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Derby County v Lincoln City : League Cup match betting preview, prediction and odds

Pride Park Stadium, Derby

the Pride Park Stadium faithful welcome Lincoln City's fans on Saturday afternoon, as John Eustace's Derby County face 's team in the League Cup. We've analysed both clubs' last 20 League Cup matches, as well as baseline data within the competition and the betting market, to generate our percentage predictions. All the stats, including head to heads (H2H), are shown below, alongside the best odds.

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Derby County's next match is v Cardiff at 15:00 on Saturday 22nd August
Lincoln City's next match is v Portsmouth at 12:30 on Saturday 22nd August
The last English League Cup meeting between Derby and Lincoln was on Saturday 8th August 2026
English League Cup
August 8th 2026
Derby 1
2 Lincoln
 
S. Szmodics 45'3' B. House
23' D. Jeffries
 
DER
LIN
Shots On
4
4
Shots Off
1
6
Corners
3
6
Possession
71%
29%
Fouls
12
12
Yellow/red cards
1/0
2/0
 
DerbyLincoln
 
J. Widell Zetterström
M. Clarke (D. Sanderson 46')
S. Langås
B. Clark
S. Szmodicsfootball icon (L. Salvesen 80')
C. Morris
J. Ward
L. Travis
O. Fraulo (F. Bilbija 63')
C. Taylor (M. Johnston 63')
G. Wickens
T. Darikwa
(C. Elder 88') A. Reach
C. McGrandles
(R. Towler 67') football iconD. Jeffries
T. Hamer
D. Elerewe
I. Varfolomeev
(R. Hackett-Fairchild 79') R. Street
(I. Olaofe 79') F. Draper
(M. Melia 79') football iconB. House

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We're ruling out a bore-draw or a narrow 1-0 win here, and instead are predicting over 1.5 goals. That means that Derby and Lincoln will score a minimum of two between them during 90 minutes. It's a tip based on form stats for each side, as well as their historic head-to-heads. We give it a probability of 80%. Bookies have it at 1.20.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Derby are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 49% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.05.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Derby
49%
19/20
23%
1/1
8%
Draw
24%
13/5
10%
11/4
1%
Lincoln
27%
5/2
24%
12/5
11%
Draw 1-1
11%
6/1
13%
11/2
Derby 2-1
10%
15/2
6%
13/2
Derby 1-0
9%
15/2
6%
7/1
7%
Derby 2-0
8%
9/1
38%
8/1
6%
Lincoln 2-1
7%
11/1
20%
9/1
9%
Lincoln 1-0
6%
11/1
13%
9/1
9%
Draw 2-2
6%
12/1
13%
10/1
Derby 3-1
6%
14/1
25%
11/1
Draw 0-0
5%
12/1
13%
12/1
8%
Derby 3-0
5%
16/1
58%
14/1
15%
Lincoln 2-0
4%
18/1
34%
14/1
12%
Derby 3-2
3%
22/116/1
11%
Lincoln 3-1
3%
28/1
37%
18/1
10%
Derby 4-1
2%
28/1
26%
22/1
10%
Lincoln 3-2
2%
33/1
29%
22/1
Over 2.5 Goals
57%
4/5
2%
7/10
2%
Under 2.5 Goals
43%
1/1
2%
21/20
2%
Home 1st Goal
52%
4/6
15%
4/6
3%
Away 1st Goal
45%
13/10
16%
13/10
6%
No 1st Goal
3%
11/1
13%
12/1
BTTS - Yes
58%
4/6
7%
8/13
2%
BTTS - No
42%
11/10
10%
6/5
2%
BTTS - Home Win
25%
11/4
15%
13/5
6%
BTTS - Draw
18%
7/2
13%
10/3
2%
BTTS - Away Win
14%
11/2
29%
19/4
12%
Home/draw
73%
2/7
10%
3/10
4%
Away/draw
51%
4/5
20%
4/5
6%
Home/away
76%
2/7
6%
1/4
Over 1.5 Goals
79%
2/91/5
Under 1.5 Goals
21%
3/13/1
Over 3.5 Goals
34%
7/417/10
Under 3.5 Goals
66%
2/52/5
3%
Over 4.5 Goals
18%
9/24/1
4%
Under 4.5 Goals
82%
1/72/13
Over 5.5 Goals
8%
10/1
10%
17/2
Under 5.5 Goals
92%
1/20
1%
1/25
1%
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1/25
1%
1/40
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
12/1
13%
12/1
8%
Home DNB
66%
4/9
15%
10/21
6%
Away DNB
43%
13/8
30%
6/4
11%
Derby win to nil
24%
11/4
36%
-
Lincoln win to nil
12%
6/1
30%
-
Derby / Derby
27%
21/10
33%
2/1
9%
Derby / Lincoln
3%
28/1
15%
25/1
10%
Derby / Draw
7%
12/1
13%
11/1
8%
Draw / Derby
15%
9/2
16%
9/2
5%
Draw / Lincoln
10%
7/1
27%
7/1
6%
Draw / Draw
14%
9/2
8%
5/1
Lincoln / Derby
4%
20/118/1
Lincoln / Lincoln
14%
5/1
39%
17/4
9%
Lincoln / Draw
6%
14/1
13%
11/1
8%
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win form
Derby
games
Goals: Scored
Conceded
Games: Scored
/ 0
Conceded
/ 0
Clean sheets
/ 0
Failed to score
/ 0
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
Lincoln
games
Goals: Scored
Conceded
Games: Scored
/ 0
Conceded
/ 0
Clean sheets
/ 0
Failed to score
/ 0
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
Goal Statistics

