dec, 19:45
Millwall v Bristol C
Mon 29th Dec, 19:45
M'Boro v Hull
Mon 29th Dec, 19:45
Leicester v Derby
Mon 29th Dec, 19:45
Stoke v Sheff Utd
Mon 29th Dec, 19:45
Birmingham v Southampton
Mon 29th Dec, 20:15
Blackburn v Wrexham
Thu 1st Jan, 12:30
Southampton v Millwall
Thu 1st Jan, 15:00
Swansea v West Brom
Thu 1st Jan, 15:00
Derby v M'Boro
Thu 1st Jan, 15:00
QPR v Norwich
Thu 1st Jan, 15:00
Preston v Sheff Wed
Thu 1st Jan, 15:00
Ipswich v Oxford Utd
Thu 1st Jan, 15:00
Watford v Birmingham
Thu 1st Jan, 15:00
Hull v Stoke
Thu 1st Jan, 15:00
Charlton v Coventry
Thu 1st Jan, 15:00
Bristol C v Portsmouth
Thu 1st Jan, 15:00
Sheff Utd v Leicester
Thu 1st Jan, 17:30