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Everton v Newcastle United : League Cup match betting preview, prediction and odds

Thu 29th Oct, 19:45 BST, Hill Dickinson Stadium, Liverpool

Thursday evening at the Hill Dickinson Stadium, and it’s a League Cup showdown between Everton and Newcastle United. David Moyes and Matthias Jaissle going all-out to claim victory. Quite simply, we want you to win betting on this game. To this end, stats for every betting market have been laid out below, with head to head (H2H) records and statistically significant form streaks highlighted. Odds are included as well.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

Our predictive algorithm suggests there is a 79% probability of Everton and Newcastle delivering at least 2 goals in this League Cup match. Recent form statistics and head-to-head (H2H) records are factored into that calculation , and it seems the bookies like the look of it as a tip too. This over 1.5 goals tip is available at a best price of 1.22.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Everton are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 44% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.20.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Everton 44%	6/5	-
Draw 24%	5/2	-
Newcastle 31%	2/1	-
Draw 1-1 11%	6/1	-
Everton 2-1 9%	8/1	-
Everton 1-0 9%	8/1	-
Newcastle 2-1 7%	10/1	-
Newcastle 1-0 7%	10/1	-
Everton 2-0 7%	11/1	-
Draw 2-2 6%	12/1	-
Draw 0-0 5%	11/1	-
Everton 3-1 5%	16/1	-
Newcastle 2-0 5%	16/1	-
Everton 3-0 4%	20/1	-
Newcastle 3-1 3%	22/1	-
Everton 3-2 3%	22/1	-
Newcastle 3-2 3%	28/1	-
Newcastle 3-0 2%	33/1	-
Over 2.5 Goals 56%	4/5	-
Under 2.5 Goals 44%	1/1	-
Home 1st Goal 51%	4/5	-
Away 1st Goal 46%	11/10	-
No 1st Goal 3%	11/1	-
BTTS - Yes 59%	4/6	-
BTTS - No 41%	11/10	-
BTTS - Home Win 23%	10/3	-
BTTS - Draw 19%	10/3	-
BTTS - Away Win 17%	9/2	-
Home/draw 69%	4/11	-
Away/draw 56%	4/6	-
Home/away 76%	2/7	-
Over 1.5 Goals 79%	2/9	-
Under 1.5 Goals 21%	3/1	-
Over 3.5 Goals 34%	7/4	-
Under 3.5 Goals 66%	2/5	-
Over 4.5 Goals 17%	9/2	-
Under 4.5 Goals 83%	1/7	-
Over 5.5 Goals 8%	10/1	-
Under 5.5 Goals 92%	1/20	-
Over 0.5 Goals 95%	1/25	-
Under 0.5 Goals 5%	11/1	-
Home DNB 61%	8/13	-
Away DNB 48%	6/5	-
Everton win to nil 21%	3/1	-
Newcastle win to nil 15%	5/1	-
Everton / Everton 23%	13/5	-
Everton / Newcastle 3%	28/1	-
Everton / Draw 6%	12/1	-
Draw / Everton 15%	9/2	-
Draw / Newcastle 11%	13/2	-
Draw / Draw 15%	9/2	-
Newcastle / Everton 4%	22/1	-
Newcastle / Newcastle 17%	4/1	-
Newcastle / Draw 6%	12/1	-

Win / draw / win form

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

13 / 20

Clean sheets

7 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Everton	0 - 2	Chelsea
A	Everton	2 - 2	Hull
H	Everton	1 - 0	Ipswich
H	Everton	1 - 0	Wolves
A	Everton	0 - 0	Spurs
H	Everton	2 - 2	Man Utd
A	Everton	1 - 1	Bournemouth
A	Everton	4 - 0	Preston
H	Everton	2 - 0	C Palace
A	Everton	0 - 1	Spurs
H	Everton	1 - 3	Sunderland
A	Everton	2 - 2	C Palace
H	Everton	3 - 3	Man City
A	Everton	1 - 2	West Ham
H	Everton	1 - 2	Liverpool
A	Everton	2 - 2	Brentford
H	Everton	3 - 0	Chelsea
A	Everton	0 - 2	Arsenal
H	Everton	2 - 0	Burnley
A	Everton	3 - 2	Newcastle

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

17 / 20

Conceded

17 / 20

Clean sheets

3 / 20

Failed to score

3 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Newcastle	0 - 1	A Villa
A	Newcastle	1 - 4	Coventry
H	Newcastle	2 - 1	Hull
A	Newcastle	1 - 4	Leeds
A	Newcastle	1 - 0	Millwall
H	Newcastle	2 - 2	Bournemouth
A	Newcastle	2 - 0	Spurs
H	Newcastle	3 - 2	West Brom
H	Newcastle	2 - 2	Liverpool
A	Newcastle	0 - 2	Fulham
H	Newcastle	3 - 1	West Ham
A	Newcastle	1 - 1	Nottm Forest
H	Newcastle	3 - 1	Brighton
A	Newcastle	0 - 1	Arsenal
H	Newcastle	1 - 2	Bournemouth
A	Newcastle	1 - 2	C Palace
H	Newcastle	1 - 2	Sunderland
A	Newcastle	2 - 7	Barcelona
A	Newcastle	1 - 0	Chelsea
H	Newcastle	1 - 1	Barcelona

Goal Statistics

Everton's fans will be hoping for goals on Thursday evening, not least because Newcastle United have conceded in each of their last 5 League Cup outings. A PG of 1.6 for D. Moyes's side suggests that run should continue.

