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Swansea City v Birmingham City : League Cup match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 8th Aug, 15:00 BST, Liberty Stadium, Swansea

Home advantage can be vital in the League Cup, and Vitor Matos’s Swansea City will have the joy of it on Saturday afternoon. Chris Davies’s Birmingham City are their opponents at the Liberty Stadium. This preview has odds from leading bookmakers for seventeen different betting markets, alongside bespoke data that updates as you explore. Our predictions run off the last 20 matches, so all stats are shown from a 20-game perspective. Home, away and overall performance can be viewed, while there's also head-to-head history towards the bottom of the page.


Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We're ruling out a bore-draw or a narrow 1-0 win here, and instead are predicting over 1.5 goals. That means that Swansea and Birmingham will score at least two between them during the standard 90 mins. This is based on form stats for each side, as well as past records of their head-to-head clashes. We give it a probability of 78%. The bookies have it at 1.25.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 43% chance of Birmingham coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Swansea
32%
2.803.00
Draw
25%
3.60
6%
3.50
Birmingham
43%
2.15
4%
2.25
Draw 1-1
12%
7.00
8%
6.00
Birmingham 2-1
9%
9.00
5%
8.00
Birmingham 1-0
9%
8.50
6%
8.00
Swansea 2-1
8%
11.009.00
Swansea 1-0
7%
10.00
11%
9.00
Birmingham 2-0
7%
11.0010.00
Draw 2-2
6%
15.0011.00
Draw 0-0
6%
12.00
20%
11.00
Swansea 2-0
5%
15.0013.00
Birmingham 3-1
5%
17.00
11%
13.00
Birmingham 3-0
4%
21.0017.00
Swansea 3-1
3%
23.0019.00
Birmingham 3-2
3%
26.00
10%
19.00
Swansea 3-2
3%
29.00
15%
23.00
Swansea 3-0
2%
34.00
17%
23.00
Over 2.5 Goals
54%
1.85
5%
1.80
Under 2.5 Goals
46%
1.95
5%
1.95
Home 1st Goal
46%
2.102.15
Away 1st Goal
50%
1.80
2%
1.83
No 1st Goal
3%
12.00
20%
11.00
BTTS - Yes
57%
1.70
6%
1.65
BTTS - No
43%
2.05
5%
2.15
BTTS - Home Win
17%
5.50
8%
5.25
BTTS - Draw
19%
4.754.00
BTTS - Away Win
22%
4.33
9%
4.00
Home/draw
57%
1.62
6%
1.62
Away/draw
68%
1.361.36
Home/away
75%
1.25
3%
1.30
Over 1.5 Goals
78%
1.25
4%
1.25
Under 1.5 Goals
22%
3.75
10%
3.75
Over 3.5 Goals
32%
3.25
4%
3.00
Under 3.5 Goals
68%
1.33
2%
1.35
Over 4.5 Goals
16%
6.00
14%
5.50
Under 4.5 Goals
84%
1.13
3%
1.12
Over 5.5 Goals
7%
13.00
13%
11.00
Under 5.5 Goals
93%
1.04
1%
1.03
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1.04
2%
1.03
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
12.00
30%
11.00
Home DNB
49%
2.102.15
Away DNB
61%
1.671.62
Swansea win to nil
15%
5.50
10%
-
Birmingham win to nil
22%
4.00-
Swansea / Swansea
17%
5.004.60
Swansea / Birmingham
4%
23.00
12%
19.00
Swansea / Draw
7%
13.0011.00
Draw / Swansea
11%
7.007.00
Draw / Birmingham
14%
5.505.50
Draw / Draw
15%
5.50
10%
5.25
Birmingham / Swansea
3%
29.0021.00
Birmingham / Birmingham
23%
3.60
4%
3.40
Birmingham / Draw
7%
13.0011.00
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win form
Swansea
games
Goals: Scored
Conceded
Games: Scored
/ 0
Conceded
/ 0
Clean sheets
/ 0
Failed to score
/ 0
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
Birmingham
games
Goals: Scored
Conceded
Games: Scored
/ 0
Conceded
/ 0
Clean sheets
/ 0
Failed to score
/ 0
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
Goal Statistics

Birmingham City's defensive record is to be admired, C. Davies's men having conceded 1 or less in 5 consecutive League Cup matches. An underwhelming PG rating of 1.3 for Swansea City makes sense in this context.

Birmingham City have been consistent in attack of late, scoring in 6 consecutive League Cup matches. Their PG of 1.6 against Swansea City on Saturday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

Swansea Birmingham
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.3
goals
1.6
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
27%
1
35%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 62% probability that Swansea will score no more than 1 goal
0
21%
1
33%
2
26%
3
13%
4+
There is a 79% probability that Birmingham will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away games
 
Attack defence ratings
League Cup - 2026/2027 season
Swansea
PG (predicted goals)
Birmingham
1.3
1.6
Attack rating
18%
better
SWA
BIR
view stats
Games scored16
15
Failed to score4
5
Scored first12
11
Goals scored30
22
Avg. goals scored1.5
1.1
Avg. shots per game9
9
Avg. shots per goal6
9
Conversion rate for17
12
Avg. XG for1.5
1.6
KickOff rating
+18%
Defence rating
SWA
BIR
7%
better
view stats
Games conceded15
15
Clean sheets5
5
Conceded first8
8
Goals conceded26
20
Avg. goals conceded1.3
1
Avg. shots/game conceded9
7
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
7
Conversion rate against15%
14%
Avg. XG against1.5
1.3
KickOff rating
+7%

The line-ups for the League Cup match between Swansea v Birmingham will show here when available.

Swansea League Cup squad statistics 2026/2027
Overall
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
NO DATA AVAILABLE
Birmingham League Cup squad statistics 2026/2027
Overall
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
NO DATA AVAILABLE