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Chelsea v Leeds United : FA Cup match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 26th Apr, 15:00 BST, Wembley Stadium, London

Leeds United are away from home on Sunday afternoon, as manager Daniel Farke takes his team to visit Chelsea and Liam Rosenior at the Wembley Stadium in the FA Cup. This preview has odds for 17 different markets, alongside supporting data that updates as you explore. Our predictions run off the last 20 matches, so all statistics are shown from a 20-game perspective. Home vs away and overall records can be viewed, while you'll also find head to head (H2H) history a little further down the page.


Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We've made over 1.5 goals our best tip on this match, meaning that the teams will score 2 goals or more between them during the standard 90 mins. Both Chelsea and Leeds's latest form stats suggest things will go that way, while their head-to-head (H2H) record is pointing in the same direction too. The bookies make it the most likely outcome in this market too, available at 1.22.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Chelsea are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 46% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.15.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Chelsea
46%
2.10
5%
2.10
3%
Draw
25%
3.60
5%
3.50
1%
Leeds
29%
3.40
18%
3.40
4%
Draw 1-1
12%
6.50
7%
6.00
7%
Chelsea 1-0
10%
8.507.50
Chelsea 2-1
9%
9.008.00
Chelsea 2-0
8%
11.00
6%
9.50
6%
Leeds 1-0
7%
11.00
24%
9.50
8%
Leeds 2-1
7%
12.00
12%
10.00
8%
Draw 0-0
6%
11.009.50
Draw 2-2
6%
13.00
15%
12.00
Chelsea 3-1
5%
17.0013.00
Leeds 2-0
4%
19.00
21%
15.00
Chelsea 3-0
4%
19.00
15%
15.00
9%
Chelsea 3-2
3%
26.0019.00
Leeds 3-1
3%
26.00
17%
21.00
Leeds 3-2
2%
34.00
17%
23.00
Chelsea 4-1
2%
34.00
13%
23.00
Over 2.5 Goals
54%
1.911.83
Under 2.5 Goals
46%
1.911.91
2%
Home 1st Goal
51%
1.73
3%
1.75
1%
Away 1st Goal
45%
2.25
4%
2.30
4%
No 1st Goal
3%
11.009.50
BTTS - Yes
56%
1.701.73
2%
BTTS - No
44%
2.052.05
3%
BTTS - Home Win
23%
4.00
5%
3.90
BTTS - Draw
19%
4.334.33
2%
BTTS - Away Win
15%
6.50
17%
5.75
7%
Home/draw
71%
1.30
3%
1.30
Away/draw
54%
1.70
7%
1.73
2%
Home/away
75%
1.29
3%
1.30
Over 1.5 Goals
77%
1.25
2%
1.25
Under 1.5 Goals
23%
3.75
8%
3.50
3%
Over 3.5 Goals
31%
3.00
5%
3.00
3%
Under 3.5 Goals
69%
1.36
3%
1.33
3%
Over 4.5 Goals
16%
6.005.75
Under 4.5 Goals
84%
1.131.12
2%
Over 5.5 Goals
7%
13.0011.00
Under 5.5 Goals
93%
1.041.03
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1.051.05
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
11.009.50
Home DNB
64%
1.50
6%
1.50
Away DNB
46%
2.50
13%
2.40
3%
Chelsea win to nil
24%
3.75
8%
-
Leeds win to nil
14%
6.50
20%
-
Chelsea / Chelsea
25%
3.40
5%
3.10
4%
Chelsea / Leeds
3%
29.0023.00
10%
Chelsea / Draw
6%
13.0012.00
Draw / Chelsea
15%
5.505.25
Draw / Leeds
11%
7.50
14%
7.50
Draw / Draw
15%
5.505.00
Leeds / Chelsea
4%
23.0019.00
Leeds / Leeds
15%
5.50
12%
5.00
Leeds / Draw
6%
13.0012.00
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Win / draw / win form
Chelsea
20 games
Goals: Scored
36
Conceded
34
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
8
D
3
Lost
9
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AChelsea0 - 3Brighton
HChelsea0 - 1Man Utd
HChelsea0 - 3Man City
HChelsea7 - 0Port Vale
AChelsea0 - 3Everton
HChelsea0 - 3PSG
HChelsea0 - 1Newcastle
AChelsea2 - 5PSG
AChelsea2 - 2Wrexham
AChelsea4 - 1A Villa
AChelsea1 - 2Arsenal
HChelsea1 - 1Burnley
AChelsea4 - 0Hull
HChelsea2 - 2Leeds
AChelsea3 - 1Wolves
AChelsea0 - 1Arsenal
HChelsea3 - 2West Ham
AChelsea3 - 2Napoli
AChelsea3 - 1C Palace
HChelsea1 - 0Paphos
Leeds
20 games
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
6
Draw
10
L
4
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ALeeds2 - 2Bournemouth
HLeeds3 - 0Wolves
ALeeds2 - 1Man Utd
ALeeds2 - 2West Ham
HLeeds0 - 0Brentford
ALeeds0 - 0C Palace
HLeeds3 - 0Norwich
HLeeds0 - 1Sunderland
HLeeds0 - 1Man City
ALeeds1 - 1A Villa
ALeeds1 - 1Birmingham
ALeeds2 - 2Chelsea
HLeeds3 - 1Nottm Forest
HLeeds0 - 4Arsenal
ALeeds1 - 1Everton
HLeeds1 - 0Fulham
ALeeds3 - 1Derby
ALeeds3 - 4Newcastle
HLeeds1 - 1Man Utd
ALeeds0 - 0Liverpool
Goal Statistics

Chelsea have been steady in front of goal of late, finding the net in 24 consecutive FA Cup outings. Their PG of 1.6 against Leeds United on Sunday suggests that run is likely to continue.

Chelsea Leeds
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.6
goals
1.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
20%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4+
8%
There is a 80% probability that Chelsea will score 1 or more goals
0
30%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 66% probability that Leeds will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away games
20 home / away games
1.9
average goals scored
1.3
average goals scored
1.3
conceded
1.6
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings past 20 games
Chelsea
PG (predicted goals)
Leeds
1.6
1.2
Attack rating
4%
better
CHE
LEE
view stats
Games scored13
14
Failed to score7
6
Scored first8
11
Goals scored36
28
Avg. goals scored1.8
1.4
Avg. shots per game10
9
Avg. shots per goal5
7
Conversion rate for18
15
Avg. XG for2
1.8
KickOff rating
+4%
Defence rating
CHE
LEE
33%
better
view stats
Games conceded17
14
Clean sheets3
6
Conceded first12
6
Goals conceded34
23
Avg. goals conceded1.7
1.2
Avg. shots/game conceded7
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded4
8
Conversion rate against24%
12%
Avg. XG against1.1
1.8
KickOff rating
+33%

The line-ups for the FA Cup match between Chelsea v Leeds will show here when available.

Chelsea FA Cup squad statistics 2025
Overall
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
NO DATA AVAILABLE
Leeds FA Cup squad statistics 2025
Overall
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
NO DATA AVAILABLE
English FA Cup match betting previews, predictions and odds
Man City v Southampton
Sat 25th Apr, 17:15
Chelsea v Leeds
Sun 26th Apr, 15:00