	Everton	Newcastle
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.6 goals	1.3 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 20% 1 32% 2 26% 3 14% 4+ 8% There is a 80% probability that Everton will score 1 or more goals	0 27% 1 35% 2 23% 3 10% 4+ There is a 62% probability that Newcastle will score no more than 1 goal

	20 home / away games
20 home / away games	1.4 average goals scored	1.4 average goals scored
	1.4 conceded	1.8 conceded

Attack defence ratings
League Cup - 2026/2027 season

EVE

NEW

better

view stats

Games scored	16		17
Failed to score	4		3
Scored first	9		11
Goals scored	31		28
Avg. goals scored	1.6		1.4
Avg. shots per game	10		9
Avg. shots per goal	6		7
Conversion rate for	16		15
Avg. XG for	1.5		1.4
KickOff rating		+1%

20%

better

EVE

NEW

view stats

Games conceded	13		17
Clean sheets	7		3
Conceded first	10		9
Goals conceded	26		36
Avg. goals conceded	1.3		1.8
Avg. shots/game conceded	10		10
Avg. shots/goal conceded	7		6
Conversion rate against	13%		17%
Avg. XG against	1.3		1.9
KickOff rating		+20%

The line-ups for the League Cup match between Everton v Newcastle will show here when available.

Everton League Cup squad statistics 2026/2027

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
2	3	1	1
J Pickford	T Barry	V Mykolenko	J Grealish

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
J Pickford GLK	2			-
M Keane DEF	2			-
V Mykolenko DEF	2		1	-
J Garner MID	2			-
K Dewsbury-Hall MID	2			-
C Alcaraz MID	2	1		-
B Johnson FWD	2	1	1	-
T. George FWD	2			-
T Obling FWD	2		1	-
T Barry FWD	2	3	1	-
A Maitland-Niles DEF	1			-
J O'Brien DEF	1			-
J Tarkowski DEF	1			-
H Hackney MID	1			-
M Röhl MID	1			-
H. Armstrong MID	1			-
J Grealish FWD	1			1 -

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
3	7	1	2
T Barry	T Barry	V Mykolenko	J Garner

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
T Barry FWD	3	7	1	1
C Alcaraz MID	1	1
B Johnson FWD	1	2	1	1
V Mykolenko DEF			1	1
J Garner MID		1		2
K Dewsbury-Hall MID		2		1
T Obling FWD		2	1	2
H Hackney MID				1
J Grealish FWD		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
162	6	12
M Keane	J Garner	M Keane

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
M Keane DEF	162	2	12
J Garner MID	138	6	8
V Mykolenko DEF	117	2	5
K Dewsbury-Hall MID	116	3	5
J O'Brien DEF	91	1	6
J Tarkowski DEF	86		3
J Pickford GLK	83
T Obling FWD	79	5	11
H Hackney MID	54	2	3
H. Armstrong MID	54	1	3
A Maitland-Niles DEF	52	1	1
J Grealish FWD	49		4
M Röhl MID	48		1
T Barry FWD	37	1	1
C Alcaraz MID	21		2
T. George FWD	14
B Johnson FWD	6

Newcastle League Cup squad statistics 2026/2027

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
2	2	2	2
L Hall	H Barnes	A Dedic	J Ramsey

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
L Hall DEF	2		1	-
A Dedic DEF	2		2	-
S Botman DEF	2			-
J Willock MID	2	1		-
S. Steur MID	2			1 -
J Ramsey MID	2			2 -
L Miley MID	2			-
A Elanga FWD	2			-
H Barnes FWD	2	2		-
J Murphy FWD	2			-
Y Wissa FWD	2			-
E Jaouen GLK	1			1 -
L Hornicek GLK	1			-
F Schär DEF	1			-
T Livramento DEF	1			-
M Thiaw DEF	1		1	-
N González MID	1			-
M Fernandez FWD	1			-
B. Touré FWD	1	1		-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
2	4	2	2
H Barnes	H Barnes	A Dedic	A Dedic

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
H Barnes FWD	2	4		1
J Willock MID	1	3
B. Touré FWD	1	2
L Hall DEF		1	1	1
A Dedic DEF			2	2
A Elanga FWD		2
M Thiaw DEF		1	1	1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
145	6	15
S Botman	J Ramsey	S Botman

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
S Botman DEF	145		15
J Ramsey MID	115	6	11
L Hall DEF	95	4	14
N González MID	69		2
S. Steur MID	65		1
M Thiaw DEF	62		2
F Schär DEF	58		6
H Barnes FWD	56	2	6
J Willock MID	52	3	13
A Dedic DEF	51	3	5
J Murphy FWD	33	3	11
E Jaouen GLK	30
L Hornicek GLK	30		1
L Miley MID	24	1	4
Y Wissa FWD	21		5
A Elanga FWD	17	1	3
B. Touré FWD	16	1	4
T Livramento DEF	15		1
M Fernandez FWD	4

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Everton v Newcastle United : League Cup match betting preview, prediction and odds

The line-ups for the League Cup match between Everton v Newcastle will show here when available.

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