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Manchester City v Southampton : FA Cup match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 25th Apr, 17:15 BST, Wembley Stadium, London

Manchester City are in FA Cup action on Saturday evening, as Josep Guardiola i Sala looks to get one over on William Still and his Southampton side at the Wembley Stadium. The predictions for all the markets are based on the past 20 games for each team (home, away and overall) with additional weight assigned to top teams. All the stats and graphics are designed specifically for the betting market in question. Head to head (H2H) statistics for this fixture are also given if there are are enough previous meetings. Odds are provided straight from from the UK's biggest bookmakers.


Best Tip: Man City to win

A FA Cup win on home turf for Josep Guardiola i Sala's Man City team win in the win / draw / win market is our prediction. Statistics suggest they have what it takes, and they should be too strong for their opponents. The odds from the bookmakers suggest so too, and when that happens you've got reason to feel confident. A Man City win is the bet we'd suggest, even if a tight match is possible.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Man City are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 79% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.22.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Man City
79%
1.221.22
2%
Draw
13%
7.00
4%
7.00
Southampton
8%
11.00
8%
11.00
5%
Man City 2-0
11%
7.00
7%
6.50
Man City 3-0
10%
7.507.00
Man City 2-1
9%
10.008.50
6%
Man City 1-0
8%
10.00
5%
8.00
6%
Man City 3-1
8%
11.00
9%
9.50
Man City 4-0
7%
11.009.50
Draw 1-1
6%
13.00
8%
11.00
Man City 4-1
6%
15.0013.00
8%
Man City 5-0
4%
19.00
10%
13.00
Draw 2-2
3%
23.0019.00
Man City 3-2
3%
26.0021.00
Man City 5-1
3%
23.00
12%
19.00
Draw 0-0
3%
21.0017.00
Southampton 2-1
2%
29.0023.00
10%
Southampton 1-0
2%
29.0021.00
11%
Over 2.5 Goals
69%
1.40
3%
1.40
3%
Under 2.5 Goals
31%
3.00
9%
2.70
5%
Home 1st Goal
62%
1.251.22
Away 1st Goal
36%
3.604.33
5%
No 1st Goal
1%
21.0017.00
BTTS - Yes
51%
1.952.00
BTTS - No
49%
1.801.73
BTTS - Home Win
36%
2.63
4%
2.75
3%
BTTS - Draw
10%
8.00
7%
7.50
7%
BTTS - Away Win
4%
19.0015.00
Home/draw
92%
1.051.05
1%
Away/draw
21%
4.004.20
7%
Home/away
87%
1.10
2%
1.10
1%
Over 1.5 Goals
87%
1.11
2%
1.12
1%
Under 1.5 Goals
13%
6.50
8%
5.50
10%
Over 3.5 Goals
47%
2.00
5%
2.05
2%
Under 3.5 Goals
53%
1.73
4%
1.70
3%
Over 4.5 Goals
28%
3.25
3%
3.25
6%
Under 4.5 Goals
72%
1.33
1%
1.30
1%
Over 5.5 Goals
15%
6.00
8%
5.50
4%
Under 5.5 Goals
85%
1.13
2%
1.12
1%
Over 0.5 Goals
97%
1.021.01
1%
Under 0.5 Goals
3%
21.0017.00
Home DNB
88%
1.06
1%
1.06
1%
Away DNB
17%
10.00
11%
8.00
Man City win to nil
43%
2.00-
Southampton win to nil
3%
21.00-
Man City / Man City
50%
1.621.62
2%
Man City / Southampton
2%
51.0041.00
Man City / Draw
4%
21.00
11%
17.00
Draw / Man City
19%
4.004.40
Draw / Southampton
4%
23.0019.00
Draw / Draw
8%
10.00
5%
9.50
6%
Southampton / Man City
5%
17.0017.00
Southampton / Southampton
4%
23.0013.00
8%
Southampton / Draw
4%
23.0019.00
12%
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Win / draw / win form
Man City
20 games
Goals: Scored
39
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
14
D
3
L
3
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AMan City1 - 0Burnley
HMan City2 - 1Arsenal
AMan City3 - 0Chelsea
HMan City4 - 0Liverpool
AMan City2 - 0Arsenal
HMan City1 - 2Real Madrid
AMan City1 - 1West Ham
AMan City0 - 3Real Madrid
AMan City3 - 1Newcastle
HMan City2 - 2Nottm Forest
AMan City1 - 0Leeds
HMan City2 - 1Newcastle
HMan City2 - 0Salford
HMan City3 - 0Fulham
AMan City2 - 1Liverpool
HMan City3 - 1Newcastle
AMan City2 - 2Spurs
HMan City2 - 0Galatasaray
HMan City2 - 0Wolves
AMan City1 - 3Bodø
Southampton
20 games
Goals: Scored
42
Conceded
15
Games: Scored
20 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
0 / 20
Won
15
Draw
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HSouthampton2 - 2Bristol C
ASouthampton2 - 1Swansea
HSouthampton3 - 0Blackburn
HSouthampton2 - 1Derby
ASouthampton5 - 1Wrexham
HSouthampton2 - 1Arsenal
HSouthampton2 - 0Oxford Utd
HSouthampton1 - 0Norwich
ASouthampton2 - 1Coventry
ASouthampton1 - 1West Brom
ASouthampton1 - 0Fulham
ASouthampton3 - 1Sheff Wed
HSouthampton5 - 0QPR
HSouthampton1 - 1Charlton
HSouthampton1 - 1Leicester
ASouthampton4 - 3Leicester
HSouthampton1 - 0Watford
ASouthampton2 - 0Stoke
ASouthampton1 - 1Portsmouth
HSouthampton1 - 0Sheff Utd
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
Games at Man City since 1999
Man City
Southampton
Goals: Scored
6
2
Games: Scored
2 / 3
2 / 3
Clean sheets
1 / 3
1 / 3
MCI
2
D
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Man City
Man City3 - 1
Man City3 - 1
Draw0 - 0Draw
Games at Southampton since 1999
Southampton
Man City
Goals: Scored
7
7
Games: Scored
3 / 3
2 / 3
Clean sheets
1 / 3
0 / 3
MCI
1
SOU
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Southampton
Southampton2 - 0
1 - 4Man City
Southampton4 - 3
Goal Statistics

