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Newcastle United v Manchester City : FA Cup match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 7th Mar, 20:00 BST, St. James' Park, Newcastle upon Tyne

Eddie Howe's Newcastle United side enjoy home advantage in the FA Cup on Saturday night, as Josep Guardiola i Sala's Manchester City visit the St. James' Park. FA Cup statistics are the most important part of the predictions you'll find below, with head-to-head history included too. You can view it all, with infographics and odds available for the biggest betting markets via the tabs.


Best Tip: Over 2.5 goals

As Eddie Howe readies his troops ahead of kick-off, our prediction is for a combined total of over 3 goals scored during the game. Stats imply both teams are strong in attack, with goals in plentiful supply of late. As there is no outright, odds-on favourite to win the fixture, we really like the look of over 2.5 goals.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 49% chance of Man City coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Newcastle
27%
3.503.40
Draw
22%
3.903.80
Man City
50%
1.901.95
Draw 1-1
10%
8.007.00
Man City 2-1
9%
9.008.00
Man City 1-0
7%
11.009.50
Man City 2-0
7%
11.0010.00
Newcastle 2-1
7%
12.0010.00
Draw 2-2
6%
12.0010.00
Man City 3-1
6%
13.0012.00
Newcastle 1-0
5%
15.0012.00
Man City 3-0
4%
17.0015.00
Man City 3-2
4%
19.0015.00
Draw 0-0
4%
17.0013.00
Newcastle 2-0
4%
21.0015.00
Newcastle 3-1
3%
26.0019.00
Newcastle 3-2
3%
26.0021.00
Man City 4-1
3%
26.0019.00
Over 2.5 Goals
63%
1.531.53
Under 2.5 Goals
37%
2.502.38
Home 1st Goal
46%
2.202.25
Away 1st Goal
52%
1.671.70
No 1st Goal
2%
17.0013.00
BTTS - Yes
63%
1.531.50
BTTS - No
37%
2.382.40
BTTS - Home Win
16%
5.505.25
BTTS - Draw
18%
4.504.20
BTTS - Away Win
28%
3.253.20
Home/draw
50%
1.911.80
Away/draw
73%
1.291.30
Home/away
78%
1.251.25
Over 1.5 Goals
84%
1.171.17
Under 1.5 Goals
16%
5.004.80
Over 3.5 Goals
41%
2.252.30
Under 3.5 Goals
59%
1.571.57
Over 4.5 Goals
23%
4.003.90
Under 4.5 Goals
77%
1.221.22
Over 5.5 Goals
11%
8.007.00
Under 5.5 Goals
89%
1.081.08
Over 0.5 Goals
96%
1.031.02
Under 0.5 Goals
4%
17.0013.00
Home DNB
43%
2.632.50
Away DNB
66%
1.441.48
Newcastle win to nil
11%
8.00-
Man City win to nil
22%
4.00-
Newcastle / Newcastle
15%
6.005.00
Newcastle / Man City
4%
19.0017.00
Newcastle / Draw
7%
13.0011.00
Draw / Newcastle
10%
8.508.00
Draw / Man City
15%
5.505.25
Draw / Draw
13%
6.506.00
Man City / Newcastle
3%
26.0023.00
Man City / Man City
27%
3.002.90
Man City / Draw
6%
13.0012.00
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win form
Newcastle
20 games
Goals: Scored
38
Conceded
35
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
8
D
4
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HNewcastle2 - 3Everton
HNewcastle3 - 2Qarabag
ANewcastle1 - 2Man City
ANewcastle6 - 1Qarabag
ANewcastle3 - 1A Villa
ANewcastle2 - 1Spurs
HNewcastle2 - 3Brentford
ANewcastle1 - 3Man City
ANewcastle1 - 4Liverpool
ANewcastle1 - 1PSG
HNewcastle0 - 2A Villa
HNewcastle3 - 0PSV
ANewcastle0 - 0Wolves
HNewcastle0 - 2Man City
HNewcastle2 - 2Bournemouth
HNewcastle4 - 3Leeds
HNewcastle2 - 0C Palace
ANewcastle3 - 1Burnley
ANewcastle0 - 1Man Utd
HNewcastle2 - 2Chelsea
Man City
20 games
Goals: Scored
44
Conceded
14
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
14
D
4
L
2
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AMan City1 - 0Leeds
HMan City2 - 1Newcastle
HMan City2 - 0Salford
HMan City3 - 0Fulham
AMan City2 - 1Liverpool
HMan City3 - 1Newcastle
AMan City2 - 2Spurs
HMan City2 - 0Galatasaray
HMan City2 - 0Wolves
AMan City1 - 3Bodø
AMan City0 - 2Man Utd
AMan City2 - 0Newcastle
HMan City10 - 1Exeter
HMan City1 - 1Brighton
HMan City1 - 1Chelsea
AMan City0 - 0Sunderland
AMan City2 - 1Nottm Forest
HMan City3 - 0West Ham
HMan City2 - 0Brentford
AMan City3 - 0C Palace
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
Games at Newcastle since 1995
Newcastle
Man City
Goals: Scored
4
7
Games: Scored
2 / 5
4 / 5
Clean sheets
1 / 5
3 / 5
NEW
2
MCI
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Newcastle
0 - 2Man City
Newcastle1 - 0
0 - 2Man City
0 - 2Man City
Newcastle3 - 1
Games at Man City since 2014
Man City
Newcastle
Goals: Scored
5
3
Games: Scored
2 / 3
2 / 3
Clean sheets
1 / 3
1 / 3
NEW
1
MCI
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Man City
Man City3 - 1
Man City2 - 0
0 - 2Newcastle
Goal Statistics

Manchester City have been steady in attack of late, scoring in 6 consecutive FA Cup outings. Their PG of 1.9 against Newcastle United on Saturday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

Newcastle Man City
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.4
goals
1.9
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
26%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 61% probability that Newcastle will score no more than 1 goal
0
15%
1
28%
2
27%
3
17%
4+
12%
There is a 85% probability that Man City will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away games
20 home / away games
2.0
average goals scored
1.7
average goals scored
1.4
conceded
1.2
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings past 20 games
Newcastle
PG (predicted goals)
Man City
1.4
1.9
Attack rating
NEW
MCI
19%
better
view stats
Games scored16
18
Failed to score4
2
Scored first10
16
Goals scored38
44
Avg. goals scored1.9
2.2
Avg. shots per game11
10
Avg. shots per goal6
5
Conversion rate for18
21
Avg. XG for2.4
2
KickOff rating
+19%
Defence rating
NEW
MCI
50%
better
view stats
Games conceded17
10
Clean sheets3
10
Conceded first9
3
Goals conceded34
14
Avg. goals conceded1.7
0.7
Avg. shots/game conceded10
7
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
10
Conversion rate against18%
10%
Avg. XG against1.8
1.3
KickOff rating
+50%

The line-ups for the FA Cup match between Newcastle v Man City will show here when available.

Newcastle FA Cup squad statistics 2025
Overall
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
NO DATA AVAILABLE
Man City FA Cup squad statistics 2025
Overall
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
NO DATA AVAILABLE