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Swansea City v Birmingham City : League Cup match betting preview, prediction and odds

Liberty Stadium, Swansea

Chris Davies pays counterpart Vitor Matos a visit on Saturday afternoon in the League Cup, as their Birmingham City and Swansea City teams go head to head at the Liberty Stadium. League Cup stats are the backbone of the predictions you'll find below, with head-to-head performance included too. There's so much to explore, with infographics and odds from leading bookmakers available for the biggest betting markets using the tabs.

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Swansea City's next match is v Stoke at 15:00 on Saturday 15th August
Birmingham City's next match is v Sheff Utd at 17:30 on Saturday 15th August
The last English League Cup meeting between Swansea and Birmingham was on Saturday 8th August 2026
English League Cup
August 8th 2026
Swansea 0
1 Birmingham
 
44' A. Priske
 
SWA
BIR
Shots On
2
1
Shots Off
8
4
Corners
6
4
Possession
61%
39%
Fouls
12
19
Yellow/red cards
2/0
 
SwanseaBirmingham
 
B. Cabango
J. Tymon
M. Stamenic (J. Eom 82')
M. Widell (J. Fulton 63')
E. Just
C. Burgess
L. Vigouroux
F. Lissah (J. Key 65')
J. Amankwaah Opoku
A. Idah (Ž. Vipotnik 63')
M. Yeo (L. Walta 63')
J. Beadle
C. Klarer
P. Neumann
(D. Gray 65') S. Paik
(S. Wright 90') C. Vicente Robles
(L. Vásquez 72') football iconA. Priske
J. Solis Romero
(L. Buchanan 46') A. Cochrane
B. Osayi-Samuel
T. Iwata
(E. Laird 72') J. Stansfield

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We're ruling out a bore-draw or a narrow 1-0 win here, and instead are predicting over 1.5 goals. That means that Swansea and Birmingham will score at least two between them during the standard 90 mins. This is based on form stats for each side, as well as past records of their head-to-head clashes. We give it a probability of 78%. The bookies have it at 1.25.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 43% chance of Birmingham coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Swansea
32%
9/52/1
Draw
25%
5/2
3%
5/2
3%
Birmingham
43%
13/10
2%
5/4
2%
Draw 1-1
12%
11/25/1
4%
Birmingham 1-0
9%
8/1
13%
7/1
7%
Birmingham 2-1
9%
17/27/1
Swansea 1-0
8%
9/1
11%
8/1
6%
Swansea 2-1
8%
10/18/1
5%
Birmingham 2-0
7%
11/1
9%
9/1
Draw 0-0
6%
10/1
10%
10/1
10%
Draw 2-2
6%
12/1
13%
10/1
Swansea 2-0
5%
14/112/1
Birmingham 3-1
5%
18/112/1
13%
Birmingham 3-0
4%
22/1
10%
16/1
Swansea 3-1
3%
22/118/1
Birmingham 3-2
3%
25/1
10%
18/1
Swansea 3-2
2%
28/1
15%
22/1
Swansea 3-0
2%
28/122/1
Over 2.5 Goals
54%
17/20
5%
4/5
3%
Under 2.5 Goals
46%
19/20
5%
19/20
5%
Home 1st Goal
46%
21/20
2%
23/20
Away 1st Goal
50%
5/65/6
No 1st Goal
3%
10/1
10%
10/1
10%
BTTS - Yes
57%
7/10
6%
13/20
3%
BTTS - No
43%
21/20
5%
23/20
5%
BTTS - Home Win
16%
9/2
8%
17/4
5%
BTTS - Draw
19%
7/2
5%
3/1
BTTS - Away Win
22%
7/2
5%
3/1
5%
Home/draw
57%
4/7
3%
8/13
1%
Away/draw
68%
2/5
3%
4/11
Home/away
75%
2/73/10
Over 1.5 Goals
77%
1/4
4%
1/4
3%
Under 1.5 Goals
23%
11/4
10%
11/4
7%
Over 3.5 Goals
31%
9/4
4%
2/1
6%
Under 3.5 Goals
69%
1/3
2%
7/20
2%
Over 4.5 Goals
16%
5/1
14%
9/2
8%
Under 4.5 Goals
84%
1/8
3%
1/8
2%
Over 5.5 Goals
7%
12/1
13%
10/1
8%
Under 5.5 Goals
93%
1/25
1%
1/33
1%
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1/20
1%
1/33
1%
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
10/1
10%
10/1
10%
Home DNB
49%
11/1023/20
Away DNB
61%
4/68/13
Swansea win to nil
15%
9/2
10%
-
Birmingham win to nil
22%
10/3
8%
-
Swansea / Swansea
17%
15/4
5%
18/5
Swansea / Birmingham
4%
22/1
12%
18/1
Swansea / Draw
7%
12/110/1
Draw / Swansea
11%
6/16/1
Draw / Birmingham
14%
5/1
9%
9/2
Draw / Draw
15%
9/2
10%
17/4
5%
Birmingham / Swansea
3%
28/120/1
9%
Birmingham / Birmingham
23%
11/412/5
Birmingham / Draw
7%
12/110/1
Match Predictor Pro
Your ultimate betting assistant
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Win / draw / win form
Swansea
games
Goals: Scored
Conceded
Games: Scored
/ 0
Conceded
/ 0
Clean sheets
/ 0
Failed to score
/ 0
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
Birmingham
games
Goals: Scored
Conceded
Games: Scored
/ 0
Conceded
/ 0
Clean sheets
/ 0
Failed to score
/ 0
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
Goal Statistics