A PG of 2.8 is fairly strong for Manchester City in their clash with Southampton, as is their run of scoring 1 goal or more in 18 consecutive FA Cup matches.

Man City Southampton
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.8
goals
0.8
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
1
17%
2
24%
3
22%
4
15%
5+
21%
There is a 83% probability that Man City will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
46%
1
36%
2
14%
3
4+
There is a 82% probability of Southampton scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away games
20 home / away games
2.7
average goals scored
2.0
average goals scored
0.8
conceded
1.6
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings past 20 games
Man City
PG (predicted goals)
Southampton
2.8
0.8
Attack rating
MCI
SOU
21%
better
view stats
Games scored19
20
Failed to score1
0
Scored first15
15
Goals scored39
42
Avg. goals scored2
2.1
Avg. shots per game12
9
Avg. shots per goal6
4
Conversion rate for17
23
Avg. XG for2.1
1.6
KickOff rating
+21%
Defence rating
MCI
SOU
7%
better
view stats
Games conceded11
12
Clean sheets9
8
Conceded first5
5
Goals conceded18
15
Avg. goals conceded0.9
0.8
Avg. shots/game conceded8
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
11
Conversion rate against12%
9%
Avg. XG against1.2
1.3
KickOff rating
+7%

The line-ups for the FA Cup match between Man City v Southampton will show here when available.

Man City FA Cup squad statistics 2025
Overall
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
NO DATA AVAILABLE
Southampton FA Cup squad statistics 2025
Overall
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
NO DATA AVAILABLE
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