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Derby County v Lincoln City : League Cup match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 8th Aug, 15:00 BST, Pride Park Stadium, Derby

We’ve League Cup action to look forward to on Saturday afternoon, as John Eustace and his Derby County side host ’s Lincoln City at the Pride Park Stadium. League Cup stats are the foundation of the predictions you'll find below, with head to head (H2H) performance included too. There's so much to explore, with data visualisations and odds available for every betting markets via the tabs.


Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

Our predictive algorithm suggests there's a 80% probability of Derby and Lincoln scoring at least 2 goals in this League Cup clash. Recent form stats and head-to-head (H2H) records are factored into that calculation , and it would appear that the bookies like the look of it as a tip too. This over 1.5 goals tip is available with best odds of 1.20.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Derby are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 48% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.00.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Derby
48%
2.00
23%
2.00
11%
Draw
24%
3.60
10%
3.75
5%
Lincoln
29%
3.20
29%
3.40
11%
Draw 1-1
11%
7.00
13%
6.50
Derby 2-1
9%
9.00
6%
7.50
7%
Derby 1-0
8%
9.00
6%
8.00
7%
Derby 2-0
7%
11.00
38%
9.00
12%
Lincoln 2-1
7%
12.00
20%
10.00
9%
Lincoln 1-0
6%
12.00
20%
10.00
9%
Draw 2-2
6%
13.00
13%
11.00
Derby 3-1
5%
15.00
25%
12.00
Draw 0-0
5%
13.00
13%
13.00
Derby 3-0
4%
19.00
58%
15.00
15%
Lincoln 2-0
4%
19.00
34%
15.00
12%
Derby 3-2
4%
23.0017.00
11%
Lincoln 3-1
3%
26.00
37%
19.00
10%
Lincoln 3-2
3%
29.00
29%
23.00
9%
Derby 4-1
2%
29.00
26%
23.00
10%
Over 2.5 Goals
58%
1.70
2%
1.70
2%
Under 2.5 Goals
42%
2.10
2%
2.05
Home 1st Goal
52%
1.73
15%
1.67
5%
Away 1st Goal
46%
2.20
16%
2.30
6%
No 1st Goal
3%
13.00
13%
13.00
BTTS - Yes
60%
1.62
7%
1.62
2%
BTTS - No
40%
2.20
10%
2.20
2%
BTTS - Home Win
25%
3.75
15%
3.60
9%
BTTS - Draw
19%
4.50
10%
4.33
5%
BTTS - Away Win
16%
6.00
29%
5.75
15%
Home/draw
71%
1.36
15%
1.30
4%
Away/draw
52%
1.80
20%
1.80
8%
Home/away
76%
1.29
6%
1.25
3%
Over 1.5 Goals
80%
1.22
2%
1.20
Under 1.5 Goals
20%
4.00
8%
4.00
Over 3.5 Goals
36%
2.75
5%
2.70
Under 3.5 Goals
64%
1.40
3%
1.40
Over 4.5 Goals
19%
5.005.00
4%
Under 4.5 Goals
81%
1.171.15
Over 5.5 Goals
9%
11.00
10%
9.50
Under 5.5 Goals
91%
1.05
1%
1.04
1%
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1.04
1%
1.02
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
13.00
13%
13.00
Home DNB
64%
1.50
20%
1.48
7%
Away DNB
45%
2.50
33%
2.50
13%
Derby win to nil
23%
3.75
36%
-
Lincoln win to nil
13%
6.50
35%
-
Derby / Derby
26%
3.20
33%
3.00
9%
Derby / Lincoln
3%
29.00
15%
26.00
10%
Derby / Draw
7%
13.00
13%
12.00
8%
Draw / Derby
15%
5.50
16%
5.50
5%
Draw / Lincoln
10%
8.00
27%
8.00
6%
Draw / Draw
14%
6.00
8%
6.00
4%
Lincoln / Derby
4%
21.0019.00
Lincoln / Lincoln
15%
5.50
39%
5.25
9%
Lincoln / Draw
7%
13.00
13%
12.00
8%
Win / draw / win form
Derby
games
Goals: Scored
Conceded
Games: Scored
/ 0
Conceded
/ 0
Clean sheets
/ 0
Failed to score
/ 0
Lincoln
games
Goals: Scored
Conceded
Games: Scored
/ 0
Conceded
/ 0
Clean sheets
/ 0
Failed to score
/ 0
Goal Statistics

Derby County have been steady in attack of late, finding the net in 9 consecutive League Cup games. Their PG of 1.7 against Lincoln City on Saturday suggests that run is likely to continue.

Derby Lincoln
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.7
goals
1.3
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
18%
1
31%
2
27%
3
15%
4+
10%
There is a 82% probability that Derby will score 1 or more goals
0
27%
1
35%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 62% probability that Lincoln will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away games
 
Attack defence ratings
League Cup - 2026/2027 season
Derby
PG (predicted goals)
Lincoln
1.7
1.3
Attack rating
DER
LIN
34%
better
view stats
Games scored18
20
Failed to score2
0
Scored first12
17
Goals scored32
47
Avg. goals scored1.6
2.4
Avg. shots per game9
10
Avg. shots per goal6
4
Conversion rate for17
23
Avg. XG for1.5
1.8
KickOff rating
+34%
Defence rating
DER
LIN
34%
better
view stats
Games conceded13
9
Clean sheets7
11
Conceded first8
3
Goals conceded24
13
Avg. goals conceded1.2
0.7
Avg. shots/game conceded9
7
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
10
Conversion rate against13%
10%
Avg. XG against1.3
0.9
KickOff rating
+34%

The line-ups for the League Cup match between Derby v Lincoln will show here when available.

Derby League Cup squad statistics 2026/2027
Overall
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
NO DATA AVAILABLE
Lincoln League Cup squad statistics 2026/2027
Overall
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
NO DATA AVAILABLE