Birmingham City's defensive record is very strong, C. Davies's men having conceded 1 or less in 5 consecutive League Cup outings. An underwhelming PG rating of 1.3 for Swansea City makes sense in this context.

Birmingham City have been steady in front of goal of late, finding the net in 6 consecutive League Cup matches. Their PG of 1.5 against Swansea City on Saturday suggests that run is likely to continue.

Swansea Birmingham
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.3
goals
1.5
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
28%
1
36%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 64% probability that Swansea will score no more than 1 goal
0
21%
1
33%
2
25%
3
13%
4+
There is a 79% probability that Birmingham will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away games
 
Attack defence ratings
League Cup - 2026/2027 season
Swansea
PG (predicted goals)
Birmingham
1.3
1.5
Attack rating
18%
better
SWA
BIR
view stats
Games scored16
15
Failed to score4
5
Scored first12
11
Goals scored30
22
Avg. goals scored1.5
1.1
Avg. shots per game9
9
Avg. shots per goal6
9
Conversion rate for17
12
Avg. XG for1.5
1.6
KickOff rating
+18%
Defence rating
SWA
BIR
7%
better
view stats
Games conceded15
15
Clean sheets5
5
Conceded first8
8
Goals conceded26
20
Avg. goals conceded1.3
1
Avg. shots/game conceded9
7
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
7
Conversion rate against15%
14%
Avg. XG against1.5
1.3
KickOff rating
+7%

The line-ups for the League Cup match between Swansea v Birmingham will show here when available.

Swansea League Cup squad statistics 2026/2027
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
1001
L VigourouxC Burgess
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
L Vigouroux GLK1
-
F. Lissah DEF1
-
B Cabango DEF1
-
C Burgess DEF1
1
-
J Tymon DEF1
-
M. Widell MID1
1
-
M Stamenić MID1
-
E Just MID1
-
M Yeo FWD1
-
A Idah FWD1
-
J. Amankwaah Opoku FWD
-
Subs
A Fisher
-
J Key1
-
J Fulton1
-
Z Vipotnik1
-
J Eom 1
-
T. Geraldes Parente
-
L Walta1
-
S Welsh
-
Ronald
-
Birmingham League Cup squad statistics 2026/2027
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
1110
J BeadleA. PriskeC Vicente
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Beadle GLK1
-
B Osayi-Samuel DEF1
-
P Neumann DEF1
-
C Klarer DEF1
-
A Cochrane DEF1
-
T Iwata MID1
-
J Solís MID1
-
J Stansfield MID1
-
C Vicente FWD11
-
S Paik FWD1
-
A. Priske FWD11
-
Subs
E Laird1
-
L Buchanan1
-
D Gray1
-
S Wright1
-
P Roberts
-
R Allsop
-
D Fry
-
K Lund
-
L Vázquez1
-
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