Derby County have been consistent in attack of late, finding the net in 9 consecutive League Cup matches. Their PG of 1.7 against Lincoln City on Saturday suggests that run is likely to continue.

Derby Lincoln
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.7
goals
1.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
18%
1
31%
2
27%
3
15%
4+
10%
There is a 82% probability that Derby will score 1 or more goals
0
30%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 66% probability that Lincoln will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away games
 
Attack defence ratings
League Cup - 2026/2027 season
Derby
PG (predicted goals)
Lincoln
1.7
1.2
Attack rating
DER
LIN
34%
better
view stats
Games scored18
20
Failed to score2
0
Scored first12
17
Goals scored32
47
Avg. goals scored1.6
2.4
Avg. shots per game9
10
Avg. shots per goal6
4
Conversion rate for17
23
Avg. XG for1.5
1.8
KickOff rating
+34%
Defence rating
DER
LIN
34%
better
view stats
Games conceded13
9
Clean sheets7
11
Conceded first8
3
Goals conceded24
13
Avg. goals conceded1.2
0.7
Avg. shots/game conceded9
7
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
10
Conversion rate against13%
10%
Avg. XG against1.3
0.9
KickOff rating
+34%

The line-ups for the League Cup match between Derby v Lincoln will show here when available.

Derby League Cup squad statistics 2026/2027
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
1101
J ZetterströmS SzmodicsL Travis
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Zetterström GLK1
-
J Ward DEF1
-
S Langas DEF1
-
M Clarke DEF1
-
O Fraulo MID1
-
L Travis MID1
1
-
B Clark MID1
-
S Szmodics FWD11
-
C Blackett-Taylor FWD1
-
C Morris FWD1
-
Subs
C Forsyth1
-
F Bilbija1
-
L Salvesen1
-
M Johnston1
-
D Sanderson1
-
J Vickers
-
O. Eames
-
C. Allen
-
C Smith
-
Lincoln League Cup squad statistics 2026/2027
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
1111
G WickensB HouseI VarfolomeevA Reach
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
G Wickens GLK1
-
T Darikwa DEF1
-
T Hamer DEF1
-
D Elerewe DEF1
-
A Reach DEF1
1
-
B House MID11
1
-
I Varfolomeev MID11
-
C McGrandles MID1
-
D Jefferies MID11
-
R Street FWD1
-
F Draper FWD11
-
Subs
A Coubis
-
R Towler1
-
R Hackett1
-
M Melia1
-
I Olaofe
-
C Elder1
-
J Pardington
-
J Honohan
-
J Gauci
-
English League Cup match betting previews, predictions and odds